Uveal and conjunctival melanomas: disease course and outcomes in Chinese patients

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Dec;29(6):506–13 | Epub 4 Dec 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Uveal and conjunctival melanomas: disease course and outcomes in Chinese patients
Julia YY Chan, FCOphthHK, FHKAM (Ophthalmology)1,2; Stacey Carolyn Lam, FCOphthHK, FHKAM (Ophthalmology)1,2; Hunter KL Yuen, FRCOphth, FRCSEd1,2
1 Hong Kong Eye Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr Julia YY Chan (yy.chan@link.cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Epidemiological studies of ocular melanomas have largely focused on Caucasian populations. This study reviewed the course and outcomes of uveal melanoma (UM) and conjunctival melanoma (CM) in Chinese patients.
 
Methods: This retrospective study included patients with UM and CM who received treatment in a tertiary eye centre in Hong Kong from January 1994 to December 2019. Data were recorded concerning patient demographics, tumour laterality, tumour characteristics, investigations performed, treatment regimen, and final outcomes.
 
Results: During the 25-year study period, there were 13 patients with UM and 11 patients with CM who did not display nodal or systemic involvement at diagnosis. The mean ± standard deviation ages at diagnosis of UM and CM were 59 ± 15.8 and 57 ± 13.9 years, respectively. There were more men among patients with UM than among those with CM (P=0.042). Most patients with UM underwent primary enucleation (n=12; 92.3%), whereas most patients with CM underwent orbital exenteration (n=9; 81.8%). The prognosis was significantly worse for CM than for UM. The median disease-free survival were 5.2 years (range, 0.7-20.5) and 2.1 years (range, 0.1-24.9) for UM and CM, respectively. Melanoma-related mortality was significantly higher among patients with CM than among those with UM (P=0.006).
 
Conclusion: Compared with UM, CM has higher rates of systemic metastasis and tumour-related mortality in Hong Kong Chinese patients, regardless of prior definitive treatment.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Among Chinese patients, conjunctival melanoma constituted a larger proportion of ocular melanoma cases than previously identified in Caucasian populations, similar to the findings in a Korean study.
  • Compared with uveal melanoma, conjunctival melanoma has a worse prognosis with a higher rate of metastasis, shorter disease-free survival, and shorter overall survival.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Primary enucleation is an effective treatment for patients with uveal melanoma, but patients with conjunctival melanoma may experience systemic metastasis despite radical treatment with wide excisional biopsy or primary orbital exenteration.
  • Ophthalmologists and oncologists should offer long-term follow-up with regular systemic surveillance to patients with conjunctival melanoma who have received definitive treatment.
 
 
Introduction
Primary ocular melanoma from melanocytes within the eye constitutes uveal melanoma (UM), whereas ocular melanoma from melanocytes on the globe surface is considered conjunctival melanoma (CM). Although both UM and CM develop from similar neural crest lineages and are classified as ocular melanomas, they have distinct clinical behaviours, management, prognosis, cancer staging features, and molecular characteristics. Overall, 85% of melanomas in ocular regions arise from the uvea (iris, choroidal, and ciliary body), 5% arise from the conjunctiva, and 10% occur in other sites.1 The most common site of UM is the choroid, which is involved in 90% of cases.2
 
For most cases of UM, the primary treatment is enucleation. Alternative options include plaque brachytherapy and proton beam radiation; these options are currently unavailable in Hong Kong and similar Asian countries (eg, Singapore). Systemic metastases of UM most commonly affect the liver, followed by lung and bone. Conjunctival melanoma is usually managed by complete excisional biopsy with wide surgical margins, using a ‘no-touch’ technique. Adjuvant therapies such as cryotherapy or topical mitomycin C are offered, followed by reconstruction with an amniotic membrane graft. Orbital exenteration may be necessary for advanced tumours where local resection is not feasible. Metastatic disease, often to regional lymph nodes and the brain, occurs in 20% to 30% of patients with CM.3
 
Melanomas are generally rare tumours and their incidences are particularly low in Asian populations. The annual incidence of UM in Caucasian populations is 5.1 cases per million,2 whereas the respective incidences in Japanese4 and Korean5 populations are 0.2 and 0.6 cases per million. The incidences of CM are similar: 0.2 to 0.5 cases per million in Caucasian populations3 and 0.15 cases per million in Asian populations.6 Because of this rarity among Asian populations, very few studies have focused on Chinese patients. Epidemiological studies have largely involved Caucasian populations. Clinical characteristics may differ in Asian populations; for example, Asian patients are initially diagnosed with UM5 and CM6 at younger ages.
 
