Prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities and 22q11.2 deletion in conotruncal and non-conotruncal antenatally diagnosed congenital heart diseases in a Chinese population

Hong Kong Med J 2019 Feb;25(1):6–12  |  Epub 18 Jan 2019
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities and 22q11.2 deletion in conotruncal and non-conotruncal antenatally diagnosed congenital heart diseases in a Chinese population
CW Kong, MB, ChB, MRCOG, FHKAM (Obstetrics and Gynaecology)1; Yvonne KY Cheng, MB, ChB, MRCOG, FHKAM (Obstetrics and Gynaecology)2; William WK To, FRCOG, MD1; TY Leung, FRCOG, MD2
1 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, United Christian Hospital, Kwun Tong, Hong Kong
2 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr CW Kong (melizakong@gmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: The aim of the present study was to calculate the prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities among antenatally diagnosed congenital heart diseases (CHDs), and the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion in those with conotruncal CHDs versus isolated non-conotruncal CHDs.
 
Methods: All patients with antenatal ultrasound finding of fetal CHDs in two obstetric units in a 5-year period were retrospectively reviewed. Detected CHDs were classified as conotruncal if the malformation involved either the aortic outflow tract or the pulmonary outflow tract; otherwise they were classified as non-conotruncal. Karyotyping, fluorescence in situ hybridisation for 22q11.2 deletion (22q11FISH), and array comparative genomic hybridisation (aCGH) results were retrieved from patient medical records. The primary outcome was prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities in CHDs. The secondary outcomes were prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion and its prevalence in conotruncal versus non-conotruncal CHDs.
 
Results: A total of 254 Chinese patients were diagnosed to have fetal CHDs. In all, 50 (19.7%) were found to have chromosomal abnormalities with seven (2.8%) patients having 22q11.2 deletion, of whom all seven had conotruncal CHDs and none had non-conotruncal CHDs (P<0.05). Conventional karyotyping detected 35 (70%) cases of the chromosomal abnormalities. The 22q11FISH detected three cases of 22q11.2 deletion; aCGH was performed to detect four cases of 22q11.2 deletion and eight other cases of copy number variations.
 
Conclusion: Our results suggest that invasive testing for karyotyping is recommended for fetal CHDs. Although the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion was low, testing for 22q11.2 deletion should be offered for conotruncal CHDs.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion in the Chinese population is low.
  • Cardiac abnormalities in 22q11.2 deletion are mainly conotruncal cardiac defects.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Patients should receive counselling for invasive testing for chromosomal abnormalities in fetal cardiac lesions.
  • Testing for 22q11.2 deletion is recommended for conotruncal cardiac defect.
 
 
Introduction
Congenital heart diseases (CHDs) are the commonest congenital malformations at birth and a leading cause of neonatal mortality, with an incidence of around eight in 1000 births.1 The reported incidence of chromosomal abnormalities in patients with CHDs differs between infants and fetuses, as well as among different series and studies, ranging from 9% to 18%.2 3 4 5 6 7 Many previous studies have typically only included major aneuploidies as chromosomal abnormalities; other chromosomal aberrations, such as 22q11.2 deletion or other microdeletions, were not investigated. The availability of new cytogenetic and molecular technologies, such as specific fluorescence in situ hybridisation (FISH) probes, array comparative genomic hybridisation (aCGH),8 or sophisticated genome sequencing methods,9 10 has increased the identified contribution of chromosomal abnormalities.
 
The frequency of 22q11.2 deletions among all cases of CHDs has been estimated to be around 2% to 5.7%.11 The prevalence of 22q11.2 deletions in the Chinese population has not been well documented. However, recent studies have shown that the condition is likely to be underdiagnosed in adult Chinese populations, as recognition of clinical and dysmorphic features could be unreliable.12 The most frequently encountered CHDs in this syndrome are conotruncal CHDs that involve the pulmonary or aortic outflow tracts. However, 22q11.2 deletions are also associated with isolated non-conotruncal CHDs.13 14
 
The objective of this study was to calculate the prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities among antenatally diagnosed CHDs, and the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion in those with conotruncal CHDs versus isolated non-conotruncal CHDs.
 
Methods
All pregnant patients with antenatal ultrasound finding of fetal CHDs from July 2012 to June 2017 in two maternal fetal medicine referral centres, United Christian Hospital and Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong, were retrospectively retrieved from the obstetric ultrasound database. Non-Chinese patients were excluded from this cohort. The detected CHDs were classified as conotruncal if the malformation involved either the aortic outflow tract or the pulmonary outflow tract; otherwise, they were classified as non-conotruncal. According to the protocol of these two hospitals, pregnant patients with antenatal ultrasound findings of CHDs were offered invasive testing for karyotyping. Self-financed aCGH was recommended to the patient; if she declined aCGH, FISH for 22q11.2 deletion (22q11FISH) was offered free of charge. The aCGH, FISH, and karyotype of patients from United Christian Hospital were sent to the prenatal diagnostic laboratory of Tsan Yuk Hospital; those of patients from Prince of Wales Hospital were sent to the prenatal diagnostic laboratory of the Chinese University of Hong Kong. NimbleGen CGX 135k (Roche, Basel, Switzerland) and CGX v2 60k (PerkinElmer, Waltham [MA], US) oligonucleotide arrays were used in the aCGH studies in the Tsan Yuk Hospital from July 2012 to March 2014 and from March 2014 to June 2017, respectively. Copy number variations (CNVs) were categorised as previously reported by Kan et al.15 A customised 44k Fetal Chip v1.0 and a 60k Fetal Chip v2.0 (Agilent Technologies, Inc, Santa Clara [CA], US) were used in the Chinese University of Hong Kong for the aCGH studies from July 2012 to November 2013 and from December 2013 to June 2017, respectively. The CNVs were categorised as previously reported by Leung et al.16
 
The aCGH, 22q11FISH, and karyotyping results were reviewed from patient medical records. The prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities in these antenatally diagnosed CHDs fetuses, specifically the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion, was calculated and compared between the conotruncal CHDs and the non-conotruncal CHDs. The primary outcome was the prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities in CHDs. The secondary outcomes were the total prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion in conotruncal CHDs compared with that in non-conotruncal CHDs.
 
The SPSS (Windows version 20.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US) was used for data entry and analysis. Comparison of categorical variables between the conotruncal and non-conotruncal groups was analysed by Chi squared test or Fisher exact test where appropriate. A P value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
 
The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement was used in the preparation of this article.17
 
Results
From July 2012 to June 2017, there were 54 802 deliveries in United Christian Hospital and Prince of Wales Hospital, among which 264 (0.48%) patients were diagnosed to have fetal CHDs by antenatal ultrasound scan. Of these, 254 (96.2%) patients were Chinese and were recruited for final analysis. The mean (± standard deviation) maternal age was 32.3 ± 4.9 years, with 151 (59.4%) patients being nulliparous. The mean gestational age at diagnosis of fetal CHDs by ultrasound was 20.4 ± 2.9 weeks. Within the total cohort of 254 patients with fetal CHDs, 160 (63.0%) were classified into the conotruncal group, while 94 (37.0%) were classified into the non-conotruncal group. The prevalence of the various types of conotruncal and non-conotruncal CHDs and the prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities are listed in Table 1. Fourty-one (16.1%) patients had other structural abnormalities found in antenatal ultrasound apart from CHDs.
 

Table 1. Prevalence of conotruncal and non-conotruncal defects and associated chromosomal abnormalities
 
Chromosomal analysis and karyotyping was done in 207 (81.5%) patients; of them, aCGH was performed in 146 (70.5%) and 22q11FISH was performed in 61 (29.5%). The remaining 47 patients refused chromosomal analysis. In the group of 207 fetuses with karyotype performed, 50 (24.2%) were found to have chromosomal abnormalities; trisomy 21 and trisomy 18 accounted for 42.0% of all these abnormalities. The different types of chromosomal abnormalities are shown in Table 2. Of the 50 cases with chromosomal abnormalities, 35 (70%) were detected by conventional karyotyping. Three cases of 22q11.2 deletion were detected by FISH; aCGH detected another four cases of 22q11.2 deletion and eight cases of other CNVs, as shown in Table 3. The prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities in fetuses without extracardiac abnormalities was 29 of 168 (17.3%), whereas that in fetuses with extracardiac abnormalities was 21 of 39 (53.8%). The prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities in non-conotruncal CHDs was 25 of 78 (32.1%) which was significantly higher than that in conotruncal CHDs (25 of 129; 19.4%) [P=0.04]. All seven patients with 22q11.2 deletion were found in the group of conotruncal CHDs and no patients with 22q11.2 deletion were found in the group of non-conotruncal CHDs (P<0.05). The details of these seven cases are shown in Table 4.
 

Table 2. Prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities in conotruncal, non-conotruncal, and all cardiac defects
 

Table 3. Additional copy number variations detected by array comparative genomic hybridisation apart from 22q11.2 deletion
 

Table 4. Copy number variations detected by array comparative genomic hybridisation, clinical features, and pregnancy outcomes for seven fetuses with 22q11.2 deletion
 
Among the whole cohort of 254 patients with prenatal ultrasound diagnosis of CHDs, 101 (39.8%) patients had their pregnancies terminated. There were 134 (52.8%) live births, nine (3.5%) neonatal deaths, and four (1.6%) intrauterine deaths or miscarriages. Six (2.4%) patients were lost for followup and could not be contacted for their pregnancy outcomes.
 
Discussion
The data from this cohort demonstrated that 24.2% of fetuses with CHDs detected by antenatal ultrasound were found to have chromosomal abnormalities. The frequency of chromosomal abnormality in fetuses with CHDs is much higher than the frequency of such abnormalities in infants, because a large portion of these fetuses are terminated. A 2004 review found that up to 33% of fetal CHDs were associated with chromosomal abnormalities1; this is much higher than the prevalence in our cohort for two reasons. Firstly, subtle defects such as right-sided aortic arch, persistent left superior vena cava, and aberrant right subclavian artery were not included as CHDs in the previous review. With advances in the ultrasonography resolution, these subtle defects are detected with increasing frequency in recent years. In the current cohort, up to 45 cases belong in this category, but only four of them were found to have chromosomal abnormalities. Secondly, most of our patients had combined biochemical screening or cell-free DNA test in the first trimester for Down syndrome screening. If the screening test was positive, an invasive test was performed and management offered accordingly. Fetal CHDs may not be detectable at that early gestation, and obstetricians may not have been focused on detecting cardiac abnormalities at that time. Therefore, the true prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities in CHDs in fetuses with common aneuploidies may be underestimated in our cohort.
 
In the present study, non-conotruncal CHDs were found to have a higher prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities than conotruncal CHDs. Some types of CHDs, such as atrioventricular septal defects and hypoplastic left heart syndrome, are associated with a higher prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities than others, whereas some types of CHDs, such as truncus arteriosus, are rarely associated with chromosomal abnormalities. Invasive testing for karyotyping is generally recommended for antenatally diagnosed CHDs, as the prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities is up to 24.2%. Non-invasive prenatal testing may be performed instead of karyotyping for some isolated cardiac abnormalities, such as isolated small ventricular septal defects (VSDs), persistent left superior vena cava, and aberrant right subclavian artery, when the purpose is to exclude major aneuploidies such as trisomy 21.
 
The 22q11.2 deletion syndrome is also called DiGeorge syndrome or velo-cardio-facial syndrome. Most patients with this syndrome have a 1.5- to 3-Mb hemizygous deletion at chromosome 22q11.2 causing TBX1, CRKL, and MAPK1 gene haploinsufficiency.18 This syndrome is characterised by cardiac defects, cleft palate, thymic hypoplasia, immune deficiency, hypocalcaemia, and learning difficulties.19 It has more than 180 associated phenotypic features, with very variable genotype-phenotype correlations. Congenital heart diseases remain one of the most important clinical manifestations, and are present in 75% of patients with 22q11.2 deletion.19 The most common abnormalities are conotruncal CHDs, among which tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) is the most common.14 20 However, 22q11.2 deletion has also been reported in patients with non-conotruncal CHDs such as isolated VSD.13 14 In a cross-sectional survey of 392 patients with CHDs, the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion was only 1.27%. Four out of the five confirmed patients had conotruncal CHDs (interrupted aortic arch, truncus arteriosus, and TOF); the other patient had non-conotruncal CHDs (VSD plus atrial septal defect). Two patients had congenital extracardiac anomaly (one with arched palate and micrognathia and one with hypertelorism).21 In a survey of 125 consecutive children in South Africa with CHDs, the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletions was 4.8%. The cardiac abnormalities in these confirmed patients included four with conotruncal CHDs (tricuspid atresia with interrupted aortic arch, tricuspid atresia with right-sided aortic arch, TOF, and VSD with right-sided aortic arch), but also two isolated VSDs.22 The above two studies suggest that most patients with 22q11.2 deletions have conotruncal CHDs; although non-conotruncal CHDs are possible, the prevalence is low.
 
The prevalence of 22q11.2 deletions in the Chinese population has not been well documented. A study of 113 Chinese fetuses with CHDs found that the frequency of 22q11.2 deletion was 5.3%.23 A recent study surveyed the prevalence of undiagnosed 22q11.2 deletions in 156 adult Hong Kong Chinese patients with conotruncal CHDs by screening for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome using fluorescence polymerase chain reaction and FISH. Eighteen (11.5%) patients were diagnosed with 22q11.2 deletion syndrome, translating into one previously unrecognised diagnosis of 22q11.2 deletion syndrome in every 10 adults with conotruncal CHDs. Extracardiac manifestations in these affected individuals included velopharyngeal incompetence or cleft palate (44%), hypocalcaemia (39%), neurodevelopmental anomalies (33%), thrombocytopenia (28%), psychiatric disorders (17%), epilepsy (17%), and hearing loss (17%). Those authors concluded that underdiagnosis in Chinese adults is common and recognition of facial dysmorphic features can be affected by age and ethnicity. Facial dysmorphic features may not be reliably recognised in adult patients with CHDs in the clinical setting; therefore, referral for genetic evaluation and molecular testing for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome should be offered to patients with conotruncal CHDs.12
 
In contrast, in a small Chinese series, the frequency of 22q11.2 deletion in three Chinese ethnic groups (Tai, Bai, and Han people) with 19 sporadic CHDs was studied using genotype and haplotype analysis with D22S420 in 11 consecutive polymorphic microsatellite markers. Within this cohort, deletions at D22S944 were found in two of four patients with TOF, one of five patients with VSD, and one of five patients with patent ductus arteriosus. Those authors concluded that sporadic 22q11.2 deletion could be detected in isolated TOF, VSD, and patent ductus arteriosus in Chinese ethnic groups without relevant family history of CHDs.13 The present study includes a larger sample size (207 fetuses) than the previous two Chinese studies, but the detected prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion was only 3.4%. In addition, all seven fetuses with confirmed 22q11.2 deletion in the present study had conotruncal CHDs; none had non-conotruncal CHDs or isolated VSD. The inclusion of patent ductus arteriosus in the second study as CHDs is inconsistent with other studies. Therefore those findings of 22q11.2 deletion associated with isolated CHDs should be further evaluated in other populations.
 
The prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion in the present study was 3.4% (7/207), which is comparable to that reported in the literature. Because all patients had either 22q11FISH or aCGH testing, the possibility of underdiagnosis was minimised. The cardiac abnormalities identified in the confirmed cases were all conotruncal CHDs typical of 22q11.2 deletion syndrome. The deletions were not found in any cases with non-conotruncal CHDs, suggesting that the occurrence of 22q11.2 deletion in non-conotruncal CHDs in the local population is very low.
 
Array comparative genomic hybridisation is a molecular cytogenetic technique to detect any CNVs within the genome. A systematic review and meta-analysis on the use of aCGH on fetal CHDs that included 1131 cases showed that the incremental yield of aCGH in detecting CNVs after karyotyping and 22q11FISH analysis was 7%. An incremental yield of 12% was found when 22q11.2 deletion cases were included.24 In the present study, aCGH detected four cases of 22q11.2 deletion and eight additional cases of CNVs. On the basis of the deletion size in the four cases of 22q11.2 deletion, three should also be detected by 22q11FISH; only the 61-kb deletion would not be detectable by FISH. Therefore, if all patients in our cohort had karyotyping only without 22q11FISH, aCGH would have an incremental yield of 6.0% (12/207). If all our patients had karyotyping and 22q11FISH as first line, then aCGH would have a further incremental yield of 4.3% (9/207). This incremental rate for aCGH was lower than that reported previously.24 For patients in Hong Kong, aCGH is a self-financed option. If fetal CHDs are detected antenatally, invasive testing with karyotype and aCGH is offered to the patient on the basis of the potential incremental yield of aCGH. In the present study, counselling for patients whose fetus has Williams-Beuren syndrome or Phelan-McDermid syndrome would be different from that for patients whose fetus has isolated cardiac defects, as there would be other extracardiac manifestation such as mental retardation. However, if patient declines self-paid aCGH, 22q11FISH should be offered in addition to conventional karyotyping, because karyotyping cannot readily detect 22q11.2 deletion.
 
Limitations
This study may have underestimated the prevalence of chromosomal abnormalities, because 47 of our patients did not have chromosomal analysis performed, 30 of whom were counselled as having minor cardiac abnormalities or were normal variants (14 fetuses had isolated small VSD, 10 had persistent left superior vena cava, four had right-sided aortic arch, and two had aberrant right subclavian artery). However, none of the babies were suspected or diagnosed to have chromosomal abnormalities or DiGeorge syndrome after clinical assessment by paediatrician after birth. Therefore, we assumed that there were no major clinically significant chromosomal abnormalities in these babies.
 
Although the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion is low, testing for 22q11.2 deletion should be offered for fetuses with conotruncal CHDs. Array comparative genomic hybridisation has an additional incremental yield of around 5% on other microdeletions apart from 22q11.2 deletion, and should be offered in addition to karyotyping and 22q11FISH.
 
Author contributions
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Concept or design of the study: CW Kong, WWK To.
Acquisition of data: CW Kong, YKY Cheng.
Analysis or interpretation of data: CW Kong, YKY Cheng, WWK To, TY Leung.
Drafting of the manuscript: CW Kong.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: YKY Cheng, WWK To, TY Leung.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Declaration
The findings of this study were presented as poster presentation in the 17th World Congress in Fetal Medicine, Athens, Greece, 24-28 June 2018.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
Ethics approval for this study was granted by the Kowloon Central/ Kowloon East Research Ethics Committee (KC/KE-17-0183/ER-3) and the Joint CUHK-NTEC Clinical Research Ethics Committee (NTEC-2017-0336). As this study was a retrospective review, the need for individual patient consent was waived by the above two research ethics committees.
 
References
1. Wimalasundera RC, Gardiner HM. Congenital heart disease and aneuploidy. Prenat Diagn 2004;24:1116-22. Crossref
2. Hartman RJ, Rasmussen SA, Botto LD, et al. The contribution of chromosomal abnormalities to congenital heart defects: a population-based study. Pediatr Cardiol 2011;32:1147-57. Crossref
3. Ferencz C, Neill CA, Boughman JA, Rubin JD, Brenner JI, Perry LW. Congenital cardiovascular malformations associated with chromosome abnormalities: an epidemiologic study. J Pediatr 1989;114:79-86. Crossref
4. Kidd SA, Lancaster PA, McCredie RM. The incidence of congenital heart defects in the first year of life. J Paediatr Child Health 1993;29:344-9. Crossref
5. Harris JA, Francannet C, Pradat P, Robert E. The epidemiology of cardiovascular defects, part 2: a study based on data from three large registries of congenital malformations. Pediatr Cardiol 2003;24:222-35. Crossref
6. Schellberg R, Schwanitz G, Grävinghoff L, et al. New trends in chromosomal investigation in children with cardiovascular malformations. Cardiol Young 2004;14:622-9. Crossref
7. Reller MD, Strickland MJ, Riehle-Colarusso T, Mahle WT, Correa A. Prevalence of congenital heart defects in metropolitan Atlanta, 1998-2005. J Pediatr 2008;153:807-13. Crossref
8. Geng J, Picker J, Zheng Z, et al. Chromosome microarray testing for patients with congenital heart defects reveals novel disease causing loci and high diagnostic yield. BMC Genomics 2014;15:1127. Crossref
9. Zhu X, Li J, Ru T, et al. Identification of copy number variations associated with congenital heart disease by chromosomal microarray analysis and next-generation sequencing. Prenatal Diagn 2016;36:321-7. Crossref
10. Zaidi S, Brueckner M. Genetics and genomics of congenital heart disease. Circ Res 2017;120:923-40. Crossref
11. Rosa RF, Pilla CB, Pereira VL, et al. 22q11.2 Deletion syndrome in patients admitted to a cardiac pediatric intensive care unit in Brazil. Am J Med Genet A 2008;146A:1655-61. Crossref
12. Liu AP, Chow PC, Lee PP, et al. Under-recognition of 22q11.2 deletion in adult Chinese patients with conotrunal anomalies: implications in transitional care. Eur J Med Genet 2014;57:306-11. Crossref
13. Jiang L, Duan C, Chen B, et al. Association of 22q11 deletion with isolated congenital heart disease in three Chinese ethnic groups. Int J Cardiol 2005;105:216-23. Crossref
14. Wozniak A, Wolnik-Brzozowska D, Wisniewska M, et al. Frequency of 22q11.2 microdeletion in children with congenital heart defects in western Poland. BMC Pediatr 2010;10:88. Crossref
15. Kan AS, Lau ET, Tang WF, et al. Whole-genome array CGH evaluation for replacing prenatal karyotyping in Hong Kong. PLoS One 2014;9:e87988. Crossref
16. Leung TY, Vogel I, Lau TK, et al. Identification of submicroscopic chromosomal aberrations in fetuses with increased nuchal translucency and apparently normal karyotype. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2011;38:314-9. Crossref
17. von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, Pocock SJ, Gøtzsche PC, Vandenbroucke JP; STROBE Initiative. The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. Epidemiology 2007;18:800-4. Crossref
18. Koczkowska M, Wierzba J, Śmigiel R, et al. Genomic findings in patients with clinical suspicion of 22q11.2 deletion syndrome. J Appl Genet 2017;58:93-8. Crossref
19. Digilio M, Marino B, Capolino R, Dallapiccola B. Clinical manifestations of Deletion 22q11.2 syndrome (DiGeorge/Velo-Cardio-Facial syndrome). Images Paediatr Cardiol 2005;7:23-34.
20. Lammer EJ, Chak JS, Iovannisci DM, et al. Chromosomal abnormalities among children born with conotruncal cardiac defects. Birth Defects Res A Clin Mol Teratol 2009;85:30-5. Crossref
21. Huber J, Peres VC, de Castro AL, et al. Molecular Screening for 22Q11.2 deletion syndrome in patients with congenital heart disease. Pediatr Cardiol 2014;35:1356-62. Crossref
22. De Decker R, Bruwer Z, Hendricks L, Schoeman M, Schutte G, Lawrenson J. Predicted v. real prevalence of the 22q11.2 deletion syndrome in children with congenital heart disease presenting to Red Cross War Memorial Children’s Hospital, South Africa: a prospective study. S Afr Med J 2016;106(6 Suppl 1):S82-6. Crossref
23. Lv W, Wang S. Detection of chromosomal abnormalities and the 22q11 microdeletion in fetuses with congenital heart defects. Mol Med Rep 2014;10:2465-70.
24. Jansen FA, Blumenfeld YJ, Fisher A, et al. Array comparative genomic hybridization and fetal congenital heart defects: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2015;45:27-35. Crossref

Validation and modification of the Ottawa subarachnoid haemorrhage rule in risk stratification of Asian Chinese patients with acute headache

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Dec;24(6):584–92  |  Epub 9 Nov 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj187533
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Validation and modification of the Ottawa subarachnoid haemorrhage rule in risk stratification of Asian Chinese patients with acute headache
HY Cheung, MCEM1; CT Lui, FRCEM, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)1; KL Tsui, FRCS (Edin), FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)2
1 Accident and Emergency, Tuen Mun Hospital, Tuen Mun, Hong Kong
2 Accident and Emergency, Pok Oi Hospital, Yuen Long, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr CT Lui (luict@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Objective: To validate the Ottawa subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) rule in an Asian Chinese cohort and to explore the roles of blood pressure and vomiting in prediction of SAH in patients with non-traumatic acute headache.
 
Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in two regional hospitals. All patients aged ≥16 years who presented with non-traumatic acute headache to the study centres from July 2013 to June 2016 were included. A logistic regression model was created for the variables of the Ottawa SAH rule and other potential predictors, including vomiting and systolic blood pressure (SBP) >160 mm Hg. Model discrimination was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices were evaluated. The model’s diagnostic characteristics, including sensitivities and specificities, were evaluated.
 
Results: A total of 500 eligible headache cases were included, in 50 of which SAH was confirmed (10%). In addition to the predictors of the Ottawa SAH rule, vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg were found to be significant independent predictors of SAH. Net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices indicated that including vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg would improve the model prediction. The Ottawa SAH rule had 94% sensitivity and 32.9% specificity. The modified Ottawa SAH rule that included both vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg as criteria improved sensitivity to 100%, specificity to 13.1%, positive predictive value to 11.3%, and negative predictive value to 100%.
 
Conclusions: The Ottawa SAH rule demonstrated high sensitivity. Addition of vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg to the Ottawa SAH rule may increase its sensitivity.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • The Ottawa subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) rule is highly sensitive with high negative predictive value for prediction of SAH in Asian Chinese patients presenting with acute headache.
  • Modification of the Ottawa SAH rule by adding vomiting and acute hypertension may further improve the negative predictive value and accuracy. Further validation on an external cohort is required.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The Ottawa SAH rule is applicable for risk stratification of patients presenting with acute headache in emergency and primary care settings, which can provide a reference for referral and prioritisation of imaging.
 
 
Introduction
Patients frequently present to emergency departments (EDs) with headache. About 4.5% of total ED attendance in the United States is attributable to headache,1 1% to 6% of which is caused by non-traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH).2 3 4 Among the volume of neurologically intact patients with severe acute headache, identifying the 10% with ‘walking SAH’—patients with SAH but maximum Glasgow Coma Scale score and normal neurological examination—is particularly difficult.5 Specifically, those patients have good Hunt and Hess grading and generally better prognosis.6 Failure to identify those SAH patients would jeopardise those patients’ otherwise good outcomes. A case series demonstrated that 25% of aneurysmal patients with SAH were misdiagnosed during their initial medical evaluations, 38% of which had clinical grade 1 or 2 at the time of misdiagnosis.7 Overall, 24% of patients deteriorated before the correct diagnosis was made, with poor or worse final outcomes. Most of the misdiagnoses of SAH cases were caused by failure to perform computed tomography (CT) imaging. Another study reported that 12% of patients with SAH were initially misdiagnosed, of which 19% had normal mental status at first contact, and these misdiagnoses were associated with worse quality of life at 3 months and increased risk of death or severe disability at 12 months.4 Again, failure to conduct CT scanning was the most common cause, accounting for 73% of diagnostic errors. However, conducting a CT scan on every single patient who attends an ED for headache may not be practical, in consideration of radiation exposure to patients and resource implications. For such purposes, clinical prediction rules including the Ottawa SAH rule have been developed for identification of low-risk patients who can be discharged safely without a CT scan or other imaging (Table 1).4 However, those clinical prediction rules have not been well validated in the Asian Chinese population. The primary objective of the current study is to validate the Ottawa SAH rule in the Asian Chinese population. The secondary objective is to identify possible modifications to improve its accuracy.
 

Table 1. The Ottawa subarachnoid haemorrhage rule4
 
Methods
Study design and setting
This was a retrospective cohort study conducted in the EDs of two regional hospitals in Hong Kong. With daily attendance of approximately 600 and 350 patients, respectively, Tuen Mun Hospital and Pok Oi Hospital together serve a population of over 1 million. All patients are coded according to principal diagnosis following the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition (ICD-9).8 Case recruitment had two phases. First, we searched the hospital’s electronic database for ICD-9 codes indicating headache symptoms, related syndromes, and diseases that may present with a primary complaint of headache (online Supplementary Appendix). In the second phase of case inclusion, the medical records of all cases retrieved in the first phase were screened for eligibility to be included in the current study according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria.
 
