Assessment of dietary food and nutrient intake and bone density in children with eczema

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Oct;23(5):470–9 | Epub 4 Aug 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj164684
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Assessment of dietary food and nutrient intake and bone density in children with eczema
TF Leung, MD, FRCPCH1; SS Wang, PhD1; Flora YY Kwok, MPhil1; Lesley WS Leung, BSc2; CM Chow, MB, ChB1; KL Hon, MD, FAAP1
1 Department of Paediatrics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong
2 Faculty of Science, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
 
Corresponding author: Dr TF Leung (tfleung@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Dietary restrictions are common among patients with eczema, and such practice may lead to diminished bone mineral density. This study investigated dietary intake and bone mineral density in Hong Kong Chinese children with eczema.
 
Methods: This cross-sectional and observational study was conducted in a university-affiliated teaching hospital in Hong Kong. Chinese children aged below 18 years with physician-diagnosed eczema were recruited from our paediatric allergy and dermatology clinics over a 6-month period in 2012. Subjects with stable asthma and/or allergic rhinitis who were free of eczema and food allergy as well as non-allergic children were recruited from attendants at our out-patient clinics as a reference group. Intake of various foods and nutrients was recorded using a food frequency questionnaire that was analysed using Foodworks Professional software. Bone mineral density at the radius and the tibia was measured by quantitative ultrasound bone sonometry, and urinary cross-linked telopeptides were quantified by immunoassay and corrected for creatinine level.
 
Results: Overall, 114 children with eczema and 60 other children as reference group were recruited. Eczema severity of the patients was classified according to the objective SCORing Atopic Dermatitis score. Males had a higher daily energy intake than females (median, 7570 vs 6736 kJ; P=0.035), but intake of any single food item or nutrient did not differ between them. Compared with the reference group, children with eczema had a higher intake of soybeans and miscellaneous dairy products and lower intake of eggs, beef, and shellfish. Children with eczema also consumed less vitamin D, calcium, and iron. The mean (standard deviation) bone mineral density Z-score of children with eczema and those in the reference group were 0.52 (0.90) and 0.55 (1.12) over the radius (P=0.889), and 0.02 (1.03) and –0.01 (1.13) over the tibia (P=0.886), respectively. Urine telopeptide levels were similar between the groups. Calcium intake was associated with bone mineral density Z-score among children with eczema.
 
Conclusions: Dietary restrictions are common among Chinese children with eczema in Hong Kong, who have a lower calcium, vitamin D, and iron intake. Nonetheless, such practice is not associated with changes to bone mineral density or bone resorptive biomarker.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Hong Kong children with moderate-to-severe eczema had a lower consumption of eggs, beef, and shellfish as well as vitamin D, calcium, and iron.
  • Children with eczema had an increased intake of soybean and miscellaneous dairy products.
  • These changes in dietary and nutrient intake were not associated with altered bone mineral density or urinary levels of cross-linked N-telopeptides of type 1 collagen in our children with eczema.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Nutritional assessment and counselling should be offered to parents with children who have moderate-to-severe eczema.
  • Children with eczema who have extensive food avoidance or impaired growth should undergo allergy evaluation so that their family can follow evidence-based advice about dietary modification.
  • Bone mineral density assessment is unnecessary for the majority of children with eczema.
 
 
Introduction
Eczema is a chronic inflammatory skin disease associated with cutaneous hyperreactivity to environmental stimuli such as microbial exposure and food ingestion that are otherwise tolerated by unaffected subjects.1 In our community study, nearly one third of preschool children had eczema and 8.1% had parent-reported adverse food reactions.2 Thus, there is a significant health care burden from both eczema and food allergy in Hong Kong. Food allergy is believed by many patients and their family to be a major cause of eczema. Many traditional Chinese medicine practitioners also advise extensive food avoidance for eczema. Our previous study reported that over half of local children with eczema practised food avoidance.3 There are, however, limited objective data on the intake of specific food items and nutrients in children with eczema. Henderson and Hayes4 reported the correlation between dietary calcium intake and bone mineral density (BMD) in 55 children and adolescents aged 5 to 14 years with cow’s milk sensitisation. Their calcium intake was determined using a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). The bone density Z-score of their patients with a milk allergy serially increased with increasing calcium intake. In another study, Jensen et al5 investigated BMD in children aged 8 to 17 years with verified cow’s milk allergy (CMA) for more than 4 years and compared them with 343 healthy controls. Their patient’s BMD was markedly reduced for age, and height for age was reduced indicating ‘short’ bones. Furthermore, calcium consumption was about 25% of that recommended. In another study, BMD was assessed in 27 young children with CMA.6 During bone resorption, osteoclasts secrete a mixture of acid and neutral proteases that degrade the collagen fibrils into molecular fragments including C-terminal telopeptide. Its aspartic acid changes from alpha to beta form as bone ages. The latter form called beta-crosslaps is a specific marker for bone resorption; its concentration was lower in CMA patients than in controls, indicating an increased bone turnover in the former. Ten CMA patients had a BMD Z-score of less than –1 standard deviation (SD) value. Despite these results, there was limited evidence of compromised bone health in eczema patients when such results were adjusted for confounders such as calcium intake and physical activity. This study investigated intake of food items and nutrients as well as BMD in Chinese children in Hong Kong with varying degrees of eczema, and compared these values with unaffected children.
 
Methods
Study population
This cross-sectional study recruited ethnic Chinese children aged below 18 years with physician-diagnosed eczema from our paediatric allergy and dermatology clinics over a 6-month period in 2012. Eczema was diagnosed using standard criteria,7 and disease severity was assessed by SCORing Atopic Dermatitis.8 Patients were treated with topical mometasone furoate only. Those prescribed other topical steroids were changed to this drug for at least 4 weeks before the study. Patients prescribed oral immunosuppressive drugs within 6 months were excluded. Subjects with stable asthma and/or allergic rhinitis who were free of eczema and food allergy as well as non-allergic children were recruited from attendants at our out-patient clinics as a reference group. As an inclusion criterion, subjects in the reference group had no dietary restrictions. Following informed written consent, our research staff recorded subjects’ intake of a wide spectrum of dietary components using a Chinese FFQ. Children who attended secondary school and beyond were assessed using the adolescent/adult version,9 10 whereas those in primary schools and below were assessed using the preschool version.11 Intake of individual food items and groups of major nutrients as recorded in FFQ were quantified and analysed by Foodworks Professional software (version 7; Xyris, Brisbane, Australia). This software included only certain Chinese food items commonly found in Australia. Thus, our co-author (FYYK), who has a dietetic qualification, added new Chinese food data with reference to a comprehensive Chinese food composition database published in 2004 by the Peking University Medical Press (available upon request). These new food items were saved in the software as a new food composition database so that their nutrient data could be computed. Physical activity level of participants was assessed using a Physical Self-Description Questionnaire.12 The study was approved by the Clinical Research Ethics Committee of our university. All participants provided written informed consent.
 
Urinary concentration of cross-linked N-telopeptides of type 1 collagen
Urinary concentrations of cross-linked N-telopeptides of type 1 collagen (NTx), biomarkers of bone resorption,13 were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (Wampole Laboratories, Princeton [NJ], US) with a lower limit of detection set at 20 nM of bone collagen equivalent. Results were corrected for creatinine that was measured by modified Jaffe reaction (Roche Diagnostics GmbH, Mannheim, Germany).
 
Bone mineral density measurement
Participants’ BMD was measured at the mid-point of the radius in the non-dominant arm and at the left tibia using quantitative ultrasound bone sonometry (QUBS) to determine the velocity of ultrasound wave, expressed as the speed of sound in m/s, using Omnisense 7000P (BeamMed, Petach Tikva, Israel) as described previously.14 15 This machine compared speed of sound measurements to a built-in reference database of a healthy urban Chinese population of 797 boys and 760 girls aged 0 to 18 years. As described in the manufacturer’s manual, subjects with previous osteoporotic fractures, use of medications affecting bone health, presence of a disease known to affect bone metabolism, recent prolonged immobilisation, or a systemic malignant disease within 5 years were excluded from such reference database. The Omnisense devices were transported from place to place, and the same group of operators performed all measurements. Results of BMD were then expressed as age- and gender-matched Z-score.
 
Statistical analysis
Dietary food and nutrient intake, BMD Z-scores, and urine NTx levels between different groups were analysed by Student’s t test or analysis of variance (ANOVA). The relationship between eczema and dietary, BMD, and urinary variables that differed significantly between children with eczema and those in the reference group were confirmed by multivariable stepwise binary logistic regression adjusted for age, gender, body mass index (BMI), physical activity level, and co-morbid allergic diseases as covariates. The correlations between clinical variables, BMD Z-scores, and urine NTx levels were analysed by Pearson correlation. Continuous variables with skewed data distribution were transformed to achieve normal distribution prior to analyses. All analyses were performed with the use of SPSS (Windows version 18.0; SPSS Inc, Chicago [IL], US). The level of significance was set at 0.05, and all P values were two-tailed.
 
Results
A total of 114 children with eczema and other 60 children as the reference group were recruited (Table 1). The means (± SDs) age of children in the reference group, children with mild eczema, and children with moderate-to-severe eczema were 10.0 ± 5.0, 9.8 ± 5.4, and 11.9 ± 3.8 years, respectively. Age, gender, and anthropometric variables did not differ among children with eczema and those in the reference group. Table 2 describes the children’s daily food intake adjusted for total energy as recorded by FFQ. Males had a higher daily energy intake than females (median [interquartile range]: 7570 [6267-9487] kJ vs 6736 [5438-8547] kJ; P=0.035), but intake of any single food item or nutrient did not differ when adjusted for daily energy intake. Multivariable stepwise binary logistic regression analyses revealed that a higher intake of soybeans and soybean products as well as miscellaneous dairy products was associated with an increased risk of eczema, although statistically significant associations were only found between the third tertile of soybean intake and mild eczema, as well as between the second tertile and mild eczema, and between the third tertile and moderate-to-severe eczema for intake of miscellaneous dairy products. A higher consumption of eggs, beef, and shellfish was associated with lower risk of eczema (Table 3). Children with eczema and those in the reference group consumed similar supplements of cod liver oil, fish oil, vitamins, and calcium (P>0.9 for all; data not shown). Table 4 summarises their nutrient intake. Patients with moderate-to-severe eczema consumed a lower amount of vitamin D, calcium, and iron when compared with those with mild eczema and/or those in the reference group. Children with the highest tertile of intake for vitamin D (odds ratio [OR]=0.16; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.05-0.48; P=0.001) and calcium (OR=0.17; 95% CI, 0.06-0.51; P=0.002) had a lower risk for moderate-to-severe eczema than those with the lowest tertile when adjusted for age, gender, BMI Z-score, and physical activity level as covariates.
 

Table 1. Clinical characteristics of 174 study participants
 
 

Table 2. Daily food intake in 174 children with and without eczema
 
 

Table 3. Multivariable binary logistic analyses for the associations between eczema severity and food intake
 
 

Table 4. Daily nutrient intake in 174 children with and without eczema
 
 
The mean BMD Z-score for children with eczema and those in the reference group was 0.52 and 0.55 over the radius (P=0.889), and 0.02 and –0.01 over the tibia (P=0.886) [Table 5]. The BMD did not differ between children with mild and moderate-to-severe eczema over these two regions (P=0.296 and 0.661, respectively). The BMD Z-score at the tibia correlated inversely with children’s age (r = –0.282, P<0.001), but the Z-score at both regions was independent of BMI Z-score. Age of onset of eczema did not influence BMD Z-score at the radius (P=0.349) or tibia (P=0.240), nor was it associated with physical activity level (P>0.1 for both). Urine NTx levels did not differ between patients and reference subjects (P=0.451; Table 5), between reference subjects and those with mild or moderate-to-severe eczema, or between those with mild and moderate-to-severe eczema (P>0.3 for all). This biomarker showed an inverse correlation with subject’s age (r = –0.569, P<0.001) but not BMI Z-score (r = –0.132, P=0.101) or BMD Z-score at the radius (r = –0.133, P=0.097) or tibia (r = –0.135, P=0.093). Repeated analyses in eczema or reference subject subgroups yielded similar results.
 

Table 5. Differences in BMD variables between children with and without eczema
 
 
Regarding the possible effects of calcium intake, the tertiles of daily intake were not associated with BMD Z-score at either the radius or tibia among reference subjects (Table 6). On the other hand, patients at the second tertile of calcium intake had a lower BMD Z-score at both the radius and tibia than those at the first and third tertiles (P=0.016 and 0.015, respectively by one-way ANOVA). Patients with the highest tertile of calcium intake had higher BMD Z-score at the tibia.
 

Table 6. Associations between daily calcium intake and BMD and urine NTx among children with and without eczema
 
 
Discussion
This study is the first to report the effects of eczema and dietary intake on BMD in Chinese children in Hong Kong. Children with eczema had a higher intake of soybeans and miscellaneous dairy products but lower intake of eggs, beef, shellfish, vitamin D, calcium, and iron than the reference group. Despite these differences, children with eczema had similar BMD Z-scores at the radius and tibia and urinary NTx levels. We also observed a trend for patients with the highest tertile of calcium intake to have a higher BMD Z-score at the tibia.
 
Food allergy is commonly believed to be a major cause of eczema in the Chinese culture. Werfel and Breuer16 supported this by the finding that atopic dermatitis could be exacerbated by certain foods in more than 50% of affected children. Nonetheless, reactions induced by classic foods such as hen’s eggs and cow’s milk were less common in adolescents and adults than in young children. Food allergy in eczema may be immunoglobulin (Ig) E–mediated or non–IgE-mediated, thus food-induced eczema should be diagnosed only by thorough clinical history-taking and diagnostic work-up. Because of a possible co-existence of eczema and food allergy, dietary restrictions form an integral component of eczema management in children. A systematic review of 421 participants from nine randomised controlled trials only suggested some benefit of an egg-free diet in infants with suspected egg allergy who had positive specific IgE to eggs. No benefit, however, could be detected for the use of various exclusion diets in unselected people with atopic eczema.17 Clinicians should also bear in mind the dynamic nature of food allergy, and that young children might outgrow such allergies.
 
Eczema severity was associated with altered dietary intake in our children. Of Hong Kong children aged 2 to 7 years, 8% reported adverse food reactions, with the six leading foods being shellfish, eggs, peanuts, beef, cow’s milk, and tree nuts.2 Such adverse reactions to multiple foods also led to worse quality of life.18 In the EuroPrevall study, shrimp, mango, milk, eggs, and peanuts were the foods most commonly reported to cause allergy among primary schoolchildren in Hong Kong.19 20 According to the presence of allergen-specific IgE, however, milk and egg sensitisation was identified in over 14% of these subjects whereas that for all other foods including shrimp and peanuts was less than 8%. In our hospital-based patients, skin prick testing revealed that shellfish, peanuts, nuts, and eggs were the most common food allergens.21 In general, allergy to milk, eggs, beef, and seafood is a common cultural belief in Chinese families with children having eczema. Consistently, our patients with moderate-to-severe eczema had a lower intake of eggs, beef, and shellfish as well as vitamin D, calcium, and iron (Tables 2 3 4). To compensate for such dietary restrictions, they ingested more soybeans and soybean products, as well as miscellaneous dairy products. These alterations were consistent with our earlier findings that dietary restrictions to avoid high calcium foods such as cow’s milk were common among Hong Kong children with eczema.3 22 Milk intake was also negatively associated with eczema diagnosis among Spanish primary schoolchildren.23
 
Dietary intake of vitamin D was very low in our children, and virtually all (both cases and controls) ingested a lower amount than the age- and sex-specific dietary reference intake for the Chinese population (Table 4). Our data also suggested an inverse relationship between eczema severity and vitamin D intake. These results echoed those of our recent study in which low serum vitamin D level was highly prevalent in both Hong Kong children with eczema and non-allergic controls.24 Vitamin D deficiency was associated with disease severity in our eczema children. Our study found eczema severity to be associated with several single-nucleotide polymorphisms of vitamin D pathway genes.25 Besides its role in bone metabolism, vitamin D3 exerted pluripotent effects on both cutaneous adaptive (eg T-cell activation and dendritic cell maturation) and innate (eg expression of antimicrobial peptides) immunity.26 27 Our data suggested low serum levels of LL-37, the biologically active form of cathelicidin involved in antimicrobial defence, in children with eczema.28 Alterations in local vitamin D3 levels also modulated skin barrier function.29 Most children in Hong Kong, a subtropical region, had long school hours on weekdays and swam mainly in indoor pools. Thus, they are not expected to produce enough vitamin D from sunlight exposure. Together with our dietary data, we recommend that local children increase their outdoor activities and dietary intake of vitamin D.
 
Dietary intake of our children was recorded by FFQ. This method has been used to assess habitual intake over extended periods of time, ranging from the past month to the past year, by asking respondents to report frequency of consumption and often portion size for a defined list of foods and beverages.30 This allows for investigation of individual dietary pattern, ranking of usual individual intake, and examination of associations between frequency of consumption of certain items and individual clinical conditions. Woo et al9 developed an FFQ for the Hong Kong Chinese population that was later adapted and validated in local children and adolescents.11 12 13 18 Energy intake of two thirds of our subjects was below the Chinese-specific dietary reference intake (Table 4). Based on our data, FFQ would overestimate the intake of energy and macronutrients when compared with a 3-day food record.11 Thus, both our patients and controls had an inadequate nutritional intake.
 
Skeletal problems were common in children with food allergy and eczema. The BMD in children aged 8 to 17 years with CMA was markedly reduced for age, and calcium consumption was only one quarter that recommended.5 Beta-crosslaps concentration as a biomarker of bone turnover was lower in CMA patients than in controls.6 Osteoporosis and osteopenia were detected in 4.8% and 32.8% of 125 adults with moderate-to-severe eczema, respectively.31 Low BMD in these patients did not seem to respond to calcium and/or vitamin D supplementation.32 Another small adult study found similar BMD between subjects with eczema and controls.33 In childhood eczema, patients with severe disease treated with topical corticosteroids and cyclosporin had much lower BMD as measured by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) than those prescribed topical corticosteroids alone.34 The BMD was similar between Dutch children with moderate-to-severe eczema and the general population.35 Overall, there are limited data regarding BMD in childhood eczema. In this study, children with eczema had similar sonographically measured BMD at the radius and tibia and urinary level of NTx when compared with controls (Table 5). Nonetheless, BMD Z-scores were lower among patients in the second than third tertile of dietary calcium intake (Table 6). We do not recommend unjustified restriction of calcium-rich foods such as cow’s milk and soybean in children with eczema.
 
This study has several limitations. First, we did not record subjects’ outdoor activities or measure their serum vitamin D level. Second, this study assessed subjects’ dietary intake using a FFQ instead of a 3-day food record. The FFQ is cheap and easy to administer. Such FFQ with parental reporting was also a reasonably valid way to collect dietary data on children even in situations when parents do not observe all meals and snacks eaten by their child.36 37 38 Third, because of its cross-sectional nature, this study did not collect information about the duration of food avoidance. Fourth, BMD of our children was measured by ultrasound rather than DEXA; with the latter being the gold standard for diagnosing osteoporosis. There is substantial concern about radiation hazard especially in children.39 This study adopted the radiation-free technique of QUBS that was useful in assessing BMD in children.40 Lastly, our patients with moderate-to-severe eczema were nearly 2 years older than the reference group although patients as a whole group were of similar age (Table 1). Because of the higher energy needs of older and bigger children, we adjusted for subjects’ age and gender in multivariable regression analyses and compared their dietary intake with age- and gender-specific dietary reference intakes.
 
Conclusion
Dietary restrictions are common among Chinese children with eczema in Hong Kong. These patients had a lower calcium, vitamin D, and iron intake. Despite this, childhood eczema was not associated with diminished BMD. Nonetheless, a significant association was detected between calcium intake and BMD among these patients.
 
Acknowledgements
This work was funded by Direct Grants for Research (2011.1.058 and 2013.2.033) of the Chinese University of Hong Kong. We thank Yvonne YF Ho and Patty PP Tse for helping with patient assessment and data collection.
 
Declaration
The authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
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Prevalence of kidney stones and associated risk factors in the Shunyi District of Beijing, China

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Oct;23(5):462–9 | Epub 18 Apr 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj164904
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Prevalence of kidney stones and associated risk factors in the Shunyi District of Beijing
YG Jiang, MD1; LH He, PhD2; GT Luo, MB3; XD Zhang, MD1
1 Department of Urology, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100020, China
2 Department of Occupational & Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health Peking University, Beijing 100191, China
3 Department of Urology, Beijing Shun-Yi Hospital, Beijing 101300, China
 
Corresponding authors: Dr GT Luo, Dr XD Zhang (jiangyuguang1@126.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Kidney stone formation is a multifactorial condition that involves interaction of environmental and genetic factors. Presence of kidney stones is strongly related to other diseases, which may result in a heavy economic and social burden. Clinical data on the prevalence and influencing factors in kidney stone disease in the north of China are scarce. In this study, we explored the prevalence of kidney stone and potentially associated risk factors in the Shunyi District of Beijing, China.
 
Methods: A population-based cross-sectional study was conducted from December 2011 to November 2012 in a northern area of China. Participants were interviewed in randomly selected towns. Univariate analysis of continuous and categorical variables was first performed by calculation of Spearman’s correlation coefficient and Pearson Chi squared value, respectively. Variables with statistical significance were further analysed by multivariate logistic regression to explore the potential influencing factors.
 
Results: A total of 3350 participants (1091 males and 2259 females) completed the survey and the response rate was 99.67%. Among the participants, 3.61% were diagnosed with kidney stone. Univariate analysis showed that significant differences were evident in 31 variables. Blood and urine tests were performed in 100 randomly selected patients with kidney stone and 100 healthy controls. Serum creatinine, calcium, and uric acid were significantly different between the patients with kidney stone and healthy controls. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that being male (odds ratio=102.681; 95% confidence interval, 1.062-9925.797), daily intake of white spirits (6.331; 1.204-33.282), and a history of urolithiasis (1797.775; 24.228-133 396.982) were factors potentially associated with kidney stone prevalence.
 
Conclusions: Male gender, drinking white spirits, and a history of urolithiasis are potentially associated with kidney stone formation.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Serum creatinine, calcium, and uric acid levels were associated with kidney stone disease.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Male gender, drinking white spirits, and a history of urolithiasis are associated with kidney stone disease.
 
 
Introduction
Kidney stone formation is a multifactorial condition that involves interaction of environmental and genetic factors.1 In western countries, the prevalence and incidence of kidney stone formation have been reported to be 2% to 19%, with an increasing frequency among men.2 A previous study estimated that the overall prevalence of kidney stones in China was 4.0% (4.8% in men and 3.0% in women).3 The condition causes severe pain and is highly likely to be recurrent.4 In addition, the presence of kidney stones is strongly related to chronic kidney disease, bone loss and fractures, kidney cancer, coronary heart disease, hypertension, and metabolic syndrome.5 6 7 8 9 This results in a heavy economic and social burden.10 11 An appropriate prevention strategy is urgently needed to reduce the prevalence and health care costs that arise from the condition.
 
Currently, many domestic and international reports have focused on the risk factors for kidney stone formation. These diverse risk factors including age, gender, race, drugs, genetic, dietary, and environmental factors (eg occupation and heat exposure), insulin resistance, as well as drinking water are all reported to be associated with kidney stone prevalence.2 12 13 14 15 Clinical data on the prevalence and influencing factors in kidney stone disease in the north of China are scarce however, as is knowledge about the relationship between kidney stone formation and blood and urine parameters.
 
Our study aimed to explore the prevalence of kidney stone disease and the underlying causes in Shunyi District, Beijing, China. Shunyi District is an important district in the northeast of Beijing with a population of 953 000 in 2012. The results of this study may provide an insight into ways that can help prevent kidney stone formation.
 
Methods
Sampling and participants
All procedures were carried out in accordance with the ethical standards of the local institute and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. This cross-sectional survey was conducted from December 2011 to November 2012. A total of 19 towns in the Shunyi District of Beijing were numbered randomly. A random number table was used to choose six towns from these 19 towns. The six towns included Zhangzhen, Mulin, Beiwu, Nanfaxin, Renhe, and Nancai. Residents who visited their township hospital for a routine physical examination were invited to participate in this survey.
 
The inclusion criteria of participants were the age of ≥18 years and as resident in the town for more than 3 years. The exclusion criteria were presence of kidney stones, renal failure, chronic gastric disease, urinary tract malformation, urinary tract obstructive disease, urinary tract infection, or hyperparathyroidism.
 
Verbal consent was obtained from all study participants following provision of information about the study objectives, procedures, and implications. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Beijing Shun-Yi Hospital.
 
The questionnaire and physical examination
All participants were asked to complete a questionnaire that covered the following: (1) demographic characteristics, including gender, age, body mass index, workplace, and job category. The amount of sweat following exercise was quantified and classified as dry, wet, and moist if the palm, forehead, axillary, and back were dry, wet, and dripping with sweat, respectively; (2) daily fluid intake, including water intake, source of drinking water, habits of drinking water; and fluid intake including tea, soup, and milk; (3) living and dietary habits, including outdoor activities, smoking, frequency of staple and non-staple food intake (sweetmeats, seafood, fruit, vegetables, bean products, dairy products, eggs, meat, and animal’s viscera); (4) personal and family history of urinary calculus, urinary tract infection, or hypertension; and (5) present diagnosis of kidney stone detected by a physician and its characteristics. To screen for the presence of kidney stones, all participants underwent an ultrasound examination that was performed by two attending physicians in each hospital.
 