Known risk factors for UM include fair skin, light-coloured eyes, congenital ocular melanocytosis, ocular melanocytoma, and BAP1 tumour predisposition syndrome.7 In contrast, risk factors for CM include increased conjunctival pigmentation and a history of primary acquired melanosis. Predictors of recurrence or new tumour formation after CM treatment are older age, a history of prior conjunctival surgery, and advanced T subclassification in the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system.8
 
This study explored the disease course and outcomes of UM and CM in Chinese patients without nodal metastasis on presentation.
 
Methods
This retrospective study included patients who received treatment for UM or CM in a single tertiary ophthalmic centre in Hong Kong between January 1994 and December 2019. Inclusion criteria included Chinese ethnicity and imaging-confirmed lack of tumour dissemination at diagnosis. Exclusion criteria were <6 months of follow-up, insufficient available information, loss to follow-up, or presence of any precursor lesions (eg, atypical primary acquired melanosis). The following data were recorded: patient demographics, tumour laterality, tumour characteristics (eg, presentation and staging according to the AJCC Cancer Staging Manual [8th Edition]9 10), investigations performed, treatment regimen, and final outcomes. The study adhered to the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki.
 
Provisional clinical diagnoses of UM and CM were made based on each patient’s medical history, primary acquired melanosis status, and clinical presentation. Final diagnoses of UM and CM were confirmed by excisional biopsy or analysis of a specimen collected during definitive surgical treatment. Unless refused by the patient, positron emission tomography–computed tomography (PET-CT) scans of UM and CM were performed after 2001 (when such scans became commercially available). Magnetic resonance imaging scans of the brain and orbit, as well as fundus fluorescein angiography and indocyanine green angiography, were conducted to investigate suspected UM. All patients with pathologically confirmed UM or CM underwent definitive surgical treatment. The specific surgical treatment was selected according to melanoma location and size, depth of invasion, systemic metastasis status, and the patient’s physical condition.
 
SPSS software (Windows version 20; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US) was utilised for statistical analysis. Differences between patient groups were calculated using the Chi squared and Mann-Whitney U tests. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to estimate disease-free survival and overall survival in patients who had received definitive treatment. Continuous data were reported as mean ± standard deviation.
 
Results
In this 25-year retrospective study, there were 13 and 11 patients with pathologically confirmed UM and CM, respectively. Two other patients were excluded: both displayed ocular symptoms (upper eyelid mass and bloody discharge) but were subsequently diagnosed with ocular metastases of primary nasal melanoma. The mean follow-up durations for UM and CM were 67 ± 53.2 and 74 ± 83.3 months, respectively. There were more men among patients with UM than among those with CM (P=0.042). The incidence of pre-existing conjunctival nevus was higher among patients with CM than among those with UM (P=0.049). There were no other significant differences in terms of age at diagnosis, tumour laterality, duration of symptoms, history of ocular nevi, or pathologically determined lesion diameter (Table 1).
 

Table 1. Patient demographics and tumour characteristics
 
Twenty-three of the 24 included patients had visual symptoms on presentation. Among patients with UM, 84.6% (n=11) reported blurring of vision and 7.7% (n=1) presented with photopsia. In one male patient (7.7%), the tumour was discovered during a routine ophthalmological examination. Patients with CM had more diverse visual symptoms: 63.6% (n=7) exhibited conjunctival pigmentation, 18.2% (n=2) had either an upper or lower eyelid mass, 9.1% (n=1) displayed bloody ocular discharge, and 9.1% (n=1) had experienced bleeding from the mass.
 