Inclusion criteria
All patients aged ≥16 years who presented with acute headache to the study centres from July 2013 to June 2016 were included. Acute headache was defined as non-traumatic headache that reached maximal intensity within 1 hour, with an interval of <14 days from headache onset to presentation. The clinical details of each retrieved case were screened for inclusion eligibility by both written and electronic medical records. Cases with obvious pathology (eg, frontal sinusitis) were excluded. Exclusion criteria included age <16 years, history of trauma within the last 7 days (collapse associated with headache onset leading to head injury was not an exclusion), history of previous SAH, known cerebral aneurysm or cerebral neoplasm, >14 days since symptom onset, altered mental state, Glasgow Coma Scale score <15 on presentation, and new focal neurological signs. Patients were still included if they had recurrent ED attendance during the study period.
 
Data collection
A detailed manual review of written and electronic medical and radiological records was conducted to obtain the following data for eligible cases: duration and quality of headache, presence of thunderclap headache, neck pain, limited range of neck movement, loss of consciousness (LOC), onset with exertion, arrival by ambulance, failure of ambulation in previously ambulatory patients, associated symptoms of dizziness and vomiting, history of benign headache syndrome, concomitant anticoagulant usage or known bleeding diathesis, presenting Glasgow Coma Scale score, blood pressure and heart rate (the first recorded values in the ED), neurological deficits, imaging, lumbar puncture, definitive diagnosis, and neurological outcome. Criteria not documented in the medical records were presumed to be absent. Standardised data collection forms were deployed for data entry by a single investigator.
 
Definition of outcome
Subarachnoid haemorrhage was defined in accordance with Perry et al9: subarachnoid blood on CT scan, xanthochromia in cerebrospinal fluid, or red blood cells in the final tube of cerebrospinal fluid, with positive angiography findings (ie, an aneurysm or arteriovenous malformation on cerebral angiography). All CT films were reviewed by both an experienced emergency physician and a radiology fellow, with outcome decided by consensus.
 
The study outcomes included the sensitivity of the Ottawa SAH rule (Table 1) and the impact on the accuracy of the Ottawa SAH rule of addition of the following clinical predictors to the proposed clinical decision rule: systolic blood pressure (SBP) >160 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure >100 mm Hg, vomiting, failure of ambulation in previously ambulatory patients, bleeding diathesis or on anticoagulants, and existence of a benign headache disorder that could account for the headache.
 
Statistics
R 3.4.1 for Windows (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) was employed for analysis, and a 5% significance level was adopted. Continuous data were presented as mean and standard deviation if normally distributed. Categorical variables were shown as frequencies and percentages. For univariate analysis, comparison was performed between patients in the non-SAH and SAH groups using independent samples t tests, Chi squared tests, and Fisher’s exact test where appropriate. Predictors that were significant in the univariate analysis were entered into the logistic regression model by a forward stepwise method based on likelihood ratios. Adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and P values were calculated for each predictor. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was adopted for model calibration. Model discrimination was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the predicted probabilities. Collinearity was explored with variance inflation factors. Net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices were calculated to assess the improvement of model prediction with the addition of significant variables to the Ottawa SAH rule.
 
The Ottawa SAH rule (Table 1) was applied to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, positive and negative likelihood ratios, and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). The modified Ottawa SAH rule was created on the basis of the additional independent predictors included in the logistic model and the diagnostic characteristics evaluated.
 
Sample size calculation
Sample size was calculated to yield 80% power at a 5% significance level. These calculations assumed SAH prevalence of 6.5%, and the original derivation paper of the Ottawa SAH rule achieved 100% sensitivity and 15.3% specificity.4 With two-tailed hypothesis testing, to achieve the same specificity and 10% variation of sensitivity, a sample of 500 subjects with 31 cases of SAH would be required. Sample size calculation was performed with NCSS PASS 11 (Version 11.0.10).
 
Results
A total of 1816 potential headache cases during the study period were retrieved from the hospitals’ databases. After a detailed review of clinical information, 500 eligible cases were included in the analysis, in 50 of which SAH was confirmed (10%) [Fig 1]. There were missing values for major components of the Ottawa SAH rule in 16% of the included cases. Two out of the 50 SAH cases had negative CT results (Fisher scale 1), and both of these cases were detected by xanthochromia in cerebrospinal fluid extracted by lumbar puncture. In terms of angiographic findings, angiography was not performed in five patients; six patients had normal angiograms; two had arteriovenous fistulae; one had moyamoya disease; two had cerebral amyloid vasculopathy; and the SAHs of the remaining 34 (68%) patients were aneurysm-related.
 

Figure 1. Inclusion of participants in the study
 
The demographic and clinical characteristics of the included cohort are shown in Table 2. The SAH group was contrasted with the non-SAH group in terms of various clinical characteristics. Lumbar puncture was performed in 50 patients, and two patients had xanthochromia in the extracted cerebrospinal fluid. Another 48 patients had SAH diagnosed by CT. Logistic regression (Table 3) revealed that LOC (AOR=16.3; P<0.001) and thunderclap headache (AOR=12.4; P<0.001) were the strongest predictive parameters for SAH. In addition to the parameters in the Ottawa SAH rule, vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg were demonstrated to be independent predictors of SAH. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test demonstrated satisfactory model calibration (P=0.986). Area under the ROC curve for the Ottawa SAH rule was 0.819 (95% CI=0.782-0.851) [Fig 2]. The variance inflation factors of predictors ranged from 1.03 to 1.15, indicating non-significant multicollinearity. The modified Ottawa SAH rule was defined as positive prediction of SAH with the occurrence of any of the following criteria: vomiting, SBP >160 mm Hg, or any of the parameters of the Ottawa SAH rule (Table 1). The area under the ROC curve of the modified Ottawa SAH rule in combination with vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg increased to 0.870 (95% CI=0.837-0.898). Non-parametric comparison of the areas under the ROC curves demonstrated a statistically significant difference (P=0.041). The net reclassification improvement index was 0.158 (95% CI=0.007-0.309; P=0.040), and the integrated discrimination improvement index was 0.622 (95% CI=0.353-0.891; P<0.001). Both indices indicate that the addition of vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg would improve the model’s discriminatory and predictive capacity.
 

Table 2. Characteristics of the included cohort of patients with acute headache
 

Table 3. Logistic regression model for prediction of subarachnoid haemorrhage in patients with acute headache
 

Figure 2. Receiver operating characteristic curves of prediction of SAH by the Ottawa SAH rule and modified Ottawa SAH rule
 
Table 4 describes the diagnostic characteristics of various clinical prediction rules that predict SAH in patients with acute headache. The Ottawa SAH rule achieved 94% (95% CI=82.5-98.4%) sensitivity and 32.9% (95% CI=28.6-37.5%) specificity. The modified Ottawa SAH rule in combination with both vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg produced sensitivity of 100% (95% CI=91.1-100%) and specificity of 13.1% (95% CI=10.2-16.7%).
 

Table 4. Diagnostic characteristics of clinical prediction rules for SAH in patients with acute headache
 
For 349 out of the 500 included patients, positive predictions would have been rendered by the Ottawa SAH rule, as one or more of its criteria were satisfied (69.8%). For 441 out of the 500 patients, positive predictions would have been rendered by satisfying one or more criteria of the modified Ottawa SAH rule (88.2%). The clinical implication is that 69.8% and 88.2% of the included patients would have required CT according to the Ottawa and modified Ottawa SAH rules, respectively (Table 4). In our cohort, CT was performed in the ED on a total of 481 (96.2%) patients. Thus, application of the Ottawa and modified Ottawa SAH rules can reduce CT administration by 26% and 8%, respectively.
 
Three patients with SAH were not identified by the Ottawa SAH rule. All three of them were relatively young (aged 20-38 years). Two of them were initially discharged home, with initial negative imaging for SAH, and were diagnosed upon re-attending the accident and emergency departments. Of those two, one patient later developed signs of meningeal irritation with xanthochromia revealed by lumbar puncture, and the other patient was called back to the hospital 7 days later after a retrospective CT report found hydrocephalus and collapsed in the medical ward. A repeat CT scan showed diffuse SAH. Those patients’ mild symptoms at first presentation that led to their initial discharges might account for their falsely negative Ottawa SAH rule findings. In addition, patients who wanted to go home might have been more tolerant of pain and more reluctant to describe alarming symptoms. The former patient was initially diagnosed with reversible cerebral vasoconstriction syndrome, and SAH was noted when the patient subsequently re-attended the ED. This might explain his atypical presentation in comparison with other patients with SAH who had ruptured intracranial aneurysms and tended to present with more florid symptoms from the beginning. The latter patient was diagnosed with a ruptured anterior communicating artery aneurysm. The third patient had a positive CT scan, and digital subtraction angiography showed a ruptured distal internal carotid aneurysm. All three patients experienced vomiting, and two of them had SBP >160 mm Hg.
 
Discussion
Various investigations have attempted to identify clinical parameters to predict SAH among patients presenting with non-traumatic headache. The identified predictors include: age >40 years, neck pain or stiffness, LOC, onset with exertion, arrival by ambulance, vomiting at least once, diastolic blood pressure >100 mm Hg, and SBP >160 mm Hg.3 10 11 In the last decade, clinical prediction rules have combined various predictors to provide better accuracy in diagnosis of SAH.4 12 13 The Ottawa SAH rule is one of the best known ones, and it has been subject to external validation.4 An external validation study of the Ottawa SAH rule reported sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 7.6%.14
 
The SAH incidence rate in our study was noticeably higher than that in the original derivation study and other validation studies.11 14 15 This is not consistent with previous epidemiological studies that reported Chinese people to have a lower rate of aneurysmal SAH than that of other populations.16 One possible explanation is that our inclusion criteria were more stringent, as headache cases with obvious accountable causes were excluded. The mean age and SBP of our cohort were similar to those of other studies.12 13 14 15 Only 8.8% of our included patients reported thunderclap headache, much lower than the 78% to 89% reported in previous studies.4 14 However, the causes of headache in patients with non-SAH headache are mostly benign, and the pattern of benign headache syndromes may be different in the Chinese population compared with that in Caucasians (ie, migraine is more prevalent in Caucasians).17 The rate of onset during exertion was much lower in our cohort than in those of previous studies, as were neck pain and reduced range of movement.14 15 The exact reason for the latter is unknown. One possible explanation is that there are more cervicogenic headaches and occipital neuralgia in the other study cohorts. Conversely, we reported higher rates of arrival by ambulance, vomiting, and LOC,14 15 although one study excluded unwitnessed LOC.14 Loss of consciousness, thunderclap headache, vomiting, SBP >160 mm Hg, neck pain or limited neck range of movement, and age >40 years were found to be significant independent predictors of SAH. Onset during exertion had a high AOR, but its statistical significance was limited by its low incidence and limited sample size.
 
Both the original derivation study and the validation study by Bellolio et al14 reported that the Ottawa SAH rule had 100% sensitivity.15 In contrast, our study found that the Ottawa SAH rule was only 94% sensitive. The sensitivity of our study was limited by the low rates of onset during exertion, thunderclap headache, and neck pain or limited neck range of movement in our included patients. This might be partly attributable to our retrospective design, as unreported criteria were assumed to be absent. Moreover, the term thunderclap headache might be interpreted differently by different patients. Specificity was higher in our study than in others (32.9% in our study compared with 8%-15% in other studies).14 15 This may be attributed to the difference in the clinical characteristics of patients with non-traumatic headache in the Asian Chinese population compared with those in the original derivation study and other validation studies, which were mostly Caucasians.
 
Adding two independent predictors for SAH (vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg) to the Ottawa SAH rule to produce a Modified Ottawa SAH rule improved its accuracy in terms of sensitivity. We found that three patients with SAH could not be identified by the Ottawa SAH rule. All three were relatively young, and two of them presented initially with mild symptoms and were discharged after brain CT did not show SAH. One patient was diagnosed with reversible cerebral vasoconstriction syndrome, which might present differently from the more common aneurysmal SAH. In a validation study,12 20% of patients with SAH were CT-negative, and most of them had posterior communicating artery aneurysm or normal digital subtraction angiography. However, our three patients did not share those clinical characteristics. Integration of vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg to the model detected those cases and further improved sensitivity to 100% in our cohort.
 
The specificity of the Ottawa SAH rule was demonstrated to be low (15%) in the original derivation study.4 This implies that among patients without SAH, only 15% had negative predictions by the Ottawa rule, while the remaining 85% had positive predictions. The high false-positive prediction rate may have implications in terms of excessive unnecessary CT scans ordered: it may result in unnecessary radiation exposure, and the surge of CT requests might strain ED resources. With higher specificity in our cohort, we found that application of the Ottawa and modified Ottawa SAH rules can reduce CT use by 26% and 8%, respectively. A UK study found that if the Ottawa SAH rule had been applied, the CT investigation rate would have been much higher (59% to 74%) than the actual rate of 37%.18 Another UK study reported a similar CT investigation rate of 61.7% with the application of the Ottawa SAH rule, which was significantly higher than the rate of 54.2% in actual practice.19 A review surmised that while the Ottawa SAH rule seemingly can rule out SAH, in actual practice, it might increase the frequency of CT investigations.11 However, there is still a lack of impact analysis regarding the effects of the Ottawa SAH rule on patients’ neurological outcomes and mortality.
 
A clinical decision rule was recently proposed by Kimura et al20 in 2016. In their 1561-patient multicentre observational study, the authors aimed to identify concrete, unambiguous predictors for SAH, avoiding subjective terms like ‘thunderclap headache’. The EMERALD (Emergency Medicine, Registry Analysis, Learning and Diagnosis) SAH rule criteria are SBP >150 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure >90 mm Hg, blood sugar >115 mg/dL (6.9 mmol/L), or serum potassium <3.9 mEq/L (3.9 mmol/L). Hyperglycaemia has been well reported in patients with SAH. Most studies have focused on the prognostic value of blood glucose, but there have been no other reports on the use of glucose levels for assistance with SAH diagnosis in the literature. Similarly, hypokalaemia has been reported in patients with SAH, which was postulated to be related to increased catecholamine secretion after SAH, resulting in higher intracellular potassium uptake and reduced serum potassium levels. While it requires blood sampling, the EMERALD SAH rule has been reported to have 100% sensitivity and 14.5% specificity, the latter of which is higher than that of the Ottawa SAH rule (8.8% in the study). Thus, more unnecessary CT scans could be avoided with the implementation of simple bedside point of care testing. However, the biological plausibility and external validity of this study might be affected by the lack of evidence about the mechanism of hyperglycaemia and hypokalaemia in patients with SAH, and further, patients with known diabetes mellitus were not excluded from this study. Patients with known cerebral aneurysm or new focal neurological deficits were also not excluded. Because CT scans would almost certainly be ordered for those patients, it might restrict this rule’s usefulness for detection of ‘walking SAH’. We cannot evaluate this rule, as our cohort was unlikely to undergo glucose and potassium sampling in the ED, and so far, we have not found any external validation studies for this clinical decision rule. Nevertheless, it is worth exploring whether the addition of blood glucose and potassium levels to the Ottawa SAH rule could improve its specificity and reduce unnecessary CT administration.
 
Limitations
This study has several limitations. First, its retrospective design is prone to information bias. In total, 16% of the predictors were missing values in this study. With missing values, the prevalence of the predictors may be reduced, with potential effects on their diagnostic accuracy. Second, tracing of the outcome of whether or not the patients had SAH was limited because of the study’s retrospective nature. Further, if patients with SAH did not re-attend public hospitals but received treatment in private hospitals, the outcomes may have been missed. Third, as one study centre contains a neurosurgical department, there is a risk of referral bias. Cases diagnosed in other hospitals and referred to the study centre were excluded. In addition, as both study centres are located in the same cluster, SAH cases diagnosed at one study centre are often transferred to the other study centre for neurosurgical consultation at the ED there. Great care was taken to crosscheck between patients at the two study centres to avoid duplicate entry.
 
Although we exhaustively searched for all eligible cases, there was still a chance of selection bias, as some cases that were eligible according to the inclusion criteria may have been missed. While the Ottawa SAH rule is very sensitive, it is only applicable to a very specific group of patients with headache. Patients with headache that took marginally >1 hour to peak would be excluded. This greatly limits the rule’s clinical applicability throughout the population: one validation study reported that only 9% of patients with headache in an ED were applicable.14 The modified Ottawa SAH rule lacks an external cohort for validation in this study, and validation with an independent multicentre prospective cohort would be required to establish external validity.
 
In conclusion, the Ottawa SAH rule demonstrated high sensitivity. Addition of vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg to the Ottawa SAH rule as criteria may increase its sensitivity.
 
Author contributions
All authors made substantial contributions to the concept or design of the study, acquisition of data, analysis or interpretation of data, drafting of the article, and critical revision for important intellectual content.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethical approval
Approvals from the Hospital Authority New Territories West Cluster Ethics Committee were obtained.
 
References
1. Perry JJ, Stiell IG, Wells GA, et al. Attitudes and judgment of emergency physicians in the management of patients with acute headache. Acad Emerg Med 2005;12:33-7.
2. Vermeulen M, van Gijn J. The diagnosis of subarachnoid haemorrhage. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 1990;53:365-72. Crossref
3. Perry JJ, Stiell IG, Sivilotti ML, et al. High risk clinical characteristics for subarachnoid haemorrhage in patients with acute headache: prospective cohort study. BMJ 2010;341:c5204. Crossref
4. Perry JJ, Stiell IG, Sivilotti ML, et al. Clinical decision rules to rule out subarachnoid hemorrhage for acute headache. JAMA 2013;310:1248-55. Crossref
5. Edlow JA, Malek AM, Ogilvy CS. Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: update for emergency physicians. J Emerg Med 2008;34:237-51. Crossref
6. Hunt WE, Hess RM. Surgical risk as related to time of intervention in the repair of intracranial aneurysms. J Neurosurg 1968;28:14-20. Crossref
7. Mayer PL, Awad IA, Todor R, et al. Misdiagnosis of symptomatic cerebral aneurysm. Prevalence and correlation with outcome at four institutions. Stroke 1996;27:1558-63. Crossref
8. International Classification of Diseases. Ninth Edition. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization; 1977.
9. Perry JJ, Sivilotti ML, Sutherland J, et al. Validation of the Ottawa Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Rule in patients with acute headache. CMAJ 2017;189:E1379-85. Crossref
10. Lui CT, Tsui KL, Kam CW. Nuchal pain predicts subarachnoid haemorrhage in severe headache patients. Hong Kong J Emerg Med 2008;15:212-7. Crossref
11. Carpenter CR, Hussain AM, Ward MJ, et al. Spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage: a systematic review and meta-analysis describing the diagnostic accuracy of history, physical examination, imaging, and lumbar puncture with an exploration of test thresholds. Acad Emerg Med 2016;23:963-1003.Crossref
12. Mark DG, Hung YY, Offerman SR, et al. Nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage in the setting of negative cranial computed tomography results: external validation of a clinical and imaging prediction rule. Ann Emerg Med 2013;62:1-10. Crossref
13. Kelly AM, Klim S, Edward S, Millar N. Sensitivity of proposed clinical decision rules for subarachnoid haemorrhage: an external validation study. Emerg Med Australas 2014;26:556-60. Crossref
14. Bellolio MF, Hess EP, Gilani WI, et al. External validation of the Ottawa subarachnoid hemorrhage clinical decision rule in patients with acute headache. Am J Emerg Med 2015;33:244-9. Crossref
15. Kowalski RG, Claassen J, Kreiter KT, et al. Initial misdiagnosis and outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage. JAMA 2004;291:866-9.Crossref
16. de Rooij NK, Linn FH, van der Plas JA, Algra A, Rinkel GJ. Incidence of subarachnoid haemorrhage: a systematic review with emphasis on region, age, gender and time trends. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 2007;78:1365-72. Crossref
17. Stewart WF, Lipton RB, Liberman J. Variation in migraine prevalence by race. Neurology 1996;47:52-9. Crossref
18. Matloob SA, Roach J, Marcus HJ, O’Neill K, Nair R. Evaluation of the impact of the Canadian subarachnoid hemorrhage clinical decision rules on British practice. Br J Neurosurg 2013;27:603-6. Crossref
19. Yiangou A, Nikolenko N, Noreikaite J, Thondam S. Impact of subarachnoid haemorrhage Canadian clinical decision rule for investigation of acute headache, a retrospective case note review. Lancet 2017;389:S103. Crossref
20. Kimura A, Kobayashi K, Yamaguchi H, et al. New clinical decision rule to exclude subarachnoid hemorrhage for acute headache: a prospective multicenter observational study. BMJ Open 2016;6:e010999. Crossref

Post-fracture care gap: a retrospective population-based analysis of Hong Kong from 2009 to 2012

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Dec;24(6):579–83  |  Epub 19 Nov 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj187227
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Post-fracture care gap: a retrospective population-based analysis of Hong Kong from 2009 to 2012
MY Cheung, MB, ChB; Angela WH Ho, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Orthopaedic Surgery); SH Wong, MB, BS, FHKAM (Orthopaedic Surgery)
Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Caritas Medical Centre, Sham Shui Po, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Angela WH Ho (angelaho@alumni.cuhk.net)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Patients who sustain an osteoporotic fracture are at increased risk of sustaining further osteoporotic fracture. The risk can be reduced by prescription of anti-osteoporosis medication. The aim of the present study was to determine the current practice in Hong Kong regarding secondary drug prevention of fragility fractures after osteoporotic hip fracture.
 
Methods: Dispensation of anti-osteoporosis medication records from patients with new fragility hip fractures aged ≥65 years were retrieved using the Hospital Authority Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System from 2009 to 2012. The intervention rate each year was determined from the percentage of patients receiving anti-osteoporosis medication within 1 year after hip fracture.
 
Results: A total of 15 866 patients with osteoporotic hip fracture who met the criteria were included. The intervention rate differed each year from 2009 to 2012, ranging between 9% and 15%. Orthopaedic surgeons initiated 63% of anti-osteoporosis medication, whereas physicians initiated 37%. The anti-osteoporosis drugs being prescribed included alendronic acid (76%), ibandronic acid (12%), strontium ranelate (5%), and zoledronic acid (4%).
 
Conclusion: Most patients with hip fracture remained untreated for 1 year after the osteoporotic hip fracture. The Hospital Authority should allocate more resources to implement a best practice framework for treatment of patients with hip fracture at high risk of secondary fracture.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Few patients receive anti-osteoporosis medication after hip fracture.
  • Implementation of secondary drug prevention of osteoporotic fractures differs among hospitals and specialties.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The Hong Kong government should allocate more resources for secondary drug prevention of osteoporotic fractures.
  • By reducing subsequent fractures, the government can realise substantial cost-savings.
 
 
Introduction
There are increasing numbers of geriatric hip fractures among the ageing population in Hong Kong.1 Patients who sustain an osteoporotic fracture are at increased risk of sustaining further osteoporotic fractures.2 3 The cumulative incidence of second hip fracture was 5.1% at 2 years and 8.6% at 8 years.4 This situation can be improved by implementing better guidelines for secondary drug prevention of fragility fractures. Appropriate treatment of patients with fragility fractures has been shown to reduce subsequent risk of fragility fracture by up to 50%.5 6 7
 
Many countries in the world have well-established guidelines to close this post-fracture care gap. However, this problem has been overlooked in Hong Kong and the situation is not improving. Diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis differs among hospitals and specialties. There are no standardised guidelines for treating this particular group of elderly patients. The aim of the present study was to determine the current practice in Hong Kong regarding secondary drug prevention of fragility fractures after osteoporotic hip fracture, in order to make recommendations to implement better guidelines.
 
Methods
In Hong Kong, about 98% of all hospital admissions for hip fracture were admitted to public hospitals rather than private hospitals.8 Patient records from 2009 to 2012, including data on the dispensation of anti-osteoporosis medication to patients aged ≥65 years with new fragility hip fractures, were retrieved from the Hospital Authority Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System. Patients with hip fracture were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes 81.52, 81.51, 81.40, 79.15, 79.35, or 78.55 under subdivision Operation Theatre Management System–linked diagnosis. Patients who took anti-osteoporosis medication before the fracture and those with pathological fractures were excluded. For the remaining patients who were eligible for secondary drug prevention, we determined the intervention rate each year by determining the percentage of patients receiving anti-osteoporosis medication within 1 year after hip fracture. Version 4 of the strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines for cross-sectional studies was used in the preparation of this manuscript.
 
Results
A total of 15 866 patients with osteoporotic hip fracture who met the criteria were included. From records on anti-osteoporosis medicine initiation, the intervention rate between 2009 and 2012 was found to be different each year, from as low as 9% in 2010 and as high as 15% in 2009 (Fig). The prescription rate for anti-osteoporosis medication was 14.78% in 2009, 25.03% in 2010, 9.24% in 2011, and 11.26% in 2012. Among the specialties prescribing anti-osteoporosis medication, orthopaedic surgeons initiated 63% of the prescriptions, whereas physicians initiated 37%. The anti-osteoporosis drugs prescribed in descending order were alendronic acid (76%), ibandronic acid (12%), strontium ranelate (5%), zoledronic acid (4%), risedronic acid (1%), teriparatide (1%), and denosumab (1%). The rate of anti-osteoporosis medication prescription was between 7% and 31% among the seven public acute hospitals with orthopaedic emergency admission included in the study.
 

Figure. Patients with and without post-fracture anti-osteoporosis medication from 2009 to 2012
 
Discussion
A 2015 study of geriatric hip fractures showed that there had been a steady increase in the incidence of geriatric hip fracture in Hong Kong.1 The worldwide incidence of geriatric hip fractures is also projected to increase.9 We expect to see more patients with fragility fractures in our daily practice with the growing ageing population.
 
Patients with geriatric hip fracture carry a high mortality rate; the overall 30-day mortality is 3.01% and 1-year mortality is 18.56%.1 Older age and male sex are associated with an increase in mortality and a higher excess mortality rate following surgery.1 Patients with a second episode of hip fracture have been found to have an even higher mortality rate.4 By initiating anti-osteoporosis medication, those subsequent fragility fractures could be prevented.
 
The British Orthopaedic Association sets standards for surgeons to comply with in order to improve the quality and outcomes of care and also to reduce costs.2 Bone health management includes calcium and vitamin D supplement, osteoporosis treatment, and bone densitometry measurement. According to the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research Task Force 2012, patients with hip fracture should receive pharmacological treatment to prevent additional fractures, because they are clearly at risk for recurrent hip or other osteoporotic fractures, and initiation of bisphosphonate therapy after hip fracture has been shown to reduce the risk of a second hip fracture.10
 
The main limitation of the present study was that the data were mainly retrieved from a database of patient records. The accuracy of these records depends on the correct entry by clinicians of the diagnosis of hip fracture. Another limitation is that the government drug dispensation record does not included data from patients who choose to receive anti-osteoporosis medication in the private sector. This may create an underestimation of the treatment rate.
 
Although the treatment rate may have been underestimated in the present study, worldwide rates of osteoporosis treatment after hip fracture have been reported to be as low as 10% to 20% within 1 year.11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 A recent study in Hong Kong showed that 33% of patients with hip fracture were prescribed medication for osteoporosis in the 6 months after discharge from the hospital.21 There are also wide discrepancies in drug prescription rates among different hospitals.
 
There are several potential reasons for these differences in drug prescription rates among hospitals. Firstly, different hospitals follow different working guidelines for the treatment of osteoporosis after hip fracture. Without standardisation of the guidelines, there can be a lack of clarity regarding the responsibility to undertake this care. Siris et al14 found that some physicians did not realise the significance of the initiation of anti-osteoporosis medication after fragility fractures, causing underdiagnosis and undertreatment of osteoporosis. Secondly, some clinicians refer patients to physicians for initiating osteoporosis treatment; especially in centres without geriatric support, these follow-up appointments with physicians can be up to 1 year after discharge from the hospital. Thirdly, many geriatric patients may have renal failure and may be contra-indicated for certain first-line anti-osteoporosis medication such as bisphosphonates. They may be unable to afford other more expensive self-financed anti-osteoporosis medication. Other factors that affect prescription rates include concerns about medication, and the available time and funds for diagnosis and treatment.13
 
The prevalence of femoral neck osteoporosis based on hip T-score of less than -2.5 was 47.8% in men and 59.1% in women in a Hong Kong study of 239 geriatric hip fractures.21 In the present study, the intervention rate each year was found to be only 9% to 15% across 2009 to 2012. There is obviously still a huge post-fracture gap in secondary prevention. Many patients with fragility fracture do not receive osteoporosis treatment for >1 year after hip fracture. Furthermore, there was little to no improvement in the prescription rates among the 4 years studied. Huge improvements could be achieved by raising the awareness of secondary drug prevention of osteoporosis and increasing the motivation of physicians.
 