Biochemical detection
To fully explore the potentially associated factors, 100 patients with kidney stone(s) were numbered and then randomly selected by computer for testing of blood and urine biochemical parameters. Specifically, levels of creatinine, calcium, phosphorus, potassium, and uric acid were measured in an early-morning urine and fasting blood samples using a biochemistry analyser, AU5400 (Beckman Coulter Ltd, United States). Blood concentration of chlorine and sodium was also measured. Simultaneously, 100 age- and sex-matched healthy participants who visited these hospitals for a routine physical examination during the study period and were confirmed to be free of urinary calculus or endocrine metabolic disease were selected as controls.
 
Statistical analysis
Data were entered into the computer using EpiData 3.1 (EpiData Association, Odense, Denmark) and analysed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (Windows version 19.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). Continuous variables are presented as mean ± standard deviation, and categorical variables as percentages. Univariate analysis of continuous and categorical variables was first performed by Spearman’s correlation coefficient (rs) and Pearson Chi squared (χ2) value, respectively. Statistically significant variables were further analysed by multivariate stepwise logistic regression to explore the potential influencing factors. The inclusion criteria was 0.05, and the exclusion criteria was 0.1. Odds ratios (ORs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. A P value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
 
Results
Participant characteristics
A convenient sample of 3361 subjects was invited to participate in this study, of whom 3350 completed the survey with 1091 males and 2259 females. The response rate was 99.67%. The mean age of all participants was 48.97 ± 17.02 years (range, 20-98 years), with 54.46 ± 13.23 years for males and 51.81 ± 11.24 years for females.
 
Prevalence and factors associated with presence of kidney stone
Presence of kidney stones was newly diagnosed in 121 subjects (3.61%; 95% CI, 2.88%-4.32%) including 67 (6.14%) males and 54 (2.39%) females. As shown in Table 1, univariate analysis showed that 31 variables were significantly associated with the presence of kidney stones—including gender; age; place of work; occupation; amount of exercise, sweat, daily water intake; water source; intake of fluid, alcohol, coffee, tea, soup, white spirits, and milk; outdoor activity; smoking; eating eggs and meat; presence of kidney stones in relatives, parents, and siblings; as well as personal history of hypertension, urinary stone, urinary tract infections, chronic gastric diseases, hyperlipidaemia, diabetes, kidney surgery, ureter surgery; and prescription of a diuretic.
 

Table 1. Univariate analysis of potential risk factors for kidney stone formation
 
Associated biochemical variables
Biochemical parameters were measured in blood and urine samples. As shown in Table 2, the concentration of serum creatinine, calcium, and uric acid in blood differed significantly in patients with and without kidney stone(s), suggesting that the three variables were potentially associated with this disease. No statistical difference was observed in the concentration of other variables. With regard to the level of these parameters in urine, no significant difference was found between the patients with kidney stone and the healthy controls (Table 2).
 

Table 2. Univariate analysis of biochemical variables in patients with kidney stone and healthy controls
 
Risk factors of kidney stone
Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to control for the effects of confounding factors and analyse the factors potentially associated with kidney stone formation (Table 3). Three variables were finally entered into the multiple logistic regression model: male gender (OR=102.681; 95% CI, 1.062-9925.797; P=0.047), daily intake of white spirits (OR=6.331; 95% CI, 1.204-33.282; P=0.029), and personal history of urolithiasis (OR=1797.775; 95% CI, 24.228-133 396.982; P=0.001).
 

Table 3. Multivariate logistic regression analysis of risk factors for kidney stone formation (n=3275)
 
Discussion
In this population-based cross-sectional study, the prevalence of kidney stones and the underlying associated factors were investigated in the Shunyi District of Beijing, China. A total of 1091 males and 2259 females were enrolled in the study. The prevalence of kidney stone was 3.61% among the participants. The results demonstrated that male gender, daily drinking of white spirits, and a personal history of urolithiasis were potential risk factors for kidney stone formation. Our results may help gain better insight into the prevention of kidney stones.
 
Previous studies reported that the prevalence of kidney stone varies with geographical location and socio-economic conditions, and is stratified by age.16 Global epidemiological surveys demonstrated that the mean prevalence of kidney stone was 3.25% in the 1980s and 5.64% in the 1990s.17 18 Specifically, kidney stone affects approximately one in 20 people in Spain and 1 in 25 in China, while the prevalence reaches up to 9.1% in the United States and 16.9% in Northeast Thailand.3 19 20 21 In the present study, the prevalence was determined to be 3.61% in the six randomly selected towns of Shunyi District, and is consistent with the findings of the first national survey of kidney stone in China (4.0%).3 Unfortunately, we collected 3361 subjects without collecting information about how they were distributed in the six towns. Although these towns were randomly selected from a total of 19 towns, self-selection bias was likely present in the current study, as the study samples were taken by convenient sampling from volunteers who attended any one of the six hospitals for physical examination for a non-specified reason. Thus, further studies with a more representative population are needed to verify whether the prevalence in the Shunyi District of Beijing is in line with that in the six randomly selected towns.
 
In the present study, prevalence of kidney stones was also found to be higher in men (6.14%) than in women (2.39%). Male gender was identified as a risk factor in multivariate logistic regression analysis. The reasons might be complicated. A hormonal factor may be one of the key reasons for the difference between men and women. For instance, the secretion of citric acid in urine, as a protective factor against kidney stone formation, is promoted by oestrogen. Androgen leads to the accumulation of some damaging factors for kidney stone formation, such as calcium, oxalate, and uric acid in urine.22 23 Men are also more likely to engage in heavy physical labour, to sweat more, and more often be dehydrated. These factors are documented risk factors for kidney stone formation.24 25 Nonetheless they were not successfully retained in the stepwise regression in our study, implying that they did not have an independent effect on the outcome in our study sample, possibly due to the small sample size. Further studies with a larger sample size are needed to verify our findings.
 
A recent meta-analysis found that alcohol intake is inversely associated with the risk of urolithiasis.26 On the contrary, our results showed that daily drinking of white spirits was a risk factor for kidney stone formation. The differences might be attributed to the varied drinking habits of different races and countries. Curhan et al12 established that a family history of kidney stones substantially increased the risk of stone formation. Moreover, increasing studies have found that patients who have ever had urolithiasis have a higher prevalence of kidney stone formation than those without such a history.27 28 In concordance with these findings, our study revealed that a history of urolithiasis was a potential risk factor for kidney stone formation. Therefore, people who favour liquor and/or have a history of urinary tract stones should be aware of their higher risk for kidney stone formation and take preventive steps.
 
This study has several limitations and the results must be interpreted with caution. First, the study sample might not be representative of the population because of the convenient sampling of volunteers. Also, the number of subjects excluded under each of the exclusion criteria was not recorded. Second, the small sample size hindered the proper control of potential confounding factors. Third, the causal relationship between the involved factors and kidney stone formation could not be confirmed by a cross-sectional survey. Fourth, recall bias and volunteer bias could not be avoided. Finally, females were over-represented in the sample as many males were migrant workers and often worked in other cities. More rigorous studies with a larger and more representative population are needed to verify the results.
 
Conclusions
The prevalence of kidney stones in the current study sample of the selected towns (Zhangzhen, Mulin, Beiwu, Nanfaxin, Renhe, and Nancai) of Shunyi District of Beijing, China, is 3.61%. Male gender, daily drinking of white spirits, and a history of urolithiasis are factors potentially associated with kidney stone formation.
 
Declaration
This study was supported by Capital Medical Development Research Fund (2009-2107). The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
 
References
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5. Ferraro PM, Taylor EN, Eisner BH, et al. History of kidney stones and the risk of coronary heart disease. JAMA 2013;310:408-15. Crossref
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Factors associated with multidisciplinary case conference outcomes in children admitted to a regional hospital in Hong Kong with suspected child abuse: a retrospective case series with internal comparison

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Oct;23(5):454–61 | Epub 18 Apr 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj164960
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Factors associated with multidisciplinary case conference outcomes in children admitted to a regional hospital in Hong Kong with suspected child abuse: a retrospective case series with internal comparison
WC Lo, MRCPCH, FHKAM (Paediatrics); Genevieve PG Fung, MRCPCH, FHKAM (Paediatrics); Patrick CH Cheung, FRCPCH, FHKAM (Paediatrics)
Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, United Christian Hospital, Kwun Tong, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Patrick CH Cheung (cheungchp@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: In all cases of suspected child abuse, accurate risk assessment is vital to guide further management. This study examined the relationship between risk factors in a risk assessment matrix and child abuse case conference outcomes.
 
Methods: Records of all children hospitalised at United Christian Hospital in Hong Kong for suspected child abuse from January 2012 to December 2014 were reviewed. Outcomes of the hospital abuse work-up as concluded in the Multi-Disciplinary Case Conference were categorised as ‘established’, ‘high risk’, or ‘not established’. All cases of ‘established’ and ‘high risk’ were included in the positive case conference outcome group and all cases of ‘not established’ formed the comparison group. On the other hand, using the Risk Assessment Matrix developed by the California State University, Fresno in 1990, each case was allotted a matrix score of low, intermediate, or high risk in each of 15 matrix domains, and an aggregate matrix score was derived. The effect of individual matrix domain on case conference outcome was analysed. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to examine the relationship between case conference outcome and aggregate matrix score.
 
Results: In this study, 265 children suspected of being abused were included, with 198 in the positive case conference outcome group and 67 in the comparison group. Three matrix domains (severity and frequency of abuse, location of injuries, and strength of family support systems) were significantly associated with case conference outcome. An aggregate cut-off score of 23 yielded a sensitivity of 91.4% and specificity of 38.2% in relation to outcome of abuse categorisation.
 
Conclusions: Risk assessment should be performed when handling suspected child abuse cases. A high aggregate score should arouse suspicion in all disciplines managing child abuse cases.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • The Risk Assessment Matrix provides an objective measure of the risk of abuse and can effectively aid communication between professionals and guide junior colleagues in decision making.
  • Using the Risk Assessment Matrix, an aggregate matrix score of ≥23 serves to alert health care professionals to the degree of risk involved, and to gauge appropriate follow-up response.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Professionals should perform risk assessment and document the results in a systematic manner.
  • Results of risk assessment should be considered in Multi-Disciplinary Case Conference on Protection of Child with Suspected Abuse to guide decision making and formulation of a welfare plan.
  • As this study used a risk assessment matrix from overseas, further studies should be performed to develop an assessment tool for local use.
 
 
Introduction
Child abuse is damaging to children’s physical health, emotional health, learning, and development.1 2 3 From time to time, there are media reports of severe child abuse that has required admission to an intensive care unit or resulted in death. A recent recommendation in March 2016 by a coroner following an inquest into the death of a 5-year-old child was the need for a careful risk assessment when handling cases of suspected child abuse.4
 
In Hong Kong, approximately 1000 children are admitted to hospitals each year for suspected child abuse. The abuse may be physical, sexual, or psychological; involve neglect; or consist of multiple abuses.5 Management of these children calls for multidisciplinary involvement. A Multi-Disciplinary Case Conference on Protection of Child with Suspected Abuse (MDCC) is recommended as stated in the Procedural Guide for Handling Child Abuse Cases of the Social Welfare Department of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) Government.6 Whether a case is abuse or not is concluded by the MDCC that involves doctors, nurses, psychologists, medical social workers, social workers from Social Welfare Department or non-governmental organisations, school personnel, and the police.
 
The Procedural Guide6 is under review. New procedures introduced in its recent revision have been implemented since December 2015. In Chapter 11 of the MDCC, a new standing conference agenda item on risk assessment was introduced and mandated. Managing professionals are advised to perform risk assessment on abuse. This risk assessment is vital when considering the nature of child abuse and the care of the child and family. Several assessment instruments or models to assess harm have been reviewed.7 8 Each has its own strengths and weaknesses. The Risk Assessment Matrix (developed by the California State University, Fresno, in 19909) has been quoted in the Procedural Guide for Handling Child Abuse Cases of the Social Welfare Department, HKSAR Government.6 The Risk Assessment Matrix has not been previously systematically used in MDCC in Hong Kong. Since 2015, the Social Welfare Department of HKSAR Government has recommended that systematic risk assessment be performed in MDCC for all cases. This study was performed to examine the relationship between risk factors in the Risk Assessment Matrix and MDCC outcome.
 
Methods
United Christian Hospital is a tertiary referral hospital that serves a paediatric population of around 110 000 in the Kwun Tong district in Hong Kong.10 Children with suspected child abuse are admitted to hospitals in Hong Kong for multidisciplinary management that includes work-ups by paediatrics, psychology, psychiatry, social work disciplines as well as community social work agencies, schools, and the police. An MDCC is held within 10 working days in which all involved disciplines participate to conclude the nature of abuse (case conference outcome) and the subsequent welfare plan for the child and family. This was a retrospective case series with internal comparison to investigate the risk factors and case conference outcome of children admitted with suspected abuse from January 2012 to December 2014. Ethics approval for the study was obtained from the Kowloon Central/Kowloon East Clusters Research Ethics Committee of the Hospital Authority.
 
Subjects
All cases of suspected child abuse (coded per the ICD-9 system) within the study period were identified from discharge diagnosis using the Hospital Authority Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System electronic database. The medical records, the MDCC investigation reports by various disciplines, and the MDCC meeting minutes were retrieved and retrospectively reviewed. Cases were categorised as ‘established’ (E), ‘high risk’ (HR), or ‘not established’ (NE) for child abuse, as determined in the MDCC. All E and HR cases were included in the positive case conference outcome group, and all NE cases were included in the comparison group. Cases with no MDCC were excluded from analysis.
 
In this study, the ratio of E+HR:NE cases was 198:67 (ie 3:1). Using this sample size, and assuming an odds ratio (OR) of >2 would be considered significant, the chance of detecting a significant difference at the 5% level was 65%.
 
Measures
Baseline demographic data, type of abuse, abusers, and relevant risk factors were collected for all cases. The Risk Assessment Matrix (developed by the California State University, Fresno, in 19909) adopted by the Social Welfare Department in their Procedural Guide for Handling Child Abuse Cases6 was used to associate risk factors with final categorisation. The full risk assessment form is shown in the Appendix. This assessment categorises risk factors for child abuse into 15 matrix domains to assess the child, parent/caretaker, and family situation. For each matrix domain, the level of risk is classified as ‘low’ (MLR), ‘intermediate’ (MIR), or ‘high’ (MHR). The matrix was discussed in detail among the authors before starting the study, and details of classification clarified. Classification was performed by one author only, thereby eliminating the possibility of inter-rater variability. Cases that were difficult to classify were discussed among authors and decisions were made by consensus. Association between risk categories in the matrix and final categorisation was reviewed by looking at the MIR + MHR category in relation to case conference outcomes. To further quantify the matrix, an empirical scoring system was devised, with 1 point for MLR, 2 points for MIR, and 3 points for MHR in each of the 15 matrix domains. For each assessed case, an aggregate score of 15 to 45 was possible.
 
Appendix. Risk Assessment Matrix in the Procedural Guide for Handling Child Abuse Cases of the Social Welfare Department, Hong Kong SAR Government6
 
Statistical analysis
Statistical analysis was performed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (Windows version 23.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). Categorical data were compared using the Chi squared test or Fisher’s exact test (for cells <5), and OR with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. Continuous variables were compared using the independent t test, Mann-Whitney U test, or one-way analysis of variance (for multiple groups). Multivariate logistic regression (stepwise strategy) was used to determine the effect of individual matrix domains on case conference outcome. The independent variables used in logistic regression analysis were the matrices that showed a significant association in the initial univariate analysis. To study the association between matrix scores and final categorisation, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted with sensitivity and specificity calculations. A two-sided P value of ≤0.05 was considered significant.
 
It was hypothesised that (1) risk factors for child abuse are present in a higher proportion in the E/HR cases compared with the NE cases, and (2) the aggregate risk profile score is higher in the positive case conference outcome group than in the comparison group.
 
Results
We identified 272 cases during the study period. After review of diagnosis and case notes, seven cases were excluded. For all excluded cases, no MDCC was held because they were judged to be inappropriate referrals for assessment of child abuse after initial careful assessment. Therefore, 265 cases were included in the study.
 
After multidisciplinary work-up, the case conference conclusion by MDCC showed that 46.0% (122/265) of cases were categorised as E, 28.7% (76/265) as HR, and 25.3% (67/265) as NE. There were ultimately 198 cases in the positive case conference outcome group (E+HR) and 67 in the comparison group (NE). Physical abuse cases accounted for 70.9% (188/265), and the percentages of sexual abuse, neglect, and multiple abuse (≥2 abuse categories) were 14.0%, 5.7%, and 9.4%, respectively. There were nine cases of psychological abuse (3 E and 6 HR), but they were also confirmed to be associated with other types of abuse (eg ‘physical + psychological’ or ‘neglect + psychological’). There were no cases of ‘isolated psychological abuse’ in this series (Table 1).
 

Table 1. Demographic data and nature of abuse of the three categorised groups
 
In most cases the abuser was identified as the mother (45.5%, 90/198), followed by the father (27.3%, 54/198), domestic helper (4.0%, 8/198), parent’s co-habitant (2.0%, 4/198), grandfather (1.5%, 3/198) or grandmother (1.5%, 3/198), internet friend (1.5%, 3/198), or stepfather (1.0%, 2/198) or stepmother (1.0%, 2/198). In 4.5% of cases, multiple abusers were identified, and in 5.1%, the abuser could not be identified. Other abusers accounted for 5.1% and included tutorial class teachers, mother’s friends, classmate or hostel peer, siblings, boyfriend, godmother, and other relatives.
 
Comparison of baseline demographic data showed no significant difference in gender, ethnicity, or mean age at presentation among the E, HR, and NE groups (Table 1). When the nature of abuse was compared, there was a higher percentage of physical abuse in the E and HR groups, but no significant difference in the percentage of psychological, multiple abuse, or neglect between groups. A significant difference was identified for sexual abuse, however, with the highest percentage in the NE group (10.7% vs 9.2% vs 25.4%; P=0.007). Several features were observed in this subgroup of sexual abuse as follows. Multidisciplinary investigations and physical examination were frequently not revealing. Children were often young and thus unable to speak with non-specific vulval or perineal redness or symptomatic vulvovaginitis. Child custody disputes, maternal emotional problems, or a child being cared for by multiple individuals were common features.
 
Univariate analysis for the MIR + MHR categories in each matrix domain showed significant correlation between MIR + MHR in the positive case conference outcome group (E + HR) for nine matrix domains, including Matrix 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, 11, and 14 (Table 2).
 

Table 2. Univariate analysis of the relationship between intermediate + high matrix scores in the Risk Assessment Matrix developed by the California State University in 1990 with the Multi-Disciplinary Case Conference on Protection of Child with Suspected Abuse (MDCC) case conference outcome
 
Logistic regression for these nine matrix domains showed significant correlation for Matrix 2, severity and/or frequency of abuse; Matrix 4, location of injuries; and Matrix 11, strength of family support systems (Table 3).
 

Table 3. Logistic regression analysis of intermediate + high matrix scores with case conference outcome for Matrixes 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, 11, 14
 
Using the devised scoring system of 1 point for MLR, 2 for MIR and 3 for MHR, an aggregate matrix score was calculated for each patient, with a minimum possible score of 15, and maximum possible score of 45. The aggregate matrix scores for both the positive case conference outcome group (E+HR) and comparison group (NE) followed a normal distribution (Fig 1). The mean aggregate matrix score was significantly different between the two groups with a higher mean score in the positive case conference outcome group (26.90 ± 3.57 vs 23.46 ± 2.98; P<0.005).
 

Figure 1. Aggregate matrix scores for child abuse cases of ‘established’ + ‘high risk’ versus ‘not established’
The mean (± standard deviation) aggregate matrix score was 26.90 ± 3.57 for the E + HR group, and 23.46 ± 2.98 for the NE group (P<0.005)
 
To estimate the association of the matrix scores with the risk of child abuse, an ROC curve was plotted using aggregate matrix score against E + HR cases (Fig 2). The area under the ROC curve was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.72-0.84), indicating good discrimination.
 

Figure 2. Receiver operating characteristic curve showing accuracy of matrix in relation to outcome
Diagonal segments are produced by ties
 
The sensitivity and specificity of different aggregate matrix scores are shown in Figure 2.
 
For this study, a matrix score that yielded a high sensitivity was preferred, in order to avoid missing cases of abuse. A cut-off aggregate matrix score of 23 would yield a sensitivity of 91.4% and specificity of 38.2% in relation to E + HR; a mean aggregate matrix score of 24 would yield a sensitivity of 84.8% and specificity of 48.5%.
 
Discussion
Risk assessment is a critical process by which to assess the level of risk to a child suspected of being abused. Instruments used in risk assessment organise factors systematically to help describe the safety of such a child. These factors include characteristics of the reported abuse, the child, the caretakers, the family, and the environment of the child.7 8 11 12 13 Such assessment helps case analysis and decision making, and provides an important framework for case planning and subsequent service delivery.
 
Since December 2015, risk assessment in MDCC has been mandated in the Procedural Guide for Handling Child Abuse Cases of the Social Welfare Department, HKSAR Government.6 In this Procedural Guide, a risk assessment instrument (Risk Assessment Matrix developed by the California State University, Fresno, in 19909) was referred to and takes the form of a matrix that facilitates assessment by professionals of the level of risk for various abuse factors. This study examined the relationship between child abuse risk factors and MDCC outcome using this Risk Assessment Matrix.
 
There was no significant difference in demographic data among the three groups (E, HR, and NE; Table 1). A statistical difference in the presence of child sexual abuse was found between the positive case conference outcome group (E+HR) and the comparison group (NE), with a higher proportion of children in the comparison group affected. Future study to analyse characteristic features of the NE group would aid understanding of sexual abuse cases that present to hospitals in Hong Kong.
 
There was no ‘isolated’ psychological abuse in this series. All psychological abuses occurred with multiple abuses. Psychological abuse is easily missed as there is often no physical sign to arouse suspicion. All cases in this series came to light during the work-up for other forms of abuse. In 2015, there were only seven cases of psychological abuse among the 874 newly reported child abuse cases in Hong Kong.14 Psychological abuse is underdiagnosed in our locality and this calls for sensitivity among professionals when handling abuse cases.
 
On characteristics of abusers, parents, especially mothers, were the most prevalent abusers. This finding is consistent with previous studies.12 15 16 17 Certain parental characteristics have been identified as important risk factors for child abuse, for example, parental low mood, marital conflict precipitating emotional problems, parental low education or economic status, poor social support, and parenting stress due to handling a child’s disruptive behaviour.12 15 16 17 18
 
Logistic regression analysis revealed three factors that were significant for established or high risk of child abuse (E or HR): (1) Matrix 2: severity and/or frequency of suspected physical or sexual abuse, (2) Matrix 4: location of injuries, and (3) Matrix 11: strength of family support systems (Table 3).
 
Matrix 2: Severity and/or frequency of suspected physical or sexual abuse
History of child abuse, and severity and frequency of abuse are known risk factors for recurrence of abuse. Child abuse victims may not experience abuse as a one-off event. Further, there was evidence of escalation in abuse severity in recurrent abuse victims.19 20 Corporal punishment is commonly adopted by Chinese parents as a method of child discipline, and severe physical punishment warranting medical attention or hospital admission has been reported in 3% to 9% of children.15 18 Only 1% of abuse cases are reported and managed.15 Contributing factors for underreporting include cultural acceptance of corporal punishment, low public awareness, and lack of victim support during the disclosure process.
 
Matrix 4: Location of injuries
Head and neck injury was regarded as severe physical injury compared with injury to limbs and corporal body parts.18 A review of literature revealed that abusive bruises are found predominantly on the head and neck, especially on the ear, neck, and cheeks—all sites that are unlikely to be affected by accidental injury. Areas such as the forearms, upper limbs, and adjoining area of the trunk, or outside thigh may indicate ‘defensive bruising’ when the child tries to avoid being hit.21 Head and neck injuries such as abusive head injury, contusions of the head or neck, are well known to cause deleterious effects, even mortality.22
 
Matrix 11: Strength of family support systems
Families with poor social support, social isolation, and geographical isolation are known to be at increased risk and severity of child abuse.16 17 19 22 Social isolation was more common among single parents or immigrants.15 Both a low level of real and perceived social support has been shown to be potential risks for child maltreatment.15 16 17 On the contrary, social support is a protective factor for child abuse.23 Perceived social support has been reported to moderate parents’ own experience of abuse and the potential risk of abuse of their own children.16 Parental support can be offered by child care or foster care services, targeted support programmes for families at risk or young families with a newborn, parental counselling service, and extra support to vulnerable children with special needs.23
 
Six other matrix domains were significantly related with case conference outcome in univariate analysis but not in logistic regression analysis (Tables 2 and 3). They were Matrix 3, 5, 8, 9, 10 and 14. Another six risk factors were not statistically related to case conference outcome; these included Matrix 1, 6, 7, 12, 13, and 15. All risk factors in these domains have been shown in previous studies to be related to child abuse.11 12 13 15 16 17 Possible explanations for the absence of a significant relationship between risk factors in these 12 domains and case conference outcome in logistic regression analysis include an aggregate effect of risk factors that may not be significant on their own but factor co-occurrence is contributory. Other possible explanations include presence of mitigating factors such as a protective relative, a child already in supportive placement, the presence of legal enforcement or a child under a care order, or because of a small subgroup number within individual risk factors.
 