Tumour staging
Retrospective melanoma staging of UM9 and CM10 was conducted in accordance with the AJCC Cancer Staging Manual (8th Edition). Uveal melanoma stages varied from T1a to T4a and from stage I to IIIa. Most UM cases were clinical stage II: 38.5% (n=5), 38.5% (n=5), 7.7% (n=1), and 15.3% (n=2) of patients with UM had clinical stage I, IIA, IIB, and IIIA tumours, respectively. Pathological staging of the tumours revealed that 46.2% (n=6) were spindle cell type, 38.5% (n=5) were epithelioid cell type, and the remaining 15.3% (n=2) were mixed cell type (ie, >10% epithelioid cells and <90% spindle cells). Pathological staging tended to be equivalent to or higher than the initial clinical staging: two patients with pathological stage IIB disease were initially diagnosed with clinical stage I disease, and three patients with pathological stage IIB disease were initially diagnosed with clinical stage IIA disease. For the remaining eight patients, the clinical and pathological stages were identical. Overall, 23.1% (n=3), 15.4% (n=2), 46.2% (n=6), and 15.3% (n=2) of patients with UM had pathological stage I, IIA, IIB and III tumours, respectively.
 
At diagnosis of CM, the clinical T (cT) stage was cT2 in 72.7% (n=8) of patients and cT3 in 27.3% (n=3) of patients. There were no cT1 or cT4 tumours in our cohort. The pathological T (pT) stage was pT2 in 54.5% (n=6) of patients and pT3 in 45.5% (n=5) of patients. No patients were diagnosed with pT1 or pT4 disease. Unlike the approach or UM, the AJCC staging system for CM does not include guidance regarding overall stage; there is only clinical and pathological staging for the T (tumour) component. One patient had a lower clinical stage (T2b) than pathological stage (T3b); all other patients had identical clinical and pathological stages.
 
Disease management
In terms of disease management, biopsies were more frequently performed before definitive treatment in patients with CM than in those with UM (P=0.003). Enucleation was performed in 92.3% (n=12) of patients with UM, whereas orbital exenteration was performed in 81.8% (n=9) of patients with CM. The interventions and treatments performed are shown in Table 2.
 

Table 2. Interventions for uveal and conjunctival melanomas
 
After definitive treatment, all patients initially attended weekly follow-up visits; they gradually transitioned to follow-up at 6-month intervals. Clinical examinations were performed for any surgical complications or disease recurrence. In cases of suspected disease recurrence or metastasis, contrast CT scans of the brain and orbit were performed. No patients with UM or CM had short-term or long-term wound complications. There were no instances of local recurrence during follow-up.
 
One patient with UM (7.7%) had metastasis to bone, lung, and breast tissue, as determined by high-resolution CT at 105 months of follow-up. The patient died 117 months after initial diagnosis. Two patients (15.3%) died of causes unrelated to melanoma, such as hepatocellular carcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma of the lung.
 
Patients with CM had worse outcomes than those with had UM, in terms of systemic metastasis (P=0.031) and tumour-related mortality rates (P=0.006). Overall, 45.5% (n=4) of patients with CM developed systemic metastasis during follow-up; the mean time from definitive treatment to systemic metastasis was 55.8 ± 66 months (range, 14-168). Cases were detected when patients were symptomatic and admitted to an acute care hospital for whole-body PET-CT or brain magnetic resonance imaging. Lymph node metastasis in two patients and liver metastasis in one patient were confirmed by fine needle aspiration cytology. Brain metastasis was identified by brain CT in two patients, one of whom had simultaneous bone and lung metastases confirmed by PET-CT. Overall, 18.2% (n=2) of patients died of causes unrelated to melanoma. The mean time from definitive treatment to death was 39 ± 26 months (range, 1-64). Patients with CM had shorter median disease-free survival (P=0.004) and overall survival (P=0.006). Detailed results are presented in Table 3.
 

Table 3. Outcomes of primary uveal and conjunctival melanomas
 
At 2 years after definitive treatment, the probabilities of disease-free survival were approximately 0.55 for CM and 1.0 for UM. At 10 years, these probabilities decreased to 0.4 for CM and 0.7 for UM. Overall survival was 100% among patients with UM at 10 years after definitive treatment. In contrast, patients with CM displayed a progressive decrease in overall survival, reaching 35% at 5 years after definitive treatment. Survival curves are depicted in Figures 1 and 2.
 