Improvements can only be achieved with involvement of both the government and the individual specialties. The government should allocate more resources and implement a best practice framework for patients with hip fracture at high risk of secondary fracture. The government should also subsidise more anti-osteoporosis medications, so that better treatment can be provided in complicated and severe cases. Because the treatment of osteoporosis differs among hospitals and specialties, a fragility fracture committee or a fracture liaison service can coordinate and standardise patient care by setting up and implementing an easy-to-follow protocol. More education on the treatment of osteoporosis should be provided for orthopaedic and medical departments, to raise awareness and update the relevant knowledge in anti-osteoporosis medication advancement. In some complicated cases of osteoporosis, the involvement of different specialties is essential. The formation of geriatric-orthopaedic working groups and their early involvement in the perioperative and postoperative period can help ensure that optimal care is provided to all patients. Even with anti-osteoporosis medication, a good rehabilitation programme with fall prevention is required; this should be set up in collaboration with allied health professionals. With cooperation between the government and different hospital specialties, more secondary fragility fractures can be prevented. Patients will benefit from prevention of the morbidity and mortality associated with secondary fragility fracture.
 
Recently there has been debate on osteoporosis treatment and atypical femur fractures. Modi et al22 report that adherence to oral bisphosphonates is low, estimating that, of patients who are prescribed oral bisphosphonates, fewer than 40% are still taking them after 1 year. Although atypical femur fractures have been reported at very low frequencies, not only with bisphosphonate use but also following treatment with denosumab,23 patients are becoming increasingly reluctant to take anti-osteoporosis medication. An analysis of three randomised controlled trials of bisphosphonates concluded that treating 1000 women with osteoporosis for 3 years with a bisphosphonate will prevent approximately 100 vertebral or non-vertebral fractures (number needed to treat: 10).24 Importantly, for the 100 fractures prevented, bisphosphonates might cause 0.02 to 1.25 atypical femur fractures, assuming the relative risk ranges from 1.2 to 11.8 (number needed to harm: 800 to 43 300).25 Hence the beneficial effect of osteoporosis treatment still outweighs the risk for atypical femur fracture.
 
In Hong Kong, about 98% of all hospital admissions for hip fracture were admitted to public hospitals rather than private hospitals.8 Public hospitals in Hong Kong face a huge financial burden and lack of health care resources for providing optimal care to the ageing population. The cost associated with the prescription of anti-osteoporosis medication is of concern of the government. However, the tremendous hospital expenditure related to hip fracture care can be easily overlooked. In Hong Kong, the direct medical cost for each hip fracture was US$8831.9 in 2018, with the projected direct cost of US$84.7 million in total.26 In 2014, 84% of the drugs prescribed for osteoporosis were bisphosphonates.27 The annual cost of prescription of bisphosphonates per patient was approximately HK$174. Although multiple patients must be treated to prevent a single fracture, reducing the number of subsequent osteoporotic fractures can help the government to achieve significant cost-savings.
 
Despite the numerous benefits of anti-osteoporosis medication for patients with fragility fractures, the prescription rate remains low not only in Hong Kong, but also in the other parts of the world. Physicians should be aware of the benefits of anti-osteoporosis medication for patients with fragility fractures and guidelines for osteoporosis treatment should be developed and used more widely.
 
Conclusion
There is a large post-fracture care gap in secondary drug prevention for patients with osteoporotic hip fracture in Hong Kong. The majority of the patients are neither diagnosed nor tested for osteoporosis. Most remained untreated for 1 year after the osteoporotic hip fracture. The Hong Kong Hospital Authority needs to allocate more resources to implement a best practice framework for patients with hip fracture at high risk of secondary fracture, so that they receive appropriate anti-osteoporosis medication. By reducing the number of subsequent osteoporotic fractures, the Hospital Authority can realise substantial cost-savings.
 
Author contributions
Concept and design: All authors.
Acquisition of data: MY Cheung, AWH Ho.
Analysis or interpretation of data: MY Cheung, AWH Ho.
Drafting of the article: MY Cheung, AWH Ho.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: MY Cheung, AWH Ho.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity. An earlier version of this paper was presented as a poster at the Annual Congress of the Hong Kong Orthopaedic Association, 6 to 8 November 2015, Hong Kong; at the World Congress on Osteoporosis, Osteoarthritis and Musculoskeletal Diseases, 26 to 29 March 2015, Milan, Italy; and at the 15th Regional Osteoporosis Conference, 24 to 25 May 2014, Hong Kong.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
References
1. Man LP, Ho AW, Wong SH. Excess mortality for operated geriatric hip fracture in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2016;22:6-10. Crossref
2. British Orthopaedic Association. The Care of Patients with Fragility Fracture. London: British Orthopaedic Association; 2007.
3. Johnell O, Kanis JA, Odén A, et al. Fracture risk following an osteoporotic fracture. Osteoporos Int 2004;15:175-9. Crossref
4. Lee YK, Ha YC, Yoon BH, Koo KH. Incidence of second hip fracture and compliant use of bisphosphonate. Osteoporos Int 2013;24:2099-104. Crossref
5. Lyles KW, Colón-Emeric CS, Magaziner JS, et al. Zoledronic acid and clinical fractures and mortality after hip fracture. N Engl J Med 2007;357:1799-809. Crossref
6. Harris ST, Watts NB, Genant HK, et al. Effects of risedronate treatment on vertebral and nonvertebral fractures in women with postmenopausal osteoporosis: a randomized controlled trial. Vertebral Efficacy with Risedronate Therapy (VERT) Study Group. JAMA 1999;282:1344-52. Crossref
7. Black DM, Cummings SR, Karpf DB, et al. Randomised trial of effect of alendronate on risk of fracture in women with existing vertebral fractures. Fracture Intervention Trial Research Group. Lancet 1996;348:1535-41. Crossref
8. Chau PH, Wong M, Lee A, Ling M, Woo J. Trends in hip fracture incidence and mortality in Chinese population from Hong Kong 2001-09. Age Ageing 2013;42:229-33. Crossref
9. Gullberg B, Johnell O, Kanis JA. World-wide projections for hip fracture. Osteoporos Int 1997;7:407-13. Crossref
10. Eisman JA, Bogoch ER, Dell R, et al. Making the first fracture the last fracture: ASBMR task force on secondary fracture prevention. J Bone Miner Res 2012;27:2039-46. Crossref
11. Andrade SE, Majumdar SR, Chan KA et al. Low frequency of treatment of osteoporosis among postmenopausal women following a fracture. Arch Intern Med 2003;163:2052-7. Crossref
12. Feldstein A, Elmer PJ, Orwoll E, Herson M, Hillier T. Bone mineral density measurement and treatment for osteoporosis in older individuals with fractures: a gap in evidence-based practice guideline implementation. Arch Intern Med 2003;163:2165-72. Crossref
13. Elliot-Gibson V, Bogoch ER, Jamal SA, Beaton DE. Practice patterns in the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis after a fragility fracture: a systematic review. Osteoporos Int 2004;15:767-78. Crossref
14. Siris ES, Bilezikian JP, Rubin MR, et al. Pins and plaster aren’t enough: a call for the evaluation and treatment of patients with osteoporotic fractures. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2003;88:3482-6. Crossref
15. Kamel HK, Hussain MS, Tariq S, Perry HM, Morley JE. Failure to diagnose and treat osteoporosis in elderly patients hospitalized with hip fracture. Am J Med 2000;109:326-9. Crossref
16. Torgerson DJ, Dolan P. Prescribing by general practitioners after an osteoporotic fracture. Ann Rheum Dis 1998;57:378-9. Crossref
17. Follin SL, Black JN, McDermott MT. Lack of diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis in men and women after hip fracture. Pharmacotherapy 2003;23:190-8. Crossref
18. Juby AG, De Geus-Wenceslau CM. Evaluation of osteoporosis treatment in seniors after hip fracture. Osteoporos Int 2002;13:205-10. Crossref
19. Harrington JT, Broy SB, Derosa AM, Licata AA, Shewmon DA. Hip fracture patients are not treated for osteoporosis: a call to action. Arthritis Rheum 2002;47:651-4. Crossref
20. Gardner MJ, Brophy RH, Demetrakopoulos D, et al. Interventions to improve osteoporosis treatment following hip fracture. A prospective randomized trial. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2005;87:3-7. Crossref
21. Ho AW, Lee MM, Chan EW, et al. Prevalence of pre-sarcopenia and sarcopenia in Hong Kong Chinese geriatric patients with hip fracture and its correlation with different factors. Hong Kong Med J 2016;22:23-9. Crossref
22. Modi A, Siris ES, Tang J, Sen S. Cost and consequences of noncompliance with osteoporosis treatment among women initiating therapy. Curr Med Res Opin 2015;31:757-65. Crossref
23. Selga J, Nuñez JH, Minguell J, Lalanca M, Garrido M. Simultaneous bilateral atypical femoral fracture in a patient receiving denosumab: case report and literature review. Osteoporos Int 2016;27:827-32. Crossref
24. Black DM, Kelly MP, Genant HK, et al. Bisphosphonates and fractures of the subtrochanteric or diaphyseal femur. N Engl J Med 2010;362:1761-71. Crossref
25. Black DM, Rosen CJ. Clinical practice. Postmenopausal osteoporosis. N Engl J Med 2016;374:254-62. Crossref
26. Cheung CL, Ang SB, Chadha M, et al. An updated hip fracture projection in Asia: The Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies study. Osteoporos Sarcopenia 2018;4:16-21. Crossref
27. Ho KC, Tsoi MF, Cheung TT, Cheung CL, Cheung BM. Increase in prescriptions for osteoporosis and reduction in hip fracture incidence in Hong Kong during 2005-2014. Hong Kong Med J 2016;22(Suppl 1):25S.

Cross-sectional study on emergency department management of sepsis

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Dec;24(6):571–8  |  Epub 14 Nov 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj177149
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Cross-sectional study on emergency department management of sepsis
Kevin KC Hung, FHKCEM, MPH1,2; Rex PK Lam, FHKCEM, MPH3; Ronson SL Lo, MB, BCh, BAO1; Justin W Tenney, PharmD, BCPS4; Marc LC Yang, FHKCEM1,5; Marcus CK Tai, FHKCEM1,2; Colin A Graham, FHKCEM, MD1,2
1 Accident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
2 Accident and Emergency Department, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong
3 Emergency Medicine Unit, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
4 School of Pharmacy, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
5 Accident and Emergency Department, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Jordan, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Prof Colin A Graham (cagraham@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Emergency departments (EDs) play an important role in the early identification and management of sepsis. Little is known about local EDs’ processes of care for sepsis, adoption of international recommendations, and the impact of the new Sepsis-3 definitions.
 
Methods: Structured telephone interviews based on the United Kingdom Sepsis Trust ‘Exemplar Standards for the Emergency Management of Sepsis’ were conducted from January to August 2017 with nominated representatives of all responding public hospital EDs in Hong Kong, followed by a review of hospital/departmental sepsis guidelines by the investigators.
 
Results: Sixteen of the 18 public EDs in Hong Kong participated in the study. Among various time-critical medical emergencies such as major trauma, sepsis was perceived by the interviewees to be the leading cause of in-hospital mortality and the second most important preventable cause of death. However, only seven EDs reported having departmental guidelines on sepsis care, with four adopting the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score or its modified versions. All responding EDs reported that antibiotics were stocked within their departments, and all EDs with sepsis guidelines mandated early intravenous antibiotic administration within 1 to 2 hours of detection. Reported major barriers to optimal sepsis care included lack of knowledge and experience, nursing human resources shortages, and difficulty identifying patients with sepsis in the ED setting.
 
Conclusion: There are considerable variations in sepsis care among EDs in Hong Kong. More training, resources, and research efforts should be directed to early ED sepsis care, to improve patient outcomes.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Large variations were found in practice and adoption of international sepsis recommendations across emergency departments (EDs) in Hong Kong. Fewer than half of the EDs had sepsis management guidelines, and there were no regular audits or any registry to monitor the performance of sepsis care.
  • Although sepsis was perceived as the leading cause of in-hospital mortality, and second only to trauma in terms of preventable mortality, sepsis has not received a high level of attention within EDs.
  • Many EDs specified the requirements for early intravenous antibiotics administration and stocked antibiotics, but they differed in terms of the methods and screening criteria used for identification of patients with sepsis.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Sepsis, an emergency condition with high mortality that requires timely intervention, continues to lack adequate attention and resource allocation within EDs in Hong Kong. Now is a critical time to review whether performance indicators for sepsis should be formalised.
  • Previous sporadic quality improvement programmes were not adequate to address the high mortality of patients with sepsis who attend EDs. Sustained improvements in resources and training must be provided to improve care for patients with sepsis in Hong Kong.
  • By overcoming barriers including the lack of knowledge among ED staff and the need for standard screening to be implemented, EDs in Hong Kong have the capacity to provide a higher standard of care for sepsis patients.
 
 
Introduction
The global incidence rates of hospital-treated sepsis and severe sepsis have been estimated as 437 and 270 cases per 100 000 person years, respectively,1 accounting for 17% and 26% of hospital mortality, respectively. The same study estimated that 31.5 million cases of sepsis and 19.4 million cases of severe sepsis account for 5.3 million deaths annually worldwide.1 The ageing of the population and the increasing number of people living with co-morbid conditions are believed to be important factors associated with the increasing incidence of sepsis.2
 
In early 2016, sepsis was re-defined as ‘life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection’ (Sepsis-3).3 The criteria used for identifying patients with sepsis were also updated, with the removal of the original systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria that had been used since the early 1990s. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score is commonly used in intensive care units (ICUs) for assessment of organ dysfunction. The quickSOFA (qSOFA) score has been proposed as a bedside screening tool for patients at risk of sepsis with adverse outcomes in emergency departments (EDs) and other non-ICU settings. The evidence base for such a proposal is accumulating,4 and the optimal screening tool for sepsis in EDs has not yet been identified.5 6 7 8
 
The recent ProCESS,9 ProMISE,10 and ARISE trials11 confirmed the importance of early recognition with fluid resuscitation and appropriate antibiotic therapy in improving sepsis outcomes. These trials refuted the need for strict adherence to the haemodynamic goals proposed by Rivers et al in 2001 as early goal-directed therapy.12 Although it is generally agreed that early initiation of therapy is key to surviving sepsis, controversies remain regarding the initial rate and choice of fluids, the role and choice of inotropes, the identification of infection sources with imaging and other techniques, the use of appropriate antibiotics, and the optimal microbiological workup.13 14 15 16 17
 
The ED occupies a critical position in a patient’s journey of sepsis care and plays an important role in the early identification and treatment of sepsis.17 Despite frequent encounters with sepsis in EDs, few studies in Hong Kong have investigated sepsis care. Yang et al18 studied patients with sepsis and septic shock in a tertiary university teaching hospital and found no significant change in the in-hospital mortality rate after the implementation of sepsis guidelines (pre-implementation: 29.6% in 2009; post-implementation: 35.3% in 2010). Although a significant proportion (25.5% in 2009 and 40.2% in 2010) of the recruited patients had hypoperfusion (mean arterial pressure <65 mm Hg or lactate >4 mmol/L), only 10.4% to 11.8% had blood cultures drawn, 13.0% to 23.5% had antibiotics administered, and 24.5% to 29.6% had fluid resuscitation initiated in the ED. In that study, sepsis was recognised in the ED in only two-thirds of the patients with sepsis who presented there. Tse et al19 reported similar findings in their study on the impact of departmental sepsis guidelines on mortality (pre-implementation mortality: 25.8%; post-implementation mortality: 33%), although there were improved rates of blood culture collection and antibiotic administration in the ED after its implementation. Overall, 17.2% of patients required direct ICU admission.
 
Those studies highlighted a few important issues regarding sepsis care in Hong Kong EDs: a heavy burden of sepsis, low compliance with treatment guidelines, and poor patient outcomes despite efforts to standardise care. Evidently, implementing sepsis guidelines is insufficient, and there is a need to evaluate the whole process of care systematically. Moreover, those previous studies involved only individual EDs and, thus, might not be representative of other EDs. Furthermore, the adoption of international recommendations about sepsis care and the impact of the new Sepsis-3 definitions on ED practice are not known. We therefore conducted a survey to evaluate the process of sepsis care, the uptake of international recommendations and the Sepsis-3 definitions to departmental sepsis guidelines, and the barriers faced by health care providers in public EDs in Hong Kong.
 
Methods
This was a cross-sectional survey across all EDs in Hong Kong in 2017. All 18 public EDs under the Hospital Authority were invited to participate. Private EDs and 24-hour out-patient departments were excluded because 90% of in-patient care is provided by public hospitals in Hong Kong. One representative was nominated by the Chief of Service (medical director) of each ED to speak on behalf of the department, but not individuals. The telephone survey was based on an interview guide provided before the interview (online supplementary Appendix).
 
Interview guide development
The interview guide was developed by the study team with the structure recommended by the UK Sepsis Trust “Exemplar Standards for the Emergency Management of Sepsis”.20 It included nine domains: departmental guidelines on sepsis, screening criteria for sepsis, physical location and resources, sepsis care and microbiology, antibiotics availability and antimicrobial guidelines, support from ICU and other departments, factors affecting the level of care provided, priority of audits and research, and training and quality assurance.
 
Telephone interview
One investigator (KH) performed all of the telephone interviews from January to August 2017. Email invitations were sent to the Chiefs of Services of all 18 departments 2 to 3 weeks before the telephone interviews, and all participating departments were asked to provide their prevailing sepsis guidelines (if available) before the telephone interviews. Departments that had not responded were contacted again up to a total of 4 times.
 
Data analysis
All telephone interviews were audio recorded after obtaining consent. Interview data were recorded using a standardised data collection sheet, and data were entered into an Excel spreadsheet. Descriptive statistics were presented as medians for continuous variables (unless specified otherwise) and percentage proportions for categorical variables. Participants ranked each of the nine barriers to sepsis care using a 5-point Likert scale (‘not important’ 1; ‘slightly important’ 2; ‘important’ 3; ‘fairy important’ 4; and ‘very important’ 5).
 
Results
Out of the 18 EDs, 16 agreed to participate. One department declined to participate, and one did not respond after repeated contacts.
 
Departmental guidelines on sepsis
Seven departments reported the presence of sepsis guidelines in their EDs, with three of these departments using the same regional guidelines. Therefore, five different sets of sepsis guidelines were reported to be in current use across all public EDs in Hong Kong. Table 1 shows the characteristics of the EDs with and without sepsis guidelines. Table 23 21 22 23 24 25 26 summarises the core components of the five sets of guidelines reported. Most of the current versions of the guidelines were implemented between 2014 and 2017.
 

Table 1. Characteristics of EDs with and without sepsis guidelines
 

Table 2. Inclusion criteria and key intervention targets in available guidelines
 
Screening criteria for sepsis
Four out of the seven departments with sepsis guidelines used qSOFA, which is based on the Sepsis-3 recommendations. Three departments (which used the same regional guidelines) used modified qSOFA criteria. The reasons for this, as reported by respondents, included the concern that replacing the definition of ‘severe sepsis’ with a qSOFA score might increase the number of cases screened as positive. This would result in an increased number of cases requiring management in resuscitation rooms and put further strain on the already scarce ED human resources.
 
The use of lactate as a biomarker for clinical decision making in sepsis care was uncommon in the surveyed EDs. Fourteen out of the 16 EDs had access to point-of-care testing of blood gases inside the department, but only five had a lactate module. The ED physicians mainly rely on patients’ vital signs and clinical assessment to facilitate recognition of sepsis.
 
Physical location and resources
Upon identification of sepsis, two of the EDs’ guidelines explicitly mentioned sending the patient to a resuscitation room (or a bed with intensive monitoring, eg, a high-dependency unit). Most of the surveyed EDs (13 of 16) routinely managed patients with sepsis in their resuscitation rooms. None of the EDs had a designated team or a code specifically for patients with sepsis, unlike the management of major trauma, for which the EDs employed a trauma team approach. One of the EDs had designed a sepsis kit consisting of antiseptic swab sticks and pre-set blood collection tubes and had investigation shortcuts in the computer system to facilitate implementation of the guidelines.
 
Sepsis care and microbiology
Regarding the resuscitation and stabilisation of patients with sepsis, Table 2 highlights the key areas covered by the existing guidelines. All sets of guidelines refer to the Surviving Sepsis Campaign targets21 22 or the UK Sepsis Six targets.23 All sets of guidelines also mention time to intravenous antibiotics and microbiological workup, including blood cultures, with the majority specifying intravenous antibiotics within 1 hour of the patient’s arrival.
 
Most EDs (13 of 16) expressed a preference to use normal saline or other isotonic crystalloids for fluid resuscitation. The target volume is up to 20 to 30 mL/kg, with monitoring of the patient’s blood pressure (especially mean arterial pressure) for fluid responsiveness. The use of ultrasonograms was reported to be increasing, especially bedside echocardiograms and inferior vena cava variability, to assess patients’ fluid status. Central venous pressure was mentioned, but its use by ED physicians was perceived to be decreasing in frequency. If vasopressors or inotropes were needed, dopamine was the most common choice, as it can be administered via peripheral veins.
 
Concerning source identification for sepsis, most sets of guidelines (4 of 5) mentioned chest X-rays and urinalysis. If abdominal sepsis was suspected, some EDs would consult their surgical colleagues and make a joint decision as to when a computed tomography (CT) scan or further imaging may be necessary. Individual departments have large variation in access to CT scans.
 
Antibiotic availability within the emergency department and antimicrobial guidelines
All responding EDs reported that antibiotics were stocked in their departments. The numbers of different antibiotics stocked in the EDs ranged from 3 to 18, with a median of 8.5. The choice of antibiotics stocked depended on the individual departments’ antimicrobial guidelines or regional patterns of pathogen and antibiotic resistance. Both the penicillin and cephalosporin groups were present in all EDs, followed in frequency by fluoroquinolones (14 of 16), others (13 of 16), aminoglycosides (12 of 16), carbapenems (9 of 16), and macrolides (2 of 16).
 
Support from the intensive care unit and other departments
Organ failure and septic shock are frequent indications for ICU admission. However, direct ICU admission of patients with single organ failure from EDs is determined by individual ICU admission policy and bed availability. Support from the ICU and in-patient wards varies across different EDs. During the winter surge and flu seasons, access to hospital beds is reduced, causing both ED congestion and compromised sepsis care, especially for those with stable vital signs or poor premorbid conditions. In some of the surveyed hospitals (4 of 16), laboratory and pharmacy support for sepsis care after office hours is limited. This means that those EDs need to dispense drugs or manage patients without the results of certain laboratory investigations.
 
Training, audit, and research for sepsis
In terms of training, audits, and research, most of the surveyed EDs (14 of 16) provided ad hoc training on sepsis management to physicians and nurses, but none had a specific sepsis outcome audit or registry. Even though two local studies18 19 provided some insight into previous sepsis-related mortality, there has been no agreement regarding standardisation of coding or key performance indicators across different departments.
 
Factors affecting the level of care provided
Compared with other time-critical medical emergencies, the respondents perceived sepsis to be the leading cause of in-hospital mortality (average: 4.17), followed by acute coronary syndrome (4.09), stroke (3.00), trauma (2.58), and poisoning (1.08). When the respondents were asked which time-critical emergencies had the highest rates of preventable mortality that was not well managed in the ED, trauma was rated the highest (4.00), followed closely by sepsis (3.42), poisoning (2.92), stroke (2.42), and acute coronary syndrome (2.25). The top barriers to optimal sepsis care in EDs identified by the respondents were lack of knowledge and experience and inadequate nursing human resources, followed by difficulty identifying patients with sepsis. Table 3 lists all of the barriers investigated by the survey and their perceived importance.
 

Table 3. Barriers to optimal care for patients with sepsis perceived by the respondents
 
Discussion
In this study, we found varying levels of adoption of international sepsis guidelines among the responding EDs. Sepsis was perceived to be the top cause of in-hospital mortality and the second leading cause of preventable mortality among all time-critical emergencies. Few EDs had adopted the qSOFA score (which is based on the Sepsis-3 recommendations) in patient screening at 1 year after its publication. Early intravenous antibiotic administration within 1 to 2 hours was mandatory according to all of the surveyed EDs’ sepsis guidelines, and all responding EDs reported that antibiotics were stocked within their departments.
 
Emergency departments across the world have an important responsibility to recognise patients with sepsis, as delays in treatment and administration of antibiotics have been shown to increase in-hospital mortality.27 All responding public EDs had antibiotics available on-site, but few provided clear guidance on which patients might benefit from timely intravenous antibiotic administration except those with neutropenic or post-chemotherapy fever. The widespread availability of intravenous antibiotics across the EDs is likely a result of the recent Hospital Authority review on acute management of neutropenic fever. All of the participating EDs reported the use of either departmental or cluster-wide guidelines for neutropenic fever, and the latest version of the Hospital Authority triage guidelines emphasises the importance of its early recognition and assigns a higher priority to patients with suspected neutropenic fever.28 Despite previous studies in Hong Kong that demonstrated high mortality rates among patients with sepsis without neutropenia,18 19 sepsis generally does not receive the same level of attention as neutropenia in Hong Kong EDs. To improve patient outcomes, more emphasis should be placed on early resuscitation and antibiotic therapy for sepsis in EDs.
 
Sustained improvement in sepsis care requires not only guidelines but also more resources and staff training. Further, EDs in Hong Kong face many challenges such as access blockages and overcrowding.29 With the rising level of service demand and competing priorities in EDs, it is important to understand the barriers to better sepsis care from health care providers’ perspectives. Our study highlights several challenges. The top barriers reported included a lack of knowledge and experience, nursing human resources shortages, and difficulty identifying patients with sepsis. These findings are similar to those of Carlbom and Rubenfeld,30 who reported a lack of nursing staff, challenges in the identification of patients with sepsis, and problems with central venous pressure monitoring as barriers to optimal sepsis care. For effective changes to take place, it is necessary to overcome these barriers with more staff training, better nursing human resources provision in EDs, elevation of staff awareness of sepsis, and provision of useful bedside tools for sepsis recognition.
 
The UK Sepsis Six and quality improvement projects in the UK shed light on how sustained reductions in sepsis mortality can be achieved in a publicly funded health system similar to that of Hong Kong.31 In the United States, New York State has required hospitals to follow a sepsis protocol since 2013. Results from 2014 to 2016 showed that 82.5% of patients across 149 hospitals had the 3-hour bundle of care (blood cultures, broad-spectrum antibiotics, and lactate measurement) completed within 3 hours, with a median time to completion of 1.3 hours.32
 
Steady improvements in survival of other time-critical emergencies including ST elevation myocardial infarction,33 acute ischemic stroke,34 and major trauma35 have been achieved in Hong Kong through systemic changes, more staff training and resources, multidisciplinary collaboration, and regular interdepartmental audits. Regular and systematic data collection from EDs in Hong Kong for monitoring, evaluation of performance and processes of care, and benchmarking is important to assess the impact of various ED sepsis initiatives.
 
Limitations
This study has a number of limitations. Not all public EDs in Hong Kong participated in the study. However, we believe that our findings are representative of the current ED processes of sepsis care in Hong Kong. We did not include other private EDs, which might affect the generalisability of our findings; however, ambulances in Hong Kong bring patients to public EDs only, and 90% of all in-patient care is provided by public hospitals. We have likely covered the majority of the EDs in Hong Kong that provide emergency care to patients with sepsis, especially those in critical condition.
 
Second, it is possible that some respondents might have expressed personal bias when responding to the questions, especially those regarding the barriers to optimal sepsis care. This could have affected the results despite the fact that respondents were reminded that their replies should provide the views of the department (not their personal points of view), and even though the interview guide was shared in advance to consolidate departmental opinions. Individual questionnaires targeting various seniority levels of ED staff might be better to address these questions in the future.
 
Finally, we relied heavily on the materials provided by the respondents, and their views do not necessarily reflect real clinical practice. However, this provides a beginning to facilitate a better systematic understanding of sepsis care in Hong Kong EDs as a whole. Future studies are warranted to evaluate actual clinical practice, patient outcomes in cases of sepsis, and the impact of adopting new sepsis definitions and international guidelines on a territory-wide basis.
 
Conclusion
Compared with other time-critical emergencies with high mortality and impact on patients, sepsis has not received adequate attention in Hong Kong EDs. The process of care varies considerably among EDs, and few have departmental sepsis guidelines. With increasing recognition of the burden of sepsis among Hong Kong EDs, more training and resources for management of these patients and the establishment of formal performance indicators should be considered. Systematic routine data collection for prospective multicentre research is needed to improve patient care.
 