For the aggregate effect of risk factors, an ROC curve was plotted using aggregate matrix score against case conference outcome (Figs 1 and 2). As the Risk Assessment Matrix is used as a risk assessment tool for child abuse, it is vital that it detects most abuse cases. We chose a score that yields a high sensitivity and high positive predictive value whilst accepting a lower specificity. Using a score of 23 (sensitivity 91.4%, positive predictive value 0.85, specificity 38.2%) or 24 (sensitivity 84.8%, positive predictive value 0.8, specificity 48.5%) ensured that most child abuse cases were identified. The high sensitivity indicates that most cases of E and HR child abuse would be correctly identified in MDCC. A welfare plan could then be formulated to protect the child and help the family to prevent further abuse. The low specificity, however, meant that a relatively large number of ‘non–child abuse’ cases could be subject to unnecessary investigations, leading to an increased workload for all parties involved and stress to the family. Nonetheless, a highly sensitive cut-off is important to avoid a false-negative result and missing a genuine case of child abuse that may have serious or even fatal consequences.
 
In a recent death inquest, the importance of risk assessment was strongly emphasised by the coroner.4 The aggregate matrix score offers a reference to alert professionals in handling suspected child abuse cases. A matrix score of >23 calls for increased vigilance and careful planning, especially in situations such as making a decision about hospital discharge before MDCC. Further, because job placements of disciplines such as social work or legal enforcement are often rotation-based rather than long-term specialist-focused, where experience and professional judgement are important cumulative assets, a systematic risk assessment using objective scores serves as a practical tool and as a warning mechanism in abuse handling, especially for the less-experienced professionals.
 
This study has some limitations. In Hong Kong, reported cases of child abuse are only the tip of the iceberg.15 Subjects in this study were hospitalised children in a regional hospital setting, and results of this retrospective study cannot be generalised to the territory. The Fresno model has previously been considered a model with low validity and inter-rater reliability.7 As with other consensus-based risk assessment instruments, the rating of risks in the matrix domains will invariably involve a degree of subjectivity.7 8 This was minimised in this study by our further defining situations with objective measures. For example, for domain 10, intermediate risk was defined as a reported case but subsequently concluded as not an established child abuse case to be followed up by a school social worker or Integrated Family Services Centre. High risk was defined as a history of established child abuse in the past. For domain 14, insufficient income was defined as receipt of Comprehensive Social Security Assistance. Recent change in marital or relationship status was defined as parents in divorce proceedings, child in a custody dispute, or active marital discord causing emotional outbursts. It is hoped that with training and further refining of the matrix contents to fit the local culture, the inter-rater reliability and reproducibility of the Fresno tool can be improved. Nevertheless other risk assessment instruments can also be examined for local use.
 
The social structure and culture of a society keeps changing. Up-to-date studies are required to examine child abuse risk profiles. A prospective multicentre study is valuable for development of a local risk assessment tool. With the implementation of changes in the Procedural Guide for Handling Child Abuse Cases,6 a systematic risk assessment will facilitate investigative procedures and improve safeguarding of vulnerable children.
 
Conclusions
Three matrix risk factors in the Risk Assessment Matrix were significantly associated with child abuse—severity and/or frequency of suspected physical or sexual abuse (Matrix 2), location of injuries (Matrix 4), and strength of family support systems (Matrix 11). Further, other risk factors in the matrix, although not significant in logistic regression analysis, showed good association with child abuse case conference outcomes in univariate analysis. A risk assessment framework facilitates case analysis, and guides decision making and case planning such that appropriate service delivery is ensured. Using the devised scoring system of the referenced Risk Assessment Matrix, an aggregate matrix score of ≥23 should arouse suspicion of all professionals when managing child abuse.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Norman RE, Byambaa M, De R, Butchart A, Scott J, Vos T. The long-term health consequences of child physical abuse, emotional abuse, and neglect: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS Med 2012;9:e1001349. Crossref
2. Gilbert R, Widom CS, Browne K, Fergusson D, Webb E, Janson S. Burden and consequences of child maltreatment in high-income countries. Lancet 2009;373:68-81. Crossref
3. Felitti VJ, Anda RF, Nordenberg D, et al. Relationship of childhood abuse and household dysfunction to many of the leading causes of death in adults. The Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACE) study. Am J Prev Med 1998;14:245-58. Crossref
4. Siu J. Hong Kong government urged to amend guide on handling child abuse in coroner’s case involving death of boy who probably ingested Ice. South China Morning Post 2016 Mar 16.
5. Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System, Hong Kong Hospital Authority. Accessed 16 Nov 2016.
6. Social Welfare Department of the Hong Kong SAR Government. Procedural Guide for Handling Child Abuse Cases 2015. Available from: http://www.swd.gov.hk/en/index/site_pubsvc/page_family/sub_fcwprocedure/id_1447/. Accessed 16 Nov 2016.
7. D’Andrade A, Austin MJ, Benton A. Risk and safety assessment in child welfare: instrument comparisons. J Evid Based Soc Work 2008;5:31-56. Crossref
8. Barlow J, Fisher JD, Jones D. Systematic review of models of analysing significant harm. Research report DFE-RR199. London: Department for Education; 2012.
9. California risk assessment curriculum for child welfare services, CSU Fresno, Child Welfare Training Project. Sponsored and funded by the California State Department of Social Service; 1990.
10. Census and Statistics Department. Population and household statistics analysed by District Council district. Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR Government; 2016.
11. Milner JS. Assessing physical child abuse risk: the child abuse potential inventory. Clin Psychol Rev 1994;14:547-83. Crossref
12. Begle AM, Dumas JE, Hanson RF. Predicting child abuse potential: an empirical investigation of two theoretical frameworks. J Clin Child Adolesc Psychol 2010;39:208-19. Crossref
13. Chan YC, Lam GL, Chun PK, So MT. Confirmatory factor analysis of the Child Abuse Potential Inventory: results based on a sample of Chinese mothers in Hong Kong. Child Abuse Negl 2006;30:1005-16. Crossref
14. Social Welfare Department. Child Protection Registry statistical report 2015. Hong Kong: Hong Kong SAR Government; 2015.
15. Study on child abuse and spouse battering. Report on findings of household survey. Hong Kong SAR: Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong; 2005.
16. Yoon AS. The role of social support in relation to parenting stress and risk of child maltreatment among Asian American immigrant parents [dissertation]. US: University of Pennsylvania; 2013.
17. Brown J, Cohen P, Johnson JG, Salzinger S. A longitudinal analysis of risk factors for child maltreatment: findings of a 17-year prospective study of officially recorded and self-reported child abuse and neglect. Child Abuse Negl 1998;22:1065-78. Crossref
18. Leung PW, Wong WC, Chen WQ, Tang CS. Prevalence and determinants of child maltreatment among high school students in Southern China: a large scale school based survey. Child Adolesc Psychiatry Ment Health 2008;2:27. Crossref
19. Thackeray J, Minneci PC, Cooper JN, Groner JI, Deans KJ. Predictors of increasing injury severity across suspected recurrent episodes of non-accidental trauma: a retrospective cohort study. BMC Pediatr 2016;16:8. Crossref
20. Deans KJ, Thackeray J, Groner JI, Cooper JN, Minneci PC. Risk factors for recurrent injuries in victims of suspected non-accidental trauma: a retrospective cohort study. BMC Pediatr 2014;14:217. Crossref
21. Maguire S. Which injuries may indicate child abuse? Arch Dis Child Educ Pract Ed 2010;95:170-7. Crossref
22. Kemp AM. Abusive head trauma: recognition and the essential investigation. Arch Dis Child Educ Pract Ed 2011;96:202-8. Crossref
23. Chan KL. Study on child-friendly families: Immunity from domestic violence. Hong Kong SAR: Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong; 2008.

Immunoglobulin G4–related disease in Hong Kong: clinical features, treatment practices, and its association with multisystem disease

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Oct;23(5):446–53 | Epub 1 Sep 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj176229
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE  CME
Immunoglobulin G4–related disease in Hong Kong: clinical features, treatment practices, and its association with multisystem disease
Philip H Li, MRes (Med), MRCP (UK)1; KL Ko, MB, BS, MRCP (UK)2; Carmen TK Ho, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; Leah L Lau, MB, BS3; Raymond KY Tsang, MS, FRCSEd(ORL)4; TT Cheung, MS, FRCS (Edin)5; WK Leung, MD, FRCP (Edin, Lond)2; CS Lau, MD, FRCP (Edin, Lond, Glasg)1
1 Division of Rheumatology & Clinical Immunology, Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
2 Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
3 Department of Ear, Nose & Throat, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
4 Division of Otorhinolaryngology – Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
5 Division of Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Department of Surgery, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Philip H Li (philipli@connect.hku.hk)
 
This paper was presented as a poster at the EULAR Annual European Congress of Rheumatology held in Madrid, Spain during 14-17 June 2017.
 
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Immunoglobulin G4–related disease remains an under-recognised and evolving disease. Local data are sparse and previous publications have been limited to individual case reports or case series only. We conducted this study to review the clinical features, treatment practices, and factors associated with multisystem involvement in Hong Kong. We described the clinical features and treatment modalities of the largest cohort of immunoglobulin G4–related disease in our locality thus far.
 
Methods: We retrospectively evaluated all patients with immunoglobulin G4–related disease between January 2003 and December 2015 in Queen Mary Hospital and combined this with patient data extracted from previous local publications. We analysed the clinical features, treatment practices, and factors associated with the number of organ systems involved.
 
Results: A total of 104 patients (55 from Queen Mary Hospital and 49 from literature review) were identified. Patients were predominantly older men (mean [standard deviation] age, 61.9 [12.7] years; male-to-female ratio=3:1) and 94.4% had elevated pre-treatment serum immunoglobulin G4 levels. Hepatobiliary and pancreatic system (40.4%), salivary gland (33.7%), lymph node (29.8%), and eye (19.2%) were the most common organ systems involved. Lymphadenopathy was associated with glucocorticoid use (odds ratio=2.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-6.54; P=0.034). Pre-treatment serum immunoglobulin G4 levels correlated with the number of organ systems involved (β=0.347; P=0.004) and, specifically, more associated with patients having salivary gland involvement than those without (mean, 1109 mg/dL vs 599 mg/dL; P=0.012).
 
Conclusion: We identified pre-treatment serum immunoglobulin G4 to be associated with multisystem disease, especially with salivary gland involvement, highlighting its potential for disease prognostication and monitoring. Increased physician awareness and multidisciplinary efforts are required for early diagnosis and optimal management of this masquerading disease.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Hepatobiliary and pancreatic system, salivary gland, lymph node, and eye were the most common organ systems involved in immunoglobulin (Ig) G4–related disease in Hong Kong.
  • Pre-treatment serum IgG4 levels were associated with salivary gland involvement and multisystem disease.
  • Glucocorticoids were most frequently used, but local experience with other immunomodulatory agents was limited and varied across different centres.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Serum IgG4 should be used for disease prognostication and monitoring of treatment response.
  • Salivary gland involvement should be screened in patients with IgG4-related disease, especially in the presence of higher level of serum IgG4.
  • Future studies on treatment strategies within the contexts of different epidemiology and patient characteristics are urgently needed.
 
 
Introduction
Immunoglobulin (Ig) G4–related disease (IgG4-RD) is a systemic immune-mediated disease unifying what were previously considered to be unrelated individual organ disorders. This characteristic fibroinflammatory condition continues to be increasingly recognised but is still an evolving concept. The disease, IgG4-RD, was first described in 2003 when extra-pancreatic lesions with IgG4-positive plasmacytic infiltration were identified in patients with autoimmune pancreatitis (now known as IgG4-related pancreatitis).1 Involvement of almost every anatomical site has been reported since. In addition to IgG4-related hepatobiliary disease, other examples of previous disease entities now under the diagnostic umbrella of IgG4-RD include Riedel’s thyroiditis, Ormond’s disease (idiopathic retroperitoneal fibrosis), Mikulicz’s disease (lymphoepithelial sialadenitis), Küttner’s tumour (chronic sclerosing sialadenitis), and other ‘idiopathic’ pseudotumours.2 Regardless of the organ involved, patients share similar clinical, serological, and histopathological features.2 3 According to the ‘comprehensive diagnostic criteria for IgG4-RD’, the diagnosis of IgG4-RD is based on the constellation of clinical, serological and, especially, histopathological findings.4 The recommended cut-off value for serum IgG4 level is >135 mg/dL. The characteristic histopathological findings include dense lymphoplasmacytic infiltrates, ‘storiform’ or swirling fibrosis, and obliterative phlebitis. Immunostaining for IgG4 should show >10 IgG4-positive plasma cells per high-power field and an IgG4-positive–to–IgG-positive ratio (IgG4:IgG) plasma cell ratio of >0.4.
 
Despite continued advances in our understanding of the disease and the various multinational guidance now available,4 5 few studies have examined factors to predict disease severity or disease prognostication. The bulk of IgG4-RD–related research originates from Caucasian or Japanese studies, and local regional data are sparse. Publications from Hong Kong have been limited to individual case reports or case series only. In this study, we performed a retrospective review of all our IgG4-RD patients between January 2003 and December 2015. To the best of our knowledge, this is the largest cohort reported in our locality at the time of writing. By combining our data with all other available publications from Hong Kong, we examined the clinical features and treatment practices of IgG4-RD, as well as its clinical factors associated with multisystem involvement.
 
Methods
Retrospective study at Queen Mary Hospital
All available case records of IgG4-RD patients from Queen Mary Hospital—under the care of the Hong Kong West Cluster serving a population of 0.53 million—between January 2003 and December 2015 were reviewed. Cases were identified by the compilation of various databases of multiple specialist divisions (Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Otorhinolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, and Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery), in addition to cluster-wide screening of all patients with laboratory requests for serum IgG4 within the study period. Case records were reviewed according to the ‘comprehensive diagnostic criteria for IgG4-RD’ and all patients with definite, probable, or possible IgG4-RD were recruited.4 In accordance with these criteria, patients could also be diagnosed with a definite diagnosis of IgG4-RD if they fulfilled organ-specific criteria.6
 
All data were extracted from patient records, including sex, age (at onset), organ manifestations, pre-treatment serum IgG4 and IgG levels, pathology reports, and treatment modalities. Organ manifestations were classified into bone, central nervous system (CNS), hepatobiliary and pancreatic (HBP) system, lung, lymph node, eye (including lacrimal gland, extraocular muscles, and other intraorbital involvement), renal system, retroperitoneum, salivary glands (parotid and submandibular glands), and skin/soft tissue involvement. Treatment modalities were classified into surgical intervention (including resection and other mechanical interventions such as biliary or ureteric stenting), use of glucocorticoids (GCs), or other specified immunomodulatory therapy. This study was done in accordance with the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. Clinicians involved in data extraction were unaware of the studied associations.
 
Literature review of existing local publications
We searched PubMed, PubMed Central, and MEDLINE databases without language restrictions from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2016 using the terms ‘Hong Kong’ and ‘immunoglobulin G4’ or ‘IgG4’ or ‘IgG4-related disease’ or ‘IgG4-associated disease’ or ‘IgG4 sclerosing disease’. All patient data available from local IgG4-RD publications were reviewed against the ‘comprehensive diagnostic criteria for IgG4-RD’4 and extracted for analysis. Patients from publications originating from Queen Mary Hospital, who were already present in our database, were excluded. Parallel with the retrospective analysis, data regarding patients’ age, organ manifestations, pre-treatment serum IgG4 and IgG levels, pathology reports, treatment modalities, and medication regimens were recorded. Clinicians involved in data extraction were unaware of the studied associations.
 
Statistical analysis
Potential factors associated with multisystem disease, reflected by the number of involved organ systems, were investigated. Univariate analysis was performed first using the independent samples t-test to compare categorical variables (such as sex) and linear regression was used to compare between continuous variables (such as age). Variables with a P value of ≤0.1 from univariate analysis were included in a multivariate linear regression to determine which were independently associated with the number of involved organ systems. The two-sided Fisher’s exact test was used to evaluate the association between treatment modalities and presence of organ manifestations. A P value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Statistical Package of the Social Sciences (Windows version 20.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US) was used for all analyses. The Venn diagram was created using jvenn.7
 
Results
Demographics, clinical features, and treatment modalities
Between January 2003 and December 2015, a total of 55 patients with IgG4-RD were identified at Queen Mary Hospital. Patients were under the care of a variety of medical and surgical subspecialties, including Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Otorhinolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, and Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, in addition to multidisciplinary care between other departments and disciplines. Baseline demographics, clinical features, and treatment modalities are summarised in Table 1.8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Pre-treatment serum IgG4 level, total IgG level, and IgG4:IgG ratio were available for 48, 43, and 43 patients, respectively. A total of 46/48 (95.8%) patients had a serum IgG4 level of >135 mg/dL, and 39/43 (90.7%) patients had a IgG4:IgG ratio of >8%. Of the 55 patients, 40 (72.7%) had histopathological confirmation, of which 32 samples had immunohistochemical staining with anti-IgG4 monoclonal antibodies. All treatment modalities were primarily used for the treatment of IgG4-RD except for one patient who was treated with COPP chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide, vincristine, procarbazine, and prednisone) because of concomitant lymphoma. Of the patients, 19 (34.5%) underwent surgical treatment, including sialoadenectomy (n=7), pancreaticoduodenectomy (n=6), orbitotomy (n=2), cholecystectomy (n=2), and excision of musculoskeletal lesions (n=2).
 

Table 1. Comparison of immunoglobulin G4–related disease cohorts from Hong Kong,8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Beijing (Mainland China),19 Massachusetts (US),20 and Milan (Italy)21
 
We identified an additional 49 IgG4-RD patients from 11 published case reports and case series from Hong Kong.8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Only those reporting pre-treatment serum IgG4 and IgG levels were included in our study. Treatment modalities were not reported in four patients. A summary of patient demographics, clinical features, and treatment modalities is shown in Table 2.8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
 

Table 2. Characteristics and treatment of 49 patients with immunoglobulin G4–related disease in Hong Kong based on literature review8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
 
As a result, a total of 104 patients were identified from Queen Mary Hospital and literature review. For patients with pre-treatment results available, 68/72 (94.4%) patients had a serum IgG4 level of >135 mg/dL, and 58/63 (92.1%) patients had an IgG4:IgG ratio of >8%. A summary of the demographics, clinical features, and treatment modalities in comparison to other cohorts is shown in Table 1.8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 The most common organ systems involved were HBP system (40.4%), salivary gland (33.7%), lymph node (29.8%), and eye (19.2%). A Venn diagram of these most common involved systems from the combined cohort is shown in the Figure.
 

Figure. Venn diagram of the four most commonly involved organ systems (n=89)
 
Treatment practices: associations between organ manifestations and treatment modalities
The associations between various organ manifestations and treatment modalities are shown in Table 3. Lymphadenopathy was associated with GC use (odds ratio [OR]=2.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-6.54; P=0.034). Involvement of CNS was negatively associated with GC use (OR=0.12; 95% CI, 0.01-1.05; P=0.044).
 

Table 3. Associations between organ manifestations and treatment modalities
 
Associations of serum immunoglobulin G4 with multisystem disease and specific organ manifestations
Age, sex, pre-treatment serum IgG4, total IgG, and IgG4:IgG ratio were used in univariate analysis. Both age (P=0.021) and pre-treatment serum IgG4 levels (P=0.020) significantly correlated with the number of involved organ systems in univariate analysis. Other variables did not reach statistical significance (data not shown). Only pre-treatment serum IgG4 levels remained statistically significant in subsequent multivariate analysis (β=0.347; P=0.004). For specific organ manifestations, pre-treatment serum IgG4 level was more associated with patients having salivary gland involvement than those without (mean, 1109 mg/dL vs 599 mg/dL; P=0.012). No associations of serum IgG4 with other organ manifestations were found (P>0.1; data not shown).
 
Discussion
In this study, we describe the clinical features and treatment practices of the largest cohort of IgG4-RD in our locality. After combination of our patients with all other published cases of IgG4-RD from Hong Kong, we analysed 104 cases comprising predominantly older men (mean age, 62 ± 13 years; male-to-female ratio=3:1), which is consistent with other reports.19 20 21 22 Over 95% of patients had serum IgG4 level of >135 mg/dL and an IgG4:IgG ratio of >8%. Although these cut-offs are often quoted in the diagnostic criteria for IgG4-RD,4 23 it is important to note that elevated serum IgG4 levels can be seen in a variety of other conditions such as malignancies, infections, or autoimmune disorders. Serum IgG4 level and IgG4:IgG ratio alone have poor specificity and low positive predictive value. The specificity and positive predictive value of serum IgG4 and IgG4:IgG ratio have been reported to be approximately only 0.6 and 0.3, respectively.24 Of note, 4/72 (5.6%) of our patients with biopsy-proven IgG4-RD had normal serum IgG4 levels (ie false negatives). The gold standard for diagnosis of IgG4-RD in most cases therefore remains biopsy with histopathological confirmation. Over 70% of patients in Queen Mary Hospital had positive histopathological confirmation, in comparison to 54.2% in a large Mainland Chinese cohort.19 Although this proportion increased to 81.7% in the combined analysis, this could be an overestimation of real clinical practice with potential publication and selection bias from literature review. Similar to other reported populations, HBP system, salivary gland, lymph node, and eye were the most common organ systems involved in both Queen Mary Hospital and the combined analysis. Although involvement of HBP system seemed more prevalent in the Queen Mary Hospital and Mainland China cohorts, the rate of HBP involvement is similar to other studies dedicated to IgG4-related hepatobiliary disease (approximately 40%-60%).25
 
We also examined the treatment practices employed in our locality. Treatment of IgG4-RD is typically individualised because of substantial disease heterogeneity—even subclinical disease can lead to irreversible organ damage and not all manifestations require immediate treatment. For example, a watchful ‘wait and see’ approach may be an appropriate option for mild disease or after surgical debulking. However, there is currently no high-quality evidence-based guidance for the management of IgG4-RD and practices often vary significantly across different countries. In the combined analysis, GCs were the most popular treatment option and over half of the patients had received GCs either alone or in combination with other treatment modalities. In the combined analysis, use of GCs was significantly associated with lymphadenopathy, which may reflect their preferential use, especially in patients with systemic involvement. This is consistent with the general consensus and recommendations made by most experts because of their good initial efficacy.26 The opposite was seen with an inverse association between CNS involvement and GC use. This was expected because most of these patients with CNS involvement had localised disease and the diagnosis of IgG4-RD was not readily established prior to surgical resection. Only one case was diagnosed by open brain biopsy and subsequently treated with GCs and thalidomide.9
 
Local experience with other immunomodulatory agents was limited and choices for steroid-sparing agents varied between different centres. Conventional agents such as azathioprine, cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, mycophenolate, and tacrolimus have all demonstrated similar efficacy, although head-to-head comparisons are not available.27 B-cell depletion with rituximab has also gained much popularity in recent years and proven to be effective as induction and maintenance therapy, even without concomitant GCs.27 28 Nonetheless, we were unaware of any published experience with its use for IgG4-RD in Hong Kong at the time of writing. The advent of this ground-breaking treatment will likely require multidisciplinary expertise as well as further research, especially in the context of the high prevalence of chronic hepatitis B infection and subsequent risk of viral reactivation in Hong Kong.
 
Finally, we also recommend the utility of pre-treatment serum IgG4 in disease prognostication and treatment monitoring. Pre-treatment serum IgG4 levels (but not IgG4:IgG ratios) significantly correlated with the number of organ systems involved. The correlation with age did not remain statistically significant after multivariate regression. Interestingly, Wallace et al20 also described elevated serum IgG4 levels associated with both age and number of organs involved, but analysis with multivariate regression was not reported in their study. Specifically, serum IgG4 levels also correlated with salivary gland involvement, but not with other individual organ systems. The reason for this particular correlation remains uncertain, but highlights the importance of screening for salivary gland involvement in all IgG4-RD patients, especially in the presence of higher serum IgG4 levels.
 
The main limitations of this study included its retrospective nature and restrictions of literature review. Limited clinical data were available and we were unable to determine or standardise for the disease duration of each patient. There were substantial missing data for some key variables, reducing the effective number of patients suitable for analysis. The nature of a literature review also harbours risk of publication or selection bias, although it was reassuring that findings from the combined analysis were similar to those obtained from Queen Mary Hospital. Some indefinite findings, such as lower prevalence of renal involvement, highlight the necessity of future prospective and multicentre studies. Specifically, we advocate the need for more uniform international diagnostic criteria and the establishment of a region-wide registry with longitudinal data collection.
 
In conclusion, we found that pre-treatment serum IgG4 significantly correlated with the number of organ systems involved, highlighting its potential for disease prognostication and guiding treatment. We also describe the clinical characteristics, treatment practices, and factors associated with multisystem disease in IgG4-RD in Hong Kong. There is vast disease and patient heterogeneity, making local research and expertise exchange imperative. Increased physician awareness and a multidisciplinary approach will be required for early diagnosis and optimal management of this masquerading disease. Further studies, especially focusing on treatment strategies within the contexts of different epidemiology and patient characteristics, are urgently needed.
 