Figure 1. Disease-free survival (DFS) curves for uveal and conjunctival melanomas. Blue line represents conjunctival melanoma and green line represents uveal melanoma; hash marks indicate censoring
 

Figure 2. Overall survival (OS) curves for uveal and conjunctival melanomas. Blue line represents conjunctival melanoma and green line represents uveal melanoma; hash marks indicate censoring
 
Discussion
To our knowledge, this is the first retrospective study of disease course and outcomes among patients with UM and CM in southern China.
 
Demographics
In the present study, the mean ages at diagnosis of UM and CM were 59 and 57 years, respectively. These findings are similar to the ages at diagnosis of UM in Taiwan (55 years)11 and the US (58 years),12 but slightly older than the ages in Singapore (52 years)13 and South Korea (53 years).14 The findings are also similar to the ages at diagnosis of CM in the US and mainland China (61 years15 and 54 years,16 respectively). It is clear that UM and CM both affect patients in their late 50s to early 60s, regardless of ethnicity.
 
Uveal melanoma primarily affected men in the present study, consistent with findings in Australian17 and European18 Caucasian populations. No previous studies have identified oestrogen receptors in normal uveal tissue or UM tumours,19 and there is no evidence that oral contraceptives or postmenopausal oestrogens participate in UM aetiology.20 Because female hormones do not have protective or exacerbating roles in UM, there is speculation that testosterone receptors are present on UM tumours, leading to a higher incidence in men.21 The present study revealed that CM primarily affected women, but previous studies have not found a relationship between sex and CM incidence.22 23 In contrast to our results, a study in mainland China showed that CM primarily affected men.15 Further studies are needed regarding the relationship between sex and CM.
 
Studies in Caucasian populations have demonstrated that the incidence of UM is much higher than that of CM, with a ratio of approximately 3 to 1.21 24 In the present study, CM constituted a larger proportion of ocular melanoma cases than previously identified in Caucasian populations, with results similar to epidemiological findings from Korea.5 Asian populations may have a lower risk of UM, but further research is warranted to confirm this speculation.
 
Clinical presentation
Zloto et al21 described an intriguing phenomenon whereby men were less likely than women to report symptoms of UM. Among our patients with UM, nearly all reported symptoms; one male patient did not report symptoms and had a tumour identified during a routine examination. Although this finding was not statistically significant, it is consistent with the previous results in a Caucasian population.2
 
In the present study, more patients with CM had pre-existing conjunctival pigmented lesions, compared with those who had UM. Somatic mutations in the BRAF gene frequently occur in human melanomas, including CM; such mutations are strongly associated with ultraviolent light exposure.25 In subtropical regions such as Hong Kong where there is abundant sunlight, analyses of underlying BRAF gene mutations could be insightful.
 
Tumour staging
Among 10 ophthalmology centres on four continents (North and South America, Europe, and Asia), the proportions of UM stages I, IIA, IIB, and IIIA were 32%, 34%, 22.1%, and 8.8%, respectively10; the present study demonstrated a comparatively greater proportion of cases with stage IIB or higher.
 
Comparative analysis of CM data revealed similar results: patients in the present study had higher clinical stages relative to patients in the US, where three-quarters and more than half of the patients had clinical and pathological stage I disease. This discrepancy could be explained by the rare nature of CM, particularly in Asian populations, leading to lower disease awareness and delayed referral to an ophthalmologist.
 
Treatment
Primary enucleation was an effective treatment for patients with UM in the present study; only one patient (7.7%) had systemic metastasis. In that patient, although no systemic metastasis was detected on PET-CT at diagnosis, the maximum standardised uptake value of the UM tumour was particularly high (9.4); UM tumours in other patients had maximum standardised uptake values of 0 to 3.9. Considering the exceptionally high metabolic rate in the UM tumour of the patient with systemic metastasis, microscopic metastasis may have been present before enucleation.
 
Despite radical treatment with wide excisional biopsy or primary orbital exenteration, systemic metastasis occurred in nearly half of the patients with CM. Regular imaging surveillance by PET-CT may be beneficial for patients with CM after orbital exenteration.
 