Author contributions
Concept and design: KKC Hung, RPK Lam, RSL Lo, CA Graham.
Acquisition of data: KKC Hung, RPK Lam, MLC Yang, MCK Tai.
Analysis and interpretation of data: KKC Hung, JW Tenney.
Drafting of the article: KKC Hung, RPK Lam.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
Acknowledgement
We thank all of the participants for their time and support of this study.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethical approval
Ethical approval was obtained from the Survey and Behavioural Research Ethics Committee of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (097-16). Verbal informed consent was obtained from the participants.
 
References
1. Fleischmann C, Scherag A, Adhikari NK, et al. Assessment of global incidence and mortality of hospital-treated sepsis. Current estimates and limitations. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2016;193:259-72. Crossref
2. Kempker JA, Martin GS. The changing epidemiology and definitions of sepsis. Clin Chest Med 2016;37:165-79. Crossref
3. Singer M, Deutschman CS, Seymour CW, et al. The Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3). JAMA 2016;315:801-10. Crossref
4. Churpek MM, Snyder A, Han X, et al. Quick sepsis-related organ failure assessment, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and early warning scores for detecting clinical deterioration in infected patients outside the intensive care unit. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2017;195:906-11. Crossref
5. Lo RS, Brabrand M, Kurland L, Graham CA. Sepsis—where are the emergency physicians? Eur J Emerg Med 2016;23:159. Crossref
6. Kaukonen KM, Bailey M, Pilcher D, Cooper DJ, Bellomo R. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria in defining severe sepsis. N Engl J Med 2015;372:1629-38. Crossref
7. Vincent JL, Martin GS, Levy MM. qSOFA does not replace SIRS in the definition of sepsis. Crit Care 2016;20:210. Crossref
8. Macdonald SP, Arendts G, Fatovich DM, Brown SG. Comparison of PIRO, SOFA, and MEDS scores for predicting mortality in emergency department patients with severe sepsis and septic shock. Acad Emerg Med 2014;21:1257-63. Crossref
9. ProCESS Investigators, Yealy DM, Kellum JA, et al. A randomized trial of protocol-based care for early septic shock. N Engl J Med 2014;370:1683-93. Crossref
10. Mouncey PR, Osborn TM, Power GS, et al. Trial of early, goal-directed resuscitation for septic shock. N Engl J Med 2015;372:1301-11. Crossref
11. ARISE Investigators, ANZICS Clinical Trials Group, Peake SL, et al. Goal-directed resuscitation for patients with early septic shock. N Engl J Med 2014;371:1496-506. Crossref
12. Rivers E, Nguyen B, Havstad S, et al. Early goal-directed therapy in the treatment of severe sepsis and septic shock. N Engl J Med 2001;345:1368-77. Crossref
13. Gotts JE, Matthay MA. Sepsis: pathophysiology and clinical management. BMJ 2016;353:i1585. Crossref
14. Cohen J, Vincent JL, Adhikari NK, et al. Sepsis: a roadmap for future research. Lancet infect Dis 2015;15:581-614. Crossref
15. Andrews B, Semler MW, Muchemwa L, et al. Effect of an early resuscitation protocol on in-hospital mortality among adults with sepsis and hypotension: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA 2017;318:1233-40. Crossref
16. McIntyre L, Rowe BH, Walsh TS, et al. Multicountry survey of emergency and critical care medicine physicians’ fluid resuscitation practices for adult patients with early septic shock. BMJ Open 2016;6:e010041. Crossref
17. Lam SM, Lau AC, Lam RP, Yan WW. Clinical management of sepsis. Hong Kong Med J 2017;23:296. Crossref
18. Yang ML, Graham CA, Rainer TH. Outcome after implementation of sepsis guideline in the emergency department of a university hospital in Hong Kong. Hong Kong J Emerg Med 2015;22:163-71. Crossref
19. Tse CL, Lui CT, Wong CY, Ong KL, Fung HT, Tang SY. Impact of a sepsis guideline in emergency department on outcome of patients with severe sepsis. Hong Kong J Emerg Med 2017;24:123-31. Crossref
20. Nutbeam T, Daniels R, Keep J; for the UK Sepsis Trust. Toolkit: emergency department management of sepsis in adults and young people over 12 years—2016. Available from: https://sepsistrust.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/ED-toolkit-2016-Final-1.pdf. Accessed 4 May 2018. Crossref
21. Dellinger RP, Levy MM, Rhodes A, et al. Surviving Sepsis Campaign: International Guidelines for Management of Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock, 2012. Intensive Care Med 2013;39:165-228. Crossref
22. National Health Service UK. Sepsis guidance implementation advice for adults. Available from: https://www.england.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/sepsis-guidance-implementation-advice-for-adults.pdf. Accessed 3 Nov 2018.
23. Daniels R, Nutbeam T, McNamara G, Galvin C. The sepsis six and the severe sepsis resuscitation bundle: a prospective observational cohort study. Emerg Med J 2011;28:507-12. Crossref
24. Gilbert DN, Moellering RC, Eliopoulos GM, Chambers HF, Saag MS. The Sanford Guide to Antimicrobial Therapy. 42nd ed. Antimicrobial Therapy Inc; 2012.
25. Ho PL, Wong SS. Reducing bacterial resistance with IMPACT—Interhospital Multi-disciplinary Programme on Antimicrobial ChemoTherapy. Hong Kong: Centre for Health Protection; 2012.
26. Rhodes A, Evans LE, Alhazzani W, et al. Surviving Sepsis Campaign: International Guidelines for Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock: 2016. Intensive Care Med 2017;43:304-77. Crossref
27. Seymour CW, Kahn JM, Martin-Gill C, et al. Delays from first medical contact to antibiotic administration for sepsis. Crit Care Med 2017;45:759-65. Crossref
28. A&E Triage Guidelines version 5. Hong Kong: Hospital Authority; 2016.
29. Chan SS, Cheung NK, Graham CA, Rainer TH. Strategies and solutions to alleviate access block and overcrowding in emergency departments. Hong Kong Med J 2015;21:345-52. Crossref
30. Carlbom DJ, Rubenfeld GD. Barriers to implementing protocol-based sepsis resuscitation in the emergency department—results of a national survey. Crit Care Med 2007;35:2525-32. Crossref
31. Bentley J, Henderson S, Thakore S, Donald M, Wang W. Seeking sepsis in the emergency department-identifying barriers to delivery of the Sepsis 6. BMJ Qual Improv Rep 2016;5:u206760.w3983.
32. Seymour CW, Gesten F, Prescott HC, et al. Time to treatment and mortality during mandated emergency care for sepsis. N Engl J Med 2017;376:2235-44. Crossref
33. Cheung GS, Tsui KL, Lau CC, et al. Primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST elevation myocardial infarction: performance with focus on timeliness of treatment. Hong Kong Med J 2010;16:347-53.
34. Wong EH, Yu SC, Lau AY, et al. Intra-arterial revascularisation therapy for acute ischaemic stroke: initial experience in a Hong Kong hospital. Hong Kong Med J 2013;19:135-41.
35. Cheung NK, Yeung JH, Chan JT, Cameron PA, Graham CA, Rainer TH. Primary trauma diversion: initial experience in Hong Kong. J Trauma 2006;61:954-60. Crossref

Clinical and genetic profile of congenital long QT syndrome in Hong Kong: a 20-year experience in paediatrics

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Dec;24(6):561–70  |  Epub 3 Dec 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj187487
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Clinical and genetic profile of congenital long QT syndrome in Hong Kong: a 20-year experience in paediatrics
SY Kwok, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1; Anthony PY Liu, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)2; Cindy YY Chan, BSc1; KS Lun, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1; Jasmine LF Fung, BBiomedSc2; Christopher CY Mak, MB, ChB2; Brian HY Chung, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)2; TC Yung, MB, BS, FHKAM (Paediatrics)1
1 Department of Paediatric Cardiology, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
2 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Brian HY Chung (bhychung@hku.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS) is a genetically transmitted cardiac channelopathy that can lead to sudden cardiac death. This study aimed to report the clinical and genetic characteristics of all young patients diagnosed with LQTS in the only tertiary paediatric cardiology centre in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: This is a retrospective review of all paediatric and young adult patients diagnosed at our centre with LQTS from January 1997 to December 2016. The diagnosis of LQTS was established with a corrected QT interval (QTc) ≥480 ms, Schwartz score of >3 points, or the presence of a pathogenic mutation.
 
Results: Fifty-nine patients (33 males) from 52 families were included, with a mean age of 8.17 years (range, 0.00-16.95 years) at presentation. Five patients had concomitant congenital heart diseases. The mean follow-up duration was 5.33 ± 4.65 years. The mean QTc in the cohort was 504 ± 47 ms. They presented with syncope and convulsion (49%), cardiac arrest (10%), bradycardia and neonatal atrioventricular block (12%). Fifteen (25%) patients were asymptomatic at diagnosis. Thirty-eight (64.4%) patients were confirmed to have a pathogenic mutation for LQTS genes. Forty-five (76.3%) patients received beta blocker therapy. Thirteen (22.0%) patients required implantable cardioverter defibrillator. There was no mortality in the study period. The 1-, 5-, and 10-year breakthrough cardiac event–free rates were 93.0%, 80.7%, and 72.6%, respectively.
 
Conclusion: Identification of the disorder, administration of beta blockers, and lifestyle modification can prevent subsequent cardiac events in LQTS. Genotyping in patients with LQTS is essential in guiding medical therapy and improving prognosis.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Two-thirds of young long QT syndrome patients in Hong Kong carry pathogenic mutations. Concomitant congenital heart disease is present in 8.5% of these patients.
  • The current treatment strategy for young long QT syndrome patients in Hong Kong includes lifestyle modification, beta blocker therapy, implantation of a cardioverter defibrillator, and sympathectomy.
  • Young long QT syndrome patients in the present study have good prognosis. No mortality was reported in the medium-term follow-up.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Genetic testing should be performed for all patients with clinical diagnosis of long QT syndrome, to facilitate timely genotype-guided therapy and early detection of affected family members.
  • The diagnosis of long QT syndrome should be considered in young patients presenting with syncope and convulsions, as well as those with bradycardia and atrioventricular block in early infancy.
  • Sudden cardiac death associated with long QT syndrome is preventable. Facilities for genetic testing and inherited arrhythmia assessment are recommended.
 
 
Introduction
Congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS) is a life-threatening cardiac arrhythmia syndrome, which leads to sudden death in young people.1 Congenital LQTS is characterised by prolonged QT interval (QTc) on electrocardiogram (ECG) and occurrence of syncope or cardiac arrest. During the past two decades, there have been major advancements in the understanding of the genetic factors underlying the clinical manifestations, prognosis, and subtype-specific therapy of LQTS.1 2 3Seventeen disease-causing LQTS genes have been identified, each of which can lead to dysfunction in the potassium, calcium, or sodium cardiac ion channels.4 In this study, we review the clinical characteristics, genetic profile, management strategy, and outcome of our local LQTS paediatric patients.
 
Methods
Study population
Our study included all children, adolescents, and young adults diagnosed with congenital LQTS from January 1997 to December 2016 in the Department of Paediatric Cardiology, Queen Mary Hospital, which is the only tertiary paediatric cardiology referral centre in Hong Kong. All except three patients were Chinese. Diagnosis of congenital LQTS was reviewed with reference to the 2015 European Society of Cardiology guidelines for the management of patients with ventricular arrhythmias and the prevention of sudden cardiac death.5 Long QT syndrome was diagnosed with either corrected QTc ≥480 ms in repeated 12-lead ECG measurements or LQTS risk score >3 points, as proposed by Schwartz et al.6 The presence of a confirmed pathogenic LQTS mutation, irrespective of the QTc, was also used for diagnosis of LQTS. Secondary causes of LQTS were excluded.
 
Demographic data, clinical presentation, family history, QTc at presentation, and genetic tests were retrospectively reviewed. Clinically important presentation was defined as clinical symptoms or rhythm disturbances that warranted concern. Incidental findings of isolated prolonged QTc were not regarded as clinically important presentation.
 
We reviewed the treatment modalities, including beta blocker therapy, implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD), permanent pacemaker, and left cardiac sympathetic denervation. Clinical outcomes up to December 2016 were summarised. Syncope, seizure, aborted cardiac arrest, appropriate ICD shock, or sudden cardiac death after diagnosis of LQTS were considered as breakthrough cardiac events.
 
Genetic test
Genetic tests were offered to all patients after informed consent was provided by their parents or guardians. Blood samples were sent to the Molecular Genetics Laboratory of Victorian Clinical Genetic Services, Melbourne, Australia, for genetic testing. Before 2014, six common LQTS genes were tested (KCNQ1, KCNH2, SCN5A, KCNE1, KCNE2, KCNJ2) by sequencing of the entire coding region of all known transcripts of the genes. Multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification analysis was performed on five genes (KCNQ1, KCNH2, SCN5A, KCNE1, KCNE2) to detect deletions or duplications. After 2014, next-generation sequencing was used to identify mutations in an arrhythmia gene panel to replace sequencing of the six LQTS genes (details of the arrhythmia full panel can be found at http://www.vcgs.org.au/tests/cardiac-gene-panels). Before referral to our unit, 13 patients had genetic tests performed by local or overseas genetic testing centres.
 
Mutations in the LQTS loci classified as pathogenic or likely pathogenic were considered as genotype positive in our cohort. Cascade testing was offered to first-degree relatives of patients identified as genotype positive.
 
Statistical analysis
Statistical analysis was performed with the SPSS (Window version 17.0; SPSS Inc, Chicago [IL], United States). Continuous variables were expressed as mean ± standard deviation, median and range. We used the standard t test for comparisons of continuous data. The P<0.05 were deemed statistically significant. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were created with censoring at first breakthrough cardiac event or last follow-up, and analysis was made using the log rank test.
 
Results
Demographics and clinical characteristics
During the study period, 59 patients (33 males) in 52 families were identified who fulfilled the diagnostic criteria as described. Nine individuals were diagnosed by ECG screening of our index cases including a 25-year-old young adult. The mean follow-up duration of the cohort was 5.33 ± 4.65 years. Four patients were lost to follow-up, but no death was reported in the territory-wide Hospital Authority electronic patient record. Five patients were under the care of adult cardiologists at the follow-up.
 
Table 1 shows the characteristics of our patients. The mean age at diagnosis was 8.12 ± 5.19 years (range, 0-25 years). For those patients who had clinically important presentation, the mean age at presentation was 8.75 ± 5.12 years (range, 0.00-16.95 years). Boys were younger than girls at presentation (6.39 ± 5.00 years vs 10.51 ± 4.55 years, P=0.016).
 

Table 1. Cohort characteristics of patients with LQTS
 
The mean QTc of the cohort was 504 ± 47 ms. The median Schwartz score was 4 points (range, 1-6 points). Index patients had longer mean QTc (512 ± 46 ms) when compared with screened family members (462 ± 25 ms, P=0.002).
 
Five (8.47%) patients had congenital heart defects: secundum atrial septal defect (n=1; genotype negative), ventricular septal defect (n=1; LQTS type 2 [LQT2]), tetralogy of Fallot (n=2; LQT2 and LQTS type 8 [LQT8]), and transposition of great arteries (n=1; genotype negative). One patient had bilateral sensorineural hearing loss and was subsequently confirmed to have LQTS type 1 (LQT1).
 
Mode of presentation
Figure 1 illustrates the mode of initial presentation of our patients. Forty-four patients had clinically important presentation at diagnosis. Syncope without convulsion was the most common mode of presentation (37.3%), among which around 40% of cases were stress-related. Convulsion was also a common symptom (12%). Aborted cardiac arrest occurred in six (10.2%) individuals.
 

Figure 1. Genotypes and clinical presentations of our cohort of patients with long QT syndrome (n=59). (a) Genotypes and (b) clinical presentations of patients with long QT syndrome
 
Three patients presented with sinus bradycardia, one of whom was detected prenatally. Four patients, including three infants, had 2:1 atrioventricular (AV) block at diagnosis. A significant proportion of patients with LQTS (25.4%) did not have clinically important presentation at diagnosis; most of them had incidental ECG findings of prolonged QTc during medical check-ups or were identified by family cascade screening.
 
Treatment and outcome
The clinical outcomes of patients with LQTS in our cohort with clinically important presentation are summarised in Figure 2.
 

Figure 2. Outcomes of patients with long QT syndrome with clinically important presentation
 
Beta blocker
All patients were offered beta blocker therapy. However, 14 patients refused beta blocker (11 patients had clinically important presentation). Seven patients were on beta blocker but stopped subsequently.
 
Metoprolol was the initial choice of beta blocker for most of our patients (n=27), whereas 10 patients had atenolol as initial choice. Propranolol was used in eight infants. Eight patients receiving metoprolol, atenolol, or propranolol later changed to nadolol to enhance compliance or for better control of breakthrough symptoms. Mexiletine was added as an adjuvant therapy for five patients with LQTS type 3 (LQT3) who were symptomatic. Among the 31 patients with an initial history of convulsion, syncope, or dizziness (mean follow-up duration, 4.81 ± 3.84 years), 21 became asymptomatic after medication and/or lifestyle modification. Two patients who had recurrent symptoms after initial beta blocker therapy became event-free after a change from metoprolol/atenolol to nadolol. Patients without clinically important presentation at diagnosis remained asymptomatic with or without beta blocker therapy, irrespective of presence of documented pathogenic mutation.
 
Implantable cardioverter defibrillator
Implantable cardioverter defibrillator was implanted in 13 patients, whose mean QTc was 501 ± 42 ms. Six of these patients had initially presented with aborted ventricular tachycardia (VT)/ventricular fibrillation (VF) arrest. Five patients received ICD implantation because of recurrent symptom or subsequent VT/VF despite beta blocker therapy. Two of these five patients experienced appropriate shocks after ICD implantation. One patient with pathogenic KCNE1 mutation had syncope due to sinus arrest with long pauses; ICD was offered for primary prevention of sudden death in addition to pacing therapy. One patient who had AV block at birth developed subsequent unprovoked syncope at aged 6 years despite medical treatment and his pacing system was upgraded to ICD. In total, four patients experienced appropriate ICD shocks despite beta blocker treatment. There were no more ICD shocks after reinforcement of medication compliance, adjustment of dosage, and in one patient switching of metoprolol to nadolol.
 
Left cardiac sympathetic denervation
Left cardiac sympathetic denervation was performed via video-assisted thoracoscopic approach in two patients, together with ICD therapy. Both of them were free of cardiac events on follow-up.
 
Pacemaker
Pacemakers were implanted in five patients. Four of these five patients had functional AV block due to prolonged QTc. Normal AV node conduction recovered with time in these four children. The fifth patient had complete heart block after surgical repair of congenital heart condition (transposition of great arteries with ventricular septal defect).
 
The Kaplan-Meier survival curve is shown in Figure 3. Overall, the breakthrough cardiac event–free survival was 93.0% ± 0.034% at 1 year, 80.7% ± 0.065% at 5 years, and 72.6% ± 0.080% at 10 years for the entire cohort. Patients who had clinically important presentation at baseline had a higher risk of developing breakthrough cardiac events (P=0.048) compared with those who did not. There was no mortality during the study period.
 

Figure 3. Breakthrough cardiac event (BCE)–free survival in treated long QT syndrome patients
 
Genotype
All but four patients underwent genetic testing. Testing was not possible in two patients owing to loss to follow-up before genetic testing could be offered; these two patients were strong phenotypes of LQTS with Schwartz scores of 4 and 5 points, respectively. The other two patients were first-degree relatives of confirmed genotype-positive patients.
 
Seven patients were genotype negative. Four of them were tested before 2014. Nine patients had their mutated genes classified as variants of unknown significance. We also included three patients (LQT1, n=2; LQT2, n=1), reported by Mak et al,7 whose genetic tests were performed in a local laboratory.
 
Thirty-eight (69.1%) patients among those tested were confirmed to have pathogenic mutations for LQTS (Table 2). Eight mutations were novel (8/33, 24.2%). Most of the pathogenic mutations were missense mutation (30/33, 90.9%). Ten (16.9%) patients had LQT1 (KCNQ1). Twelve (20.3%) patients had LQT2 (KCNH2), whereas seven (11.9%) patients had LQT3 (SCN5A). Three patients had LQTS type 5 (KCNE1). There were five patients (three families) with LQT8 resulting from a rare pathogenic mutation in CACNA1C. LQT8 is linked to Timothy syndrome with multiple extracardiac manifestations. Only one of our patients with LQT8 had classical features of Timothy syndrome, with syndactyly, developmental delay, and congenital heart defect (tetralogy of Fallot). One patient had LQTS type 16 (CALM3). Figure 1 shows the details of the genotype information of LQTS genes identified.
 
Clinical characteristics of patients with LQT1, LQT2, or LQT3 are detailed in Figure 4. Syncope with stress was the predominant presentation in patients with LQT1 (60%). In contrast, syncope without stress was the main form of presentation in patients with LQT2 (41.7%). In patients with LQT3, around 30% had an initial presentation of aborted VF cardiac arrest. A high proportion (50%) of patients with LQT3 developed subsequent VT/VF despite medical therapy, compared with 14.3% in patients with LQT1 and 28.6% in patients with LQT2.
 

Table 2. Genetic information of our LQTS cohort (33 mutations in 38 patients)
 

Figure 4. Clinically important presentation of patients with LQT1, LQT2, and LQT3
 
Nine patients were identified to have LQTS during family screening of index patients. Two patients had strong phenotypes but did not have genetic tests. Five patients had LQTS phenotypes with confirmation by genetic testing. Two asymptomatic children in the same family were referred to us and were identified by cascade screening of their father’s pathogenic mutation.
 
Discussion
Long QT syndrome is a rare inherited disorder associated with an increased propensity to polymorphic VT/VF, syncope, and sudden cardiac death. In this report, we describe the clinical features and genetic profile of 59 LQTS paediatric patients managed in the only tertiary paediatric cardiology referral centre in Hong Kong over 20 years.
 
Long QT syndrome diagnosis
The prevalence of childhood LQTS was estimated to be 1:2000 in an Italian birth cohort.8 In a recent Japanese study, the estimated probability of diagnosing LQTS was 1:3300 in children aged 6 years and 1:1000 in those aged 12 years.9 Our results indicate that the prevalence of diagnosed LQTS in Hong Kong children was less than 1:10 000, suggesting an underdiagnosis of the condition. This is likely due to under-recognition of symptomatic LQTS in young patients who were treated for recurrent seizure and unexplained syncope. Without an ECG screening programme, many asymptomatic LQTS children also remain undiagnosed.
 
The lack of comprehensive screening for family members of adult LQTS probands is another reason for underdiagnosis, as only two children from a single family were referred to us from adult cardiologists over the 20-year study period. In addition, a 5-year-old child of a mother with known LQTS was not referred until he presented with convulsions.
 
Molecular autopsy for young victims of sudden cardiac death is not implemented in Hong Kong. In many developed countries, affected family members of LQTS sudden death victims are identified early through this pathway to prevent sudden cardiac death. We believe that the total number of symptomatic and asymptomatic young patients with LQTS in Hong Kong is much higher than what we have studied in our single tertiary referral centre.10 11
 
Long QT syndrome presentation
Congenital LQTS is usually diagnosed in patients presenting with syncope, unexplained seizure, and aborted cardiac arrest. The mean QTc of our patients was 504 ± 47 ms, and median Schwartz score of the entire cohort was 4 points (range, 1-6 points). This indicates that the patients that were referred to our centre were patients with more severe symptoms, resulting in a higher likelihood of a diagnosis of LQTS, based on clinical criteria.
 
Previous reports have shown that the risk of clinical events in boys (aged <15 years) with LQTS is significantly higher than that in girls with LQTS.12 In our cohort, we also confirmed that symptomatic boys were significantly younger than girl at diagnosis or presentation.
 
Sinus bradycardia and functional AV block are well reported in perinatal LQTS.13 14 15 The youngest patient in our group presented with fetal bradycardia. We also noted 2:1 AV block in three infants at presentation. Their AV conduction normalised with a significant decrease in QTc during follow-up. Paediatricians or family doctors should suspect LQTS in young infants with slow heart rates.
 
Long QT syndrome and structural congenital heart disease
Few links between LQTS and congenital heart disease have been reported, apart from Timothy syndrome. A recent single-centre review of 49 LQTS genotype-positive patients identified 11 (22%) cases with concomitant conotruncal anomalies and/or aortic arch anomalies.16 In our cohort, five (8.5%) patients with LQTS had concomitant congenital heart disease. Two cases were diagnosed in the perioperative period. Prolonged QTc in the context of congenital heart disease can be confounded by several factors, including postoperative electromechanical factors, intrinsic, or postoperative QRS abnormalities. Therefore, the diagnosis of LQTS could be masked in patients with congenital heart disease. We suggest that ECG of patients with congenital heart disease should be evaluated carefully for QTc.
 
Long QT syndrome genotype
Throughout the world, 75% to 80% of patients with LQTS have identifiable genetic mutations, with LQT1, LQT2, or LQT3 accounting for 90% of cases. Pathogenic LQTS genetic mutations were identified in 69.1% of the patients in our cohort who were tested, which is comparable with other LQTS cohorts.17 Similarly, we had predominant genotypes of LQT1 (10/59, 16.9%), LQT2 (12/59, 20.3%), and LQT3 (7/59, 11.9%). In a recent single-centre study of LQTS in China, LQT2 was also the most common genotype.18 We also identified five (8.5%) patients with rare CACNA1C (LQT8) mutations, all of whom were Hong Kong Chinese. Without a study of a large Chinese population in the past 5 years for cross reference, we cannot be certain whether LQT8 is more prevalent in Chinese than in other ethnic groups.
 
Long QT syndrome management and outcome
Beta blockers are the mainstay of treatment for all LQTS genotypes. In a registry of 1530 patients with LQTS, all beta blockers seemed equally effective in reducing risk of a first cardiac event after beta blocker initiation. For patients with LQT1, no single type of beta blocker has been found superior, although nadolol was found to be superior for patients with LQT2.19 However, another study suggested that symptomatic LQT1 and LQT2 patients on metoprolol had a higher rate of recurrence of cardiac events.20 In the present study, 21 patients were prescribed metoprolol, two of whom required switching to another beta blocker due to recurrent symptoms. Because of the relatively short follow-up duration and small number of patients in our cohort, it is impossible to conclude on the efficacy of each beta blocker for patients with each genotype. Genotype-guided therapy is advocated in contemporary management in LQTS. Based on the available evidence, we are inclined to use nadolol as our first choice in symptomatic LQT2 patients. In symptomatic LQT3 patients, dual therapy using beta blockers and mexiletine are used. Mexiletine is a sodium channel blocker shown to shorten QTc in LQT3 patients.21 22
 
In addition to medical therapy with beta blockers, treatment of LQTS can also include lifestyle modifications, sympathetic denervation, and device therapy. With a multi-modality management strategy and genotype-guided therapy, outcome of LQTS have improved markedly over the past decades. The event-free survival was 96% at 1 year, 93% at 5 years, and 90% at 10 years, as reported recently in a large single-centre study which included 83% asymptomatic probands.23 In the present study, the breakthrough cardiac event-free survival was 93.0% at 1 year, 80.7% at 5 years, and 72.6% at 10 years (1). The event rate in the present study is likely higher than that of the abovementioned study because we have a higher proportion of probands (85%), of whom 88% were symptomatic at presentation. Breakthrough cardiac events were mainly related to non-compliance to our treatment advice.
 
Study limitations
Our study was based on single-hospital data and referral bias is expected. We may have received referral of patients with LQTS with more severe symptoms. In addition, a short duration of follow-up in our patients (mean 5.3 years) may have led to underestimation of clinical cardiac events and mortality.
 
Future perspectives
Our study demonstrated the high yield of genetic testing and the importance of genetic information in predicting the prognosis of patients with LQTS and guiding their treatment. Early identification of affected family members through cascade screening of mutated gene was also demonstrated. We hope that public genetic services can continue to develop, to enable genetic testing to be offered to all patients with suspected channelopathies. We also advocate the establishment in Hong Kong of inherited arrhythmia clinics or cardiac genetic clinics in the public sector, as implemented in many other countries. Such clinics have proven effectiveness in reducing sudden cardiac death associated with inherited arrhythmia syndrome.24
 
Conclusion
Our study provides insight into the clinical and molecular profiles of young patients with LQTS in the only tertiary paediatric cardiology referral centre in Hong Kong. The LQT1, LQT2 and LQT3 genotypes are the most common in mutation-positive patients. Early identification of LQTS, administration of beta blocker therapy, device therapy, and lifestyle modifications can prevent sudden cardiac death. However, the breakthrough cardiac event survival was only 72.6% at 10 years. Further optimisation of the treatment strategy by genotype-guided therapy may reduce recurrent symptoms and improve prognosis.
 