Acknowledgements
Dr Rex Au-Yeung (Department of Pathology, Queen Mary Hospital) reviewed the histology available from patients diagnosed with IgG4-RD under the care of the Hong Kong West Cluster. The authors thank the Shun Tak District Min Yuen Tong (MYT) of Hong Kong for their generous donations to support the work on clinical immunology and rheumatology; MYT had no role in the design of the study; collection, analysis, or interpretation of the data; writing, review, or approval of the manuscript; or the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Kamisawa T, Funata N, Hayashi Y, et al. A new clinicopathological entity of IgG4-related autoimmune disease. J Gastroenterol 2003;38:982-4. Crossref
2. Stone JH, Khosroshahi A, Deshpande V, et al. Recommendations for the nomenclature of IgG4-related disease and its individual organ system manifestations. Arthritis Rheum 2012;64:3061-7. Crossref
3. Carruthers MN, Stone JH, Khosroshahi A. The latest on IgG4-RD: a rapidly emerging disease. Curr Opin Rheumatol 2012;24:60-9. Crossref
4. Umehara H, Okazaki K, Masaki Y, et al. Comprehensive diagnostic criteria for IgG4-related disease (IgG4-RD), 2011. Mod Rheumatol 2012;22:21-30. Crossref
5. Deshpande V, Zen Y, Chan JK, et al. Consensus statement on the pathology of IgG4-related disease. Mod Pathol 2012;25:1181-92. Crossref
6. Umehara H, Okazaki K, Nakamura T, et al. Current approach to the diagnosis of IgG4-related disease—combination of comprehensive diagnostic and organ-specific criteria. Mod Rheumatol 2017;27:381-91. Crossref
7. Bardou P, Mariette J, Escudié F, Djemiel C, Klopp C. jvenn: An interactive Venn diagram viewer. BMC Bioinformatics 2014;15:293. Crossref
8. Wong S, Lam WY, Wong WK, Lee KC. Hypophysitis presented as inflammatory pseudotumor in immunoglobulin G4-related systemic disease. Hum Pathol 2007;38:1720-3. Crossref
9. Lui PC, Fan YS, Wong SS, et al. Inflammatory pseudotumors of the central nervous system. Hum Pathol 2009;40:1611-7. Crossref
10. Chan SK, Cheuk W, Chan KT, Chan JK. IgG4-related sclerosing pachymeningitis: a previously unrecognized form of central nervous system involvement in IgG4-related sclerosing disease. Am J Surg Pathol 2009;33:1249-52. Crossref
11. Cheuk W, Chan AC, Lam WL, et al. IgG4-related sclerosing mastitis: description of a new member of the IgG4-related sclerosing diseases. Am J Surg Pathol 2009;33:1058-64. Crossref
12. Cheuk W, Lee KC, Chong LY, Yuen ST, Chan JK. IgG4-related sclerosing disease: a potential new etiology of cutaneous pseudolymphoma. Am J Surg Pathol 2009;33:1713-9. Crossref
13. Cheuk W, Tam FK, Chan AN, et al. Idiopathic cervical fibrosis—a new member of IgG4-related sclerosing diseases: report of 4 cases, 1 complicated by composite lymphoma. Am J Surg Pathol 2010;34:1678-85. Crossref
14. Cheuk W, Yuen HK, Chan AC, et al. Ocular adnexal lymphoma associated with IgG4+ chronic sclerosing dacryoadenitis: a previously undescribed complication of IgG4-related sclerosing disease. Am J Surg Pathol 2008;32:1159-67. Crossref
15. Cheuk W, Yuen HK, Chu SY, Chiu EK, Lam LK, Chan JK. Lymphadenopathy of IgG4-related sclerosing disease. Am J Surg Pathol 2008;32:671-81. Crossref
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Intravenous lignocaine infusion facilitates acute rehabilitation after laparoscopic colectomy in the Chinese patients

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Oct;23(5):441–5 | Epub 27 Jan 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj164984
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Intravenous lignocaine infusion facilitates acute rehabilitation after laparoscopic colectomy in the Chinese patients
Matthew WH Lee, MB, ChB1; Debriel YL Or, FHKAM (Anaesthesiology)2; Alex CF Tsang, FHKAM (Surgery)3; Dennis CK Ng, FHKAM (Surgery)3; PP Chen, FHKAM (Anaesthesiology)2; Michael HY Cheung, FHKAM (Surgery)3; Raymond SK Li, FHKAM (Surgery)3; HT Leong, FHKAM (Surgery)3
1 Department of Orthopaedics, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Jordan, Hong Kong
2 Department of Anaesthesiology and Operating Service, North District Hospital, Sheung Shui, Hong Kong
3 Department of Surgery, North District Hospital, Sheung Shui, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Alex CF Tsang (alextsang81@yahoo.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Intravenous infusion of lignocaine has emerged in recent years as a feasible, cost-effective, and safe method to provide postoperative analgesia. There is, however, no literature about this perioperative pain control modality in Chinese patients. This study aimed to determine whether perioperative intravenous lignocaine safely reduces postoperative pain, shortens postoperative ileus, and reduces the length of hospital stay in laparoscopic colorectal surgery.
 
Methods: Between September 2012 and May 2015, 16 patients who underwent elective laparoscopic resection of colorectal cancer and received a 1% lignocaine infusion for 24 hours postoperatively were studied. After surgery, categorical pain scores were obtained immediately, followed by hourly pain scores at rest. Pain scores at rest and with mobilisation, and patient satisfaction score were documented on postoperative day 1. Return of bowel function was measured by time of first flatus and bowel opening. The patient’s rehabilitation was assessed by time taken to tolerate diet, full mobilisation, and length of hospital stay.
 
Results: The median (interquartile range) self-reported pain scores at 2 hours and 6 hours after surgery were 1.5 (0-4) and 2 (0-3), respectively. The median pain scores at rest and mobilisation on postoperative day 1 were 1 (0-2.5) and 2 (2.5-5), respectively, with a median satisfaction score of 7.5 (7-9). The median times to first flatus and first bowel opening were 21 (18-35) hours and 3 (1-3) days, respectively. No patient had postoperative ileus. The median times to tolerating diet and mobilisation were 1 (1-1) day and 2 (2-3) days, respectively. The median postoperative stay was 6 (5-8) days.
 
Conclusions: Intravenous lignocaine is a safe and effective postoperative analgesic in a Chinese population. It enhances the rehabilitation process for patients following laparoscopic resection of colorectal cancer.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • This is the first case series in Hong Kong to show that intravenous lignocaine infusion is safe in a Chinese population as postoperative analgesia. Clinical safety and effectiveness was positive in this study.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Intravenous infusion of lignocaine can help to enhance postoperative recovery for patients following laparoscopic resection of colorectal cancer. Large-scale structured studies should be carried out to confirm these findings.
 
 
Introduction
Over the past couple of decades, there has been a move towards fast-track surgery designed to reduce postoperative morbidities and length of hospital stay.1 Laparoscopic methods for colonic surgery have accelerated postoperative recovery by reducing the time required for bowel function recovery and enhancing postoperative mobilisation.2 Postoperative ileus, however, remains a common reason for prolonged hospital stay following major abdominal surgery. Although its pathophysiology is multifactorial, use of opioids as postoperative analgesia is thought to contribute to the problem.3 4 Therefore, safe and effective postoperative pain control with minimal use of opioids is essential to enhance recovery.5
 
The advantages of continuous infusion of thoracic epidural analgesia (TEA) compared with intravenous (IV) patient-controlled analgesia with opioid have been studied. The results show that TEA significantly improves early analgesia requirement following laparoscopic colectomy with an opioid-sparing effect. Nonetheless TEA is associated with other adverse reactions such as urinary retention, hypotension, epidural haematoma, and abscess formation.6 Intravenous infusion of lignocaine has emerged in recent years as a feasible, cost-effective, and safe method to provide postoperative analgesia.7 Recent randomised controlled trials have shown that the combined analgesic, anti-inflammatory, and antihyperalgesic properties of IV lignocaine improve outcomes and shorten hospital stay following colorectal surgery.8 There is level I (PRISMA: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) evidence that IV lignocaine infusions are opioid-sparing and significantly reduce pain scores at rest and during activity, nausea, vomiting, duration of ileus after abdominal surgery, and length of hospital stay. Peri-operative IV administration of lignocaine also has a preventive analgesic effect following a wide range of operations.9 10 11
 
Currently there is no literature about this perioperative pain control modality in the Chinese patients. In the following account, we present a case series of Chinese patients who underwent laparoscopic colorectal surgery and received a peri-operative IV lignocaine infusion.
 
Methods
We reviewed cases of patients who underwent elective laparoscopic resection of colorectal cancer and received a lignocaine infusion as postoperative analgesia between September 2012 and May 2015 at North District Hospital in Hong Kong. This study aimed to determine whether postoperative IV lignocaine infusion would provide adequate analgesia, shorten the duration of postoperative ileus, reduce postoperative complications, enhance rehabilitation, and shorten hospital stay. This study was done in accordance with the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki.
 
Anaesthesia
All patients were assessed preoperatively by an anaesthetist to exclude any contra-indications to use of IV lignocaine. Routine consent for anaesthesia was obtained with clear choices offered for postoperative analgesia and the relevant risks explained to the patient. The choices for postoperative analgesia included epidural analgesia, IV lignocaine infusion, and IV patient-controlled analgesia with morphine. Intravenous lignocaine was offered when patients refused or were contra-indicated for epidural analgesia. If patients were not suitable for either epidural analgesia or IV lignocaine, IV patient-controlled analgesia with morphine was offered. The anaesthetic technique was standardised for all patients.
 
All patients received an IV bolus injection of lignocaine 1.5 mg/kg over 20 minutes on induction followed by a continuous infusion of 1.5 mg/kg/h intra-operatively. The 1% lignocaine infusion was continued at a rate of 1 mg/kg/h for 24 hours postoperatively, delivered through a GemStar infusion device with the fixed calculated dose set up by the case anaesthetist. For safety reasons, the lignocaine infusion was connected to a dedicated IV line to avoid accidental bolus administration. General anaesthesia was induced with fentanyl 1-2 µg/kg, propofol 2-3 mg/kg, and cisatracurium 0.15-0.2 mg/kg for intubation. Anaesthesia was maintained with oxygen in room air or nitrous oxide and isoflurane or sevoflurane at an end-tidal anaesthetic concentration of approximately 1 minimal alveolar concentration. Ketorolac 15-30 mg was administered on induction if not contra-indicated clinically. Intravenous tramadol 50-100 mg and morphine was used intra-operatively for analgesia as decided by the list anaesthetist. Wound infiltration of local anaesthetic, 0.25% levobupivacaine 20 mL, was administered by the surgeon at the end of surgery.
 
Surgical procedure
Patients who had colorectal cancer and underwent elective laparoscopic colorectal resection were recruited into the study. All patients had colorectal cancer but the surgical procedure performed depended on the location of the tumour and the international standard. The surgeries included: laparoscopic right hemicolectomy (n=2), laparoscopic left hemicolectomy (n=3), laparoscopic sigmoidectomy (n=5), laparoscopic anterior resection of rectum (n=1), laparoscopic lower anterior resection with total mesorectal excision and stoma formation (n=4), and laparoscopic abdominoperineal resection (n=1). All patients had four to five small incisions for the laparoscopic procedure together with one larger 6- to 8-cm abdominal incision for specimen retrieval. For the patient with laparoscopic abdominoperineal resection, a larger wound for specimen retrieval was made over the perineal region instead of the abdomen.
 
Postoperative analgesia
All patients were prescribed regular oral paracetamol 500 mg to 1 g 3 to 4 times per day. Regular oral diclofenac SR 100 mg daily for 3 days was prescribed if not contra-indicated. As required, IV tramadol 50 mg every 6 to 8 hours was given if pain was not adequately controlled. Rescue subcutaneous morphine was prescribed in the protocol for severe uncontrolled pain.
 
Outcome measures
All postoperative data were collected prospectively. The acute pain service and ward nurses followed the clinical plan that was devised by both the surgical and pain team.
 
After surgery, a categorical pain score (divided into none, mild, moderate, or severe pain) was obtained immediately in the postoperative care unit by recovery nurses. After the patient was discharged to the ward, pain scores were obtained by ward nurses on a numerical rating scale at rest hourly for 24 hours until lignocaine infusion was stopped. Patients would be reviewed by acute pain management team before lignocaine infusion was stopped and pain scores on postoperative day 1 were obtained at rest and during mobilisation. The numerical rating scale scored pain from 0 to 10 with 0 being no pain and 10 being the worst pain imaginable. Pain scores are continuous variables and are presented as median (interquartile range [IQR]) scores against time. Patient satisfaction score from 0 to 10 was also assessed by the acute pain management team. The presence of nausea, vomiting, dizziness, and other possible side-effects was documented. Intra-operative and postoperative analgesic consumption was recorded. All patients were monitored by cardiac monitor intra-operatively by anaesthetists and postoperatively in the recovery room by nurses. When patients were discharged to the ward, they were monitored for the next 24 hours until the end of IV lignocaine infusion with vital signs recorded every hour, including blood pressure, pulse, saturation, and continuous cardiac monitoring. There was no recorded cardiac arrhythmia event noted for any patient.
 
Return of bowel function was assessed by calculating the time from end of surgery to the passage of first flatus and first bowel opening. Postoperative rehabilitation was assessed by the time taken to tolerate diet and achieve full mobilisation and the length of hospital stay. These data are expressed as median (IQR) scores.
 
Results
Sixteen patients were studied with a mean (± standard deviation) age of 66 ± 10 years. All were classified as American Society of Anesthesiologists grade I to III. Demographic data and duration of surgery are shown in Table 1.
 

Table 1. Demographic data and duration of surgery of the patients (n=16)
 
During IV lignocaine infusion, four patients experienced nausea, one vomited, and two complained of mild dizziness. No serious adverse reactions were reported. All patients tolerated and completed the infusion of lignocaine.
 
In the postoperative care unit, most patients experienced none or mild pain. Only one patient complained of severe pain and required a fentanyl bolus for rescue analgesia. The self-reported pain scores are shown in Table 2. In addition to regular paracetamol, five patients requested IV tramadol for rescue analgesia in the first 24 hours postoperatively; these patients received tramadol 50-150 mg. No patient requested morphine during the first 24 hours postoperatively. Of the 16 patients, 11 showed overall satisfaction with the analgesia with median satisfaction score of 7.5 (7-9).
 

Table 2. Self-reported pain scores
 
As seen in Table 3, the median times to first flatus and first bowel opening in the postoperative period were 21 (18-35) hours and 3 (1-3) days, respectively. The median times to tolerating diet and mobilisation were 1 (1-1) day and 2 (2-3) days, respectively. No patient had postoperative ileus. Only one patient had acute retention of urine that delayed discharge from hospital. Three other patients had a prolonged hospital stay due to social problems.
 

Table 3. Outcome measures
 
There was no documented postoperative arrhythmia for any patient.
 
Discussion
Although this is a small case-series review, we have shown that lignocaine infusion is a safe and feasible means of postoperative pain control for patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal resection. There was no major or serious adverse reaction such as cardiac arrhythmia during the lignocaine infusion. We also demonstrated that lignocaine infusion provided effective analgesia over the first 24 hours with acceptable pain score, low rescue opioid consumption, and good patient satisfaction score. Our results are consistent with the literature. Harvey et al12 observed that pain scores were decreased when a lignocaine infusion was administered compared with a group who received IV infusion of normal saline. Kaba et al13 also demonstrated that their lignocaine group required 50% less opioid during the first 24 hours postoperatively. Similar results were reported in other randomised controlled trials demonstrating that IV lignocaine has an opioid-sparing effect as an adjuvant analgesic.7 14 A recent meta-analysis by McCarthy et al15 examined the overall efficacy of IV lignocaine on postoperative analgesia and recovery from surgery in patients undergoing various surgical procedures. It concluded that IV lignocaine infusion in the perioperative period has clear advantages in patients undergoing abdominal surgery in terms of both pain control and bowel motility.
 
Our study also observed that IV lignocaine resulted in rapid recovery of bowel function and mobilisation. The median time for return of flatus and ability to tolerate an oral diet was within 24 hours. The median (IQR) time for bowel opening was 3 (1-3) days. These results are similar to the findings of Kaba et al13 who showed that lignocaine infusion improved postoperative bowel function. In that study, defaecation occurred almost 1 day earlier in the lignocaine group compared with the group who received normal saline. The reasons for postoperative ileus are multifactorial, including use of opioid analgesia, the sympathetic response, and visceral inflammatory response resulting from surgery.16 A lignocaine infusion may shorten the time to bowel opening by decreasing opioid use, limiting the inflammatory response, and having a direct inhibitory effect on the sympathetic nervous system of the mesenteric nervous plexus resulting in enhanced bowel contractility.17
 
A meta-analysis showed that continuous IV administration of lignocaine significantly reduces the length of hospital stay when compared with controls.17 In our study, however, the median hospital stay was 6 days, similar to our usual experience. We are evaluating the possible reasons for the lack of impact on hospital stay. One of the reasons may be related to patient expectations and preference for a longer hospital stay after major surgery. Another possible reason is the similar rehabilitation care pathway for the two groups of patients that when strictly followed tended to negate the advantages of IV lignocaine.
 
Conclusions
This review shows promising results demonstrating that IV lignocaine is a safe and effective postoperative analgesia in a Chinese population. It also provides comparable outcomes to those reported worldwide that postoperative lignocaine can provide a beneficial rehabilitation effect for patients who have undergone laparoscopic colorectal surgery. This provides a good platform from which to design a randomised controlled trial in the Chinese population.
 
Declaration
The authors declared no conflicts of interest in this study.
 
References
1. Kehlet H, Dahl JB. Anaesthesia, surgery, and challenges in postoperative recovery. Lancet 2003;362:1921-8. Crossref
2. Reza MM, Blasco JA, Andradas E, Cantero R, Mayol J. Systematic review of laparoscopic versus open surgery for colorectal cancer. Br J Surg 2006;93:921-8. Crossref
3. Baig MK, Wexner SD. Postoperative ileus: a review. Dis Colon Rectum 2004;47:516-26. Crossref
4. Taguchi A, Sharma N, Saleem RM, et al. Selective postoperative inhibition of gastrointestinal opioid receptors. N Engl J Med 2001;345:935-40. Crossref
5. Kuhry E, Schwenk W, Gaupset R, Romild U, Bonjer J. Long-term outcome of laparoscopic surgery for colorectal cancer: a cochrane systematic review of randomized controlled trials. Cancer Treat Rev 2008;34:498-504. Crossref
6. Senagore AJ, Delaney CP, Mekhail N, Dugan A, Fazio VW. Randomized clinical trial comparing epidural anaesthesia and patient-controlled analgesia after laparoscopic segmental colectomy. Br J Surg 2003;90:1195-9. Crossref
7. Koppert W, Weigand M, Neumann F, et al. Perioperative intravenous lidocaine has preventive effects on postoperative pain and morphine consumption after major abdominal surgery. Anesth Analg 2004;98:1050-5. Crossref
8. Herroeder S, Pecher S, Schönherr ME, et al. Systemic lidocaine shortens length of hospital stay after colorectal surgery: a double-blinded, randomized, placebo-controlled trial. Ann Surg 2007;246:192-200. Crossref
9. Vigneault L, Turgeon AF, Côté D, et al. Perioperative intravenous lignocaine infusion for postoperative pain control: a meta-analysis of randomized control trials. Can J Anaesth 2011;58:22-37. Crossref
10. Sun Y, Li T, Wang N, Yun Y, Gan TJ. Perioperative systemic lidocaine for postoperative analgesia and recovery after abdominal surgery: a meta-analysis of randomized control trials. Dis Colon Rectum 2012;55:1183-94. Crossref
11. Barreveld A, Witte J, Chahal H, Durieux ME, Strichartz G. Preventive analgesia by local anesthetics: the reduction of postoperative pain by peripheral nerve blocks and intravenous drugs. Anesth Analg 2013;116:1141-61. Crossref
12. Harvey KP, Adair JD, Isho M, Robinson R. Can intravenous lidocaine decrease postsurgical ileus and shorten hospital stay in elective bowel surgery? A pilot study and literature review. Am J Surg 2009;198:231-6. Crossref
13. Kaba A, Laurent SR, Detroz BJ, et al. Intravenous lidocaine infusion facilitates acute rehabilitation after laparoscopic colectomy. Anesthesiology 2007;106:11-8. Crossref
14. Groudine SB, Fisher HA, Kaufman RP Jr, et al. Intravenous lidocaine speeds the return of bowel function, decreases postoperative pain, and shortens hospital stay in patients undergoing radical retropubic prostatectomy. Anesth Analg 1998;86:235-9. Crossref
15. McCarthy GC, Megalla SA, Habib AS. Impact of intravenous lidocaine infusion on postoperative analgesia and recovery from surgery: a systematic review of randomized controlled trials. Drugs 2010;70:1149-63. Crossref
16. Luckey A, Livingston E, Taché Y. Mechanisms and treatment of postoperative ileus. Arch Surg 2003;138:206-14. Crossref
17. Marret E, Rolin M, Beaussier M, Bonnet F. Meta-analysis of intravenous lidocaine and postoperative recovery after abdominal surgery. Br J Surg 2008;95:1331-8. Crossref

Predictive factors for length of hospital stay following primary total knee replacement in a total joint replacement centre in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Oct;23(5):435–40 | Epub 4 Aug 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj166113
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Predictive factors for length of hospital stay following primary total knee replacement in a total joint replacement centre in Hong Kong
CK Lo, MB, BS; QJ Lee, FHKCOS, FHKAM (Orthopaedic Surgery); YC Wong, FHKCOS, FHKAM (Orthopaedic Surgery)
Joint Replacement Centre, Yan Chai Hospital, Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr CK Lo (lpluswck@live.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: The demand for total knee replacement in Hong Kong places tremendous economic burden on our health care system. Shortening hospital stay reduces the associated cost. The aim of this study was to identify perioperative predictors of length of hospital stay following primary total knee replacement performed at a high-volume centre in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: We retrospectively reviewed all primary total knee replacements performed at Yan Chai Hospital Total Joint Replacement Centre from October 2011 to October 2015. Perioperative factors that might influence length of stay were recorded.
 
Results: A total of 1622 patients were identified. The mean length of hospital stay was 6.8 days. Predictors of prolonged hospital stay following primary total knee replacement were advanced age; American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status class 3; bilateral total knee replacement; in-patient complications; and the need for blood transfusion, postoperative intensive care unit admission, and urinary catheterisation.
 
Conclusions: Evaluating factors that can predict length of hospital stay is the starting point to improve our current practice in joint replacement surgery. Prediction of high-risk patients who will require a longer hospitalisation enables proactive discharge planning.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Advanced age; American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status class 3; bilateral operation; in-patient complications; and the need for blood transfusion, postoperative intensive care unit admission, and urinary catheterisation were predictors for length of hospital stay after primary total knee replacement.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Prediction of high-risk patients who will require longer hospitalisation based on perioperative factors enables proactive discharge planning.
  • Establishment of a urinary catheterisation protocol might help to shorten hospital stay following primary total knee replacement.
 
 
Introduction
With a rising incidence of degenerative arthritis in our ageing population, together with an increase in popularity of joint replacement surgery, the demand for total knee replacement (TKR) is expected to grow in Hong Kong.1 This places a tremendous economic burden on our health care system. The associated cost of hospital stay can be reduced by shortening the length of hospital stay (LOS). With more than 3000 TKRs performed in public hospitals in Hong Kong each year,2 and given the cost per in-patient day of HK$4000, shortening the LOS by 1 day could save HK$12 million every year. Identification of factors that extend hospital stay, which is a starting point for reducing LOS, can reduce the financial burden on the health care system.
 
The aim of this study was to identify perioperative predictors of LOS following primary TKR in a high-volume centre in Hong Kong.
 
Methods
All patients admitted for primary TKR from October 2011 (when the Joint Replacement Centre in Yan Chai Hospital in Hong Kong was established) to October 2015 were included in the study. Data of patients were collected retrospectively from the Clinical Management System of the Hospital Authority. The study was approved by the Kowloon West Cluster Research Ethics Committee.
 
Patients who undergo TKR in our centre attend a preadmission clinic 1 month before operation for their preoperative work-up and anaesthetic assessment, and to be given information by surgeons and a specialised nurse about the procedure, rehabilitation, and benefits and complications of TKR. Patients were admitted on the day of surgery or earlier for medical optimisation or social reasons. All operations were performed by or under the supervision of a joint surgeon who adopted a medial parapatellar approach and used a variety of cemented implants. A tourniquet was applied and the patella was routinely resurfaced. A standardised clinical pathway of postoperative monitoring, investigations, mobilisation, and anticoagulation was applied in all patients (Fig 1). Physiotherapy was commenced on the first postoperative day and continued daily until discharge. Patients were cleared for discharge when medically stable, walking independently, and functionally able to return to their home environment. Independent walking was defined as walking stably without assistance from another person with or without a walking aid.
 

Figure 1. Clinical pathway for patients undergoing total knee replacement
 
The primary outcome measure of the study was LOS, defined as the number of days in hospital from the day of surgery to the day of discharge. The following factors were analysed: age; gender; body mass index (BMI); American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification; type of operation (unilateral versus bilateral TKR); preoperative haemoglobin level; in-patient complications; and requirement for postoperative transfusion, drain insertion, postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) care, and urinary catheterisation for postoperative urinary retention. Because the ASA classification has only been documented in the Clinical Management System since August 2014, such information could be retrieved for only 467 patients in this study.
 
The LOS ranged from 3 to 46 days. Since the distribution was highly skewed, a non-parametric approach was used in the analysis. A univariate analysis for all the studied predictive factors was first performed. Mann-Whitney test was used to analyse categorical variables. These included gender, BMI, ASA classification, type of operation, in-patient complications, drain insertion, postoperative ICU care, and urinary catheterisation. Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient was used to analyse continuous variables including age, preoperative haemoglobin level, and blood transfusion. Following univariate analysis, significant predictive factors were subjected to multivariable linear regression analysis to test the effect of each significant factor after adjusting for the others. A P value of ≤0.05 was considered statistically significant.
 