Author contributions
Concept and design: APY Liu, BHY Chung, TC Yung.
Acquisition of data: SY Kwok, CYY Chan, TC Yung.
Analysis or interpretation of data: SY Kwok, CYY Chan, JLF Fung, CCY Mak.
Drafting of the article: SY Kwok, APY Liu.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: BHY Chung, KS Lun, TC Yung.
 
Acknowledgement
We would like to express our gratitude to all paediatricians and physicians who referred patients with LQTS to our department, and to the adult cardiologists who cared for our grown-up patients. We are also grateful for the contributions of the local university laboratories and the pathology departments of Hospital Authority hospitals in conducting genetic tests on some of our patients. We would like to express our gratitude to Ms Yo-yo WY Chu for her participation in providing genetic services to our patients.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Results of this study were presented in the following meetings: (1) World Congress of Pediatric Cardiology & Cardiac Surgery 2017, Barcelona, Spain, 16-21 Jul 2017; (2) The 13th Congress of Asian Society for Pediatric Research 2017, Hong Kong, 6-8 Oct 2017; (3) The 26th Annual Scientific Congress, Hong Kong College of Cardiology 2018, Hong Kong, 15-17 Jun 2018. Abstract of this study was published in the Journal of the Hong Kong College of Cardiology (Kwok SY, Liu AP, Lun KS, et al. Clinical and genetic profile of congenital long QT syndrome in Hong Kong—18-year experience in pediatrics. J HK Coll Cardiol 2018;26:60).
 
Support/funding
The expenses of the genetic analysis used in our study were sponsored by the Children’s Heart Foundation of Hong Kong.
 
Ethical approval
This study received ethics approval from the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong/Hospital Authority Hong Kong Western Cluster.
 
References
1. Hobbs JB, Peterson DR, Moss AJ, et al. Risk of aborted cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death during adolescence in the long-QT syndrome. JAMA 2006;296:1249-54. Crossref
2. Weintraub RG, Gow RM, Wilkinson JL. The congenital long QT syndromes in childhood. J Am Coll Cardiol 1990;16:674-80. Crossref
3. Mizusawa Y, Horie M, Wilde A. Genetic and clinical advances in congenital long qt syndrome. Circ J 2014;78:2827-33. Crossref
4. Giudicessi JR, Ackerman MJ. Calcium revisited: new insights into the molecular basis of long-QT syndrome. Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol 2016;9:e002480. Crossref
5. Priori SG, Blomström-Lundqvist, Mazzanti A, et al. 2015 ESC Guidelines for the management of patients with ventricular arrhythmias and the prevention of sudden cardiac death: The Task Force for the Management of Patients with Ventricular Arrhythmias and the Prevention of Sudden Cardiac Death of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Endorsed by: Association for European Paediatric and Congenital Cardiology (AEPC). Eur Heart J 2015;36:2793-867. Crossref
6. Schwartz PJ, Crotti L. QTc behavior during exercise and genetic testing for the long-QT syndrome. Circulation 2011;124:2181-4. Crossref
7. Mak CM, Chen SP, Mok NS, et al. Genetic basis of channelopathies and cardiomyopathies in Hong Kong Chinese patients: a 10-year regional laboratory experience. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:340-9. Crossref
8. Schwartz PJ, Stramba-Badiale M, Crotti L, et al. Prevalence of the congenital long-QT syndrome. Circulation 2009;120:1761-7. Crossref
9. Yoshinaga M, Kucho Y, Nishibatake M, Ogata H, Nomura Y. Probability of diagnosing long QT syndrome in children and adolescents according to the criteria of the HRS/EHRA/APHRS expert consensus statement. Eur Heart J 2016;37:2490-7. Crossref
10. Kwok SY, Pflaumer A, Pantaleo SJ, Date E, Jadhav M, Davis AM. Ten-year experience in atenolol use and exercise evaluation in children with genetically proven long QT syndrome. J Arrhythmia 2017;33:624-9. Crossref
11. Marcondes L, Crawford J, Earle N, et al. Long QT molecular autopsy in sudden unexplained death in the young (1-40 years old): lessons learnt from an eight year experience in New Zealand. PLoS One 2018;13:e0196078. Crossref
12. Goldenberg I, Moss AJ. Long QT syndrome. J Am Coll Cardiol 2008;51:2291-300. Crossref
13. Cuneo BF, Strasburger JF, Yu S, et al. In utero diagnosis of long QT syndrome by magnetocardiography. Circulation 2013;128:2183-91. Crossref
14. Mitchell JL, Cuneo BF, Etheridge SP, Horigome H, Weng HY, Benson DW. Fetal heart rate predictors of long QT syndrome. Circulation 2012;126:2688-95. Crossref
15. Horigome H, Nagashima M, Sumitomo N, et al. Clinical characteristics and genetic background of congenital long-QT syndrome diagnosed in fetal, neonatal, and infantile life a nationwide questionnaire survey in Japan. Circ Arrhythmia Electrophysiol 2010;3:10-7. Crossref
16. Ebrahim MA, Williams MR, Shepard S, Perry JC. Genotype positive long QT syndrome in patients with coexisting congenital heart disease. Am J Cardiol 2017;120:256-61. Crossref
17. Schwartz PJ, Priori SG, Spazzolini C, et al. Genotype-phenotype correlation in the long-QT syndrome: gene-specific triggers for life-threatening arrhythmias. Circulation 2001;103:89-95. Crossref
18. Gao Y, Liu W, Li C, et al. Common genotypes of long QT syndrome in China and the role of ECG prediction. Cardiology 2016;133:73-8. Crossref
19. Abu-Zeitone A, Peterson DR, Polonsky B, McNitt S, Moss AJ. Efficacy of different beta-blockers in the treatment of long QT syndrome. J Am Coll Cardiol 2014;64:1352-8. Crossref
20. Chockalingam P, Crotti L, Girardengo G, et al. Not all beta-blockers are equal in the management of long QT syndrome types 1 and 2 higher recurrence of events under metoprolol. J Am Coll Cardiol 2012;60:2092-9. Crossref
21. Wilde AA, Moss AJ, Kaufman ES, et al. Clinical aspects of type 3 long-QT syndrome: an international multicenter study. Circulation 2016;134:872-82. Crossref
22. Ruan Y, Liu N, Bloise R, Napolitano C, Priori SG. Gating properties of SCN5A mutations and the response to mexiletine in long-QT syndrome type 3 patients. Circulation 2007;116:1137-44. Crossref
23. Rohatgi RK, Sugrue A, Bos JM, et al. Contemporary outcomes in patients with long QT syndrome. J Am Coll Cardiol 2017;70:453-62. Crossref
24. Adler A, Sadek MM, Chan AY, et al. Patient outcomes from a specialized inherited arrhythmia clinic. Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol 2016;9:e003440. Crossref

Branded versus generic drug use in chronic disease management in Hong Kong— perspectives of health care professionals and the general public

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Dec;24(6):554–60  |  Epub 3 Dec 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj177087
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Branded versus generic drug use in chronic disease management in Hong Kong—perspectives of health care professionals and the general public
Vivian WY Lee, PharmD; Franco WT Cheng, BPharm, MCP; Felix YH Fong, BPharm; Enoch EN Ng, BA; Laadan LH Lo, BA; Livia YS Ngai, BPharm; Amy SM Lam, BPharm
School of Pharmacy, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Prof Vivian WY Lee (vivianlee@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: The aim of the present study was to evaluate the understanding of generic substitution among health care professionals and members of the general public (“general public”) in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: This cross-sectional descriptive study was performed by using a self-completed anonymous questionnaire from March 2015 to May 2017. The questionnaire included demographic data, knowledge of generic drugs, experiences of generic substitution, and views on policy.
 
Results: A total of 2106 general public, 73 doctors, 22 nurses, and 50 pharmacists responded the questionnaire. In all, 41.2% of the general public was aware that generic drugs have the same active ingredients. Although a majority of the health care professionals knew that generic drugs have the same active ingredients (doctors: 79.5%; nurses: 86.4%; pharmacists: 98.0%), many were unaware of bioequivalence (doctors: 37.0%; nurses: 18.2%; pharmacists: 50.0%). “Efficacy” was ranked as the primary concern among all groups; a substantial portion of respondents reported experiencing adverse drug reactions upon generic substitution (general public: 26.6%; doctors: 23.3%; nurses: 9.1%; pharmacists: 42.0%). At least half of the general public, nurses, and pharmacists considered that patients should be given a choice for generic substitution. However, fewer than one-fifth of doctors and nurses and approximately one-third of pharmacists considered that patient consent was needed prior to generic substitution, compared with approximately two-thirds of the general public.
 
Conclusion: The knowledge and perception of generic substitution remains low, both in the general public and among health care professionals. This knowledge deficit could potentially lead to different perspectives among stakeholders regarding generic substitution.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Knowledge and perception of generic substitution remains low, both in the general public and among health care professionals.
  • The general public, nurses, and pharmacists considered that patients should be given a choice for generic substitution.
  • Fewer than one-fifth of doctors and nurses and approximately one-third of pharmacists believed that patient consent was needed prior to generic substitution, compared with approximately two-thirds of the general public.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Disagreements exist among stakeholders, although generic substitution is commonly employed in Hong Kong.
  • A number of patients reported adverse drug reactions upon generic substitution, which may be clinically significant. Further investigation is warranted.
 
 
Background
Health care expenditures have been escalating in recent years and have thus become a global challenge. Generic substitution is an important approach for lessening health care expenditures. The use of generic drugs allows patients to use the same active ingredients, dosage form, strength, and route of administration, with a similar efficacy and safety, as well as a lower price than that of the branded product.1 2 It is estimated that the use of generic drugs reduces the overall cost of health care in Europe by €100 billion annually.3
 
In Hong Kong, drug expenditures comprised 10% of the total expenditures of the Hospital Authority,4 a statutory body managing all public hospitals and institutions in Hong Kong, in 2015. In addition, drug expenditures increased markedly by 15.4% from 2013 to 2015.4 Because the public health care system is heavily subsidised by the government, cost containment of drug expenditures is vital in public hospitals. Therefore, it is not uncommon to adopt generic substitution in public hospitals, although it is not legally required in Hong Kong.
 
Generic substitution, either voluntary or mandatory, has been introduced in many countries around the world.5 6 However, patients and health care professionals remain sceptical regarding the use of generic drugs,6 7 8 9 10 11 12 despite the lack of evidence for significant clinical risks.13 14 15 In Hong Kong, medicines are typically supplied in clinics or hospitals, because prescribing and dispensing are not separated. As a result, the prescribing and dispensing of generic drugs relies on the attending physicians and internal policies established by public hospitals. There are few choices for members of the general public (“general public”). Furthermore, only stability data are required for the registration of pharmaceutical products in Hong Kong,16 while pharmacokinetic studies are generally required in many other countries, such as the United States and New Zealand.17 18 In 2009, a review committee recommended the inclusion of bioavailability and bioequivalence (BABE) studies as requirements for registration of generic drugs, as well as phased implementation of these new requirements. As of 2016, Phase 2 requirements for BABE studies were implemented; BABE studies are now mandatory for 29 antiepileptic drugs and 38 drugs with narrow therapeutic ranges.19 However, the suitability for most generic substitutions, especially in terms of the bioequivalence of the products, remains questionable. Owing to the lack of pharmacokinetic data, uncertainty may have greater impact in cases of generic-to-generic substitution. Generic-to-generic substitution due to manufacturer-related interruptions in drug distribution is common in Hong Kong.4
 
The present study aimed to evaluate the understanding of generic substitution among health care professionals and the general public, and to identify their experiences in terms of undesirable clinical outcomes after substitution. Methods
 
A cross-sectional descriptive study was conducted from March 2015 to May 2017 by using a selfcompleted anonymous questionnaire in Hong Kong. No consent was obtained because the questionnaire was conducted in an anonymous manner. The private information collected was considered non-sensitive and participants were informed that precautions would be taken to preserve the confidentiality of the research data. The background and aims of the questionnaire were disclosed to participants before they completed the questionnaire.
 
Two sets of questionnaires were developed for the general public and health care professionals, respectively. Both questionnaires cover four areas, including the demographic data of the interviewees (age, gender, monthly income, level of education, chronic diseases and insurance), knowledge and perception of generic drugs, experiences of generic substitution, and policy views for generic substitution. To ascertain the overall reliability of the results of the questionnaire, it was further modified in accordance with feedback from a pilot study that involved 50 physicians and 500 patients during January to February 2015.
 
Five statements, regarding active ingredient, dosage form, efficacy, similarity to branded drugs, price and quality, were used to assess knowledge regarding generic drugs in the general public; four separate statements, regarding active ingredient, strength, dosage form, and excipient, were used to assess knowledge among health care professionals. Health care professionals were further asked about the legal requirements for registration of generic drugs in Hong Kong, the definition of bioequivalence, and their perceptions of generic drugs. A 5-point Likert scale was used to assess perceptions of generic drugs with regard to price, side-effect profile, quality, efficacy, and preferences for using branded drugs.
 
In the third part of the questionnaires, experiences of using generic drugs were assessed. These included adverse drug reactions encountered after switching from branded to generic products, as well as factors that affected the use of generic drugs compared with branded drugs. The questionnaire for the general public further assessed previous usage of generic drugs, previous experience of switching from branded to generic, and the respondents’ willingness-to-pay for branded products. Respondents’ preferences regarding branded or generic products, with respect to changes in the price of branded products, were documented; the hypothetical price decreased from 200% of the generic price to equivalent to the price of generic products, in intervals of 20% reductions. Only respondents with chronic illnesses were included in this portion of the analysis, as this population is more sensitive to changes in drug price.
 
The last portion of the questionnaire assessed views regarding the need to obtain patients’ consent for substitution of branded products with generic products. The general public was further queried whether notification and explanation were required upon generic substitution.
 
The questionnaire for the general public was distributed during an outreach programme and public lecture series organised by the School of Pharmacy, The Chinese University of Hong Kong. Physicians from public sectors were recruited from the Prince of Wales Hospital; private physicians were randomly identified and recruited from the list of the Hong Kong Doctor Association, accessed via http://www.hkdoctors.org. Questionnaires were distributed via email to pharmacists and nurses who had participated in outreach programmes organised by the School of Pharmacy, The Chinese University of Hong Kong since 2010.
 
Discrete data were presented as frequency percentages; mean 5-point Likert scale ratings were used. Cumulative frequency was employed to determine the rank order of factors that affected the use of generic drugs. All data were analysed using Excel 2017 (Microsoft Corp., Redmond [WA], United States).
 
Results
A total of 5748 individuals were invited to complete the questionnaire, and 2251 complete responses were received. Tables 1 and 2 summarise the demographic data of the 2106 general public respondents, 73 doctor respondents, 22 nurse respondents, and 50 pharmacist respondents.
 

Table 1. Summary of respondents’ demographic data
 

Table 2. Summary of demographic data of general public respondents (n=2106)
 
Only 41.2% and 23.4% of the general public respondents were aware that generic drugs have the same active ingredients and dosage forms, respectively, as branded drugs. However, 65.5% of the respondents thought generic drugs were cheaper; only 14.9% believed that they were of lower quality. In contrast, the majority of the health care professionals were aware that generic drugs have the same active ingredients (doctors: 79.5%; nurses: 86.4%; pharmacists: 98.0%) and strength (doctors: 69.9%; nurses: 54.5%; pharmacists: 90.0%) as the branded product at a cheaper price (doctors: 74.0%; nurses: 54.5%; pharmacists: 98.0%). However, they were not aware of the definition of bioequivalence (doctors: 37.0%; nurses: 18.2%; pharmacists: 50.0%). Table 3 summarises the knowledge and perceptions of generic drugs among the different groups of respondents.
 

Table 3. Knowledge and perception of generic drugs
 
All four groups of respondents ranked “efficacy” as their primary concern when considering generic substitution. Other factors that were considered are detailed in Table 4. Moreover, a substantial number of respondents reported that they or their patients experienced adverse drug reactions upon generic substitution (general public: 26.6%; doctors: 23.3%; nurses: 9.1%; pharmacists: 42.0%), primarily comprising cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, psychiatric, and respiratory medications. The preferences of patients with chronic illnesses for branded products are illustrated in the Figure. Most respondents would opt for branded products as long as the price was not more than 1.4-times that of generic products.
 

Table 4. Experiences of using generic drugs
 
At least half of the general public (50.0%) and health care professionals (nurses: 63.6%; pharmacists: 92.0%), except doctors (42.5%), considered that patients should be given a choice for generic substitution. However, fewer than one-fifth of doctors and nurses, and approximately one-third of pharmacists, considered that patient consent was necessary prior to generic substitution, compared with approximately two-thirds of the general public. Views regarding policies of generic substitution among the different stakeholders are listed in Table 5.
 

Table 5. Views regarding policies for generic substitution
 
Discussion
A Japanese study showed that most patient respondents declined the use of generic drugs.6 In contrast to that report, the current study showed that 53.2% of the general public in Hong Kong was unaware whether they were using branded medications or generic substitutes. The proportion of awareness of “branded drugs” was also significantly lower in the current study than in the Japanese study (45.2% vs 68.4%).6 This difference could be attributed to the lower literacy in Hong Kong. More than 40% of respondents did not attend tertiary school or higher education, and more than 10% only completed primary school or lower. This low level of literacy may act as a barrier against effective communication when discussing the use of generic substitutes.
 
From our findings, generic substitution remains controversial in Hong Kong. Although most general public respondents believed that generic substitutes are not of lower quality, they demanded notification from health care professionals and wished to be given the option to consent to generic substitution; most health care professionals were reluctant to follow this approach. The reluctance may be attributed to the lack of understanding about generic drugs. Indeed, most doctors, nurses, and pharmacists tended to believe that generic drugs were less expensive because of their lower quality. Thus, it is unsurprising that the health care professionals exhibited a slight tendency to recommend branded products over generic substitutes (5-point Likert scale score = 3.1-3.3). Hence, education combined with more stringent registration requirements (eg, mandatory pharmacokinetic data) is essential for greater acceptance of generic drugs and maintenance of a sustainable health care system.
 
Despite being ranked as a primary concern regarding generic substitution, the efficacy of generic drugs cannot be guaranteed in Hong Kong due to a lack of pharmacokinetic data. Indeed, over 40% of the health care professional respondents stated that generic medications were of lower quality. Very recently, the Hong Kong government began to include BABE studies as legal requirements for the registration of certain generic drugs (eg, antiepileptic drugs and drugs with narrow therapeutic ranges), in addition to existing good manufacturing practice requirements.16 With the implementation of BABE requirements, this fundamental step may support increased quality of generic products, thus addressing the concerns of both the general public and health care professionals.20
 
Adverse drug reactions were also encountered upon generic substitution among various categories of commonly prescribed medications. Similar results have been reported in a Norway study, in which approximately one-third of patients reported negative experiences upon switching; there was no correlation between the adverse reaction and age, gender, or complexity of medical regimen.10 The lack of BABE studies could be a possible explanation, but further investigation is warranted.
 
Concerning preferences for branded products with respect to changes in price, it was surprising that not all respondents opted for branded products, even when the price was identical to that of generic products. Furthermore, the preference for branded products did not linearly increase with price. These results could be attributed to the design of the questionnaire and to the perceptions of the respondents, because the questionnaire did not specify the nature of the hypothetical medications that were substituted (eg, short-term or long-term administration), the equivalence of the products, or the actual price of the products. These factors may be significant to respondents when making a decision.
 
As indicated by the low response rate, selection bias is a major limitation of the current study due to its self-administered questionnaire nature and the convenient sampling method used to distribute the questionnaire. The unexpected high proportion of respondents with tertiary education or higher may be explained by an increased level of health consciousness among individuals who attend outreach services and public lectures organised by the university, as well as the complexity of the questionnaire. The survey results in this study potentially overestimated the knowledge of the general public with respect to generic drugs; thus, the generalisability of the results to the whole population may be limited. Further, as indicated from the demographic data, the sample size of health care professionals was relatively small and may not be representative of the overall population of health care professionals.
 
Conclusion
Although generic medications have been commonly used in Hong Kong, knowledge and perception of these medications has remained low, both in the general public and among health care professionals. This knowledge deficit could potentially lead to conflicting perspectives among stakeholders in terms of “generic substitution.”
 
Author contributions
Concept and design of study: VWY Lee.
Acquisition, analysis, and interpretation of data: FYH Fong,
EEN Ng, LLH Lo, LYS Ngai, ASM Lam.
Drafting of the article: FWT Cheng.
Critical revision of important intellectual content: VWY Lee, FWT Cheng.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Declaration
The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. The authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Ethical approval
This study was approved by the Survey and Behavioural Research Ethics of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and followed the Standards for Reporting Qualitative Research guidelines.
 
References
1. Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, US Food and Drug Administration. Facts About Generic Drugs. Available from: https://www.fda.gov/downloads/drugs/resourcesforyou/consumers/buyingusingmedicinesafely/understandinggenericdrugs/ucm305908.PDF. Accessed 25 Aug 2017.
2. King DR, Kanavos P. Encouraging the use of generic medicines: implications for transition economies. Croat Med J 2002;43:462-9.
3. Medicines for Europe. Our 5 pillars. Available from: http://www.medicinesforeurope.com/generic-medicines/our-5- pillars/. Accessed 25 Aug 2017.
4. Audit Commission, Hong Kong SAR Government. Report No. 67, Chapter 5, Hospital Authority’s Drug Management. 2016. Available from: http://www.aud.gov.hk/pdf_e/e67ch05.pdf. Accessed 3 Oct 2017.
5. Chong CP, March G, Clark A, Gilbert A, Hassali MA, Bahari MB. A nationwide study on generic medicines substitution practices of Australian community pharmacists and patient acceptance. Health Policy 2011;99:139-48. Crossref
6. Kobayashi E, Karigome H, Sakurada T, Satoh N, Ueda S. Patients’ attitudes towards generic drug substitution in Japan. Health Policy 2011;99:60-5. Crossref
7. Andersson K, Sonesson C, Petzold M, Carlsten A, Lönnroth K. What are the obstacles to generic substitution? An assessment of the behaviour of prescribers, patients and pharmacies during the first year of generic substitution in Sweden. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf 2005;14:341-8. Crossref
8. Himmel W, Simmenroth-Nayda A, Niebling W, et al. What do primary care patients think about generic drugs? Int J Clin Pharmacol Ther 2005;43:472-9. Crossref
9. Iosifescu A, Halm EA, McGinn T, Siu AL, Federman AD. Beliefs about generic drugs among elderly adults in hospital-based primary care practices. Patient Educ Couns 2008;73:377-83. Crossref
10. Kjoenniksen I, Lindbaek M, Granas AG. Patients’ attitudes towards and experiences of generic drug substitution in Norway. Pharm World Sci 2006;28:284-9. Crossref
11. Babar ZU, Grover P, Stewart J, et al. Evaluating pharmacists’ views, knowledge, and perception regarding generic medicines in New Zealand. Res Social Adm Pharm 2011;7:294-305. Crossref
12. Rodríguez-Calvillo JA, Lana A, Cueto A, Markham WA, López ML. Psychosocial factors associated with the prescription of generic drugs. Health Policy 2011;101:178-84. Crossref
13. Privitera MD, Welty TE, Gidal BE, et al. Generic-to-generic lamotrigine switches in people with epilepsy: the randomised controlled EQUIGEN trial. Lancet Neurol 2016;15:365-72. Crossref
14. Ting TY, Jiang W, Lionberger R, et al. Generic lamotrigine versus brand-name Lamictal bioequivalence in patients with epilepsy: A field test of the FDA bioequivalence standard. Epilepsia 2015;56:1415-24. Crossref
15. Williamson IJ, Reid A, Monie RD, Fennerty AG, Rimmer EM. Generic inhaled salbutamol versus branded salbutamol. A randomised double-blind study. Postgrad Med J 1997;73:156-8. Crossref
16. Food and Health Bureau, Hong Kong SAR Government. Report of the Review Committee on Regulation of Pharmaceutical Products in Hong Kong. 2009. http://www.fhb.gov.hk/download/press_and_publications/otherinfo/100105_pharm_review/en_full_report.pdf. Accessed 25 Aug 2017.
17. Guidance for Industry. Bioavailability and Bioequivalence Studies for Orally Administered Drug Products—General Considerations. US Department of Health and Human Services, Food and Drug Administration, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research; 2003.
18. New Zealand Medicines and Medical Devices Safety Authority. New Zealand regulatory guidelines for medicines. Part A: when is an application for approval of a new or changed medicine required? 2014. Available from: http://www.medsafe.govt.nz/regulatory/Guideline/Full%20-%20NZ%20Regulatory%20Guidelines%20for%20 Medicines.pdf. Accessed 3 Oct 2017.
19. Pharmacy and Poisons Board Hong Kong. Implementation plan of Phase 2 requirement of bioavailability and bioequivalence studies for the registration of generic drugs. 2016. Available from: http://drugoffice.gov.hk/eps/upload/eps_news/26420/EN/1/Letter%20to%20Trade%20-%20Implementation%20Plan%20of%20Phase%202%20Requirement_v.5.pdf Accessed 25 Aug 2017.
20. Chua GN, Hassali MA, Shafie AA, Awaisu A. A survey exploring knowledge and perceptions of general practitioners towards the use of generic medicines in the northern state of Malaysia. Health Policy 2010;95:229-35. Crossref

Prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram for patients with chest pain: a pilot study

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Oct;24(5):484–91  |  Epub 28 Sep 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj177135
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram for patients with chest pain: a pilot study
KS Cheung, FHKCEM, MSc Cardiology1; LP Leung, FHKCEM2; YC Siu, FHKCEM3; TC Tsang, FHKCEM1; Matthew SH Tsui, FRCP (Edin), FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)1; CC Tam, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)4; Raymond HW Chan, FHKAM (Medicine)5
1 Department of Accident and Emergency, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
2 Emergency Medicine Unit, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
3 Medical Director, Fire and Ambulance Services Academy, Hong Kong Fire Services Department, Hong Kong
4 Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
5 Honorary Consultant Cardiologist, Hong Kong Sanatorium Hospital, Happy Valley, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr KS Cheung (cks373@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: After ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), it is vital to shorten reperfusion time. This study examined data from a pilot project to shorten the door-to-balloon (D2B) time by using prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG).
 
Methods: Methods: Fifteen ambulances equipped with X Series® Monitor/Defibrillator (Zoll Medical Corporation) were deployed to the catchment area of Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong, from November 2015 to December 2016. For patients with chest pain, prehospital 12-lead ECG was performed and tele-transmitted to attending physicians at the accident and emergency department for immediate interpretation. The on-call cardiologist was called before patient arrival if STEMI was suspected. Data from this group of patients with STEMI were compared with data from patients with STEMI who were transported by ambulances without prehospital ECG or by self-arranged transport.
 
Results: From 841 patients with chest pain, 731 gave verbal consent and prehospital ECG was performed and transmitted. Of these, 25 patients with clinically diagnosed STEMI required emergency coronary angiogram with or without primary percutaneous coronary intervention. The mean D2B time for these 25 patients (93 minutes) was significantly shorter (P=0.003) than that for 58 patients with STEMI transported by ambulances without prehospital ECG (112 minutes) and that for 41 patients with STEMI with self-arranged transport (138 minutes). However, shorter reperfusion time was only recorded during daytime hours (08:00-17:59). No statistically significant difference in 30-day mortality was found.
 
Conclusion: Prehospital ECG is technologically feasible in Hong Kong and shortens the D2B time. However, shorter reperfusion time was only recorded during daytime hours.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • This pilot study investigated the feasibility and performance of prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) deployed in ambulances in Hong Kong.
  • There was a statistically significant difference in door-to-balloon time when prehospital ECG was performed during daytime hours.
  • There was no statistically significant difference in 30-day mortality related to the use of prehospital ECG.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Based on the evidence of feasibility and shortening of door-to-balloon time in Hong Kong, prehospital ECG services might be supported by the Hong Kong Fire Services Department.
  • Primary diversion of ST-elevation myocardial infarction may be implemented in Hong Kong in the future.
 