Results
A total of 1622 patients were reviewed in this study. Patients who received total hip replacement and revision total knee replacement in our centre were excluded. The mean (range) and median LOS were 6.8 (3-46) days and 6 days, respectively. The Table shows the categories for each predictive factor, the number of patients in each category, the mean LOS for each category, and the P values for univariate and multivariate analysis.
 

Table. Predictors of length of hospital stay after primary total knee replacement
 
Age; ASA class; type of operation; preoperative haemoglobin level; in-patient complications; requirement for blood transfusion, drain insertion, postoperative ICU care, and urinary catheterisation were significant predictive factors in the univariate analysis. When these significant factors were adjusted for the effect of the other factors using multiple linear regression, only advanced age; ASA class 3; bilateral TKR; in-patient complications; and the need for blood transfusion, postoperative ICU care, and urinary catheterisation remained significant.
 
Discussion
Several studies of LOS in a Caucasian population have been published, but the study samples were usually highly heterogeneous and included patients with total hip as well as unicompartmental knee replacement.3 4 This is the first study to exclusively examine the LOS following TKR in a Chinese population. We believe both cultural-specific patient factors and the unique hospital setting in Hong Kong significantly influence LOS. Identifying the predictive factors in our own population is important to reduce LOS and the associated cost. Factors that have been shown in previous studies to have an influence include age,5 gender,5 ASA class,6 type of surgery,7 requirement for blood transfusion,8 and in-patient complications.8 9 Data for the influence of BMI7 8 10 and preoperative haemoglobin level3 8 11 are equivocal. We also studied factors not previously examined including the need for drain insertion, postoperative ICU admission, and Foley catheterisation due to urinary retention.
 
This study confirmed other previously reported risk factors for longer LOS. Age and ASA class were expected to be predictors of LOS and were significant in many other studies.3 4 5 6 Classification of ASA physical status is a measurement of the patient’s co-morbidity and general fitness. Patients with advanced age and decreased physical fitness will find the required intensive rehabilitation difficult and thus require a longer hospital stay.
 
The rehabilitation necessary after TKR is demanding and can account for the longer LOS required following bilateral TKR.7 Patients who require bilateral TKR have sequential TKRs performed in a single anaesthetic session. In our study, the mean LOS is 1.37 days longer in such patients. Most patients with degenerative arthritis have disease affecting both knees. Patients who undergo unilateral TKR commonly request TKR for the other side due to significant improvement of symptoms on the operated side. The combined LOS for two admissions is obviously longer than that for a single admission for bilateral TKR. Several previous studies have demonstrated a comparable safety profile between bilateral TKR and unilateral TKR in properly selected patients.12 13 14 15 Patients with bilateral osteoarthritis of the knee should be encouraged to undergo bilateral TKR provided they can tolerate the procedure.
 
Blood management has always been a contentious issue in TKR. Both preoperative haemoglobin level and requirement for blood transfusion were significant predictive factors for LOS in our univariate analysis. Only requirement for blood transfusion, however, remained significant after multivariate analysis. This signifies that the association between preoperative haemoglobin level and LOS is due to the requirement for a blood transfusion rather than the effect itself. It is well documented that preoperative haemoglobin level is the single most important predictor of need for blood transfusion following TKR.16 This is why preoperative haemoglobin level was a significant predictive factor for LOS in some studies although it is not in our study. Raut et al8 reported a significant association between LOS and both preoperative haemoglobin level and blood transfusion requirement although multivariate analysis was not performed. Husted et al3 reported both preoperative haemoglobin level and blood transfusion to be significant predictive factors for LOS, yet more than half of the patients recruited in their study underwent total hip replacement (THR). The intrinsic difference between THR and TKR explains the difference between our and Husted et al’s findings.
 
Postoperative ICU care delayed rehabilitation and inevitably prolonged LOS. This factor remained significant after adjustment for ASA classification. Most of our patients were admitted to the ICU for postoperative monitoring of medical co-morbidities. A commonly encountered reason for ICU monitoring is obstructive sleep apnoea.17 Patients at risk of obstructive sleep apnoea should be identified and referred to an ear, nose, and throat surgeon for assessment and early management.18 The need for ICU admission and prolonged LOS may be eliminated if medical conditions are optimised before TKR.
 
Patients who develop in-patient complications were likely to stay longer in hospital; this is consistent with the findings in the literature.8 9 Patients who have complications require further work-up and management, this increases utilisation of resources and cost in addition to the increased LOS.9 Every effort should be made to avoid complications. We classified complications into seven groups based on our experience. They included deep vein thrombosis, surgical site infection, periprosthetic fracture, urinary tract infection, pressure sore, chest infection, and pulmonary embolism (Fig 2). Any complication that did not fall into one of these categories was documented as ‘others’. The top three complications were deep vein thrombosis, surgical site infection, and periprosthetic fracture; these altogether account for 56% of all complications. Patients who developed deep vein thrombosis required warfarinisation and dose titration prior to discharge. Patients who developed a wound infection required intravenous antibiotics, surgical debridement, and close monitoring of the wound. Those with periprosthetic fracture required protected weight-bearing that complicated rehabilitation. We believe strict adherence to anticoagulation guidelines, meticulous wound care, and careful implant insertion are key to avoid complications, prolonged LOS, and more importantly, patient suffering.
 

Figure 2. Distribution of categories of postoperative complications
 
In our centre, a bladder scan is performed in patients who do not pass urine for 8 hours following TKR. Those with a urinary volume of ≥500 mL undergo bladder drainage via a urinary catheter. If the patient cannot pass urine on reassessment, a catheter is left in situ. There is, however, no protocol for catheter removal. The catheter will usually remain in place for 1 to 2 days. In our study, the mean duration of urinary catheterisation was 2.35 (range, 1-15) days (Fig 3). If the patient fails to manage without a urinary catheter, a urological referral is made. This is not ideal as the patient must then remain an in-patient while awaiting urological opinion. We believe close liaison with the urologist should be established to enable such patients to be discharged and subsequently assessed in a urology out-patient clinic.
 

Figure 3. Distribution of number of days of urinary catheterisation
 
There were some important negative findings in our study. Most Caucasian studies reveal that women remain in hospital longer than men following TKR.3 5 This has been reported to be due to the different gender roles in the family: men could go home earlier because they were more likely to be looked after by their partner.19 The situation in Hong Kong is different. Children usually live with or close to their parents for cultural and social reasons. Patients having TKR are cared for by their children, not their partner; this eliminates the effect of gender on LOS.
 
We did not find a statistically significant contribution of drain insertion. We hypothesise that drain insertion decreases haematoma collection and knee effusion and improves the range of movement and function. Since adequate knee function is required for discharge, LOS could be reduced. The results in this study, however, contradicted this hypothesis.
 
Evaluating predictive factors for LOS after TKR is the starting point to improve our current practice. Based on this study, we need to establish a protocol to wean patients off a urinary catheter. Early prediction of high-risk patients who will require longer hospitalisation provides the opportunity for better preoperative counselling, anticipation of escalated care, and proactive discharge planning.
 
Our study is limited by its retrospective nature, with results highly dependent on the accuracy of documentation. We have not precisely recorded the home care status of the patient and the experience of the principal surgeon, as a result these are not used as a covariate in the analysis of our study. The results also reflect the clinical practice of a single centre and may not be generalised to represent the whole population. A territory-wide joint replacement registry could help to analyse predictors of LOS that are specific to Hong Kong.
 
Conclusion
Factors that significantly influence LOS following TKR are advanced age; ASA class 3; bilateral operation; in-patient complications; and the need for blood transfusion, postoperative ICU admission, and urinary catheterisation. Identifying these factors will help improve our clinical practice to reduce the LOS and associated cost.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors would like to thank Dr Kin-hoi Wong of North District Hospital for his advice regarding statistical analysis.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Yan CH, Chiu KY, Ng FY. Total knee arthroplasty for primary knee osteoarthritis: changing pattern over the past 10 years. Hong Kong Med J 2011;17:20-5.
2. Lee QJ, Mak WP, Wong YC. Mortality following primary total knee replacement in public hospitals in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2016;22:237-41.
3. Husted H, Holm G, Jacobsen S. Predictors of length of stay and patient satisfaction after hip and knee replacement surgery: fast-track experience in 712 patients. Acta Orthop 2008;79:168-73. Crossref
4. Ong PH, Pua YH. A prediction model for length of stay after total and unicompartmental knee replacement. Bone Joint J 2013;95:1490-6. Crossref
5. Carter EM, Potts HW. Predicting length of stay from an electronic patient record system: a primary total knee replacement example. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2014;14:26. Crossref
6. van den Belt L, van Essen P, Heesterbeek PJ, Defoort KC. Predictive factors of length of hospital stay after primary total knee arthroplasty. Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc 2015;23:1856-62. Crossref
7. Halawi MJ, Vovos TJ, Green CL, Wellman SS, Attarian DE, Bolognesi MP. Preoperative predictors of extended hospital length of stay following total knee arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2015;30:361-4. Crossref
8. Raut S, Mertes SC, Muniz-Terrera G, Khanduja V. Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following a total knee replacement in patients aged over 75. Int Orthop 2012;36:1601-8. Crossref
9. El Bitar YF, Illingworth KD, Scaife SL, Horberg JV, Saleh KJ. Hospital length of stay following primary total knee arthroplasty: data from the nationwide inpatient sample database. J Arthroplasty 2015;30:1710-5. Crossref
10. Lozano LM, Tió M, Rios J, et al. Severe and morbid obesity (BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2) does not increase surgical time and length of hospital stay in total knee arthroplasty surgery. Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc 2015;23:1713-9. Crossref
11. Jonas SC, Smith HK, Blair PS, Dacombe P, Weale AE. Factors influencing length of stay following primary total knee replacement in a UK specialist orthopaedic centre. Knee 2013;20:310-5. Crossref
12. Cohen RG, Forrest CJ, Benjamin JB. Safety and efficacy of bilateral total knee arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 1997;12:497-502. Crossref
13. Jain S, Wasnik S, Mittal A, Sohoni S, Kasture S. Simultaneous bilateral total knee replacement: a prospective study of 150 patients. J Orthop Surg (Hong Kong) 2013;21:19-22. Crossref
14. Spicer E, Thomas GR, Rumble EJ. Comparison of the major intraoperative and postoperative complications between unilateral and sequential bilateral total knee arthroplasty in a high-volume community hospital. Can J Surg 2013;56:311-7. Crossref
15. Sheth DS, Cafri G, Paxton EW, Namba RS. Bilateral simultaneous vs staged total knee arthroplasty: a comparison of complications and mortality. J Arthroplasty 2016;31:212-6. Crossref
16. Guerin S, Collins C, Kapoor H, McClean I, Collins D. Blood transfusion requirement prediction in patients undergoing primary total hip and knee arthroplasty. Transfus Med 2007;17:37-43. Crossref
17. Kaw R, Pasupuleti V, Walker E, Ramaswamy A, Foldvary-Schafer N. Postoperative complications in patients with obstructive sleep apnea. Chest 2012;141:436-41. Crossref
18. Auckley D, Bolden N. Preoperative screening and perioperative care of the patient with sleep-disordered breathing. Curr Opin Pulm Med 2012;18:588-95. Crossref
19. Baker DW, Hasnain-Wynia R, Kandula NR, Thompson JA, Brown ER. Attitudes toward health care providers, collecting information about patients’ race, ethnicity, and language. Med Care 2007;45:1034-42. Crossref

Neonatal outcomes of preterm or very-low-birth-weight infants over a decade from Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong: comparison with the Vermont Oxford Network

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Aug;23(4):381–6 | Epub 7 Jul 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj166064
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE  CME
Neonatal outcomes of preterm or very-low-birth-weight infants over a decade from Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong: comparison with the Vermont Oxford Network
YY Chee, FHKAM (Paediatrics); Mabel SC Wong, FHKAM (Paediatrics), FHKCPaed; Rosanna MS Wong, FHKAM (Paediatrics); KY Wong, FHKAM (Paediatrics)
Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr YY Chee (yychee@hotmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: There is a paucity of local data on neonatal outcomes of preterm/very-low-birth-weight infants in Hong Kong. This study aimed to evaluate the survival rate on discharge and morbidity of preterm/very-low-birth-weight infants (≤29+6 weeks and/or birth weight <1500 g) over a decade at Queen Mary Hospital in Hong Kong, so as to provide centre-specific data for prenatal counselling and to benchmark these results against the Vermont Oxford Network.
 
Methods: Standardised perinatal/neonatal data were collected for infants with gestational age of 23+0 to 29+6 weeks and/or birth weight of <1500 g who were born at Queen Mary Hospital between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2014. These data were compared with all neonatal centres in the Vermont Oxford Network in 2013. The Chi squared test was used to compare the categorical Queen Mary Hospital data with that of Vermont Oxford Network. A two-tailed P value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
 
Results: The overall survival rate on discharge from Queen Mary Hospital for 449 infants was significantly higher than that of the Vermont Oxford Network (87% versus 80%; P=0.0006). The morbidity-free survival at Queen Mary Hospital (40%) was comparable with the Vermont Oxford Network (44%). At Queen Mary Hospital, 86% of infants had respiratory distress syndrome, 40% bronchopulmonary dysplasia, 44% patent ductus arteriosus, 7% severe intraventricular haemorrhage, 5% necrotising enterocolitis, 10% severe retinopathy of prematurity, 10% late-onset sepsis, and 84% growth failure on discharge. Rates of respiratory distress syndrome, intraventricular haemorrhage, necrotising enterocolitis, and severe retinopathy of prematurity were similar in the two populations. At Queen Mary Hospital, significantly more infants had bronchopulmonary dysplasia (P=0.011), patent ductus arteriosus (P=0.015), and growth failure (P=0.0001) compared with the Vermont Oxford Network. In contrast, rate of late-onset sepsis was significantly lower at Queen Mary Hospital than the Vermont Oxford Network (P=0.0002).
 
Conclusions: Mortality rate and most of the morbidity rates of our centre compare favourably with international standards, but rates of bronchopulmonary dysplasia and growth failure are of concern. A regular benchmarking process is crucial to audit any change in clinical outcomes after implementation of a local quality improvement project.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Mortality rate and most of the morbidity rates at our centre compare favourably with international standards.
  • Significantly more preterm/very-low-birth-weight infants had bronchopulmonary dysplasia and growth failure at our centre compared with the Vermont Oxford Network. Identification of these areas for improvement could facilitate the development of a quality improvement project.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Local survival and morbidity rates provided by this study can be used for prenatal counselling about preterm delivery.
  • The baseline data (growth failure rate upon discharge) obtained in the present study can be used to audit a future quality improvement project in the local community (standardised nutritional pathway for very-low-birth-weight infants).
 
 
Introduction
There has been a substantial improvement in the outcomes for preterm infants over the past few decades. This improvement reflects the advances made in antenatal, perinatal, and neonatal care. It is crucial to audit and benchmark local data on clinical outcomes with international standards.1 One of the largest neonatal databases, the Vermont Oxford Network (VON), has been collecting and maintaining data on very-low-birth-weight (VLBW) infants and infants who fulfil other eligibility requirements from all over the world since 1989 (website: https://public.vtoxford.org).2 Queen Mary Hospital (QMH) in Hong Kong has been participating in the VON since 1998. Today, QMH is one of almost 1000 centres all over the world participating in the network.3
 
There is a paucity of data reporting neonatal outcomes for preterm/VLBW local infants. These data are valuable in providing centre- and gestational age (GA)–specific information that can be used for parental counselling about high-risk infants, and facilitate decision making by neonatologists, obstetricians, and parents.
 
The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the survival rate on discharge and morbidity in preterm/VLBW infants (born between 23+0 and 29+6 weeks and/or birth weight of <1500 g) at a tertiary perinatal centre in Hong Kong over a decade. We also compared the neonatal outcomes with the VON database, aiming to identify key areas for quality improvement in the local community.
 
Methods
Study population and clinical outcomes
The study was conducted at QMH, Hong Kong, which is a tertiary referral perinatal centre with an annual delivery rate of approximately 3500 to 4500. The hospital provides care for preterm infants who are predominantly of Chinese ethnicity. This study was done in accordance with the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki.
 
Perinatal/neonatal data of all infants born alive at QMH with GA of 23+0 to 29+6 weeks and/or birth weight of <1500 g between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2014 were collected. These infants were part of the VON database. Infants born outside of QMH were not included in this study. Data were collected retrospectively from the Clinical Management System and Clinical Information System and entered into the VON database by members of the QMH neonatal team.
 
Definitions for maternal and infant characteristics were provided in the manual “Nightingale Data Definitions” by the VON. In this study, GA was determined as the best obstetric estimate using ultrasonography and/or date of the last menstrual period. If no antenatal data were available, GA was estimated by postnatal neonatal assessment. Intrauterine growth restriction, defined as birth weight of <10th percentile for gender and GA, was determined using growth charts published by Fenton and Kim.4 Maternal obstetric data included data on antenatal steroid use, presence of chorioamnionitis, and mode of delivery. Antenatal steroid therapy was considered to be given if it was provided to the mother during pregnancy at any time prior to delivery. Chorioamnionitis was diagnosed on histopathological findings.
 
The survival rate was defined as neonates who survived to the time of discharge. Surfactant was used as early rescue therapy for infants with respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), defined by the presence of clinical and radiological features within the first 24 hours of life. Conventional mechanical ventilation use at any time was defined as intermittent positive pressure ventilation through an endotracheal tube with a conventional ventilator at any time after leaving the delivery room. Rescue postnatal steroids were used beyond 2 weeks of age at our centre to facilitate extubation of ventilator-dependent neonates with oxygen requirement of >40% and significant radiological features of persistent lung disease. Data on infants discharged with oxygen were also collected.
 
Early-onset sepsis was defined as blood or cerebrospinal fluid culture–positive bacterial sepsis occurring within 72 hours of life. Haemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) on two-dimensional echocardiography was treated with intravenous ibuprofen (only data from 2010 to 2014 were collected as ibuprofen was used as medical treatment for PDA at QMH since 2010) or surgical ligation if medical treatment was unsuccessful or contra-indicated. Severe retinopathy of prematurity was defined as stage III or above according to international classification.5
 
The major morbidities included severe neurological injury (defined as grade 3 or 4 intraventricular haemorrhage [IVH], or periventricular leukomalacia [PVL]), bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD; defined as supplemental oxygen use at a postmenstrual age [PMA] of 36 weeks), pneumothorax (defined as extrapleural air diagnosed by chest radiograph or needle aspiration), necrotising enterocolitis (NEC; defined as stage ≥2 of Bell’s criteria), and late-onset infection (defined as bacterial or fungal infection after day 3 of life).
 
Data from QMH were compared with those of all neonatal centres in the VON database in a single year in 2013, the latest data available at the time of the study.
 
Statistical analysis
The Chi squared test was used to compare the categorical QMH data with that of VON. All P values were two-tailed, and a P value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
 
Results
Study group
A total of 449 infants with GA of 23+0 to 29+6 weeks and/or birth weight of 345 g to 1890 g who were born at QMH between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2014 were included in this study. This study compared survival rate and morbidity of these infants from QMH against 38 754 infants in the VON database in 2013. A significantly greater proportion of infants was delivered at 23 weeks of gestation in the VON group compared with the QMH group, which is contrary to the two groups at 27 and 29 weeks of gestation (P=0.0002). The proportion of infants born at 24 to 26 weeks and 28 weeks was similar for both groups (Table 1).
 

Table 1. Proportions of infants born at different gestational age at Queen Mary Hospital (2005 to 2014) and Vermont Oxford Network (2013)
 
Antenatal, maternal, and neonatal demographics
Overall, 31.0% of the cohort subjects at QMH were multiple births (no difference between the QMH and VON group; P=0.061). Fewer infants in the QMH group were delivered by caesarean section compared with the VON group (58.6% vs 68.2%; P=0.0001). Antenatal steroids were given to 90.4% of mothers in QMH; rate of prenatal steroid use increased with increasing GA, from 73% at 23 weeks, to 82%-89% between 24 and 25 weeks and 90%-96% between 26 and 29 weeks. There was no significant difference in prenatal steroid use between the two groups (P=0.065). Chorioamnionitis was confirmed by placental histology in 24.3% of mothers at QMH, which was significantly more than that in the VON group (17.9%; P=0.0006).
 
Infants at QMH were predominantly born to Asian (mainly Chinese) mothers whereas the majority of the VON group were of White origin (P<0.001). In QMH, 11.8% of the neonates were born small for GA, similar to the VON group (9.2%, P=0.07) [Table 2].
 

Table 2. Demographic features and perinatal information of infants born at Queen Mary Hospital and Vermont Oxford Network
 
 
In QMH, 78% of the infants were being intubated for delivery room resuscitation. At 23 weeks, all infants underwent intubation in the delivery room. Around half of the infants delivered at 29 weeks and 20% at 28 weeks did not need intubation in the delivery room, whereas 83%-97% of infants born between 24 and 27 weeks needed intubation at birth. Compared with infants with GA of ≥26 weeks, the proportion of infants with GA of <26 weeks with Apgar score of ≤3 at 1 minute was higher. Only 16% of the infants were able to achieve a target core temperature of 36.5°C to 37.5°C upon admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (vs 51% in the VON group; P<0.0001).
 
Survival rate on discharge and major morbidities
In QMH, 87% of the 449 infants survived to discharge. Rates of survival increased with increasing GA, from 27% at 23 weeks to 96% at 29 weeks. Overall survival rate of the QMH group was significantly higher than that in the VON group (87% vs 80%; P=0.0006). In QMH, morbidity-free survival rate increased from 0% at 23 weeks to 65% at 29 weeks (Table 3). Survival without major morbidity was similar when comparing the QMH and VON data (40% vs 44%; P=0.105) [Table 3].
 

Table 3. Overall survival and morbidity-free survival rates at Queen Mary Hospital and Vermont Oxford Network according to gestational age
 
 
In QMH, 86% of infants experienced RDS and 83% needed surfactant therapy. Rate of mechanical ventilation at any time decreased from 100% at 23 weeks to 69% at 29 weeks. There was no significant difference in the incidence of RDS between QMH and VON groups (P=0.808). Significantly more infants in the QMH, however, were given surfactant therapy for RDS and put on mechanical ventilation, compared with VON (83% vs 74%; P=0.0001). The overall frequency of pneumothorax was similar in both groups (P=0.57).
 
Use of postnatal steroids for BPD was lower in QMH compared with VON (3% vs 14%; P=0.0001) although the QMH rate for BPD was higher (40% vs 34%; P=0.011) and rate of home oxygen use was lower (10% vs 18%; P=0.0001) [Table 4].
 

Table 4. Pulmonary morbidities according to gestational age at Queen Mary Hospital and Vermont Oxford Network
 
 
In QMH, rates of early- and late-onset sepsis were 3% and 10%, respectively. No significant difference was noted in the incidence of early-onset sepsis between QMH and VON (P=0.792) although QMH had a significantly lower rate of late-onset sepsis (10% vs 16%; P=0.0002) [Table 5].
 

Table 5. Other neonatal morbidities according to gestational age at Queen Mary Hospital and Vermont Oxford Network
 
 
In QMH, NEC developed in 5% of infants (≥stage 2) and 10% of infants were diagnosed as having severe retinopathy of prematurity (≥stage 3). The overall frequencies of NEC and severe retinopathy of prematurity were similar in the QMH and VON groups (P=0.693 and P=0.100, respectively) [Table 5].
 
In QMH, PDA was diagnosed in 44% of infants, of whom 36% were treated with ibuprofen (in 2010-2014), and 7% with surgical closure. For management of PDA, QMH had higher rates of ibuprofen treatment than the VON group (36% vs 12%; P=0.0001), whereas the rates of PDA ligation were similar (P=0.936) [Table 5].
 
In QMH, 7% of sonograms indicated severe IVH (grade 3 or 4); PVL was observed in 3% of infants. There were no significant differences in the incidence of severe IVH or PVL between QMH and VON groups (P=0.070 and P=0.963, respectively; Table 5).
 
In QMH, the length of hospital stay among survivors decreased with increasing GA, from 19 weeks at GA 23 weeks to 8 weeks at GA of 29 weeks. Similarly, PMA at discharge decreased from 42 weeks for surviving infants born at GA of 23 weeks, to 41 weeks at GA of 24 weeks, 39 to 40 weeks at GA of 25 to 27 weeks, 38 weeks at GA of 28 weeks, and 37 weeks at GA of 29 weeks.
 
Growth failure (body weight <10th centile for age and sex) was evident in 84% of infants at QMH (vs VON 42%; P=0.0001) upon discharge.
 
Discussion
This study reports the mortality and morbidity in the neonatal intensive care unit in QMH over a 10-year period (2005-2014). As the only intensive care centre from China participating in the VON, QMH data provide an important source of local epidemiological information. Data recorded at QMH were compared with the entire VON database. This allows the benchmarking of our neonatal care and clinical outcomes for preterm infants internationally. Local centre–specific information about preterm infants based on GA facilitates parental counselling about high-risk infants and aids decision making.
 