 
Introduction
In 1970, Nagel et al1 first reported the transmission of single-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) data via radio system to hospital physicians in Florida, US, for diagnostic purposes. To date, prehospital 12-lead ECG programmes have been implemented in various countries. In 2015, the American Heart Association Guidelines for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care recommended that prehospital 12-lead ECG should be acquired early for patients with possible acute coronary syndrome.2 The acquisition and tele-transmission of ECG data to the accident and emergency department (AED) allows rapid diagnosis of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) by attending physicians. The on-call cardiologist and cardiac catheterisation laboratory (CCL) can then be notified early. This significantly shortens the door-to-balloon (D2B) time and improves patient outcome.3
 
The Hong Kong Fire Services Department (HKFSD) is the major emergency ambulance service provider in Hong Kong. Ambulances are deployed by the Fire Service Control Centre after calls to 999 and are manned by ambulance crew in accordance with pre-set protocols approved by the Medical Director of the HKFSD. Patients are transported to the nearest public hospital based on their geographical location. There is no choice with respect to the destination hospital, and there was no primary diversion for chest pain or STEMI in the project period.
 
Queen Mary Hospital (QMH) is a tertiary care hospital providing 24-hour emergency medical services in Hong Kong. Since November 2010, QMH has been the only public hospital in Hong Kong providing a 24-hour primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) service for all patients with STEMI.
 
In November 2015, the HKFSD and the QMH AED jointly launched a pilot project named ‘Prehospital Ambulance 12-Lead Electrocardiogram for Chest Pain Patients in Hong Kong West Cluster’. The present paper reports on the results of the first phase of that project. We hypothesised that prehospital ECG would shorten the D2B time and reduce mortality in patients with STEMI treated in AEDs in Hong Kong.
 
Methods
The present retrospective observational study analysed data from the ‘Prehospital Ambulance 12-Lead Electrocardiogram for Chest Pain Patients in Hong Kong West Cluster’ pilot project. That project began on 12 November 2015 and its first phase ended on 31 December 2016. All 122 ambulance crew members involved with the study received a half-day theory and hands-on training by clinical specialists of Zoll Medical Corporation (Chelmsford [MA], US) regarding the performance of prehospital 12-lead ECG. During the project period, there were 20 HKFSD ambulances operating in the catchment area of QMH; 10 were not operated during the night shift. Of these 20 ambulances, 15 were equipped with X Series® Monitor/Defibrillator (Zoll Medical Corporation) with ECG and tele-transmission functions. These 15 ambulances were deployed by the HKFSD to Aberdeen Ambulance Depot, Pok Fu Lam Ambulance Depot, Mount Davis Ambulance Depot, and Sheung Wan Fire Station.
 
In addition to the conventional management of chest pain or discomfort of cardiac origin, ambulance crews performed prehospital ECG (Fig). The ambulance crews were trained to use a standardised script in Chinese or English to explain the indication, procedure, benefit, and risk of performing prehospital ECG. Patients and accompanying relatives were provided with sufficient time for questions before informed consent was obtained. Patients were excluded if they were under 12 years of age; were in cardiac arrest; exhibited airway or breathing that could not be managed; had Glasgow Coma score ≤13; had first systolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg; had respiratory rate <10 or >29 breaths per minute; or were otherwise unable to consent.
 

Figure. Flowchart of prehospital ECG performance
 
The prehospital ECG was obtained in the ambulance compartment before its departure from the scene and was immediately tele-transmitted to the AED for interpretation by a physician. When a new prehospital ECG was transmitted, staff at the AED were notified via a dedicated laptop with alarm, fax, and email, as well as an alert phone call from the ambulance crew en route. The patient’s Hong Kong Identity Card number was also conveyed through the alert phone call from the ambulance. This allowed early identification of any new changes in the prehospital ECG, compared with previous ECG data stored in the hospital clinical management system record.
 
The most senior attending AED physician available was responsible for reading and interpreting the prehospital ECG. If the AED physician identified ST-segment elevation in two or more contiguous leads, the on-call cardiologist was paged and AED manpower and equipment were arranged immediately. Patients without such ST-segment elevation were triaged by experienced AED nurses upon arrival, in accordance with their overall clinical condition.
 
To compare the characteristics and outcomes of patients in this pilot project with those of other patients with chest pain (ie, those attending the AED by ambulance without prehospital ECG, or by self-arranged transport), data from the cardiac care unit of QMH were collected for comparison. Data of all patients attending the AED with emergency coronary angiography, with or without PPCI, were analysed. The D2B or door-to-catheter (D2C) time of different subgroups was determined and analysed as the primary outcome of this study. Secondary outcomes, including performance in daytime or night-time AED registration, triage accuracy, and 30-day mortality, were assessed in further subgroup analysis.
 
Results
From 12 November 2015 to 31 December 2016, ambulance crews equipped with X Series® attended to 841 patients presenting with cardiac chest pain. Verbal consent to perform prehospital ECG was obtained from 731 (86.9%) patients and these were included for analysis. A mean 1.76 prehospital ECGs were successfully performed and transmitted per day during the pilot project period. Reasons for not performing prehospital ECG are shown in Table 1.
 

Table 1. Reasons for lack of consent for prehospital ECG in the ambulance (n=110)
 
In total, 60% of patients were male. The patients’ mean age was 71 years, with a difference of 10 years between male (mean, 67 years) and female (mean, 77 years) patients. More patients registered at the AED during daytime hours (08:00-17:59; n=380 [52.0%]) than during night-time hours (18:00-07:59; n=351 [48.0%]). Most patients were triaged as category 3 in the AED (n=577) [78.9%]; those triaged as category 1 (critical), 2 (emergency), 4 (semi-urgent), and 5 (non-urgent) were 39 (5.3%), 57 (7.8%), 58 (7.9%), and 0, respectively.
 
In all, 93% of cases with cardiac chest pain were managed by AED physicians without further on-site consultation. Consultations with physicians from the cardiac care unit were initiated by the AED physician for 53 patients: 22 (41.5%) were performed on or before patient arrival at the AED, whereas the remaining 31 (58.5%) were conducted after patient arrival.
 
Of the 731 patients who received pre-hospital ECG, 534 (73.1%) patients were admitted to the medical ward, 96 (13.1%) to the emergency medical ward, 33 (4.5%) to the cardiac care unit, 13 (1.8%) to the surgical ward, three (0.4%) to the intensive care unit, and one (0.1%) to the neurosurgical ward for further management of their symptoms. Of the remaining patients, 39 (5.3%) were discharged from the AED, eight (1.1%) were discharged against medical advice, three (0.4%) disappeared, and one (0.1%) was certified in the AED.
 
Of the 731 patients who received pre-hospital ECG, 26 (3.6%) patients were clinically diagnosed with STEMI by AED physicians. Coronary angiogram, with or without PPCI, was arranged immediately for 25 of these patients. The remaining patient had a terminal malignancy and was offered non-invasive treatment after discussion with the patient’s family.
 
The mean D2B and D2C times were compared among 124 patients with clinically diagnosed STEMI: 25 patients with STEMI treated with prehospital ECGs; 58 patients with STEMI who were treated by ambulance crews without prehospital ECGs; and 41 self-transported patients with STEMI treated in the QMH AED during the pilot project period (Table 2). A statistically significant difference was found in the mean D2B time (P=0.003). Patients with prehospital ECGs had the shortest mean D2B (93 minutes) and D2C (71 minutes) times. Additionally, a greater percentage of patients with prehospital 12-lead ECG had D2B or D2C time ≤90 minutes.
 

Table 2. D2B and D2C times for patients in the ambulance (with and without prehospital ECG) and self-arranged transport groups (n=124)
 
Table 3 shows that there were significant differences in D2B or D2C times among the three groups of patients with STEMI attending the AED during daytime hours (08:00-17:59); there were no significant differences between the groups during night-time hours. The overall 30-day mortality of all patients with clinically diagnosed STEMI was 8% (10 of 124 patients) [Table 4]. Fisher’s exact test did not demonstrate any statistically significant difference between the intervention and control groups.
 

Table 3. Daytime and night-time D2B or D2C times for patients in the ambulance (with and without prehospital ECG) and self-arranged transport groups (n=124)
 

Table 4. Thirty-day mortality of patients admitted to the cardiac care unit from the accident and emergency department with emergency coronary angiogram with or without PPCI
 
When clinical diagnoses of STEMI were used as a standard to verify diagnoses made by the X Series® Monitor/Defibrillator diagnostic algorithm, there were 14 true positive, three false positive, 702 true negative, and 12 false negative cases. This corresponded to sensitivity (53.8%), specificity (99.6%), positive predictive value (82.4%), negative predictive value (98.3%), and accuracy (97.9%).
 
Discussion
Clinical diagnosis of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction
In an AED without point-of-care cardiac biomarker testing capability, it is impossible to immediately detect a rise and/or fall in cardiac biomarkers, as described in the ‘Fourth universal definition of myocardial infarction’.4 Some patients in the AED with chest discomfort or other ischaemic symptoms, who developed ST elevation in two contiguous leads, were clinically diagnosed with STEMI before confirmation of typical biomarker changes, resulting in corresponding modification to medical management. This caused inaccuracy in calculation of the diagnostic performance of the diagnostic algorithm used in the X Series®, when the clinical diagnosis of STEMI in the AED was used as a standard for comparison.
 
Shortened door-to-balloon or door-to-catheter time during daytime hours
The theoretical benefits of prehospital 12-lead ECG included early diagnosis by AED physicians, early activation of the Acute Myocardial Infarction Clinical Pathway with cardiologist input, and activation of the CCL. It worked well during office hours, when the full team of interventional cardiologists, cardiac care nurses, and radiographers were on-site. The shortest D2B time was 41 minutes. However, during non-office hours or night-time hours, this team had to return from their homes for PPCI. This was the time-limiting factor during night-time hours and there was no statistically significant difference in night-time D2B or D2C time in our series for ambulance patients with or without prehospital 12-lead ECG. Possible solutions might be the provision of sufficient manpower for a 24-hour on-site interventional cardiology team. Other measures, such as cardiologists receiving prehospital 12-lead ECG data through their mobile phones, or activation of the CCL by emergency physicians (with an increased risk of inappropriate activation) could be considered.
 
Comparison with international standards for reperfusion
A greater percentage of patients with STEMI with prehospital 12-lead ECGs received reperfusion therapy with PPCI ≤90 minutes (Table 2). There was also a reduction in 30-day mortality to 0% in this subgroup (Table 4). However, whether a causeand- effect relationship existed is uncertain, due to our small sample size. Additionally, a statistically significant difference in 30-day mortality could not be demonstrated in our pilot project. Other cardiovascular outcome measurements, including re-infarction rate, major adverse cardiac events, and heart failure rate could be studied to provide insights regarding the benefit of prehospital 12-lead ECGs.
 
The D2B or D2C time could be improved through measures such as the performance of prehospital 12-lead ECGs on scene (rather than in-ambulance), or skipping AED consultation with direct cardiac care unit admission for patients suspected of STEMI on prehospital ECGs.5
 
Inappropriate activation and false positivity
Inappropriate activation of the CCL occurred when the interventional cardiologist provided an alternative diagnosis or considered the patient not to be a candidate for PPCI, with subsequent cancellation of the catheterisation procedure. In QMH, the CCL was activated by the on-call cardiologist, not the emergency physician, for appropriate patients with STEMI after on-site assessment. Therefore, inappropriate activation of the CCL by the emergency physician was 0% in our series. Instead, false positivity existed. False positivity was defined as patients with absence of thrombus causing obstruction in the culprit vessels and absence of a typical rise and fall of cardiac enzymes. In our pilot project, 17 of 124 patients with STEMI admitted through the AED had an emergency coronary angiogram performed without PPCI. Excluding one patient with triple vessel occlusion who failed PPCI and required emergent coronary artery bypass grafting, this yielded a false positive rate of 12.9% (16 of 124 patients). Prehospital 12-lead ECG extended the emergency assessment of patient condition to the prehospital phase. This allowed comparison of prehospital and AED ECGs. Dynamic ECG changes that occurred during the ambulance journey were more likely to be detected. Whether this might help to reduce the false positive activation of CCL or false negative discharge of patients from AED can be studied in the future.
 
Immediate electrocardiogram interpretation
In our pilot project, all ambulances equipped with X Series® Monitor/Defibrillator served the QMH catchment area without primary diversion. If primary diversion of patients with STEMI to a hospital with 24-hour PPCI service were to be implemented, on-scene ECG interpretation should be highly sensitive to avoid under-diversion. The ECG data could be interpreted by ambulance crews, machine diagnostic algorithm, or emergency physicians or cardiologists through tele-transmission. However, not all ambulance crews in Hong Kong are trained to interpret ECG data. Additionally, when compared with clinical diagnosis of STEMI in the AED, the sensitivity of the diagnostic algorithm used was 53.8% in our pilot project. Given this moderate sensitivity, immediate ECG interpretation by experienced emergency physicians or cardiologists is preferable. This diagnostic process is inevitably time-consuming. If ECG were performed on-scene instead of in the ambulance compartment, transport of the patient from scene to ambulance and the diagnostic process could happen simultaneously. Before ambulance departure from the scene, input from the emergency physician or cardiologist would be readily available to guide appropriate destination AED selection.
 
Reduction of under-triage in accident and emergency department
Triage by AED nurses must be both efficient and accurate, especially during busy periods. However, chest pain is a subjective perception, as are all types of pain. Before the availability of ECG, the vital signs and brief clinical contact between triage nurses and patients determined the assigned triage category for each patient. Because patients with STEMI belonged to category 1 (critical), it is inevitable that there would be increased under-triage of STEMI cases in the control group (Table 5). Prehospital ECG allowed more accurate triage of patients with STEMI.
 

Table 5. Distribution of triage categories in all STEMI cases
 
Overestimation of daytime door-to-balloon or door-to-catheter time
In total, 61.3% (76/124) [Table 3] of emergency coronary angiograms with or without PPCI were performed during daytime hours (08:00-17:59). However, this total includes patients who registered during non-office hours on Saturday, Sunday, and public holidays; during some of these, activation of the CCL involved the interventional cardiology team returning from home, as would be necessary during night-time hours. Because night-time D2B or D2C times were consistently longer than those recorded during daytime hours (Table 3), daytime D2B or D2C times were most likely overestimated. Studies have shown that in units with no significant difference in reperfusion time during daytime and night-time hours, the mortality of patients with STEMI was not influenced by whether patients presented during standard working hours or outside of these hours.6 Measures could be implemented to shorten the night-time D2B or D2C time for improved patient outcomes.
 
Thirty-day mortality
The Acute Myocardial Infarction Clinical Pathway was first established in QMH in 2007; by 2011, it successfully reduced the 30-day mortality rate of acute myocardial infarction from 18.4% to 14.9%.7 The mortality in our pilot project was 8.2% in the control group with conventional management (Table 4). This reduction of mortality in the control group was likely a combined result of advances in cardiovascular medications and diagnostic or therapeutic technologies, as well as improvement of patient health awareness in recent years. With implementation of prehospital 12-lead ECG, further reduction of mortality was expected. In our subgroup with prehospital 12-lead ECG and PPCI, 30-day mortality of 0% was recorded. However, a larger study over longer period of time is needed to establish whether there is a statistically significant clinical impact of prehospital 12-lead ECG on long-term mortality.
 
Mode of transport
Approximately one-third (41 of 124) of patients with AED diagnosis of STEMI arranged self-transport, rather than calling an ambulance. This underuse of the ambulance service is not unique to Hong Kong8 9 10and has been a well-documented cause of delayed hospital presentation8 10 and reperfusion time.10 In addition to the inability to perform prehospital ECG, patients with STEMI who self-transported to the AED were deprived of early assessment by the ambulance crew, administration of aspirin and/or sublingual nitrate, early notification of the AED for patients with unstable vitals, and immediate cardiopulmonary resuscitation (with defibrillation if necessary). Thus, wise use of the ambulance service should be advocated.
 
Incomplete coverage of the catchment area
According to the HKFSD, 88% of the QMH catchment area was covered by the 15 ambulances with X Series® Monitor/Defibrillator installed. Owing to this incomplete catchment area coverage, 48 ambulance patients did not receive prehospital ECG before PPCI. A greater benefit might be observed in the future, if all ambulances in the territory were capable of transmitting prehospital ECG, together with primary diversion of patients with STEMI.
 
Patient refusal
Consent to perform prehospital 12-lead ECG was not obtained from 110 of 841 (13.1%) patients with cardiac chest pain (71 female and 39 male patients). Refusal to consent may result in worse outcomes for patients with STEMI with delayed PPCI. Public education regarding the benefit of performing prehospital ECG may reduce refusal rates.
 
Referral from private physicians
Of 124 patients with STEMI attending the AED, 20 (16.1%) consulted private physicians before attendance to the AED; a number of ECGs performed in these private clinics or hospitals documented STEMI. However, apart from handwritten referral letters, there is currently no formal direct communication channel between private physicians and AED physicians. More convenient means of prehospital communication with or without teletransmission of prehospital 12-lead ECG performed in private clinics or hospitals could be explored. The benefits of seamless communication between private physicians and the AED are not limited to STEMI alone and may affect many other medical conditions.
 
Conclusion
Prehospital 12-lead ECG is technologically feasible in Hong Kong and shortens the D2B time. However, shorter reperfusion time was recorded only during daytime hours. Promotion of prehospital 12-lead ECG and proper utilisation of ambulance services for patients with cardiac chest pain may allow additional patients with STEMI to benefit from prehospital ECG.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: All authors.
Acquisition of data: KS Cheung, YC Siu, RHW Chan.
Analysis or interpretation of data: KS Cheung, LP Leung.
Drafting of the article: KS Cheung.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
Acknowledgement
We would like to thank the staff of the following institutions: Hong Kong Fire Services Department, for performing prehospital electrocardiograms and providing prehospital data; Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, for providing data on door-to-balloon and door-to-catheter time; Department of Accident and Emergency, Queen Mary Hospital, for collecting patient clinical data; Emergency Medical Unit, LKS Faculty of Medicine, the University of Hong Kong, for statistical analyses; and Zoll Medical Corporation (269 Mill Rd, Chelmsford, MA 01824-4105, US), for providing the machines, training, and technical support free of charge.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethical approval
Analysis of data from this pilot project was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong/ Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster (UW17-318). Patient consent was waived.
 
References
1. Nagel EL, Hirshman JC, Nussenfeld SR, Rankin D, Lundblad E. Telemetry-medical command in coronary and other mobile emergency care systems. JAMA 1970;214:332-8. Crossref
2. O’Connor RE, Al Ali AS, Brady WJ, et al. Part 9: acute coronary syndromes: 2015 American Heart Association Guidelines Update for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care. Circulation 2015;132:S483-500. Crossref
3. Le May MR, Davies RF, Dionne R, et al. Comparison of early mortality of paramedic-diagnosed ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction with immediate transport to a designated primary percutaneous coronary intervention center to that of similar patients transported to the nearest hospital. Am J Cardiol 2006;98:1329-33. Crossref
4. Thygesen K, Alpert JS, Jaffe AS, et al. Fourth universal definition of myocardial infarction (2018). Eur Heart J 2018 Aug 25. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
5. Anderson LL, French WJ, Peng SA, et al. Direct transfer from the referring hospitals to the catheterization laboratory to minimize reperfusion delays for primary percutaneous coronary intervention: insights from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry. Circ Cardiovasc Interv 2015;8:e002477. Crossref
6. Cockburn J, Karimi K, Hoo S, et al. Outcomes by day and night for patients bypassing the emergency department presenting with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction identified with a pre-hospital electrocardiogram. J Interv Cardiol 2015;28:24-31. Crossref
7. Wong KL, Wong YT, Yung SY, et al. A single centre retrospective cohort study to evaluate the association between implementation of an acute myocardial infarction clinical pathway and clinical outcomes. Int J Cardiol 2015;182:82-4. Crossref
8. Hong CC, Sultana P, Wong AS, Chan KP, Pek PP, Ong ME. Prehospital delay in patients presenting with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction. Eur J Emerg Med 2011;18:268-71. Crossref
9. Song L, Yan HB, Yang JG, et al. Factors associated with use of emergency medical service for acute myocardial infarction in Beijing [in Chinese]. Zhonghua Yi Xue Za Zhi 2010;90:834-8.
10. Mathews R, Peterson ED, Li S, et al. Use of emergency medical service transport among patients with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction: findings from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry Acute Coronary Treatment Intervention Outcomes Network Registry—Get With The Guidelines. Circulation 2011;124:154-63. Crossref

Risk factors associated with 1-year mortality among patients with HIV-associated tuberculosis in areas with intermediate tuberculosis burden and low HIV prevalence

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Oct;24(5):473–83  |  Epub 28 Sep 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj187303
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Risk factors associated with 1-year mortality among patients with HIV-associated tuberculosis in areas with intermediate tuberculosis burden and low HIV prevalence
CK Chan, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; KH Wong, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)2; MP Lee, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)3; Kenny CW Chan, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)4; CC Leung, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; Eric CC Leung, FHKCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; WK Chan, BNurs (Hons), MNurs4; Ida KY Mak, BSc, MPhil1
1 Tuberculosis and Chest Service, Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong
2 Head Office, Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong
3 Department of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong
4 Integrated Treatment Centre, Special Preventive Programme, Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr CK Chan (chikuen_chan@dh.gov.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Data are limited regarding risk factors for mortality among patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated tuberculosis (TB) in areas with low HIV prevalence and intermediate TB burden, such as the Western Pacific region. This study aimed to assess such risk factors in Hong Kong, which has an intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence.
 
Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of adult patients reported to the Hong Kong TB-HIV Registry between 2006 and 2015. Baseline characteristics were compared with Kaplan-Meier estimates. Cox proportional hazards regression modelling was used to identify factors associated with mortality.
 
Results: Of 299 patients studied, 21 (7.0%) died within 12 months of anti-TB treatment (median [interquartile range], 7.5 [3.8-10] months). The median age of death was 54 (interquartile range, 40.5-75.0) years. The cause of death was TB in five and unrelated to TB in the remaining 16. Cox proportional hazards regression showed that older age (adjusted hazard ratio=4.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.4-14.9), history of drug addiction (4.6; 95% CI=1.6-13.0), and low baseline CD4 cell count of <50/μL (2.9; 95% CI=1.1-7.7) were independent risk factors for death within 12 months.
 
Conclusion: This study complements previous studies by providing information regarding risk factors associated with mortality among patients with HIV-associated TB in areas with intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence. The results from our study may guide targeted measures to improve survival in other areas with intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence, such as the Western Pacific region.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Previous studies on risk factors associated with mortality among patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)–associated tuberculosis (TB) have mainly examined patients from developing countries with high TB burden and high HIV prevalence, especially from Africa.
  • The present study showed that older age, a history of drug addiction, and a low baseline CD4 cell count of <50/μL were independent risk factors for death within 12 months in an area with intermediate TB burden, low HIV prevalence, and good infrastructure.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • This study might facilitate formulation of innovative strategies to improve health outcomes among patients with HIV-associated TB in areas with intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence.
 
 
Introduction
In 2016, there were an estimated 10.4 million new tuberculosis (TB) cases worldwide, of which 1.03 million (10%) were among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV).1 Of the estimated 1.7 million deaths resulting from TB disease, 0.4 million were among people living with HIV.1 The success rate of TB treatment is generally worse for patients with HIV than for those without. Globally, the proportion of patients with TB who died during treatment has been reported as approximately three-fold higher among patients with HIV than those without (11% vs 4%); this difference is greatest in the Western Pacific region (13% vs 2%).1
 
Identification of risk factors associated with mortality and innovative strategies to manage disease in high-risk groups may contribute to reduction in mortality among patients coinfected with TB and HIV. Lack of drug susceptibility testing, suboptimal initial anti-TB treatment, disseminated TB, and a low CD4 cell count have been reported as prognostic factors for increased TB-related mortality in Eastern Europe.2 3 In some areas of Africa with high HIV prevalence, increased odds of mortality are associated with the following factors: advanced age, pretreatment sputum smear status, history of TB, and lack of antiretroviral therapy (ART).4 5 6 However, data regarding risk factors for mortality in the Western Pacific region are scarce.7 8 In particular, there have been few assessments in areas with intermediate burden of TB in the Western Pacific region.
 
Hong Kong has been classified by the World Health Organization as a place with intermediate TB burden and good infrastructure. The TB notification rate in Hong Kong was 60.5 per 100 000 population in 2015, of which 40.2% were patients aged >65 years.9 The overall TB mortality rate was 2.3 per 100 000 population in the same year. The prevalence of HIV infection in the general population in Hong Kong is low (<0.1%).10 Notably, patients with HIV-associated TB constituted approximately 1% of all TB notifications in Hong Kong.9 Treatment outcomes of a cohort of patients reported to the territory-wide TB-HIV Registry of the Hong Kong Department of Health, as of 31 December 2009, have been reported previously.11 The aim of the present study was to assess the 1-year mortality rate among patients with HIV-associated TB and to identify risk factors associated with mortality. Therefore, we retrospectively reviewed the data of patients reported to the TB-HIV Registry between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2015. The results of this study are expected to guide targeted measures to improve survival and to inform TB control policies in areas with intermediate TB burden, such in Hong Kong and throughout the Western Pacific region.
 
Methods
Data regarding sex, age, ethnicity, case category, history of drug addiction, site of TB infection, sputum smear and culture results, CD4 cell count at TB diagnosis, and ART usage of consecutive patients reported to the TB-HIV Registry between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2015 were retrieved and retrospectively reviewed. Tuberculosis treatment outcomes at 12 months after initiation of treatment, and mortality data such as the date and cause(s) of death, were obtained from the database. Further mortality data were obtained by cross-matching with the statutory death registry by using patients’ identity card numbers/passport numbers as unique identifiers. For patients who died within 12 months during anti-TB treatment, relevant clinical records from chest clinics and hospitals were traced and reviewed.
 
All the data collected were imported into Epi-Info software, and exported into SPSS (Windows version 16.0; SPSS Inc, Chicago [IL], US) for analysis. For the identification of variables potentially associated with mortality, comparisons of survival status were made by using Kaplan-Meier estimates. A two-tailed P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. An evaluation of the effects of covariates on mortality was performed by using Cox proportional hazards regression modelling. Variables that were significant in the univariate analysis or were of clinical significance were included in the model. Patients who had been transferred out of Hong Kong before completion of treatment were censored at the date they were last known to be alive, based on the date of their most recent contact. For patients who were lost to follow-up, but were not deceased according to the statutory death registry, the censor date was 12 months. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated to demonstrate differences in mortality, stratified for a variety of covariates.
 
Results
Of 337 patients reported to the TB-HIV Registry between 2006 and 2015, 17 were excluded either because of duplicate reporting or revision of diagnosis. Twenty-one patients were tourists or illegal immigrants with a very short stay in Hong Kong; these were also excluded, resulting in 299 patients in the analysis. Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of these 299 patients, stratified by survival status at 12 months from the date of start of anti-TB treatment, are shown in Table 1. Overall, extrapulmonary TB was common, present in approximately 65% of patients. Sputum smear positivity was present in more than one-third of patients. Of note, the multidrug resistance rate among the bacteriologically proven cases was low (2.2% overall). The overall median CD4 cell count at the time of TB diagnosis was 100/μL (interquartile range [IQR], 36-204/μL). Of 284 patients who were alive and had not defaulted or transferred out at 8 weeks from the initiation of TB treatment, 73 (25.7%) were undergoing ART. The proportion undergoing ART at 8 weeks was higher among patients reported to the TB-HIV Registry between 2011 and 2015 than among those reported between 2006 and 2010 (37.3% vs 18.4%; P=0.0005).
 

Table 1. Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients reported to the Hong Kong TB-HIV Registry between 2006 and 2015, stratified by survival status at 12 months from the start of anti-TB treatment
 
Overall, 135 (45.2%) were cured or had completed treatment at 12 months, whereas 96 (32.1%) remained on an anti-TB treatment regimen at 12 months due to extensive disease, use of a non-standard treatment regimen, and/or drug resistance. Twenty-three (7.7%) patients defaulted treatment for more than 2 months, while 24 (8.0%) patients were transferred out; 21 (7.0%) patients died within 12 months of the initiation of anti-TB treatment. The proportions of patients who died within 12 months among patients reported to the TB-HIV Registry between 2011 and 2015 and those reported between 2006 and 2010 were similar (7.1% vs 6.9%). The median time interval between the initiation of anti-TB treatment and death was 7.5 months (IQR, 3.8-10 months); the median age of death was 54 (IQR, 40.5-75.0) years. The cause of death was due to TB in five patients and unrelated to TB in the remaining 16 (Table 2). A similar proportion of patients with early death within 2 months died from TB (25.0%), compared with those who died after 2 months (23.5%; P=0.72).
 

Table 2. Characteristics, causes, and timing of death of patients with HIV-associated TB who died within 12 months from initiation of anti-TB treatment (n=21)
 
Table 3 summarises the results of univariate (using Kaplan-Meier estimates) and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis with respect to 1-year mortality of the 299 cases. In the univariate analysis, older age, case categories other than new cases, a positive sputum smear, a history of drug addiction, and a low CD4 cell count (<50/μL) at the time of TB diagnosis were associated with mortality. Further analysis with Cox proportional hazards regression showed that older age (adjusted hazard ratio=4.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.4-14.9; P=0.012), a history of drug addiction (adjusted hazard ratio=4.6; 95% CI=1.6-13.0; P=0.005) and a low CD4 cell count (<50/μL) at the time of TB diagnosis (adjusted hazard ratio=2.9; 95% CI=1.1-7.7; P=0.03) remained the sole independent risk factors for death within 12 months. Similar findings were observed when ART at 8 weeks was included in the Cox proportional hazards regression model (results not shown). Unadjusted Kaplan-Meier survival curves stratified by covariates are shown in the Figure.
 

Table 3. Survival status at 12 months of 299 patients with HIV-associated TB and comparison by univariate and Cox proportional hazards regression modelling
 

Figure. Kaplan-Meier survival curves of patients with HIVassociated TB at 12 months, stratified for (a) age-group, (b) history of drug addiction, and (c) baseline CD4 cell count
 
Discussion
This retrospective cohort study was designed to examine the mortality pattern and factors associated with 1-year mortality among patients with HIV-associated TB reported to the Hong Kong TB-HIV Registry. In our cohort, 7.0% died within 12 months of anti-TB treatment (median [IQR], 7.5 months [3.8-10 months]). The median age of death was 54 (IQR, 40.5-75.0) years. The cause of death was unrelated to TB in >75% of the cohort. Older age, history of drug addiction, and a low CD4 cell count (<50/μL) at the time of TB diagnosis were independent risk factors for death within 12 months.
 
The 1-year mortality rate of 7.0% among patients with HIV-associated TB in our cohort was lower than the rates in Eastern Europe (29%) and Latin America (11%) reported in a study by Podlekareva et al.2 The mortality rate in our study was also lower than the rates reported in other countries in the Western Pacific region, such as Thailand (17%)7 and Cambodia (22.5%)8 among enrolled patients with HIV-associated TB. Nonetheless, the rate was higher than the 4% reported for Western Europe.2 Although these rates might not be directly comparable because of differences in the study periods and methodologies used, the results from our study add important data to the current body of literature regarding mortality risk among patients with HIV-associated TB in the Western Pacific region.
 
In our cohort, 76.2% of deaths were unrelated to TB. This differed from the proportion reported among patients with HIV-associated TB in Eastern Europe; TB was reported as the cause of death in >60% of those who died.2 Differences in patient profile, degree of immunosuppression, proportion of patients receiving ART, and proportion of patients with other opportunistic infections might have contributed to the differences observed with respect to the cause(s) of death.
 
The proportion of patients who died within the first 2 months of anti-TB treatment due to TB was similar to that among patients who died after 2 months (25.0% vs 23.5%). This finding differed from the outcome of a prospective observational study that examined the causes of death among patients with HIV-associated TB in Thailand: 18 of 33 deaths (55%) within 60 days after initiation of TB treatment were caused by TB, compared with 11 of 41 deaths (27%) beyond 60 days after initiation of TB treatment (P=0.02).7 However, the patients in that study exhibited a greater degree of immunosuppression: the median CD4 count for patients in that study was 55/μL (IQR, 18-142/μL), compared with a median CD4 count of 100/μL (IQR, 36-204/μL) in our cohort.
 
The finding that older age constitutes a risk factor for mortality in our cohort is consistent with findings in some other studies.4 5 12 In a recently reported retrospective 10-year electronic record review of patients with TB in a South African province, although the large majority of patients with TB that died were aged 18 to 49 years, the odds of dying were incrementally higher in older age-groups: 8 to 17 years (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]=2.0; 95% CI=1.5-2.7), 18 to 49 years (AOR=5.8; 95% CI=4.0-8.4), 50 to 64 years (AOR=7.7; 95% CI=4.6-12.7), and ≥65 years (AOR=14.4; 95% CI=10.3-20.2).4 A similar finding was observed in another South African study.5 In our cohort, the median age of death was 54 years. Patients aged ≥65 years had an adjusted hazard ratio of 4.5 for dying, compared with younger patients. Atypical presentation, increased comorbidity, and a higher proportion of drug-related adverse events might have contributed to the increased odds of death in the older age-group.
 
In our cohort, a history of drug addiction was significantly associated with death at 12 months (adjusted hazard ratio=4.6; 95% CI=1.6-13.0). In the study by The TB:HIV Study Writing Group, injection drug use was reported as a significant predictor of death (hazard ratio=2.11; 95% CI=1.04-4.26); notably, this became non-significant after adjustment due to high correlation with the region of residence.3 The association between a history of drug abuse and mortality in our cohort—also reported in some other studies—is not surprising. Poor access to and uptake of health services, poor adherence, and treatment default are well-known to pose unique challenges for treatment of drug users.13 In a study of 291 patients with smear- and culture-positive pulmonary TB presenting for retreatment in Morocco, substance users were 2.7 times more likely to default treatment, compared with non-substance users (AOR=2.73; 95% CI=1.04-7.15).14 Because injection drug users exhibit a high prevalence of chronic viral hepatitis and alcohol abuse, hepatotoxic reactions to anti-TB drugs may be more common.15 In a study that examined the role of hepatitis C virus and HIV in anti-TB drug-induced hepatotoxicity, Ungo et al16 found that patients with TB exhibited a four-to-five-fold increased risk of drug-induced hepatitis if coinfected with viral hepatitis or HIV; moreover, they exhibited a 14-fold increased risk if coinfected with both. In addition, efavirenz, nevirapine, and rifampicin may increase methadone clearance, thus causing methadone withdrawal; this may dissuade drug users from continuing treatment.15
 
In a study that examined TB-related mortality in people living with HIV in Eastern Europe and Latin America, a CD4 cell count of <50/μL was associated with increased TB-related mortality (hazard ratio=3.46; 95% CI=2.02-5.95; P<0.0001) after adjustment for multidrug-resistant TB status.2 In another study conducted in Ethiopia, a CD4 cell count of <75/μL was also associated with increased mortality (adjusted hazard ratio=4.83; 95% CI=1.98-11.77).6 In our cohort, consistent with the findings from prior studies, patients with HIV-associated TB with a low CD4 cell count (<50/μL) at the time of TB diagnosis had an adjusted hazard ratio of 2.9 (95% CI=1.1-7.7; P=0.03) for mortality at 1 year. The findings from our study and other studies support the recommendation that ART be initiated early during TB treatment in patients with HIV.
 
Case category other than new cases was associated with increased mortality at 12 months in univariate analysis in our study. However, the association disappeared in the adjusted model. Of note, prior history of TB or retreatment has been associated with increased mortality in some other studies.5 17 Because our study was a retrospective case review, it is uncertain whether misclassification or inadequate control for other unknown confounding factors might have obscured an association between case category and mortality.
 
Studies regarding the association between sputum smear status and death have reported conflicting results. In a retrospective cohort study of predictors of TB mortality in Khayelitsha, South Africa, an area with high HIV prevalence, no association was found between smear status and death.5 Similarly, in a study of patients coinfected with TB and HIV at a teaching hospital in Ghana, no differences were reported in clinical outcome between patients with smear-negative TB status and those with smear-positive TB status.18 In a prospective study of 827 adult TB in-patients registered at Zomba Hospital, Malawi, of whom 77% were HIV-seropositive, patients with smear-negative pulmonary TB exhibited the highest death rates during 32 months of follow-up (hazard ratio=2.7; 95% CI=2.1-3.5; P<0.001, compared to smear-positive patients).19 Similar findings were reported in studies of patients with HIV-associated TB in South Africa and in Cameroon.17 20 Conversely, in a study that examined patients with HIV with culture-confirmed pulmonary TB in the US from 1993 to 2006, patients with smear-negative TB exhibited better survival than patients with smear-positive disease, both before (hazard ratio=0.82; 95% CI=0.75-0.90) and after (hazard ratio=0.81; 95% CI=0.71-0.92) the introduction of combination ART.21 In our study, a positive sputum smear was associated with mortality in univariate analysis, but not in multivariate analysis. The results from our study regarding the effect of AFB smear status on survival were similar to those from the study in the US. The reasons for observed differences in survival among patients with HIV with sputum smear-negative TB between resource-rich and resource-limited settings are likely complex; these might have been a result of differences in study populations, the availability of diagnostics, misdiagnosis, or differences in treatment regimens.21
 
Of note, ART was not a prognostic factor for mortality in our study, either for the entire cohort or when the analysis was restricted to the subgroup with a CD4 cell count of <50/μL (results for the latter not shown). In addition, the mortality rate among patients in the later cohort (2011 to 2015) remained similar compared to the earlier cohort (2006 to 2010), although the proportion of patients receiving ART at 8 weeks had doubled. This conflicts with the finding that ART reduces mortality, reported in some other studies.3 5 The failure of ART to affect mortality in our study might have been because ART was selectively initiated for patients with more advanced HIV-associated TB (ie, by attending physicians) during the study period. High age-related mortality in the cohort, as discussed above, and inadequate control for other confounding factors might have masked the protective effect of ART.
 
The strength of this study is that it included a relatively complete set of data regarding clinical features of all patients, as well as the cause(s) and timing of death among patients who died. Such data have been less frequently reported in previous studies. The primary limitation is that it was a retrospective study conducted under programme conditions. Our risk factor evaluation was limited by the availability of data present in the database of the TB-HIV Registry and in clinical records. Information regarding case categories, drug addiction, and CD4 cell count was unavailable for a small subset of patients. Classifying patients with missing case category information as new cases and those with missing substance use data as non-users might have biased our analyses of these risk factors such that no significant differences were found. The time lag between HIV diagnosis and initiation of ART could not be determined because information regarding the date of HIV diagnosis was missing for some patients in the earlier portion of the study period, as well as for patients who were diagnosed outside Hong Kong. Furthermore, information regarding the time lag between presentation of patients to the health care system and the initiation of anti-TB treatment was not captured in the TB-HIV Registry. Therefore, the potential effect of such delay in the initiation of anti-TB treatment on mortality could not be examined. Another limitation is that the accuracy of the data in the programme record forms (on which the database was constructed) and death certificates for coding TB as the underlying cause of death was unknown. Nonetheless, for those patients who died, relevant clinical records from chest clinics and hospitals were traced for review. Misclassification regarding the cause(s) of death should be minimal. Finally, the small number of patients who died, limited statistical power, and inadequate controls for other unknown confounding factors may have concealed the effects of significant variables, as discussed above.
 
Notwithstanding the aforementioned limitations, we demonstrated that older age, history of drug addiction, and low CD4 cell count (<50/μL) at TB diagnosis were independent risk factors for death within 12 months. This study complements previous studies by providing information regarding risk factors associated with mortality among patients with HIV-associated TB in an area in the Western Pacific region with intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence. The results from our study may have important implications for health care programmes; they may aid in formulating innovative strategies and new guidelines to guide targeted measures for the management of disease among subgroups of patients at risk of death from TB or HIV during the course of anti-TB treatment. As such, they may help optimise TB and HIV management in the Western Pacific region.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design of study: CK Chan, ECC Leung, CC Leung, KH Wong.
Acquisition of data: CK Chan, IKY Mak, WK Chan, KCW Chan, MP Lee.
Analysis or interpretation of data: ECC Leung, CC Leung, CK Chan, MP Lee, KCW Chan, IKY Mak.
Drafting of the article: CK Chan, ECC Leung.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors would like to thank Dr CM Tam, previous Consultant Chest Physician in-charge of Tuberculosis and Chest Service, Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health of Hong Kong, for his contributions to the conception and design of this work, as well as his valuable comments on the early draft of this article.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity. The findings of this study were presented in part at the 13th Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Shanghai and Guangdong Tuberculosis Conference, Hong Kong, 2 November 2017.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethical approval
This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Department of Health of Hong Kong.
 
References
1. World Health Organization. Global Tuberculosis Report 2017. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2017.
2. Podlekareva DN, Efsen AM, Schultze A, et al. Tuberculosis-related mortality in people living with HIV in Europe and Latin America: an international cohort study. Lancet HIV 2016;3:e120-31. Crossref
3. TB:HIV Study Writing Group. One-year mortality of HIV-positive patients treated for rifampicin- and isoniazid-susceptible tuberculosis in Eastern Europe, Western Europe, and Latin America. AIDS 2017;31:375-84. Crossref
4. Heunis JC, Kigozi NG, Chikobvu P, Botha S, van Rensburg HD. Risk factors for mortality in TB patients: a 10-year electronic record review in a South African province. BMC Public Health 2017;17:38. Crossref
5. Pepper DJ, Schomaker M, Wilkinson RJ, de Azevedo V, Maartens G. Independent predictors of tuberculosis mortality in a high HIV prevalence setting: a retrospective cohort study. AIDS Res Ther 2015;12:35. Crossref
6. Sileshi B, Deyessa N, Girma B, Melese M, Suarez P. Predictors of mortality among TB-HIV co-infected patients being treated for tuberculosis in Northwest Ethiopia: a retrospective cohort study. BMC Infect Dis 2013;13:297. Crossref
7. Cain KP, Anekthananon T, Burapat C, et al. Causes of death in HIV-infected persons who have tuberculosis, Thailand. Emerg Infect Dis 2009;15:258-64. Crossref
8. Marcy O, Laureillard D, Madec Y, et al. Causes and determinants of mortality in HIV-infected adults with tuberculosis: an analysis from the CAMELIA ANRS 1295-CIPRA KH001 randomized trial. Clin Infect Dis 2014;59:435-45. Crossref
9. Tuberculosis and Chest Service, Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Annual Report 2015. Available from: http://www.info.gov.hk/tb_chest/doc/Annual_Report_2015.pdf. Accessed 18 Sep 2018.
10. Special Preventive Programme, Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. HIV surveillance report-2015 update. Available from: http://www.info.gov.hk/aids/english/surveillance/sur_report/hiv15.pdf. Accessed 18 Sep 2018.
11. Chan CK, Wong KH, Leung CC, et al. Treatment outcomes after early initiation of antiretroviral therapy for human immunodeficiency virus-associated tuberculosis. Hong Kong Med J 2013;19:474-83. Crossref
12. Waitt CJ, Squire SB. A systematic review of risk factors for death in adults during and after tuberculosis treatment. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2011;15:871-85. Crossref
13. Deiss RG, Rodwell TC, Garfein RS. Tuberculosis and illicit drug use: review and update. Clin Infect Dis 2009;48:72-82. Crossref
14. Dooley KE, Lahlou O, Ghali I, et al. Risk factors for tuberculosis treatment failure, default, or relapse and outcomes of retreatment in Morocco. BMC Public Health 2011;11:140. Crossref
15. World Health Organization. Integrating collaborative TB and HIV services within a comprehensive package of care for people who inject drugs. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2016.
16. Ungo JR, Jones D, Ashkin D, et al. Antituberculosis drug-induced hepatotoxicity. The role of hepatitis C virus and the human immunodeficiency virus. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 1998;157:1871-6. Crossref
17. Mabunda TE, Ramalivhana NJ, Dambisya YM. Mortality associated with tuberculosis/HIV co-infection among patients on TB treatment in the Limpopo province, South Africa. Afr Health Sci 2014;14:849-54. Crossref
18. Mudd J, Jaramillo L, Kwara E, et al. Impact of smear-negative results on tuberculosis outcome in HIV co-infected patients at a teaching hospital in Ghana. Ann Glob Health 2016;82:516.
19. Kang’ombe C, Harries AD, Banda H, et al. High mortality rates in tuberculosis patients in Zomba Hospital, Malawi, during 32 months of follow-up. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 2000;94:305-9. Crossref
20. Djouma FN, Noubom M, Ngomba AV, Donfack H, Kouomboua PS, Saah MA. Determinants of death among tuberculosis patients in a semi urban diagnostic and treatment centre of Bafoussam, West Cameroon: a retrospective case-control study. Pan Afr Med J 2015;22:253. Crossref
21. Cavanaugh JS, Shah NS, Cain KP, Winston CA. Survival among patients with HIV infection and smear-negative pulmonary tuberculosis–United States, 1993-2006. PLoS One 2012;7:e47855. Crossref

Depression and anxiety among university students in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Oct;24(5):466–72  |  Epub 24 Sep 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj176915
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Depression and anxiety among university students in Hong Kong
Kevin WC Lun, CK Chan, Patricia KY Ip, Samantha YK Ma, WW Tsai, CS Wong, Christie HT Wong, TW Wong, D Yan
Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Mr Kevin WC Lun (lunkwc@gmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Entry into tertiary education is a critical juncture where adolescents proceed to adulthood. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of depression and anxiety, and factors associated with such symptoms, among university undergraduate students in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: A cross-sectional questionnaire study was employed. A total of 1200 undergraduate students from eight University Grants Committee–funded universities were invited to complete three sets of questionnaires, including the 9-item patient health questionnaire for screening of depressive symptoms, the 7-item generalised anxiety disorder scale for screening of anxiety symptoms, and a socio-demographic questionnaire.
 
Results: Among the valid responses (n=1119) analysed, 767 (68.5%) respondents indicated mild to severe depressive symptoms, which were associated with mild to severe anxiety symptoms. Several lifestyle and psychosocial variables, including regular exercise, self-confidence, satisfaction with academic performance, and optimism towards the future were inversely related with mild to severe depressive symptoms. A total of 599 (54.4%) respondents indicated mild to severe anxiety symptoms, which were associated with level of academic difficulty. Satisfaction with friendship, sleep quality, and self-confidence were inversely associated with mild to severe anxiety symptoms.
 
Conclusion: More than 50% of respondents expressed some degree of depressive and anxiety symptoms (68.5% and 54.4%, respectively). Approximately 9% of respondents exhibited moderately severe to severe depressive symptoms; 5.8% exhibited severe anxiety symptoms. Respondents reporting regular exercise, higher self-confidence, and better satisfaction with both friendship and academic performance had fewer depressive and anxiety symptoms.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Up to 9% of university students in Hong Kong exhibit moderately severe to severe depressive symptoms.
  • Up to 5.8% of university students in Hong Kong exhibit severe anxiety symptoms.
  • Respondents reporting regular exercise, higher self-confidence, and better satisfaction with both friendship and academic performance had fewer depressive and anxiety symptoms.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Health care workers and organisations such as universities should be aware of potential depression and anxiety among university undergraduate students.
  • Adolescents and young adults in Hong Kong should be educated, to raise social awareness of depression and anxiety among university undergraduate students.
 
 
Introduction
Recently, an increased incidence of suicide among students has triggered immense public concern regarding the mental health of adolescents and young adults. In 2014, there were 52 suicides in the age-group 15 to 24 years. The number of suicides in this age-group increased in subsequent years to 68 in 2015 and 75 in 2016.1 A report from the Centre for Health Protection in Hong Kong showed that, in 2012, the prevalences of mild, moderate, and severe depressive symptoms in adolescents and children were 36.4%, 14.7%, and 4.2%, respectively.2 The Population Health Survey 2003/2004 conducted collaboratively by the Department of Health and the Department of Community Medicine of the University of Hong Kong revealed that the median score for the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory was highest in those aged 25 to 34 years, whereas the median score for the Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale was highest in those aged 15 to 34 years.3 A web-based survey targeting first-year students receiving tertiary education in Hong Kong concluded that, in 2006, the prevalence of depression was 20.9%, while that of anxiety was 41.2%.4 Another recent study, the Hong Kong Mental Morbidity Survey,5 revealed that the most common mental problem in Hong Kong was mixed anxiety and depressive disorder; moreover, there was a strong association between anxiety symptoms and depressive symptoms.
 
According to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, published by the American Psychiatric Association, major depressive disorder is defined as the presence of five or more of the listed symptoms for most of the days during the same 2-week period; at least one of the symptoms must be either depressed mood or loss of interest or pleasure. Notably, these symptoms should reflect a change from previous functioning. Generalised anxiety disorder (GAD) is characterised by excessive worries that cause distress and interfere with psychosocial functioning. These worries frequently happen without precipitants, exhibit longer durations, and are accompanied by three or more of the six listed additional symptoms.
 
Various factors associated with major depressive disorder and GAD have been identified, including alcohol use, illicit drug use, tobacco use, and level of physical activity.6 However, evidence for an association between academic pressure and these two psychiatric disorders remains unknown among university undergraduate students in Hong Kong. We aimed to provide an update regarding the prevalence of depressive and anxiety symptoms experienced by undergraduate students in Hong Kong, and to identify factors associated with these symptoms.
 
Methods
Full-time undergraduate students of the eight universities in Hong Kong that are funded by the University Grants Committee (UGC) were the target participants in this study. A cross-sectional study design was employed and the target number of students to be enrolled from each university was 150; the total target number of students to be recruited was 1200.
 
The inclusion criteria for this study were as follows: full-time undergraduate students in the eight UGC-funded universities who were ≥18 years, were able to understand the consent, provide a valid oral consent, comprehend the questionnaire, and had not previously participated in this research. Students who failed to fulfil all inclusion criteria were excluded from the study.
 
Convenience sampling was employed. Questionnaires were distributed at popular locations within all eight university campuses on school days in September and October 2016. Participants were asked to complete three sets of questionnaires, including the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) for screening of depressive symptoms, the 7-item GAD scale (GAD-7) for screening of anxiety symptoms, and a socio-demographic questionnaire to identify factors associated with depressive and anxiety symptoms.7 8 When completed questionnaires were being returned, respondents were reminded that they would not be able to withdraw from the study after returning the questionnaires, as the questionnaires did not contain any personal identifying information to allow individual retrieval.
 
The PHQ-9 was adopted to screen for depressive symptoms in this study. Both Chinese and English versions were provided. The PHQ-9 has been shown to be a valid and reliable tool for assessing depressive symptoms in the Hong Kong general population.7 8 Another study showed that the PHQ-9 was a useful tool to detect both major depression and subthreshold depression.9 According to the PHQ-9, a score of <5 was defined as none-minimal depressive symptoms, score of 5 to 9 as mild, score of 10 to 14 as moderate, score of 15 to 19 as moderately severe, and score of ≥20 as severe.
 
The GAD-7 is a practical self-report anxiety questionnaire that is generally used in out-patient and primary care settings for referral to a psychiatrist to confirm the diagnosis of GAD. Both Chinese and English versions were available. The adoption of GAD-7 in this study was due to its good reliability, as well as its criteria, construct, and factorial and procedural validity.10 11 According to the GAD-7, a score of <5 was defined as none-minimal anxiety symptoms, score of 5 to 9 as mild, score of 10 to 14 as moderate, and score of ≥15 as severe.
 
Descriptive analysis was performed to summarise the demographics and statuses of depressive and anxiety symptoms of the respondents. A binary logistic regression was conducted to ascertain the effects of various covariates on the odds of exhibiting mild to severe depressive symptoms, on the basis of PHQ-9 results. A PHQ-9 score of <5 was defined as no depressive symptoms, while a score of ≥5 was defined as mild to severe depressive symptoms. Another binary logistic regression was used to ascertain the effects of multiple covariates on the odds that participants would exhibit mild to severe anxiety symptoms, on the basis of GAD-7 results. A GAD-7 score of <5 was defined as no anxiety symptoms, while a score of ≥5 was defined as mild to severe anxiety symptoms. A P value of <0.05 was regarded as a significant difference.
 
Results
In total, 1480 undergraduate students from the eight UGC-funded universities were approached from 6 September 2016 to 3 October 2016. From these, 1200 completed questionnaires were collected, for a response rate of 81.1%. A total of 81 students did not meet at least one of the inclusion criteria and their responses were subsequently excluded from analysis (Fig). The remaining 1119 students fulfilled all inclusion criteria and their responses were analysed by SPSS (Mac version 24; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States).
 

Figure. Flow chart showing the number of validated questionnaires from the eight UGC-funded universities included in the study
 
The mean (standard deviation) age of the respondents was 19.81 (1.48) years (range, 18-29 years). Among the respondents, 426 (38.1%) were male and 693 (61.9%) were female. Most respondents were Chinese (92.7%). The respondents’ demographics are shown in Table 1.
 

Table 1. Demographics of respondents
 
Among the 1119 valid questionnaires analysed, 767 (68.5%) were found to have mild to severe depressive symptoms (Table 2).
 

Table 2. Results of the PHQ-9 (n=1119)
 
For screening of anxiety symptoms, 18 of the 1119 respondents were excluded because they did not complete the GAD-7 questionnaires; therefore, results are based on the 1101 valid responses. A total of 599 (54.4%) respondents were found to have mild to severe anxiety symptoms. A higher prevalence of anxiety was observed in females than males in all three categories of severity (Table 3).
 

Table 3. Results of the GAD-7 (n=1101)
 
The binary logistic regression model for the effects of multiple covariates on the odds of having mild to severe depressive symptoms, on the basis of the PHQ-9 results, was statistically significant with χ2=375.006, P<0.001, with 18 degrees of freedom (Table 4). The model explained 43.1% of the variance in depression severity, as shown by Nagelkerke R2, and correctly classified 79.6% of the cases. Mild to severe anxiety symptoms, as screened by GAD-7, were significantly associated with mild to severe depressive symptoms (P<0.001). In contrast, several lifestyle and psychosocial variables, including regular exercise (P<0.001), self-confidence (P=0.01), satisfaction with academic performance (P=0.019), and optimism towards the future (P<0.001) were inversely related to mild to severe depressive symptoms.
 

Table 4. Binary logistic regression model for the effects of multiple covariates on the odds of having mild to severe depressive symptoms, based on the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire
 
Another binary logistic regression model for the effects of multiple covariates on the odds of having mild to severe anxiety symptoms, on the basis of the GAD-7 results, was statistically significant with χ2=374.842, P<0.001, with 20 degrees of freedom (Table 5). The model explained 41.3% of the variance in depression severity, as shown by Nagelkerke R2, and correctly classified 76.9% of the cases. Mild to severe anxiety symptoms were associated with level of academic difficulty (P=0.028) and mild to severe depressive symptoms, as screened by PHQ-9 (P<0.001). Certain lifestyle and psychosocial variables, including satisfaction with friendship (P=0.001), sleep quality (P=0.003), and self-confidence (P=0.003) were inversely associated with mild to severe anxiety symptoms.
 

Table 5. Binary logistic regression model for the effects of multiple covariates on the odds of having mild to severe anxiety symptoms, based on the 7-item Generalised Anxiety Disorder scale
 
Discussion
The results revealed that 68.5% of respondents had mild to severe depressive symptoms and 54.4% had mild to severe anxiety symptoms. These rates are higher than and comparable to the results of a similar survey conducted by the University of Hong Kong 10 years ago, respectively.4 This could be attributed to the increasing academic pressure after major reforms of the education system in Hong Kong,12 uncertainties in career prospects due to fluctuations in the socio-political environment, and the more prevalent use of social media.13
 
This study revealed that mild to severe depressive symptoms, as screened by PHQ-9, were associated with mild to severe anxiety symptoms, as screened by GAD-7. This is consistent with previous studies, including a study in patients with depression showing that 85% of those with major depression were also diagnosed with generalised anxiety.14 Sharing common risk factors and symptoms may explain their co-existence.15 16 Another study has shown that anxiety is more frequently an antecedent of depression, but the reverse relationship was not observed.17 This could be explained by the withdrawal and submissive techniques adopted by individuals with anxiety, in response to social exclusion.18 However, a definite causal relationship remains unclear.
 
Regular exercise could decrease the occurrence of depression via both physiological and psychological mechanisms. Exercise exerts an excitatory effect on the monoamine and endorphin neurotransmitter systems; notably, monoamines are depleted in patients with depression.19 Psychologically, exercise is reported to improve self-esteem and self-perception through self-actualisation and gaining pleasure from an expanded social circle.20
 
Psychosocial factors, including higher self-confidence, satisfaction with academic performance, and optimism towards the future are inversely related to depressive symptoms. These could be the presentation or consequences of depression; these factors may have protective effects against developing depression.21 Optimism towards the future, apart from personal factors, is also related to community factors. Risk factors include community disadvantage, safety, and discrimination; an important protective factor is community connectedness. These factors were associated with depressive symptoms.22 This implies that, in addition to promoting personal mental health, community-level risk and protective factors that affect individuals’ optimism towards future are sufficiently important to receive broader attention.
 