Our study revealed that the survival rate on discharge of preterm/VLBW infants (≤29+6 weeks and/or birth weight of <1500 g) from QMH was higher than that from VON, with comparable morbidity-free survival. The higher survival rate on discharge from QMH may be partly explained by the higher proportion of 23-week GA infants in the VON (3.3% vs 6.5%; P=0.0002). Advances in perinatal and neonatal care have contributed to improved survival among preterm infants. The goal in the care of these babies should be to improve intact survival without morbidities. Among the key morbidities (severe IVH, PVL, BPD, NEC, pneumothorax, any late infection), BPD was the only clinical entity with a significantly higher incidence at QMH compared with VON (40% vs 34%; P=0.011). Reducing the risk of BPD will have a great impact on morbidity-free survival in our population.6 Of note, BPD is a condition with multifactorial causes and preterm infants are predisposed to lung injury including ventilator-induced lung injury, infection, and inflammation.7 8 9 The higher rate of BPD in QMH compared with VON could be related to the higher prevalence of chorioamnionitis, a known risk factor that inhibits alveolar development.10 As we were ventilating more infants than VON (as evidenced by the higher rate of surfactant use for RDS and use of conventional mechanical ventilation at any time), the risk of ventilator-associated lung injury was increased. Haemodynamically significant PDA was present in a greater proportion of infants at QMH compared with VON (44% vs 39%; P=0.015); PDA increases pulmonary blood flow and causes interstitial oedema. The mechanical ventilator setting and oxygen requirement increase as a result and provide a foundation for BPD. The risk of BPD is also influenced by growth restriction. Growth failure upon discharge was present in 84% of our infants. With poor nutrition in these infants, normal lung growth, maturation, and repair are inhibited. Postnatal steroid was used less frequently in QMH compared with VON (3% vs 14%), and may explain in part the decreased incidence of BPD in VON.
 
In order to reduce the incidence of BPD in our population, modifiable risk factors need to be reduced. In recent years, our unit has been managing RDS more with continuous positive airway pressure support with subsequent selective surfactant administration—that is, INSURE (INtubation, SURfactant administration, then Extubation)—in order to avoid unnecessary or prolonged ventilation, thereby reducing ventilator-associated lung injury and BPD.11 12 Targeted oxygen saturation has also been used in our centre to minimise oxygen toxicity associated with BPD.13 14
 
We had a significantly higher proportion of infants who were small for GA upon discharge compared with the VON group (84% vs 42%; P=0.0001). Apart from affecting lung growth and maturation, postnatal growth failure is associated with poor long-term neurocognitive outcome.15 16 One possible explanation for growth failure in our population is the lack of guidelines about preterm infant nutrition (eg timing of feeding initiation and milk volume advancement, prescription of total parenteral nutrition etc). Without such guidelines, a preterm infant’s caloric intake may be suboptimal with consequent compromise of growth. In order to improve the growth of our preterm infants, a standardised nutritional pathway for the VLBW infants has been in use since 2015. Its effect has yet to be evaluated.
 
A limitation of our study is the lack of adjustment for potential confounding factors. The two groups, QMH and VON, were not directly comparable, for instance, the higher survival rate of preterm infants in our centre could be partly affected by the lower proportion of GA of 23 weeks in our study population.
 
Conclusions
The majority of neonatal outcomes for preterm/VLBW infants at QMH were comparable with VON, with the exception of BPD and growth failure upon discharge. Regular auditing and benchmarking of clinical outcomes will help ensure quality improvement with implementation of new interventions and projects in our unit.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
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1. Horbar JD, Plsek PE, Leahy K; NIC/Q 2000. NIC/Q 2000: establishing habits for improvement in neonatal intensive care units. Pediatrics 2003;111(4 Pt 2):e397-410.
2. Horbar JD. The Vermont-Oxford Neonatal Network: integrating research and clinical practice to improve the quality of medical care. Semin Perinatol 1995;19:124-31. Crossref
3. Annual report for infants born in 2014. Center 320. Vermont Oxford Network; 2015.
4. Fenton TR, Kim JH. A systematic review and meta-analysis to revise the Fenton growth chart for preterm infants. BMC Pediatr 2013;13:59. Crossref
5. An international classification of retinopathy of prematurity. The Committee for the Classification of Retinopathy of Prematurity. Arch Ophthalmol 1984;102:1130-4. Crossref
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8. Kallapur SG, Jobe AH. Contribution of inflammation to lung injury and development. Arch Dis Child Fetal Neonatal Ed 2006;91:F132-5. Crossref
9. Kinsella JP, Greenough A, Abman SH. Bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Lancet 2006;367:1421-31. Crossref
10. Thomas W, Speer CP. Chorioamnionitis is essential in the evolution of bronchopulmonary dysplasia—the case in favour. Paediatr Respir Rev 2014;15:49-52. Crossref
11. Morley CJ, Davis PG, Doyle LW, et el. Nasal CPAP or intubation at birth for very preterm infants. N Engl J Med 2008;358:700-8. Crossref
12. Committee on Fetus and Newborn; American Academy of Pediatrics. Respiratory support in preterm infants at birth. Pediatrics 2014;133:171-4. Crossref
13. Supplemental Therapeutic Oxygen for Prethreshold Retinopathy of Prematurity (STOP-ROP), a randomized, controlled trial. I: primary outcomes. Pediatrics 2000;105:295-310. Crossref
14. Askie LM, Henderson-Smart DJ, Irwig L, Simpson JM. Oxygen-saturation targets and outcomes in extremely preterm infants. N Engl J Med 2003;349:959-67. Crossref
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Early surgery for Hong Kong Chinese elderly patients with hip fracture reduces short-term and long-term mortality

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Aug;23(4):374–80 | Epub 28 Jun 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj165005
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE  CME
Early surgery for Hong Kong Chinese elderly patients with hip fracture reduces short-term and long-term mortality
Stephanie KK Liu, MB, BS1; Angela WH Ho, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Orthopaedic Surgery)2; SH Wong, MB, BS, FHKAM (Orthopaedic Surgery)2
1 Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Princess Margaret Hospital, Laichikok, Hong Kong
2 Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Caritas Medical Centre, Shamshuipo, Hong Kong
 
An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Young Investigator Awards, 15th Regional Osteoporosis Conference held in Hong Kong on 24-25 May 2014; and at the International Osteoporosis Foundation (IOF) Young Investigator Awards, IOF Regionals 5th Asia-Pacific Osteoporosis Meeting held in Taipei, Taiwan on 15 November 2014.
 
Corresponding author: Dr Angela WH Ho (angelaho@alumni.cuhk.net)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Studies have shown that early surgery reduces hospital and 1-year mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture, but no major study has examined such relationship in Hong Kong. This study aimed to explore the relationship of early surgery and mortality in a Chinese elderly population with hip fracture.
 
Methods: This observational study included patients attending public hospitals in Hong Kong. All patients who underwent surgery for geriatric hip fracture in public hospitals from January 2000 to December 2011 were studied. Data were retrieved and collected from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System of the Hospital Authority. Patients were divided into three groups according to timing of surgery: early (0-2 days after admission), delayed (3-4 days after admission), and late (≥5 days after admission) groups. Based on the date of death, we analysed 30-day and 1-year mortality, regardless of cause of death. Comparison of mortality rates was also made between the period before and after implementation of Key Performance Indicator formulated by the Hospital Authority.
 
Results: The overall 1-year mortality rate was 16.8%. The relative risks of 1-year mortality were 1.21 and 1.52 when the delayed and late groups were compared with the early group, respectively. The hazard ratios of long-term mortality were 1.16 (95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.20) and 1.37 (1.33-1.41), respectively for the same comparison.
 
Conclusion: Prevalence of geriatric hip fracture will continue to rise and further increase the burden on our health care system. After implementation of Key Performance Indicator, most elderly patients with hip fracture underwent surgery within 2 days provided they were medically fit. Early surgery can reduce both short-term and long-term mortality. Setting up a fragility fracture registry would be beneficial for further studies.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • This study provides evidence that Key Performance Indicator (KPI) can increase the percentage of patients who undergo early surgery and improve their clinical outcome.
  • Most medically fit patients were identified for early surgery within 2 days.
  • High-risk patients with medical co-morbidities were identified for prompt preoperative optimisation under KPI.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Early surgery should be considered the standard of care for management of elderly patients with hip fracture.
 
 
Introduction
Hip fracture has a high prevalence in an ageing population and places a major burden on and challenge to our health care system. In Hong Kong, the number of geriatric hip fractures managed in the Hospital Authority increased from 3678 in 2000 to 4579 in 2011.1 International clinical guidelines recommend surgical treatment within 2 days of admission.2 3 4 Geriatric hip fracture was selected as the first Key Performance Indicator (KPI) for orthopaedics in Hong Kong by the Hospital Authority in 2009 with an aim to limit preoperative length of stay to no more than 2 days for 70% of patients with hip fracture.5 Studies have shown that early surgery reduces hospital and 1-year mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture,6 7 8 but no major study has examined such relationship. This study was conducted to explore the relationship of early surgery and mortality in a Chinese elderly population with hip fracture.
 
Methods
We undertook a retrospective review of data collected from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System of the Hospital Authority of Hong Kong for all patients aged 65 years or above who presented to any public hospital between January 2000 and December 2011 with hip fracture that was treated surgically. Those patients with a disease coding of acute hip fracture (ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes 820.8, 820.09, 820.02, 820.03, 820.20, and 820.22) were retrieved; operations for geriatric hip fracture were defined as a patient episode with ICD-9-CM procedure codes of 81.52, 51.51, 81.40, 79.15, 79.35, or 78.55. Only elderly patients with a disease code for acute hip fracture and procedure code for hip fracture surgery were included in the current study. Those who had second hip fracture surgery or surgery for complications arising from a previous hip fracture were excluded.
 
Patients were divided into three groups according to timing of surgery: early (0-2 calendar days after admission), delayed (3-4 calendar days after admission), and late (≥5 calendar days after admission) groups. Dates of death were retrieved from the Deaths Registries of the Hong Kong SAR. Based on the date of death, we analysed the 30-day and 1-year mortality regardless of cause. Mortality was calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Among the three groups, the 30-day and 1-year mortality were compared using Chi squared test. Long-term mortality was compared by Cox regression models using age, gender, and year as covariates. Subgroup analysis of mortality before (year 2000-2008) and after (year 2009-2011) the execution of KPI for hip fracture was also performed. The result was considered statistically significant if the P value was <0.05. All analyses were performed using SAS version 9.3 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary [NC], US) software. The principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki have been followed.
 
Results
The study identified 43 830 patients (12 821 men and 31 009 women) with age ranging from 65 to 112 years (mean, 82 years). Early surgery was performed in 48%, delayed surgery in 25%, and late surgery in 27% of all patients. The 30-day and 1-year mortality of the patients by gender and surgery group are listed in Tables 1 and 2, respectively. For each age-group (65-69, 70-74, 75-79, 80-84, ≥85 years), the percentage of early, delayed, or late surgery was similar with a deviation of only 1% to 2%. Linear regression revealed no correlation between the timing of surgery and patient age. The 1-year mortality rate of all hip fractures was 16.8% (25.0% for males and 13.4% for females). The 1-year mortality rates of early, delayed, and late surgery groups were 14.1%, 17.2%, and 21.4%, respectively. The relative risks of 1-year mortality were 1.21 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-1.29) and 1.52 (95% CI, 1.45-1.59) when the delayed and late groups were compared with the early group, respectively. All results were statistically significant.
 

Table 1. 30-Day and 1-year mortality of patients by gender (all P<0.001)
 

Table 2. Mortality, excess mortality, and relative risk of patients by surgery group (all P<0.001)
 
The long-term mortality rate was also significantly related to the timing of surgery using log rank test (Fig 1). The hazard ratios (HRs) of long-term mortality were 1.16 (95% CI, 1.13-1.20) and 1.37 (95% CI, 1.33-1.41) when the delayed group and late group were compared with the early group, respectively. Such significant difference was observed across all age-groups for both genders, except those male patients of 65-69 years in the delayed surgery group (Table 3). In men, the respective HR was 1.12-1.35 and 1.30-1.58 when the delayed group and late group were compared with the early group, with the highest HR noted in the age-group of 70-74 years. Similar results were observed in females: the HR varied with age and ranged from 1.12-1.40 and 1.29-1.70 respectively when the delayed group and late group were compared with the early group, with the highest HR in the age-group of 70-74 years (Table 3).
 

Figure 1. Survival curves of patients with hip fracture in three surgery groups
 
 

Table 3. Hazard ratio of timing to surgery in different age-groups and by gender
 
Subgroup analysis of the mortality rate before (year 2000-2008) and after (year 2009-2011) execution of KPI for hip fracture was performed. Mortality rate increased as surgery delay was prolonged. The respective relative risk of 1-year mortality before KPI was 1.12 (95% CI, 1.04-1.21) and 1.27 (95% CI, 1.19-1.36) when the delayed group and late group were compared with the early group; the corresponding figures after KPI were 1.15 (95% CI, 0.99-1.34) and 1.39 (95% CI, 1.20-1.60). The overall 1-year mortality was lower in the post-KPI group (relative risk=0.81; P<0.001; 95% CI, 0.76-0.86). All results were statistically significant (Table 4). There was also a gradual reduction in preoperative length of stay of elderly patients (age range, 65-112 years) with hip fracture in the post-KPI period (Fig 2).
 

Table 4. Overall mortality rate and subgroup analysis of the mortality rate before (year 2000-2008) and after (year 2009-2011) execution of Key Performance Indicator for hip fracture (all P<0.001)
 

Figure 2. Trend of preoperative length of stay from 2000-2011
 
 
Discussion
Hip fracture in elderly patients is well known to be associated with osteoporosis and sarcopenia.9 10 In an ageing population, it is becoming more important and places a great burden on our health care system. Timing of surgery for hip fracture is considered an important factor in reducing mortality. We therefore conducted this study to find out their relationship. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first large observational study of the association between timing of surgery and mortality of hip fracture in the local Chinese elderly population.
 
Current international guidelines and national model of care for geriatric hip fracture recommend early surgery to improve the clinical outcome for elderly patients, including morbidity and mortality. The Blue Book of the British Orthopaedic Association in 2007 stated that hip fractures should be operated on within 48 hours.2 The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) Clinical Guideline (CG 124) from the United Kingdom recommends that surgery be performed on the day of, or the day after admission, based on the reason that early surgery within 24 or 48 hours is associated with a lower mortality risk.3 In Canada, access to surgery should be no later than 48 hours or 2 days after admission to the emergency room.4
 
Hip fracture is associated with high mortality among the elderly people, with excess mortality compared with the general population globally.11 Our study found that longer preoperative stay was associated with an overall increased 30-day, 1-year, and long-term mortality in the study population, as shown in Tables 2 and 3. Other studies have examined short-term mortality following surgery, with medical co-morbidities adjusted. Colais et al7 reported that patients who underwent surgery within 2 days had a lower 1-year mortality than those in whom surgery was delayed (HR=0.83; 95% CI, 0.82-0.85). Moja et al12 performed a meta-analysis of 35 studies and found that early surgery (<2 days of admission) had significantly less mortality, with the odds ratio (OR) being 0.74 (95% CI, 0.67-0.81; P<0.001). In cases with more than 2 days of delay, the OR for death in hospital was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.37-1.49) and 30-day mortality was 1.36 (95% CI, 1.29-1.43).13 Sund and Liski14 found that delay of more than 2 nights led to a significant increase in mortality; the HR for late surgery was 1.18 (95% CI, 1.09-1.28, P<0.0001). Similar findings were also reported from other studies. Delay of surgery affected both short-term and long-term mortality.15 16 17 In our study, the HRs for delayed surgery and late surgery were 1.16 and 1.37, respectively, similar to other large-scale international studies.14 16 The longer the delay in surgery, the worse the clinical outcome.
 
Most studies in the current literature have focused on short-term mortality following surgery in patients with hip fracture, but it is known that mortality in those elderly patients with hip fracture is high not only in the first year following fracture, but also remains higher than the general population during the subsequent 5 years of follow-up in some studies. Man et al1 reported a 1-year excess mortality following surgery for geriatric hip fracture of 6.22% to 23.45%. In our study, the beneficial effects of early surgery on mortality were not only limited to the first year after initial fracture, but extended to later years after the injury based on the calculation using survival analysis (Fig 1). Our results showed that the HRs of long-term mortality were 1.16 (95% CI, 1.13-1.20) and 1.37 (95% CI, 1.33-1.41) when the delayed group and late group were compared with the early group, respectively. This significant result was observed across all age-groups for both genders (Table 3), despite advancing age and male gender being associated with increased mortality and higher excess mortality following hip surgery.1 Thus, early surgery for hip fracture among elderly patients is justified to relieve pain, reduce complications, and improve survival; this echoes our current local guidelines from the Hospital Authority.4 16 18 19
 
Key Performance Indicator was a framework formulated by the Hospital Authority in 2008 and covered three areas, including Clinical Services, Human Resources, and Finance. For each area, it covers a collection of selected indicators. Annual reviews are conducted by a working group to ensure the KPIs are in line with the service directions and priorities of the Hospital Authority. Through comments and feedback collected from different sources, the working group reviews the results and offers suggestions and recommendations for subsequent service development and resource allocation, in order to provide the best service and practices for the general public. With the implementation of the KPI, hospitals gradually operated on hip fractures as an emergency or earlier under the supervision of more experienced orthopaedic surgeons. In the past, it was not uncommon for hip fracture surgery to be performed by junior orthopaedic surgeons in an emergency setting after office hours. According to the Blue Book of the British Orthopaedic Association, “all patients with hip fracture who are medically fit should have surgery within 48 hours of admission, and during normal working hours”.2 To correctly interpret the best practice guideline, timing of surgery is an important consideration that can improve outcome. Therefore, emergency daytime surgery under supervision is preferable. Prior to 2007 the KPI was approximately 30%, but it had improved to 71.6% by 2015.20 As a result, length of hospital stay, and postoperative mortality and morbidity were reduced in our population.18
 
Figure 2 shows the gradual reduction in preoperative length of stay of elderly patients (age range, 65-112 years) with hip fracture after implementation of KPI. Lau et al21 identified preoperative length of stay as one of the most important factors to affect clinical outcomes of elderly patients with hip fracture. This was confirmed by our study. After the introduction of KPI for geriatric hip fracture, there was a reduced preoperative stay, and improved survival with reduced 1-year mortality (Table 4). This was likely because patients were able to mobilise sooner with consequent faster recovery and rehabilitation. Advances in surgical techniques, improved perioperative care, and a multidisciplinary approach allowed high-risk elderly patients to undergo early surgery.
 
Since the execution of KPI, the percentage of medically fit patients operated on early has increased by approximately 30% to over 70%.5 18 As a result, the overall 1-year mortality was significantly lower in the post-KPI group. Our current data reveal that the KPI was successful in allowing more patients to have earlier surgery with a consequent better clinical outcome. Unnecessary delay for surgery was avoided.
 
One of the reasons for a delay in surgery was medical fitness. It is not uncommon for geriatric patients to be admitted with an acute medical co-morbidity, such as chest infection. This group of patients has complex care needs and a higher risk of morbidity and mortality.11 Surgery is often delayed due to the need for a medical condition to be stabilised. We therefore performed a subgroup analysis of 1-year mortality in patients before and after KPI. Our results showed that after the implementation of KPI, the increased relative risk of mortality for delayed surgery was even more pronounced (Table 4).
 
A recent retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data published by Nyholm et al22 revealed that patients who underwent delayed surgery had more co-morbidities, and those with a higher American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score often waited longer for surgery. One of the postulated reasons was preoperative optimisation of their medical condition. Nonetheless they were able to show an association between surgical delay and risk of mortality even after adjustment for ASA score, indicating that there was an increased risk of mortality with increasing surgical delay, but not due to decreasing medical fitness of patients with longer delay times only.23 A systematic review and meta-analysis by Moja et al12 of 35 retrospective and prospective studies examined the association between mortality and delayed surgery in hip fracture among elderly patients. Meta-analysis of the primary outcome of overall mortality showed that early surgery (<2 days of admission) had significantly less mortality with an OR of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.67-0.81; P<0.001). Meta-analysis of only prospective studies gave similar results (OR=0.69; 95% CI, 0.57-0.83), and further analysis did not show any effect of potential confounders such as age or gender. Despite some intra-study heterogeneity, these authors concluded that early surgery was associated with overall lower mortality risk, consistent with the current recommendation in national guidelines.2 3 4
 
In order to achieve early preoperative optimisation, collaboration with orthogeriatricians is important. The National Hip Fracture Database annual report in 2015 revealed that 85.3% of people with hip fracture received orthogeriatric assessment in the perioperative period. Such service, however, was not available in all orthopaedic units.23 The NICE Clinical Guideline (CG 124) recommends early input from orthogeriatricians in the management of patients with hip fracture.3 They play a key role in the integration of initial assessment and perioperative care as most elderly patients with hip fracture have co-morbidities. Leung et al24 found that input from geriatricians in the pre- and post-operative periods resulted in reduced 1-year mortality (11.5% for orthogeriatric group vs 20.4% for conventional group; P=0.02) and improved functional outcome in elderly patients with hip fracture. In the study of Vidán et al,25 patients assigned to the geriatric intervention showed a lower hospital mortality (0.6% vs 5.8%; P=0.03) and major medical complication rate (45.2% vs 61.7%; P=0.003) compared with the usual care group. Similar findings are evident in many other reports.26 27 28
 
Orosz et al29 classified reasons of delay in surgery into patient-related or system-related. Delay related to stabilisation of medical co-morbidities may sometimes be inevitable, but operative delay would undoubtedly have a significant impact on survival. Based on this observational study, we were able to conclude that KPI was successful in allowing more medically fit patients to undergo surgery without delay and therefore lead to improved clinical outcomes. Surgery may be delayed in high-risk patients to enable optimisation of medical conditions, and involves close collaboration with orthogeriatricians.
 
In future studies, further subgroup analysis of patients with different ASA grade and number of co-morbidities is warranted so that causes of excess mortality and high-risk patients can be recognised and early interventions performed to reduce their risk. Potential confounding factors should also be identified as far as possible so they can be controlled and matched in future studies. The setting up of a fragility fracture registry would be beneficial for further studies and analysis.
 
Limitations
This study has several limitations. First, factors affecting mortality—for example, pre-injury mobility status, medical co-morbidities, ASA grade, functional status, and fracture type—were not adjusted. It is known that patients with active medical co-morbidities have higher morbidity and mortality.15 Medical fitness is one of the major confounding factors in delayed surgery. Patients who are medically fit generally undergo surgery earlier, and those with medical co-morbidities may be delayed for preoperative assessment and stabilisation.
 
Second, a small percentage of geriatric hip fracture patients who were treated in the private sector was not included. This, however, would not have had a large impact on the overall results as approximately 98% of elderly patients with hip fracture are managed in public hospitals under the Hospital Authority. We believe our data are an accurate reflection of hip fracture cases in Hong Kong.30
 
Third, like many database systems for hospital data, deaths out of Hong Kong were not captured, leading to underreported hospital mortality.
 
Fourth, the current observed association between early operation and reduced mortality rate might have been substantially confounded by improved operative techniques and choice of implant (eg use of cemented hemiarthroplasties for relatively younger and medically fit elderly patients with femoral neck fractures), early involvement from orthogeriatricians, and improved general medical care. Undoubtedly all these factors within the current improved clinical pathway have played an important role in the improved clinical outcomes in the later (post-KPI) period of this study.
 
Lastly, reasons for delay in operation were not determined in this study.
 
Conclusion
The present observational study found that KPI has successfully increased the percentage of patients undergoing early surgery within 2 days so as to improve clinical outcome, with one of the parameters being mortality. Collaboration with orthogeriatricians will allow early preoperative optimisation of high-risk patients with medical co-morbidities. With an expected increase in the incidence of geriatric hip fracture, good practice of KPI with early surgery should be offered to these patients. Guidelines, clinical pathways, and the setting up of a fragility fracture registry can all play a significant role in improving our health care system.
 