For the analysis of anxiety, the level of academic difficulty was associated with mild to severe anxiety symptoms. A higher level of academic difficulty may create greater stress and anxiety for students; subsequent unsatisfactory academic results may complete the vicious cycle. Several tips were suggested by the Anxiety and Depression Association of America (ADAA) regarding test anxiety reduction.23 Female gender was not associated with mild to severe anxiety symptoms, which conflicts with previous studies.15 No clear causality was identified, but some potential aetiologies include higher stress levels from academic and interpersonal issues.
 
Satisfaction with friendship, sleep quality, and self-confidence were three factors inversely associated with mild to severe anxiety symptoms. Having good interpersonal relationships with peers could be a protective factor against anxiety; however, symptoms of anxiety may also hinder friendship, thus explaining the inverse relationship. Insomnia is a symptom of anxiety. According to a survey conducted by ADAA, worrying about falling asleep at night was identified as a cause for an increased level of anxiety.24 Recommendations that could help in falling asleep and achieving better sleep quality include maintaining 7 to 9 hours of uninterrupted sleep, establishing a regular bedtime routine, and avoiding electronic gadgets, coffee, and tea, as well as designing a relaxing environment for sleeping.24 Lack of self-confidence could be a cause of anxiety, but anxiety symptoms could also diminish one’s self-confidence. A bilateral association is possible.
 
There were several limitations in our study. Firstly, as with all cross-sectional studies, it was not possible to establish causality between the identified factors and symptoms of depression and anxiety. Hence, the identified factors are regarded as associated factors, which could be either the causes or the results of depression or anxiety. To further explore the relationships between these factors and symptoms of depression and anxiety, we reviewed the available literature to provide supporting evidence. Secondly, convenience sampling was adopted, but there could be self-selection bias when inviting students to complete the questionnaires, limited by the locations and times at which questionnaire distribution was conducted. The questionnaires were distributed in the open areas of the eight UGC-funded universities in Hong Kong. Withdrawn university students affected by depression or anxiety might not have been reached or might have refused to participate in the study; hence, the results may be underestimates. Thirdly, we could not attain our target number of 150 students from each university, except from the Hong Kong Polytechnic University. Importantly, this study used screening questionnaires to assess the depressive and anxiety symptoms experienced by the students, but no clinical diagnoses were made by health care professionals. However, with limited resources, the use of validated screening questionnaires was considered a cost-effective approach to explore the situation in general and thus was used in this study. Possible directions for further studies include the implementation of stratified random sampling, expansion of the sample size of the study, and performance of a reliability test to reduce information bias. Including detailed backgrounds of students’ disciplines and faculties, as well as ensuring a diverse population to include both local and non-local students, as well as Chinese-speaking and non-Chinese-speaking students, could allow further subgroup analysis; students from different faculties may experience depressive symptoms or anxiety symptoms at different severities due to differences in curricula. In this research, participants who were screened to have depressive and/or anxiety symptoms were not notified because of the lack of identifiable personal information. Provision of the results to participants and recommendations regarding help-seeking information are suggested for future studies. This study result may not fully reflect the severity of depressive and anxiety symptoms among students, as the study method could not reach severely depressed individuals who had socially isolated themselves.
 
Conclusion
This study showed that over 50% of university students in the eight UGC-funded universities expressed some degree of depressive symptoms (68.5%) or anxiety symptoms (54.4%). Notably, 9% of these university students exhibited moderate to severe depressive symptoms and 5.8% of the studied students showed severe anxiety symptoms. Students with regular exercise, higher self-confidence, better satisfaction with academic performance, and more optimism towards the future experienced fewer depressive symptoms. Students with better satisfaction with friendship, better sleep quality, higher self-confidence, and lower levels of academic difficulty experienced fewer anxiety symptoms.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design of study: KWC Lun, CK Chan.
Acquisition of data: All authors.
Analysis or interpretation of data: All authors.
Drafting of the article: All authors.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: KWC Lun, CK Chan.
 
Acknowledgement
We thank Dr LM Ho, assistant IT director of the Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics of School of Public Health of the University of Hong Kong, for his statistical support and advice in conducting this study. We also thank the School of Public Health of the University of Hong Kong, for its support in conducting this study.
 
Declaration
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Funding/support
The LKS Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong reimbursed project expenses under the title of Health Research Project for HKD500.
 
Ethical approval
This study was reviewed and approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong/Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster.
 
References
1. Hong Kong Jockey Club Centre for Suicide Research and Prevention, The University of Hong Kong. Statistics. Available from: https://csrp.hku.hk/statistics/. Accessed 18 Sep 2018.
2. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Depression: beyond feeling blue. Non-Communicable Diseases Watch 2012. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/ncd_watch_sep2012.pdf. Accessed 20 Apr 2016.
3. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Population Health Survey 2003/2004. Collaborative project of Department of Health and Department of Community Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/report_on_population_health_survey_2003_2004_en.pdf. Accessed 20 Apr 2016.
4. Wong JG, Cheung EP, Chan KK, Ma KK, Tang SW. Web-based survey of depression, anxiety and stress in first-year tertiary education students in Hong Kong. Aust N Z J Psychiatry 2006;40:777-82. Crossref
5. Lam LC, Wong CS, Wang MJ, et al. Prevalence, psychosocial correlates and service utilization of depressive and anxiety disorders in Hong Kong: the Hong Kong Mental Morbidity Survey (HKMMS). Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol 2015;50:1379-88. Crossref
6. Cairns KE, Yap MB, Pilkington PD, Jorm AF. Risk and protective factors for depression that adolescents can modify: a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies. J Affect Disord 2014;169:61-75. Crossref
7. Yu X, Tam WW, Wong PT, Lam TH, Stewart SM. The Patient Health Questionnaire-9 for measuring depressive symptoms among the general population in Hong Kong. Compr Psychiatry 2012;53:95-102. Crossref
8. Wang W, Bian Q, Zhao Y, et al. Reliability and validity of the Chinese version of the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) in the general population. Gen Hosp Psychiatry 2014;36:539-44. Crossref
9. Martin A, Rief W, Klaiberg A, Braehler E. Validity of the Brief Patient Health Questionnaire Mood Scale (PHQ-9) in the general population. Gen Hosp Psychiatry 2006;28:71-7. Crossref
10. Spitzer RL, Kroenke K, Williams JB, Löwe B. A brief measure for assessing generalized anxiety disorder: the GAD-7. Arch Intern Med 2006;166:1092-7. Crossref
11. Tong X, An D, McGonigal A, Park SP, Zhou D. Validation of the Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7) among Chinese people with epilepsy. Epilepsy Res 2016;120:31-6. Crossref
12. Yeh YC, Yen CF, Lai CS, Huang CH, Liu KM, Huang IT. Correlations between academic achievement and anxiety and depression in medical students experiencing integrated curriculum reform. Kaohsiung J Med Sci 2007;23:379-86. Crossref
13. O’Keeffe GS, Clarke-Pearson K, Council on Communications and Media. The impact of social media on children, adolescents, and families. Pediatrics 2011;127:800-4. Crossref
14. Hall RC, Platt DE, Hall RC. Suicide risk assessment: a review of risk factors for suicide in 100 patients who made severe suicide attempts. Evaluation of suicide risk in a time of managed care. Psychosomatics 1999;40:18-27. Crossref
15. Blanco C, Rubio J, Wall M, Wang S, Jiu CJ, Kendler KS. Risk factors for anxiety disorders: common and specific effects in a national sample. Depress Anxiety 2014;31:756-64. Crossref
16. van Ameringen M. Comorbid anxiety and depression in adults: Epidemiology, clinical manifestations, and diagnosis. 15 Jun 2017. Available from: https://www.uptodate.com/contents/comorbid-anxiety-and-depression-in-adults-epidemiology-clinical-manifestations-and-diagnosis. Accessed 24 Jul 2017.
17. Muris P. Normal and Abnormal Fear and Anxiety in Children and Adolescents. London: Elsevier; 2007.
18. Richards CS, O’Hara MW, editors. The Oxford Handbook of Depression and Comorbidity. New York: Oxford University Press; 2014.Crossref
19. Buckworth J, Dishman RK. Exercise Psychology. Champaign: Human Kinetics; 2002.
20. Faulkner GE, Taylor AH, editors. Exercise, Health and Mental Health: Emerging Relationships. New York: Routledge; 2005. Crossref
21. Wang KT. Perfectionism, depression, and self-esteem: a comparison of Asian and Caucasian Americans from a collectivistic perspective [dissertation]. Pennsylvania: The Pennsylvania State University; 2007.
22. Stirling K, Toumbourou JW, Rowland B. Community factors influencing child and adolescent depression: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Aust N Z J Psychiatry 2015;49:869-86. Crossref
23. Anxiety and Depression Association of America. Test Anxiety. Available from: https://www.adaa.org/living-with-anxiety/children/test-anxiety. Accessed 23 Mar 2017.
24. Anxiety and Depression Association of America. Stress and Anxiety Interferes with sleep. Available from: https://www.adaa.org/understanding-anxiety/related-illnesses/other-related-conditions/stress/stress-and-anxietyinterfere. Accessed 23 Mar 2017.

Mortality and morbidity of extremely low birth weight infants in Hong Kong, 2010-2017: a single-centre review

Hong Kong Med J 2018 Oct;24(5):460–5  |  Epub 28 Sep 2018
DOI: 10.12809/hkmj177181
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Mortality and morbidity of extremely low birth weight infants in Hong Kong, 2010-2017: a single-centre review
KL Hon, MB, BS, MD1; Sharon Liu, MB, ChB2; Joey CY Chow, MB, ChB2; Kathy YC Tsang, MPhil1; Hugh S Lam, MBBChir, MD1; KW So, MB, BS, MRCP3; Yvonne KY Cheng, MB, ChB, MRCOG4; Alexander KC Leung, MB, BS, FRCPC5; William Wong, MB, BS1
1 Department of Paediatrics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
2 Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
3 Department of Paediatrics, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong
4 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
5 Department of Pediatrics, University of Calgary, Canada
 
Corresponding author: Prof KL Hon (ehon@hotmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Background: Extremely low birth weight (ELBW) infants exhibit high rates of mortality and morbidity. We retrospectively assessed factors associated with mortality and morbidity among ELBW infants.
 
Methods: Perinatal demographic data were reviewed for all ELBW infants born between 2010 and 2017 at a tertiary neonatal unit.
 
Results: For non-survivors (21% of ELBW infants) and survivors, the median gestational ages were 24.1 and 26.2 weeks, respectively, and median birth weights were 650 g and 780 g, respectively (all P<0.001). Regression analyses showed that non-survival was positively associated with lower gestational age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=6.71 for every 1-week decrease; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.73-26.00; P=0.006) and grade 3 or 4 intraventricular haemorrhage (aOR=29.23; 95% CI=1.39-613.84; P=0.030); non-survival was negatively associated with the presence of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (aOR=0.01; 95% CI= <0.001-0.23; P=0.005); length of neonatal intensive care unit stay for survivors was positively associated with the presence of necrotising enterocolitis (B-coefficient=89.60; 95% CI=43.86-135.34; P<0.001); and length of hospital stay for survivors was positively associated with the presence of necrotising enterocolitis (B-coefficient=2.08; 95% CI=0.43-3.73; P=0.015) and a low Apgar score at 1 minute (B-coefficient= –0.63; 95% CI= –1.04 to –0.22; P=0.003).
 
Conclusion: Extremely low birth weight infants exhibited significant mortality and morbidity; there was no survival prior to 23.6 weeks’ gestation or below 550 g birth weight. The presence of grade 3 or 4 intraventricular haemorrhage was independently associated with non-survival. Survivors were significantly more likely to exhibit bronchopulmonary dysplasia; survivors with necrotising enterocolitis were more likely to require longer stays in the neonatal intensive care unit and in hospital.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Extremely low birth weight infants in Hong Kong showed significant mortality and morbidity: there was no survival prior to 23.6 weeks’ gestation or below 550 g birth weight in this series.
  • The presence of grade 3 or 4 intraventricular haemorrhage was independently associated with non-survival.
  • Survivors were significantly more likely to exhibit bronchopulmonary dysplasia.
  • Survivors with necrotising enterocolitis were significantly more likely to require longer stays in both the neonatal intensive care unit and hospital.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Parents in Hong Kong with extremely low birth weight infants should be counselled regarding expectations for infant survival and associated complications.
  • Hong Kong hospitals can modify their practices to support an increased rate of survival and decreased rate of complications among extremely low birth weight infants.
  • These findings may guide future neonatal health policy and funding in Hong Kong.
 
 
Introduction
Extremely low birth weight (ELBW) infants (birth weight <1000 g) have high rates of mortality and morbidity.1 2 The survival of ELBW infants has improved significantly with the widespread use of exogenous surfactant agents, maternal steroids, mechanical ventilation, and advancements in neonatal technologies.1 3 4 5 6 7 The minimum age of viability is currently regarded as 21 to 22 weeks’ gestation; accordingly, there have been scattered reports of survivors born at 21 to 22 weeks’ estimated gestation.2 8 9 10 11 Periviable birth is defined as delivery occurring from 20 weeks to 25 weeks 6 days of gestation.12 Notably, the rate of survival at 3 years for infants born at 22 weeks’ gestation has been reported as approximately 36% in some centres.13 This study aimed to review mortality and morbidity of ELBW infants at a tertiary neonatal unit in Hong Kong.
 
Methods
Demographic and clinical data were analysed for consecutive neonates admitted to the neonatal unit of a university-affiliated teaching hospital (Prince of Wales Hospital) in Hong Kong between 1 January 2010 and 30 June 2017. During the study period, the Prince of Wales Hospital provided regional neonatal intensive care service for the Eastern New Territories of Hong Kong, with a catchment population of over 1.1 million (approximately 25% were children aged <12 years). A standard data form was used for data abstraction by the investigators. All Clinical Management System records, in-patient records, and computerised laboratory data were examined. Numerical data were expressed as median (interquartile range) and compared by using the Mann-Whitney U test; categorical data were compared by using the Chi squared test, or Fisher’s exact test for data fields that contained >20% cells with an expected count <5. Backward binary logistic regression was conducted on mortality; backward linear regressions were conducted on lengths of neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) stay and hospital stay for survivors. Corresponding Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed with survival distribution comparisons by log-rank test using SPSS (Windows version 20.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US). Two-tailed P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
 
Results
A total of 78 ELBW neonates were admitted to the NICU between 1 January 2010 and 30 June 2017; 16 of these neonates died (mortality 21%) [Table 1]. For non-survivors and survivors, the median gestational ages were 24.1 and 26.2 weeks, respectively, and birth weights were 650 and 780 g, respectively (P<0.001). The median (interquartile range) of NICU stay before death was 2.5 (2.0-11.5) days. The median durations of NICU stay and total hospital stay among survivors before discharge were 93.5 days and 4.1 months, respectively. Backward binary logistic regression analysis showed that non-survival was associated with lower gestational age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=6.71 for every 1-week decrease; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]=1.73-26.00; P=0.006) and grade 3 or 4 intraventricular haemorrhage [IVH] (aOR=29.23; 95% CI=1.39-613.84; P=0.030); non-survival was negatively associated with the presence of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) [aOR=0.01; 95% CI=<0.001-0.23; P=0.005), after adjustment for multiple births, caesarean section, birth weight, Apgar score at 1 minute, antenatal steroid administration, infant apnoea, necrotising enterocolitis (NEC), retinopathy of prematurity (ROP), and anaemia of prematurity in the first step of the regression analysis (Table 2). Backward linear regression revealed that the length of NICU stay for survivors was positively associated with the presence of NEC (B-coefficient=89.60; 95% CI=43.86-135.34; P<0.001), after including gestational age, caesarean section, birth weight, Apgar score at 1 minute, and blood stream infection in the first step of the regression analysis (Table 3). The length of hospital stay was positively associated with presence of NEC (B-coefficient=2.08; 95% CI=0.43-3.73; P=0.015), but negatively associated with Apgar score at 1 minute (B-coefficient= –0.63; 95% CI= –1.04 to –0.22; P=0.003), after including gestational age, birth weight, Apgar score at 1 minute, and Apgar score at 5 minute in the first step of the regression analysis (Table 3).
 

Table 1. Demographics and clinical factors of ELBW infants (n=78)
 

Table 2. Logistic regression analysis of mortality (n=78)
 

Table 3. Linear regression analysis of length of NICU or hospital stay for survivors (n=62)
 
Survival curves were constructed for gestational age (Fig 1) and birth weight (Fig 2). Median Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for gestational ages <24, 24, and 26 weeks were 43%, 52%, and 92%, respectively (no death records were available for other groups), during the period of postnatal NICU stay before discharge; importantly, their survival distributions were significantly different (χ2=31.1; P<0.001). Median Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for birth weights <600 g, 600 to 699 g, and 700 to 799 g were 55%, 63%, and 81%, respectively (no death records were available for other groups); their survival distributions were significantly different (χ2=13.9; P=0.008) [Fig 2].
 

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier survival curve according to gestational age (n=78)
 

Figure 2. Kaplan-Meier survival curve according to birth weight (n=78)
 
Discussion
Extremely low birth weight infants, especially those born at periviable gestations of 22 to 23 weeks, exhibit significantly higher mortality. In this cohort of ELBW infants, we confirmed two independent factors associated with ELBW non-survival: gestation age below 24 weeks and the presence of grade 3 or 4 IVH. Although not specifically analysed in this series, congenital anomalies did not appear to be a pertinent risk factor influencing survival among ELBW infants. Among infants in the non-survival group, the median time until death was 2.5 days after birth; in our series, no survival was observed for ELBW infants whose birth occurred prior to 23.6 weeks or who exhibited birth weight of <550 g. These local data are expected to be useful in counselling pregnant women who are at risk for the delivery of ELBW infants. Non-survival was associated with an increased aOR of 6.7 for every 1-week decrease in gestation.
 
In addition to perinatal mortality, long-term survival was also low. A previous report stated that first-year survival was 15.5% for infants whose birth weight was <500 g.14 Infants with ELBW are more susceptible to all complications of prematurity, both during the immediate neonatal period and after discharge from the nursery. A study by the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network,15 undertaken to relate other known risk factors with the likelihood of survival and impairment, reported that 83% of infants born at 22 to 25 weeks’ gestation received intensive care involving mechanical ventilation. Of the infants whose outcomes were known at 18 to 22 months, 49% died, 61% died or had profound impairment, and 73% died or had impairment.
 
Additional reports have suggested that other factors should be considered, in combination with gestational age, when determining the likelihood of favourable outcomes with intensive care.15 16 17 18 19 According to the data from a 2011 cohort study, infants born at 23 to 25 weeks’ gestation who received antenatal exposure to corticosteroids exhibited a lower rate of mortality and complications, compared with infants who did not have such exposure.16 Recently, chorioamnionitis was linked to preterm birth and neonatal infection. In a longitudinal observational study that included 2390 extremely preterm infants (gestational age <27 weeks), Pappas et al20 reported that antenatal exposure to chorioamnionitis appeared to increase the odds of cognitive impairment, as well as death/neurodevelopmental impairment.
 
Survival occurred in 79% of ELBW infants at our centre. Extremely low birth weight survivors exhibited significant morbidity. Our series showed that BPD, severe IVH, NEC, and ROP were present in 81%, 20%, 26%, and 34% of survivors, respectively. Notably, the survivors experienced long stays in the NICU and hospital prior to discharge. Necrotising enterocolitis is particularly associated with long stays in the NICU and hospital. The sequelae of low birth weight have been well-studied, but less information is available regarding sequelae of ELBW.21 Low birth weight is generally closely associated with fetal and perinatal mortality and morbidity, inhibited growth and cognitive development, and a risk of chronic diseases later in life. At the population level, the proportion of infants with low birth weight is an indicator of a multifaceted public health problem that includes long-term maternal malnutrition, poor health, hard work, and poor health care during pregnancy. On an individual basis, low birth weight is an important predictor of newborn health and survival, and is associated with a higher risk of infant and childhood mortality.21 In this regard, ELBW represents the most severe subset of low birth weight outcomes.
 
Bronchopulmonary dysplasia, grade 3 or 4 IVH, and ROP occurred in a significant proportion of the survivors. Our morbidity data are comparable to those reported in multiple large studies.8 22 23 In recent years, ELBW infants have constituted more than 97% of cases of BPD.24 Importantly, NEC is the most common intestinal emergency in preterm infants.25 26 The routine use of antenatal steroids and surfactant therapy has resulted in increased survival of infants with ELBW, thereby increasing the survival rate in the group at the greatest risk.27
 
The incidence and severity of IVH are inversely related to gestational age. Infants with ELBW are at particular risk for IVH; however, the use of antenatal steroids decreases the incidence of IVH. Prognosis is correlated with the grade of IVH28; up to 40% of infants with grade 3 IVH exhibit significant cognitive impairment, and up to 90% of infants with grade 4 IVH exhibit major neurologic sequelae, requiring lifetime care. Notably, a study of 1064 infants born at ≤28 weeks’ gestation found that, unless it was accompanied or followed by a white matter lesion, low-grade IVH was associated with a modest to nonexistent risk of adverse developmental outcomes during infancy.29
 
The outcomes of ELBW infants are evolving as therapy and supportive care continue to change.1 Clinical focus should be placed on the prevention of premature births, as well as equipping NICU staff and facilities with the necessary skills and resources, respectively, to implement evidence-based interventions that improve the survival of ELBW infants. Efforts to minimise injury, preserve growth, and identify interventions focused on antioxidant and anti-inflammatory pathways are currently being evaluated. Thus, treatment and prevention of long-term deficits must be developed in the context of an evolving target. Ensuring health in cases of extreme prematurity (≤23 weeks’ gestation) is extremely difficult.2 Most centres do not have minimum birth weight criteria for resuscitation; often, a “trial of life” may be discussed with the parents before the birth of the infant so that the infant can be resuscitated and evaluated for viability after birth. Viability is the term frequently used to indicate the potential for a fetus to be liveborn and capable of surviving to a specified endpoint (eg, a designated time, attainment of a certain age or landmark event, admission to the NICU, or discharge from the hospital). Many institutions have generated centre-specific data regarding the probability of survival to aid in discussions with families prior to delivery. Discussions regarding the withdrawal of treatment or support are often necessary when the family and medical team agree that the continuation of medical treatment is not in the infant’s best interests. Naturally, these circumstances involve numerous ethical, moral, and legal issues; they may generate more questions than answers. Therefore, each centre caring for ELBW infants must carefully follow and analyse their particular survival statistics, in order to better inform and guide parents concerning the outcomes and prognoses of these periviable infants.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: KL Hon, S Liu, JCY Chow.
Acquisition of data: KL Hon, S Liu, JCY Chow.
Analysis and interpretation of data: KL Hon, KYC Tsang.
Drafting of the article: KL Hon, Y Cheng, AKC Leung.
Critical revision for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
Declaration
As an editor of the journal, KL Hon was not involved in the peer review of the article. All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethical approval
Ethics approval for this study was obtained from the Clinical Research Ethics Committee of The Chinese University of Hong Kong.
 
References
1. Glass HC, Costarino AT, Stayer SA, Brett CM, Cladis F, Davis PJ. Outcomes for extremely premature infants. Anesth Analg 2015;120:1337-51. Crossref
2. Blencowe H, Cousens S, Chou D, et al. Born too soon: the global epidemiology of 15 million preterm births. Reprod Health 2013;(10 Suppl 1):S2. Crossref
3. Anderson JG, Baer RJ, Partridge JC, et al. Survival and major morbidity of extremely preterm infants: a population-based study. Pediatrics 2016;138:e20154434. Crossref
4. García-Muñoz Rodrigo F, García-Alix Pérez A, García Hernández JA, Figueras Aloy J; Grupo SEN1500. Morbidity and mortality in newborns at the limit of viability in Spain: a population-based study. [in Spanish]. An Pediatr (Barc) 2014;80:348-56. Crossref
5. Crane JM, Magee LA, Lee T, et al. Maternal and perinatal outcomes of pregnancies delivered at 23 weeks’ gestation. J Obstet Gynaecol Can 2015;37:214-24. Crossref
6. Jarjour IT. Neurodevelopmental outcome after extreme prematurity: a review of the literature. Pediatr Neurol 2015;52:143-52. Crossref
7. Partridge JC, Robertson KR, Rogers EE, Landman GO, Allen AJ, Caughey AB. Resuscitation of neonates at 23 weeks’ gestational age: a cost-effectiveness analysis. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med 2015;28:121-30. Crossref
8. Tyson JE, Younes N, Verter J, Wright LL. Viability, morbidity, and resource use among newborns of 501- to 800-g birth weight. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network. JAMA 1996;276:1645-51. Crossref
9. Berger TM, Bernet V, El Aama S, et al. Perinatal care at the limit of viability between 22 and 26 completed weeks of gestation in Switzerland. 2011 revision of the Swiss recommendations. Swiss Med Wkly 2011;141:w13280. Crossref
10. Obstetric care consensus No. 4: periviable birth [editorial]. Obstet Gynecol 2016;127:e157-69. Crossref
11. Obstetric care consensus No. 4 summary: periviable birth [editorial]. Obstet Gynecol 2016;127:1184-6. Crossref
12. American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine. Obstetric care consensus No. 6: periviable birth. Obstet Gynecol 2017;130:e187-99. Crossref
13. Ishii N, Kono Y, Yonemoto N, et al. Outcomes of infants born at 22 and 23 weeks’ gestation. Pediatrics 2013;132:62-71. Crossref
14. MacDorman MF, Hoyert DL, Mathews TJ. Recent declines in infant mortality in the United States, 2005-2011. NCHS Data Brief 2013;120:1-8.
15. Tyson JE, Parikh NA, Langer J, Green C, Higgins RD, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network. Intensive care for extreme prematurity—moving beyond gestational age. N Engl J Med 2008;358:1672-81. Crossref
16. Carlo WA, McDonald SA, Fanaroff AA, et al. Association of antenatal corticosteroids with mortality and neurodevelopmental outcomes among infants born at 22 to 25 weeks’ gestation. JAMA 2011;306:2348-58. Crossref
17. Lee HC, Green C, Hintz SR, et al. Prediction of death for extremely premature infants in a population-based cohort. Pediatrics 2010;126:e644-50. Crossref
18. Younge N, Goldstein RF, Bann CM, et al. Survival and neurodevelopmental outcomes among periviable infants. N Engl J Med 2017;376:617-28. Crossref
19. Patel RM, Kandefer S, Walsh MC, et al. Causes and timing of death in extremely premature infants from 2000 through 2011. N Engl J Med 2015;372:331-40. Crossref
20. Pappas A, Kendrick DE, Shankaran S, et al. Chorioamnionitis and early childhood outcomes among extremely low-gestational-age neonates. JAMA Pediatr 2014;168:137-47. Crossref
21. Stevens-Simon C, Orleans M. Low-birthweight prevention programs: the enigma of failure. Birth 1999;26:184-91. Crossref
22. EXPRESS Group, Fellman V, Hellström-Westas L, et al. One-year survival of extremely preterm infants after active perinatal care in Sweden. JAMA 2009;301:2225-33. Crossref
23. Jobe AH. The new bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Curr Opin Pediatr 2011;23:167-72. Crossref
24. Bhandari A, McGrath-Morrow S. Long-term pulmonary outcomes of patients with bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Semin Perinatol 2013;37:132-7. Crossref
25. Gordon PV, Swanson JR. Necrotizing enterocolitis is one disease with many origins and potential means of prevention. Pathophysiology 2014;21:13-9. Crossref
26. Torrazza RM, Li N, Neu J. Decoding the enigma of necrotizing enterocolitis in premature infants. Pathophysiology 2014;21:21-7. Crossref
27. Berman L, Moss RL. Necrotizing enterocolitis: an update. Semin Fetal Neonatal Med 2011;16:145-50. Crossref
28. Merhar SL, Tabangin ME, Meinzen-Derr J, Schibler KR. Grade and laterality of intraventricular haemorrhage to predict 18-22 month neurodevelopmental outcomes in extremely low birthweight infants. Acta Paediatr 2012;101:414-8. Crossref
29. O’Shea TM, Allred EN, Kuban KC, et al. Intraventricular hemorrhage and developmental outcomes at 24 months of age in extremely preterm infants. J Child Neurol 2012;27:22-9. Crossref

Pages