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Dr CP Chan for the statistical analysis, and Mr Tony Kwok and the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System team of Hospital Authority for their help in data retrieval.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Man LP, Ho AW, Wong SH. Excess mortality for operated geriatric hip fracture in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2016;22:6-10. Crossref
2. The care of patients with fragility fracture. British Orthopaedic Association. September 2007. Available from: http://www.fractures.com/pdf/BOA-BGS-Blue-Book.pdf. Accessed Jun 2016.
3. Hip fracture: management. Clinical guideline. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). 22 June 2011. Available from: https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/cg124. Accessed Jun 2016.
4. Bone and Joint Decade Canada. National hip fracture toolkit. June 30 2011. Available from: http://boneandjointcanada.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/National-hip-fracture-toolkit-June-2011.pdf. Accessed Jun 2016.
5. Report of the chairman. COC in orthopaedics and traumatology. Hong Kong: Hospital Authority; 2009.
6. Shiga T, Wajima Z, Ohe Y. Is operative delay associated with increased mortality of hip fracture patients? Systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression. Can J Anaesth 2008;55:146-54. Crossref
7. Colais P, Di Martino M, Fusco D, Perucci CA, Davoli M. The effect of early surgery after hip fracture on 1-year mortality. BMC Geriatr 2015;15:141. Crossref
8. Zuckerman JD, Skovron ML, Koval KJ, Aharonoff G, Frankel VH. Postoperative complications and mortality associated with operative delay in older patients who have a fracture of the hip. J Bone Joint Surg Am 1995;77:1551-6. Crossref
9. Tsang SW, Kung AW, Kanis JA, Johansson H, Oden A. Ten-year fracture probability in Hong Kong Southern Chinese according to age and BMD femoral neck T-scores. Osteoporos Int 2009;20:1939-45. Crossref
10. Ho AW, Lee MM, Chan EW, et al. Prevalence of pre-sarcopenia and sarcopenia in Hong Kong Chinese geriatric patients with hip fracture and its correlation with different factors. Hong Kong Med J 2016;22:23-9.
11. Moran CG, Wenn RT, Sikand M, Taylor AM. Early mortality after hip fracture: is delay before surgery important? J Bone Joint Surg Am 2005;87:483-9. Crossref
12. Moja L, Piatti A, Pecoraro V, et al. Timing matters in hip fracture surgery: patients operated within 48 hours have better outcomes. A meta-analysis and meta-regression of over 190,000 patients. PLoS One 2012;7:e46175. Crossref
13. Bottle A, Aylin P. Mortality associated with delay in operation after hip fracture: observational study. BMJ 2006;332:947-51. Crossref
14. Sund R, Liski A. Quality effects of operative delay on mortality in hip fracture treatment. Qual Saf Health Care 2005;14:371-7. Crossref
15. Casaletto JA, Gatt R. Post-operative mortality related to waiting time for hip fracture surgery. Injury 2004;35:114-20. Crossref
16. Novack V, Jotkowitz A, Etzion O, Porath A. Does delay in surgery after hip fracture lead to worse outcomes? A multicenter survey. Int J Qual Health Care 2007;19:170-6. Crossref
17. Zuckerman JD. Hip fracture. N Engl J Med 1996;334:1519-25. Crossref
18. Lau PY. To improve the quality of life in elderly people with fragility fractures. Hong Kong Med J 2016;22:4-5.
19. Simunovic N, Devereaux PJ, Sprague S, et al. Effect of early surgery after hip fracture on mortality and complications: systematic review and meta-analysis. CMAJ 2010;182:1609-16. Crossref
20. Chief Executive’s Progress Report on Key Performance Indicators (KPI Report No. 29, December 2015). Available from: https://www.ha.org.hk/haho/ho/cad_bnc/AOM-P1169.pdf. Accessed Sep 2016.
21. Lau TW, Fang C, Leung F. The effectiveness of a geriatric hip fracture clinical pathway in reducing hospital and rehabilitation length of stay and improving short-term mortality rates. Geriatr Orthop Surg Rehabil 2013;4:3-9. Crossref
22. Nyholm AM, Gromov K, Palm H, et al. Time to surgery is associated with thirty-day and ninety-day mortality after proximal femoral fracture: a retrospective observational study on prospectively collected data from the Danish fracture database collaborators. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2015;97:1333-9. Crossref
23. Royal College of Physicians. National Hip Fracture Database annual report 2015. Available from: http://www.nhfd.co.uk/nhfd/nhfd2015reportPR1.pdf. Accessed Jun 2016.
24. Leung AH, Lam TP, Cheung WH, et al. An orthogeriatric collaborative intervention program for fragility fractures: a retrospective cohort study. J Trauma 2011;71:1390-4. Crossref
25. Vidán M, Serra JA, Moreno C, Riquelme G, Ortiz J. Efficacy of a comprehensive geriatric intervention in older patients hospitalized for hip fracture: a randomized, controlled trial. J Am Geriatr Soc 2005;53:1476-82. Crossref
26. Friedman SM, Mendelson DA, Kates SL, McCann RM. Geriatric co-management of proximal femur fractures: total quality management and protocol-driven care result in better outcomes for a frail patient population. J Am Geriatr Soc 2008;56:1349-56. Crossref
27. Thwaites JH, Mann F, Gilchrist N, Frampton C, Rothwell A, Sainsbury R. Shared care between geriatricians and orthopaedic surgeons as a model of care for older patients with hip fractures. N Z Med J 2005;118:U1438.
28. Ho AW, Wong SH. Orthogeriatric collaborative intervention program for hip fracture surgery: A review on southern Chinese population. Osteoporos Int 2016;27(Supp 1):P400.
29. Orosz GM, Hannan EL, Magaziner J, et al. Hip fracture in the older patient: reasons for delay in hospitalization and timing of surgical repair. J Am Geriatr Soc 2002;50:1336-40. Crossref
30. Chau PH, Wong M, Lee A, Ling M, Woo J. Trends in hip fracture incidence and mortality in Chinese population from Hong Kong 2001-09. Age Ageing 2013;42:229-33. Crossref

A cross-sectional study of the knowledge, attitude, and practice of patients aged 50 years or above towards herpes zoster in an out-patient setting

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Aug;23(4):365–73 | Epub 7 Jul 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj165043
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
A cross-sectional study of the knowledge, attitude, and practice of patients aged 50 years or above towards herpes zoster in an out-patient setting
Anthony CY Lam, MY Chan, HY Chou, SY Ho, HL Li, CY Lo, KF Shek, SY To, KK Yam, Ian Yeung
Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Anthony CY Lam (hrp20152016@gmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: There has been limited research on the knowledge of and attitudes about herpes zoster in the Hong Kong population. This study aimed to investigate the knowledge, attitude, and practice of patients aged 50 years or above towards herpes zoster and its vaccination.
 
Methods: This was a cross-sectional study in the format of a structured questionnaire interview carried out in Sai Ying Pun Jockey Club General Outpatient Clinic in Hong Kong. Knowledge of herpes zoster and its vaccination was assessed, and patient attitudes to and concerns about the disease were evaluated. Factors that affected a decision about vaccination against herpes zoster were investigated.
 
Results: A total of 408 Hong Kong citizens aged 50 years or above were interviewed. Multiple regression analysis revealed that number of correct responses regarding knowledge about herpes zoster was positively correlated with educational attainment (B=0.313, P=0.026) and history of herpes zoster (B=0.408, P=0.038), and negatively correlated with age (B= –0.042, P<0.001) and male gender (B= –0.396, P=0.029). Answers to several questions revealed a sizable number of misconceptions about the disease. Among all respondents, 35% stated that they were worried about getting the disease, and 17% would consider vaccination against herpes zoster.
 
Conclusions: Misconceptions about herpes zoster were notable in this study. More health education is needed to improve the understanding and heighten awareness of herpes zoster among the general public. Although the majority of participants indicated that herpes zoster would have a significant impact on their health, a relatively smaller proportion was actually worried about getting the disease. Further studies on this topic should be encouraged to gauge the awareness and knowledge of herpes zoster among broader age-groups.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Certain misconceptions about herpes zoster persist among Hong Kong people.
  • While a majority of participants indicated that herpes zoster would have a significant impact on their health, a relatively smaller proportion of respondents were actually worried about getting the disease.
  • Vaccination against herpes zoster is currently not common among Hong Kong people.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • More health education should be provided to improve knowledge about herpes zoster and clarify misconceptions about the disease among Hong Kong people.
  • Health promotion that includes treatment and/or prevention of herpes zoster can be explored.
 
 
Introduction
Varicella zoster virus (VZV) is a member of the Herpesviridae family and is an enveloped double-stranded DNA virus. Primary infection with VZV causes varicella, commonly known as chickenpox. The virus migrates to the sensory ganglia and establishes latency, by which the affected individual becomes asymptomatic. Reactivation of the virus causes herpes zoster (HZ), also known as shingles.1
 
Infection with VZV is the highest reported notifiable infectious disease in Hong Kong, with 8879 cases reported in 2016.2 A study in 1994 showed that antibodies against VZV were found in more than 90% of children by 8 years of age,3 illustrating that latent infection was highly prevalent. These individuals would be at risk of HZ.
 
Studies report the lifetime prevalence of HZ to be approximately 10% to 32%.1 4 The University of Hong Kong estimated the prevalence of HZ to be 16.8%.5 The incidence of HZ is positively correlated with age.6 Individuals who are immunocompromised7 or have a chronic disease8 may be at a greater risk of having HZ.
 
The viral disease HZ presents with a rash with dermatomal distribution, accompanied by vesicular eruption and neuropathic pain.7 A number of complications can result from HZ.9 Post-herpetic neuralgia, a persistent neuropathic pain in the area affected by HZ, can develop particularly in older adults.9 10 Other serious sequelae include HZ ophthalmicus, HZ oticus and bacterial skin infections, all of which adversely affect the quality of life of patients.9 These also place a significant economic burden on the health care system.11 In 2009, a study estimated the cost of treating new HZ cases in the US to be over one billion US dollars each year.12 Active HZ can be treated by antiviral therapy, such as acyclovir.7 13
 
The vaccine for HZ is a live vaccine approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) of the US in 2006 for the prevention of HZ in immunocompetent patients aged 60 years or above.14 The vaccine has been approved for use in Hong Kong since 2007.13 The FDA approved the use of the vaccine in individuals aged 50 to 59 years in 2011.15 According to the Shingles Prevention Study,16 HZ vaccine lowered the incidence of HZ by 51% and reduced the pain and discomfort of postherpetic neuralgia by 66% when compared with placebo. Similar studies to assess public awareness of HZ and its vaccination were then carried out. The Herpes Zoster Global Awareness Survey from 22 countries17 and a knowledge, attitude, and practice study in South Korea18 were conducted in 2009 and 2015, respectively. Factors promoting or limiting the prevalence of vaccination against HZ were also investigated in the latter study.18
 
There has been limited research conducted in the Hong Kong population to assess the knowledge of and attitudes towards HZ and the practice of vaccination. This study aimed to explore these areas.
 
Methods
Setting and participants
A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 11 clinic sessions during 24 July to 12 August 2015 at the Sai Ying Pun Jockey Club General Outpatient Clinic (GOPC). The GOPC is open to the general public and serves all patients who comprise mainly those with chronic or episodic disease. There were 6330 patients attending the clinic during the study period, of which approximately three quarters aged 50 years or above. These patients in the waiting area of the clinic were selected by convenience sampling to participate in this study. No additional criteria were set to allow for a higher degree of generalisability. Participants were asked to complete a face-to-face questionnaire after giving written informed consent. They were allowed to either complete the questionnaire themselves, or listen to the researcher reading the questions aloud without any additional interpretation, then answer the question verbally. Approval was obtained from the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong/Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster and the GOPC prior to commencement of this study.
 
Research instrument
A questionnaire consisting of 30 items was designed; this included questions on demographics (n=3), medical history (n=4), whether the respondent had heard about HZ (n=1), knowledge of HZ (n=8) and HZ vaccination (n=6); attitudes towards preventing HZ (n=7); and whether the respondent would consider vaccination against HZ (n=1).
 
Statistical analysis
To estimate the proportions of participant responses to the questions about knowledge of HZ, for 95% confidence level with an expected true proportion of 50% and 5% margin of error, a sample size of 385 was obtained using the formula:
N=Z2p(1−p)/C2
where N=sample size, Z=Z value, p=population variance, and C=margin of error
 
To analyse the number of correct responses associated with five demographic factors with an effect size (f2) of 0.15 and a statistical power of 0.8, an a-priori analysis was employed to obtain the sample size of 92 to achieve a 5% margin of error, using G*Power (version 3.1.9.2) and the following formulae19:
N=λ/f2 and N=v+u+1
where N=sample size, λ=non-centrality parameter, f2=effect size, v=degree of freedom of the denominator of the F ratio, and u=number of predictors
 
Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS (Windows version 23.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US). Demographic data, medical history, respondents’ attitude towards preventing HZ and decision about HZ vaccination were analysed by descriptive statistics. Regarding knowledge of HZ, the number of correct responses out of eight questions was calculated. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to evaluate the association of the number of correct responses with age, gender, educational attainment, history of HZ, and history of chronic diseases. Chi squared tests were applied to evaluate the associations in giving correct response to each question among the same five variables. A P value of <0.05 was considered significant.
 
Results
Demographics
A total of 496 persons were invited to participate in the study, of whom 430 agreed which corresponded to a response rate of 87%; 408 valid responses were collected. The sample was not weighted by the population because the male-to-female ratio was similar to that of the population (48:52).20 The demographic data are shown in Table 1. Approximately 40% of respondents did not know their history of chickenpox despite its high prevalence, whereas over 95% had heard of the condition of HZ. Although some respondents did not understand the medical terminology “herpes zoster”, most of them knew the Cantonese colloquial name (生蛇).
 

Table 1. Demographics of respondents
 
Knowledge of herpes zoster
Table 2 summarises the responses to the eight questions pertaining to the knowledge of HZ, in which 16 respondents who had never heard of the condition were excluded. Only 29.6% knew that chickenpox and HZ are related. Over half were unsure of the lifetime prevalence of HZ. Immunocompromised state was a well-known risk factor of HZ (84.7%). Over 70% were aware that VZV can reactivate in young ages. Rash, blisters, and neuropathic pain were the most commonly known symptoms of HZ, identified by 85.7% of respondents. Nonetheless 13.3% did not know the symptoms of HZ even though they had heard of the disease.
 

Table 2. Responses to questions regarding the knowledge of herpes zoster
 
There is a saying in Chinese society that death will ensue when the rash of HZ circumvents the body. Worryingly, only slightly less than half (48.7%) knew that this was untrue, 18.9% thought the statement was true and the remaining were unsure. Additionally, 69.6% gave the correct response that contacts of HZ patients could not acquire HZ infection directly, and 72.2% knew that HZ was treatable.
 
Respondents scored a mean (±standard deviation [SD]) of 4.96 (±1.72) correct responses out of eight. Over half of all subjects answered five or six questions correctly.
 
Of 392 participants who had heard of HZ, 11 respondents who were uncertain of their history of HZ were excluded from the multivariate regression analysis regarding the knowledge of HZ (Table 3a). The number of correct responses was positively correlated with educational attainment (P=0.026) and history of HZ (P=0.038), but negatively correlated with age per year (P<0.001) and male gender (P=0.029).
 

Table 3. (a) Multiple regression analysis between the number of correct responses to questions regarding the knowledge of herpes zoster (HZ) and selected demographic factors (n=381). (b) Results from Chi squared tests showing odds ratios of giving correct responses to questions on knowledge regarding HZ (n=381)
 
The results of the Chi squared tests and the corresponding odds ratios are shown in Table 3b. Respondents aged 65 years or above were half as likely as those aged 50-64 years to give correct responses regarding the relationship between chickenpox and HZ (P=0.007), the higher risk of HZ among immunocompromised individuals (P=0.027), and the misconception of death associated with a circumventing rash  (P=0.003). In contrast, participants with higher educational attainment were more likely than those without to give appropriate answers to the latter two questions (P=0.008 and P<0.001, respectively).
 
Respondents with a history of HZ (P=0.001) and those with higher educational attainment (P=0.028) were more likely to correctly identify the symptoms of HZ.
 
Knowledge of herpes zoster vaccination
Of 392 respondents, 148 (37.8%) had heard of the HZ vaccine. Only this subgroup was asked to answer four additional questions about the vaccine (Table 4). One respondent who did not answer the questions was excluded. On average, 1.73 (±1.00) out of four responses were correct.
 

Table 4. Responses to questions regarding the knowledge of herpes zoster vaccination
 
Nearly half of these respondents (46.9%) correctly identified the target age-group for HZ vaccination and 24.5% thought there was no age limit. Most subjects did not know that vaccination is possible regardless of history of chickenpox or HZ. Around two thirds (68.0%) were aware that the vaccine can significantly reduce the incidence of HZ, but only 49.7% knew that the vaccine is not indicated for treatment of active disease.
 
Attitudes and practice
Table 5 gives a breakdown of the seven questions about attitudes of respondents to HZ. Over half (52.2%) of 391 respondents (with one participant who did not answer the questions being excluded) thought they had an insufficient understanding of HZ. Almost two thirds were interested in learning more about the disease (66.2%) and its prevention (66.0%). A similar percentage of subjects (64.5%) remarked that there were inadequate channels to learn about prevention of the disease. While 76.7% believed that HZ could affect their health significantly, only 35.0% were worried about getting the disease. Almost one third (30.4%) said that they could afford the HZ vaccine.
 

Table 5. Responses to questions regarding the attitude towards prevention of herpes zoster
 
Among the subgroup who had heard of the HZ vaccine, 140 (94.6%) replied that their doctor had not mentioned or recommended the vaccine.
 
This study compared the vaccination rate for HZ with that of influenza and pneumococcus. The latter two vaccines are recommended by the Centre for Health Protection for those aged above 65 years and are included in the Elderly Vaccination Subsidy Scheme.21 Enquiry revealed that 26.9% and 14.3% of 391 respondents had taken the influenza vaccine in the past year and pneumococcal vaccine in the past 5 years, respectively. The figures were much higher than that for HZ vaccination (2.8%).
 
When asked about the reasons for not having HZ vaccination, approximately half (47.1%) replied that they were unaware of its availability. This was followed by inadequate promotion from doctors and public education (32.4%), the relatively high cost of the vaccine (28.4%), and good self-perceived health (20.3%). Lastly, 17.2% replied that they would consider HZ vaccination in the future.
 
Discussion
This study attempted to investigate the knowledge, awareness, and attitudes towards HZ and its vaccination among citizens aged 50 years or above in Hong Kong. The results were informative. They revealed that the general public do not have adequate knowledge about the diseases caused by VZV or awareness regarding the prevention of HZ. This corroborates the general opinion of having an inadequate understanding of the disease. Similar findings have been observed in other countries according to a global survey,17 in which around 67% subjects stated they had little or no knowledge about HZ.
 
Few respondents in this study knew that chickenpox (varicella zoster) and shingles (HZ) are caused by the same virus. Similar results have been reported by the Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong (HKUPOP).5 Certain misconception about the disease persists—death from a rash circumventing the body—is still a commonly believed myth among the middle-aged and the elderly people. This study found that the proportions of respondents who were aware of HZ and its vaccination were comparable with those reported by a study in South Korea.18
 
There was a significant association between educational attainment and the correct responses regarding knowledge of HZ. The positive correlation between a history of HZ and the number of correct responses, however, was only marginally significant. There may be several reasons. Physicians may not have given patients enough information about the disease with consequent persistence of misconceptions. Patients who have had the disease should not be presumed to have a better understanding than those who have not. Moreover, participants might be relatively less aware of HZ due to its less life-interfering nature: only 35% were concerned about getting the disease. Despite the relatively low perceived risk, approximately 77% opined that HZ would have a significant effect on their health, whilst 66% admitted an interest in knowing more about the disease and its prevention. Similar observations have been reported in other countries,17 where 26% predicted that they were likely to have HZ in the future, and 70% indicated that they would ask their doctors about HZ vaccination.
 
This study found that over 60% of respondents showed disagreement regarding whether there was sufficient accessibility to information about the prevention of HZ. This may contribute to a lack of awareness of the HZ vaccine as the most common reason in our study for non-vaccination. This serves to emphasise the substantial role of doctors in health promotion regarding HZ in future.
 
According to the study conducted in South Korea,18 although 85.8% of participants would consider vaccination against HZ initially, the figure fell to 59.6% when they took account of the associated cost. On the contrary, HZ vaccination was considered by 17.2% and 36.0% of respondents in this study and in the survey led by HKUPOP,5 respectively, suggesting that HZ vaccination is currently not widely accepted by the community. The situations in Hong Kong and South Korea are similar to some degree since participants expressed some interest in vaccination but associated cost and recommendations from doctors were key influences on a decision about whether or not to vaccinate.
 
Limitations
This study could be subject to selection bias because participants were recruited via convenience sampling in one clinic only. The results obtained from this study may have limited generalisability to the GOPC setting and the general population. In future studies, representative samples may be recruited from clinics in various districts and specialties to achieve a more diverse group of people and to further confirm the associations.

Several survey responses were invalidated. For instance, some people claimed that they had not had chickenpox before but had had HZ. This is biologically implausible and may be because most people got chickenpox as an infant or child.1 3 8 This hinders accurate recall unless family member can help. Recall bias is another recognised limitation of this study. Patients with a history of HZ or other chronic diseases usually pay greater attention to their health. Their medical history was subject to self-reported bias since such information could not be retrieved from their medical records.

Another source of bias comes from non-response. Those who refused to participate in the survey (13%) stated that they were unfamiliar with the disease. The results of this study may also be affected by responses that were speculative, as reflected by the observation that some respondents tended to guess rather than answer “uncertain or do not know”. These factors may overvalue the level of understanding of the disease among the general public that could have been improved by a pilot study to design questions with clear wordings and simple language. A pilot study would help identify respondents’ strategies in answering specific questions that required recall, to better evaluate their understanding of HZ, and establish the limits of recollection, with the effect of minimising bias, and enhancing accuracy and response completeness.

Further studies may be initiated to investigate the epidemiology of HZ in Hong Kong, and clarify whether there are significant associations of HZ knowledge with specific socio-demographic groups. Similar studies should also be conducted in younger adults.

Since 2014, the varicella zoster vaccine has been incorporated into the Hong Kong Childhood Immunisation Programme, under which children will be vaccinated against chickenpox at 1 year of age and during their first year of primary education.22 23 While this may offer protection against chickenpox and HZ for future generations, more studies are needed to determine whether it is also cost-effective to offer HZ vaccination to the population aged 50 years or above. This may have notable implications for its acceptance and practice.

Conclusions
Hong Kong people generally have some knowledge about the symptoms of HZ, and are aware that treatment is available for active disease. Nonetheless, there remains unsatisfactory understanding of the disease progression from chickenpox to HZ, and misconceptions about the disease remain prevalent, particularly in the older age-group. The lack of knowledge that HZ is preventable may be pertinent to the relatively low awareness and acceptance of the HZ vaccine compared with that for vaccines for other important diseases such as influenza and pneumococcal pneumonia. Further public education about varicella zoster and HZ, covering both disease features and effective prevention, will help to empower health, rectify misconceptions, and reduce disease burden in Hong Kong.

Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Dr Wendy WS Tsui and Dr Alfred SK Kwong from the Department of Family Medicine and Primary Health Care, Queen Mary Hospital, for their kind permission to conduct the study in the Sai Ying Pun GOPC. We thank Dr LW Tian from the Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, the University of Hong Kong, for his invaluable feedback and support. This study was conducted by medical students as a Health Research Project submitted to the School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, the University of Hong Kong.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
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7. Gnann JW Jr, Whitley RJ. Clinical practice. Herpes zoster. N Engl J Med 2002;347:340-6. Crossref
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9. Sampathkumar P, Drage LA, Martin DP. Herpes zoster (shingles) and postherpetic neuralgia. Mayo Clin Proc 2009;84:274-80. Crossref
10. Johnson RW, Wasner G, Saddier P, Baron R. Postherpetic neuralgia: epidemiology, pathophysiology and management. Expert Rev Neurother 2007;7:1581-95. Crossref
11. Panatto D, Bragazzi NL, Rizzitelli E, et al. Evaluation of the economic burden of Herpes Zoster (HZ) infection. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2015;11:245-62. Crossref
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13. Compendium of pharmaceutical products 2015. Drug Office, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government; 2015. 
14. FDA licenses new vaccine to reduce older Americans’ risk of shingles. US Food and Drug Administration; 2006. Available from: http://www.fda.gov/NewsEvents/Newsroom/PressAnnouncements/2006/ucm108659.htm. Accessed 29 Dec 2015. 
15. FDA approves Zostavax vaccine to prevent shingles in individuals 50 to 59 years of age. US Food and Drug Administration; 2011. Available from: http://www.fda.gov/NewsEvents/Newsroom/PressAnnouncements/ucm248390.htm. Accessed 29 Dec 2015.
16. Oxman MN, Levin MJ, Johnson GR, et al. A vaccine to prevent herpes zoster and postherpetic neuralgia in older adults. N Engl J Med 2005;352:2271-84. Crossref
17. Paek E, Johnson R. Public awareness and knowledge of herpes zoster: results of a global survey. Gerontology 2010;56:20-31. Crossref
18. Yang TU, Cheong HJ, Song JY, Noh JY, Kim WJ. Survey on public awareness, attitudes, and barriers for herpes zoster vaccination in South Korea. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2015;11:719-26. Crossref
19. Faul F, Erdfelder E, Buchner A, Lang AG. Statistical power analyses using G*Power 3.1: tests for correlation and regression analyses. Behav Res Methods 2009;41:1149-60. Crossref
20. 2011 Population Census summary results. Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong SAR Government; 2012.
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22. Chickenpox vaccine recommended for Childhood Immunisation Programme. Information Services Department, Hong Kong SAR Government; 2013. Available from: http://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/201302/25/P201302250272.htm. Accessed 29 Dec 2015. 
23. Hong Kong Childhood Immunisation Programme. Family Health Service, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government; 2015. Available from: http://www.fhs.gov.hk/english/main_ser/child_health/child_health_recommend.html. Accessed 29 Dec 2015.

Are we making good use of our public resources? The false-positive rate of screening by fundus photography for diabetic macular oedema

Hong Kong Med J 2017 Aug;23(4):356–64 | Epub 7 Jul 2017
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj166078
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Are we making good use of our public resources? The false-positive rate of screening by fundus photography for diabetic macular oedema
Raymond LM Wong, MRCSEd (Ophth), FCOphth HK1,2,3; CW Tsang, FRCSEd (Ophth)1,3; David SH Wong, FRCOphth2; Sarah McGhee, FFPH (UK)4; CH Lam, BSc(Hons) in Optometry2; J Lian, PhD4; Jacky WY Lee, FRCSEd (Ophth)2; Jimmy SM Lai, FRCOphth2; Victor Chong, FRCOphth2,5; Ian YH Wong, FRCOphth2
1 Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
2 Department of Ophthalmology, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
3 Hong Kong Eye Hospital, 147K Argyle Street, Hong Kong
4 Department of Community Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
5 Oxford Eye Hospital, Oxford University Hospitals, Oxford, United Kingdom
 
Corresponding authors: Dr Raymond LM Wong (raymondwlm@hotmail.com), Dr Ian YH Wong (wongyhi@hku.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: A large proportion of patients diagnosed with diabetic maculopathy using fundus photography and hence referred to specialist clinics following the current screening guidelines adopted in Hong Kong and United Kingdom are found to be false-positive, implying that they did not have macular oedema. This study aimed to evaluate the false-positive rate of diabetic maculopathy screening using the objective optical coherence tomography scan.
 
Methods: This was a cross-sectional observational study. Consecutive diabetic patients from the Hong Kong West Cluster Diabetic Retinopathy Screening Programme with fundus photographs graded R1M1 were recruited between October 2011 and June 2013. Spectral-domain optical coherence tomography imaging was performed. Central macular thickness of ≥300 µm and/or the presence of optical coherence tomography signs of diabetic macular oedema were used to define the presence of diabetic macular oedema. Patients with conditions other than diabetes that might affect macular thickness were excluded. The mean central macular thickness in various subgroups of R1M1 patients was calculated and the proportion of subjects with central macular thickness of ≥300 µm was used to assess the false-positive rate of this screening strategy.
 
Results: A total of 491 patients were recruited during the study period. Of the 352 who were eligible for analysis, 44.0%, 17.0%, and 38.9% were graded as M1 due to the presence of foveal ‘haemorrhages’, ‘exudates’, or ‘haemorrhages and exudates’, respectively. The mean (±standard deviation) central macular thickness was 265.1±55.4 µm. Only 13.4% (95% confidence interval, 9.8%-17.0%) of eyes had a central macular thickness of ≥300 µm, and 42.9% (95% confidence interval, 37.7%-48.1%) of eyes had at least one optical coherence tomography sign of diabetic macular oedema. For patients with retinal haemorrhages only, 9.0% (95% confidence interval, 4.5%-13.5%) had a central macular thickness of ≥300 µm; 23.2% (95% confidence interval, 16.6%-29.9%) had at least one optical coherence tomography sign of diabetic macular oedema. The false-positive rate of the current screening strategy for diabetic macular oedema was 86.6%.
 
Conclusion: The high false-positive rate of the current diabetic macular oedema screening adopted by the United Kingdom and Hong Kong may lead to unnecessary psychological stress for patients and place a financial burden on the health care system. A better way of screening is urgently needed. Performing additional spectral-domain optical coherence tomography scans on selected patients fulfils this need.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • The current Hong Kong diabetic retinopathy screening results in a high level of false positive results, which in turn creates unnecessary psychological stress for patients and financial burden on our health care system.
  • The current screening programme can be improved by the use of optical coherence tomography scans in selected patients.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The results of our study reflect a need to revise the current Hong Kong diabetic retinopathy screening system (Risk Assessment and Management Programme; RAMP-DR).
 
 
Introduction
Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is one of the most common causes of blindness and its incidence increases with the duration of diabetes.1 2 3 The reported prevalence ranges from 24%-40% after 5 years to 80%-90% after 20 years of diabetes.2 3 4 Diabetic macular oedema (DME) and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) are the two major causes of vision loss in DR.5 The Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) showed that clinically significant macular oedema (CSME) leads to moderate vision loss in one of four patients with this condition over 3 years. Timely laser treatment reduces the risk of vision loss by half.6 In recent years, there has been a move towards the use of newer treatment modalities, such as intravitreal injection of anti–vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) agents that are superior to the traditional laser treatment in the management of CSME.7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Screening for DR has been proven to be cost-effective in reducing significant vision loss by early detection of the pathology.15 16 17 This will subsequently reduce the financial burden caused by vision complications of DR on the health care system.18 19 A number of DR screening strategies are available with different efficacies.20 Systematic screening for DR with fundus photography has been implemented in the UK and Hong Kong, and it has been shown to be cost-effective for sight-threatening conditions from the provider’s perspective (Fig 1).21 However, the accuracy of the current DR screening protocol for DME remains unknown. With limited health care resources, improving the accuracy and cost-effectiveness of systematic screening programmes is important.22
 

Figure 1. (a) The left disc and part of the macula showing evidence of new vessels elsewhere (yellow arrowheads) and exudates (green arrowhead). (b) Presence of new vessels are better seen on a red-free version of the same photo (yellow arrowheads)
 
In Hong Kong, individuals who attend public out-patient clinics for diabetes management are offered annual fundus photography for DR screening. Eyes are graded according to the protocol adopted by the UK National Health Service (Diabetic Eye Screening Revised Grading Definitions, version 1.4, NHS Screening Programmes). Those found to have sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR), that is, patients who have their worse eye graded as pre-proliferative DR (R2 or above), maculopathy (M1) or ungradable at screening, are referred for clinical assessment by an ophthalmologist. Those confirmed to have CSME or PDR are then offered appropriate treatment.6
 
Unlike PDR, DME cannot be visualised with fundus photography because of the lack of stereopsis in two-dimensional photographs. Instead of appreciating the actual macular thickening, determining the presence of surrogate markers in the macula, such as retinal exudates and haemorrhages, is currently the recommended first step in predicting the presence of macular oedema from fundus photography.23
 
Our unpublished data from the Hong Kong West Cluster DR Screening Programme showed that the prevalence of ungradable fundus photographs was 3.8% and the rate for a positive screen for M1 by fundus photography was 14%. Those graded as M1 accounted for 86.4% of all the referred STDR cases. A similar result was found in the UK where 79% of all subjects with diabetes who were referred to ophthalmology clinics following screening were graded as M1.24 These findings indicate that M1 is the most prevalent type of STDR diagnosed at screening among subjects with diabetes in both the UK and Hong Kong. Due to the limited ability of fundus photography to visualise retinal thickening in DME, the number of false positives (ie those without DME) has become a concern. The opportunity to detect M1 at an early stage during DR screening is potentially very valuable. A high false-positive rate is perceived to increase the burden on patients and public health care resources. Because these false positive cases do not need treatment, such extra workload produces no benefit and could be considered a waste of public resources. On the other hand, it would benefit the cost-effectiveness of macular oedema detection if a screening protocol with fewer false positive results could be identified.
 
In recent years, optical coherence tomography (OCT) has been developed to generate highly accurate and objective information regarding the cross-sectional view of the retina. This scanning technique is fast, safe, non-invasive, contact-free, and with no radiation exposure. It is a reliable means to identify macular thickening in diabetics. Comparison of photographic-graded M1 with the findings from OCT scans can perhaps enable us to better understand the current level of false positives at screening and provide essential information to evaluate the means by which the cost-effectiveness of screening for M1 can be improved. The aims of this study were to evaluate the false-positive rate of grade M1 using the existing criteria and OCT imaging as the reference standard, and also to estimate the consequences of inappropriate specialty clinic referrals generated from the false positive results.
 
Methods
In this cross-sectional observational study, patients were recruited from the Hong Kong West Cluster DR Screening Programme. This programme offers annual DR screening to all diabetic patients in Queen Mary Hospital (a teaching hospital in Hong Kong) and patients referred from the Hong Kong Risk Assessment and Management Programme (RAMP-DR screening) in the Hong Kong West Cluster. In other words, this programme cares for the eye conditions of all the diabetic patients attending public sector in the Hong Kong West Cluster. There are 500 000 residents in the Hong Kong West Cluster and around 7 000 000 citizens in Hong Kong. Assuming the prevalence of diabetes mellitus to be similar across different regions of Hong Kong, Hong Kong West Cluster cares for 7.1% (500 000/7 000 000) of diabetic patients in the city. All patients who attended this programme had mydriatic fundus photographs taken for DR screening. Fundus photographs were graded by a qualified RAMP screening programme grader (an optometrist) according to the UK NHS Diabetic Eye Screening–Feature Based Grading Forms (Version 1.4). This allocated an M1 grade to subjects with the presence of exudates or retinal haemorrhages/microaneurysms within 1 disc diameter (1.5 mm) of the centre of the fovea, accompanied by a reduction in the best-corrected visual acuity to 6/12 or worse. In addition to maculopathy (M0-M1), retinopathy (R0-R3) was graded from the fundus photographs using the same screening standard. Nonetheless, because patients with moderate non-proliferative DR or worse (DR screening grade R2 or above), which constituted 3.0% of the screened population in Hong Kong,25 needed to be assessed and followed by ophthalmologists regardless of their maculopathy status (M0 or M1), these subjects do not contribute to the extra workload of specialist clinics. Therefore, the current study focused on only patients in whom maculopathy or mild retinopathy (R1M1) was revealed following screening with fundus photography.
 
Consecutive subjects aged 18 years or above (no upper age limit) with fundus photographs graded R1M1 were recruited from October 2011 to June 2013. Patients with retinal or choroidal conditions other than diabetes that could affect retinal thickness were excluded. Patients with media opacities such as cataract were not excluded provided the grading of fundus photography was not affected and optimal OCT scans could be obtained. Therefore, all ungradable photos were excluded from this study. Informed consent was obtained from all the patients. This study adhered to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong/Hong Kong West Cluster.
 
Because the traditional gold standard for diagnosing CSME, slit lamp biomicroscopy, is subjective and difficult to validate, we used OCT imaging as the reference standard for diagnosis. Spectral-domain OCT (sd-OCT) imaging was performed with a Carl Zeiss Cirrus sd-OCT (Carl Zeiss Meditec, Dublin [CA], United States) on all included subjects to determine central macular thickness (CMT) using the Macular Cube protocol (average retinal thickness in the area enclosed in a 1000-µm diameter circle centred at the fovea). A CMT of 300 µm was used as the cut-off for normal macular thickness (the rationale of choosing this value will be discussed in detail in Discussion).
 
The OCT scans were analysed by an experienced retina specialist for the presence of OCT signs of macular oedema, namely the presence of intraretinal cyst, subretinal fluid, diffuse retinal thickening, or change in internal limiting membrane (ILM) contour. During analysis, the retina specialist was blinded to CMT value.
 
Statistical analyses
Only one eye from each subject was used in the analysis. For patients with both eyes graded as R1M1, only their right eye was chosen for analysis. A descriptive analysis was used to summarise the demographic characteristics of study subjects. The positive predictive values (PPVs) of different combinations of criteria were calculated with 95% confidence interval (CI). We first classified the fundus photographs into three groups according to the criteria used to grade them as M1 at screening: haemorrhages only, exudates only, or both haemorrhages and exudates. Each of these three groups was compared with the reference standard results of the OCT scan that measured a CMT of ≥300 µm to calculate the PPV of each M1 criterion at screening. We also calculated the PPV by comparing each of these three groups with the reference standard results of the OCT that measured any OCT signs of DME. Chi squared test was used to determine whether there were any significant differences in the PPVs among the three groups. The false-positive rate was obtained by subtracting the PPV from 1.
 
Results
A total of 491 R1M1 patients were recruited during the study period. After excluding those with conditions that might affect macular thickness or the quality of an OCT scan such as dense cataract, 352 R1M1 patients remained eligible for analysis. The mean (± standard deviation) age of these 352 patients was 65 ± 11 years and 187 (53%) patients were female.
 
Among the 352 eyes analysed, 155 (44.0%), 60 (17.0%), and 137 (38.9%) were graded as M1 based on the presence of foveal haemorrhages, exudates, or haemorrhages and exudates, respectively, in the fundus photographs (Table 1).
 

Table 1. Incidence of OCT signs among fundus photographic signs of diabetic macular oedema and corresponding CMT
 
 
The overall mean CMT of all the subjects was 265.1 µm. The mean CMT was 256.8 µm for the patients with haemorrhages only, 270.0 µm for the patients with exudates only, and 272.4 µm for those with both haemorrhages and exudates.
 
Overall, only 47 (13.4%) of the 352 (95% CI, 9.8%-17.0%) eyes had a CMT of ≥300 µm (Table 1). Using the criterion of the presence of retinal haemorrhages within 1 disc diameter from the centre of the fovea, 9.0% (95% CI, 4.5%-13.5%) of eyes had a CMT of ≥300 µm, which was the lowest proportion. Applying the criterion of presence of exudates at the fovea, 15.0% (95% CI, 6.0%-24.0%) had a CMT of ≥300 µm; and in the presence of simultaneous haemorrhages and exudates, this figure was 17.5% (95% CI, 11.1%-23.9%) [Chi squared=4.70, P=0.096].
 
When CMT was not taken into account, 151 (42.9%) of the 352 (95% CI, 37.7%-48.1%) eyes had at least one OCT sign of DME (Table 1). The proportion of eyes with any OCT signs of macular oedema varied depending on the criterion applied to define the eye as MI. The proportion was lowest for presence of haemorrhages at 1 disc diameter from the centre of the fovea at 23.2% (95% CI, 16.6%-29.9%) followed by 51.7% (95% CI, 39.1%-64.3%) for the presence of exudates at the fovea, and 61.3% (95% CI, 53.1%-69.5%) for the presence of simultaneous haemorrhages and exudates (Chi squared=45.3, P<0.001).
 
Of the 47 eyes with a CMT of ≥300 µm, 95.7% were noted to have at least one OCT sign of DME, which was a significantly higher proportion than in eyes with CMT of <300 µm (34.8%, P<0.001; Table 2).
 

Table 2. Comparison of incidence of OCT signs between CMT of ≥300 µm and CMT of <300 µm
 
 
The PPV of the DME screening was 13.4% (95% CI, 9.8%-17.0%) and false-positive rate was 86.6% (95% CI, 83.0%-90.2%) if macular thickness was used to define the presence of macular oedema. The PPV remained as low as 42.9% (95% CI, 37.7%-48.1%) and false-positive rate 57.1% (95% CI, 51.9%-62.3%) even if the thickness criterion was dropped and presence of OCT signs of macular oedema were considered sufficient to indicate the presence of oedema.
 
Discussion
Annual DR screening by ophthalmologists is an ideal but costly method that most health care systems can ill afford. The UK and Hong Kong adopt the fundus photography screening strategy that effectively prevents vision loss from PDR but may not be as accurate as in the screening of DME. The current study showed a high false-positive rate of 86.6% and low PPV of 13.4% in the screening for DME. Similar to our findings, a UK audit by Jyothi et al24 revealed that 79% of their M1 patients who were referred to specialist clinics did not require any intervention. Because a grade of M1 is used to estimate the presence of CSME and, ideally, all CSME patients should be treated, most of those who were not treated would be due to a false positive result (ie patients without CSME being graded as M1). Therefore, despite the absence of further evaluation of their M1 patients, the results of Jyothi et al’s study24 imply a low accuracy of the screening strategy.
 
To date, there is no consensus on the upper limit of normality for OCT central subfield (area within 500 µm from the centre of the fovea) thickness, but it is thought to range from 230-300 µm for time-domain OCT and 300-350 µm for sd-OCT.26 The difference between the two types of OCT machines arises because time-domain machines measure retinal thickness from the ellipsoid zone to the ILM while the spectral-domain machines use the distance between retinal pigment epithelium or Bruch’s membrane to the ILM, which are more posterior structures to the ellipsoid zone. Most benchmark studies of the effects of intravitreal anti-VEGF injections in the management of DME used time-domain OCT for assessment. The upper limit of normal CMT was defined as 250 µm in the Diabetic Retinopathy Clinical Research Network (DRCR Network) study10 and READ-2 study8; 275 µm in the RISE and RIDE studies7 and the RESTORE study9; and 300 µm in the RESOLVE study.14 The DRCR Network also showed that sd-OCT measurement can be reliably converted to standard Stratus time-domain OCT measurement with conversion equations.13 If CMT of 250 µm in time-domain OCT is converted to the sd-OCT, it will range from 290.2 µm to 313.4 µm. We chose 300 µm as the cut-off value for the upper limit of normal macular thickness to distinguish abnormal from normal because our Carl Zeiss Cirrus OCT is a sd-OCT. Similar cut-off values were adopted by the DRCR Network in a recently published paper.12 In their multicentre study, when Cirrus OCT was used, 305 µm and 290 µm were used to define increased CMT for males and females, respectively.12 Using 300 µm as the cut-off in our reference standard gave a smaller number of false-positive diagnoses by traditional fundus photography screening than using a higher cut-off value, therefore favouring the current screening programme by being conservative in the estimation of false-positive rate. Another reason for using this criterion was because of the importance of the screening programme to be sufficiently sensitive to identify subtle disease states. Macular oedema is less likely to be present when CMT is <300 µm. Macular oedema should be diagnosed only when a subject’s CMT is ≥300 µm and additional criteria are met. These criteria are as follows: the presence of intraretinal cysts, subretinal fluid and/or diffuse retinal oedema (retinal thickening with areas of reduced retinal reflectivity on OCT scans) on more than one scan, or any of the above associated with a change in the ILM contour (Fig 2), including increased CMT or loss of foveal contour.27 A qualitative and quantitative assessment of the macula with OCT can objectively diagnose or exclude macular oedema.
 

Figure 2. Optical coherence tomography scans of a patient with diabetic macular oedema: (a) presence of intraretinal cysts (arrowheads) and change in foveal ILM contour (arrow); (b) presence of subretinal fluid (arrow) and intraretinal cysts (arrowheads); and (c) presence of diffuse retinal thickening (asterisk)
 
It is worth noting that some believe macular thickness should not be included as an OCT criterion for determining the presence of DME. These ophthalmologists think that as long as any OCT sign of DME (ie presence of intraretinal cyst, subretinal fluid, diffuse retinal thickening and/or change in foveal contour) is present, thickening ensues regardless of CMT. Although we agree that OCT signs signify the presence of genuine oedema, we believe it is still essential to include CMT in the diagnostic criteria because the basis for ophthalmologists treating patients with DME came from the large-scale study performed by the ETDRS group.6 The ETDRS group has proven that only patients with CSME identified ophthalmoscopically by ophthalmologists will benefit from laser treatment compared with controls. Biomicroscopic assessment of DME by an ophthalmologist, however, is less sensitive than an OCT scan in diagnosing macular oedema when retinal thickening is mild.28 29 Therefore, for diabetic patients with a CMT of <300 µm, evidence may not support treatment even if intraretinal cysts or other OCT signs of macular oedema are present, especially since laser and anti-VEGF therapies have potential side-effects. As all of the latest studies to evaluate the effects of anti-VEGF injections in the management of CSME included the CMT criteria when recruiting patients, it was appropriate to include the macular thickness criterion when setting our reference standard. In fact, Bandello et al30 have performed a subgroup analysis with RESTORE study data and showed that treatment efficacy varied among patients with different CMT, in which the visual acuity gain after treatment was less in patients with baseline CMT of ≤300 µm (time-domain OCT measurement) than for those with CMT of >300 µm. Moreover, patients with better baseline visual acuity were more likely to experience visual acuity loss following laser monotherapy. This further justifies the need for the thickness criterion to be included when considering treatment.
 
If CMT ≥300 µm is considered genuine thickening of the macula, regardless of the presence of other OCT signs of DME, the false-positive rate of the current screening (proportion of referred M1 patients with CMT of <300 µm on OCT) protocol is 86.6%. For every 1000 patients referred following screening to an ophthalmologist for diabetic maculopathy, 134 or fewer may require treatment because even among patients with increased CMT, the condition might not be clinically significant when it is only marginally greater than 300 µm. The cost of seeing one patient in a government eye clinic in Hong Kong is HK$600, and the marginal cost of offering one OCT scan is HK$50 (cost of operating staff and colour print-out included; administrative costs in the health care system not included). Therefore, for every 1000 R1M1 patients offered OCT, at least 866 patients will have no CSME, thus referral to an eye specialist is unnecessary. In approximate monetary terms, hospitals would save HK$469 600 per 1000 R1M1 patients (866 x $600 – 1000 x $50) if they had an OCT machine. In addition to the financial burden, the high false-positive rate of screening would lead to unnecessary psychological stress for patients.
 
Based on our study data, if only OCT signs, not CMT, are taken as the reference standard for the presence of genuine DME, the false-positive rate of the current DME screening is also not low at 57.1% of the screened-positive population.
 
A high false-positive rate of screening programmes places a huge burden on the health care system in terms of cost and manpower. In contrast, a high false-negative rate puts patients at risk of vision loss even when effective treatment is readily available.31 32 33 An increased number of patients with vision loss as a consequence of false-negative screening will, in turn, translate into a financial burden on the health care system and society. In view of the rising prevalence of diabetes and its complications worldwide,34 a more reliable and cost-effective screening strategy is needed.
 
We have reviewed the fundus photographs and OCT scans of R1M1 patients and endeavoured to determine why the PPV is unacceptably low. A substantial proportion of the false positive cases were graded M1 because of the presence of dot haemorrhages or microaneurysms within 1 disc diameter from the centre of the fovea together with a best corrected visual acuity of 6/12 or worse. This is one of the criteria for M1 grading in the protocol adopted by the Hong Kong RAMP-DR screening and the UK NHS Diabetic Eye Screening Programme. The inclusion of dot haemorrhages/microaneurysms in the definition of M1 may not be beneficial to the screening programme. For example, they are not included in the Scottish Diabetic Retinopathy Screening Programme (Scottish Diabetic Retinopathy Grading Scheme 2007 v1.1).
 
Further studies should be conducted to evaluate the effects of amending the grading protocol of M1 (eg by revising the grading criteria) in the current screening strategy. The false-positive rate of screening may be reduced, perhaps with minimal impact on the false-negative rate. If resources are available, the addition of OCT imaging in selected cases (eg OCT scans for all patients graded as M1), or even for all (ie OCT for all in addition to fundus photography) may also help increase the effectiveness of screening. Either way, although the false-negative rate of DR screening might be increased, the consequence is not as severe in DME screening as other screenings because CSME generally impairs vision slowly. Furthermore, all negatively screened patients will be screened again in 1 year. If there is progression of disease, signs of disease, such as presence of exudate, will likely become more prominent and be noticed at the subsequent annual screenings. Subtle changes that cannot be detected by screening will not hugely affect the patient’s vision. If the screening strategy is enhanced by performing additional OCT scans, there will be additional benefits on top of the improved accuracy in DME screening since OCT evidence of micro-structural changes to the retinal layers has been shown to correlate well with visual acuity and may have prognostic value in DME.35
 
Since this study recruited consecutive eligible patients from the diabetes complication screening programme and this screening programme is catered to all the public diabetic patients in the Hong Kong West Cluster, which is a representative population of Hong Kong, our findings should reflect the accuracy of the Hong Kong RAMP-DR screening programme.
 
Our study had several limitations, including potential selection bias due to subject recruitment solely in a public hospital, and self-selection bias due to refusal of eligible diabetic patients to participate in screening and/or screened-positive patients to participate in this study. There are a lack of accurate local epidemiological data regarding the prevalence of diabetes in the population resident in the catchment area of the screening programme and the proportion of all diabetic patients in the Hong Kong West Cluster (coverage area) who attend public services is unknown. Hence, our study subjects might not be representative of all diabetic patients in the study area. Nonetheless unlike voluntary response bias, when stratified to different severity levels (eg M0 or M1; R0, R1, R2, or R3), the presentation of DR differs little between patients in the public sector and private sector so bias should be minimal. Regarding self-selection bias, we have no data for the proportion of eligible patients who refused to participate in the screening programme. All patients who visited our clinic were those who agreed to the screening and had been referred from a general out-patient clinic or Department of Medicine of Queen Mary Hospital. All diabetic patients who are currently followed up in the public sector of Hong Kong West Cluster will attend the universal DR screening programme (RAMP). Since this is part of their diabetes follow-up, we may assume that only those who refuse such follow-up in the public sector will miss the RAMP screening. Therefore these potential sources of bias will not affect interpretation of our data. We have not documented the number of screened-positive subjects (DR grade R1M1) who refused to participate in our study, but we believe the number would have been small given our convenient location and the non-invasive nature of OCT scans, thus we should only expect minimal self-selection bias.
 
Another limitation of our study is that only one experienced retina specialist was responsible for determining the presence of OCT signs of DME in our subjects. Nonetheless the retina specialist was blinded to the fundus photography DR grading, and the presence of OCT signs such as intraretinal fluid and change in foveal contour were distinct and not ambiguous. As such, the lack of multiple independent investigators to determine the presence of OCT signs of macular oedema should not have induced bias or affected our findings and final analysis. This study also lacks the data regarding the false-negative rate in the current screening programme. Since the objective of our study was to evaluate the rate of false-positive referrals, only patients with eyes graded as M1 were recruited. In order to evaluate the screening system as a whole, analysis of the data of eyes graded as M0 is also essential. Moreover, the strength and weakness of the screening can be objectively assessed with the calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and false-positive and false-negative rates. Further studies in this respect are warranted.
 
In our study, we used the Macular Cube protocol to measure CMT, determining the macular thickness at 128 different points in the foveal region (500 µm radius from the centre of fovea). By averaging the 128 readings, the CMT of one patient was obtained. This way of measuring CMT is more reliable than performing only two scans (horizontal and vertical) when evaluating macular oedema with OCT.
 
Conclusion
The low PPV of the current DME screening adopted by the UK and Hong Kong will lead to unnecessary psychological stress for patients and place a financial burden on the health care system. An improved screening protocol, such as the addition of sd-OCT scans in selected patients or amendment of the grading protocol of the current screening programme, is necessary to improve its cost-effectiveness.
 
Acknowledgements
This study was supported by the Department of Ophthalmology, The University of Hong Kong. The authors would like to thank all the ophthalmologists and physicians at Queen Mary Hospital (Hong Kong) who were involved in management of the patients.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
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