Prognosis
Among patients with UM, we observed a much lower rate of systemic metastasis than reported in Singapore (7.7% vs 45.5%26). This difference could be attributed to the performance of early radical treatment (ie, enucleation) before detection of systemic metastasis. Notably, the disease-free survival rate was better in our cohort of patients with UM than in another study of Chinese patients with UM (5- and 10-year disease-free survival rates of 80% and 70%, respectively)27 and better than in a study of Singaporean patients with UM (5-year disease-free survival rate of 56.8%).13 For comparison, in Caucasian populations, the 5-year and 10-year disease-free survival rates were 81.6%17 and 50%,28 respectively.
 
The rates of systemic metastasis and tumour-related mortality are consistently higher in patients with CM than in those with UM. In the present study, tumour-related mortality at 5 years was similar to the rate in Chinese patients (30.5%)16 but higher than that among patients in the US (7%).29 In five large studies (n=734 cases overall) of CM after surgical resection with tumour-free margins, the 5-year overall survival rates ranged from 74% to 86%.30 31 32 33 34 A recent Singaporean study revealed a slightly lower 5-year overall survival rate (68.8%).13 In the present study, the 5-year overall survival rate was substantially lower than the rates in other countries. Shields et al29 reported that a pathologically confirmed positive tumour margin and the absence of limbal involvement were risk factors for CM metastasis. Although all patients with CM in our cohort had pathologically confirmed clear margins, most patients with metastasis (n=6) had palpebral CM (83.3%, n=5) in which the melanoma did not reach the limbus. Thus, tumour location and ethnicity may explain the poor overall survival among patients with CM in the present study.
 
The higher risk of metastasis and lower rates of 5- and 10-year overall survival in CM, compared with UM, could be attributed to multiple factors. We did not find significant differences between UM and CM in terms of tumour stage or delays in diagnosis/treatment. We suspect that the differences between tumours are related to the nature of the disease, the primary mode of metastasis (UM spreads through the vasculature, whereas CM spreads through the lymphatic system), and genetic alterations (UM is associated with chromosomal abnormalities and CM is associated with mutations in specific genes). In terms of monitoring UM recurrence, the use of single-cell technologies to identify circulating tumour cells has implications for clinical stratification, particularly in cases of UM where specific genetic mutations have been identified.35 Because circulating tumour cell tests have received US Food and Drug Administration’s approval for clinical use in the management of various tumours (eg, metastatic breast and prostate cancers), they may be utilised in future efforts to detect circulating UM tumour cells.
 
In our centre, sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) is not performed as a component of CM management. Mor et al36 recommend SLNB for patients with CM because false-negative findings are rare and 5-year survival can reach 79%. Therefore, early diagnosis of CM, including SLNB in cases with poor prognosticating factors (lack of limbal involvement and positive biopsy margin), and radical neck dissection as appropriate (with support from head and neck surgeons) should be considered before systemic treatment is offered.
 
Limitations
This retrospective study included a low number of patients. Additionally, genetic testing was not performed on tissue samples from patients with pathologically confirmed tumours. Chromosomal abnormalities (monosomy 3, gain of chromosome 8q, and monosomy 3 combined with loss of 1p36) have been associated with decreased survival in UM,37 whereas mutations in the BRAF, RAS, cKIT, and NF1 genes have been associated with CM38; thus, survival could be more closely related to specific genetic features, and it may be inappropriate to consider these tumours as single entities.
 
Conclusion
Because UM and CM are rare conditions, they represent challenges for primary physicians (ie, timely referral) and ophthalmologists (ie, appropriate treatment and adequate long-term follow-up). Currently, there is limited information regarding the roles of newer targeted therapies for UM and CM, compared with the application of such therapies to cutaneous melanoma. Among patients with CM, long-term mortality remains high despite definitive radical treatment. This study explored the disease course and outcomes in Hong Kong Chinese patients, then compared the findings with data from patients in other countries. For patients with UM and CM, we recommend long-term follow-up with close monitoring, a detailed medical history, holistic assessment involving cervical and head lymph node palpation, and ophthalmological examination. Collaborations with oncologists to provide regular systemic evaluation during long-term followup, with the goal of early detection for distant metastases, are also important. Chest X-ray, brain magnetic resonance imaging, and cytology with SLNB should be performed regularly (annually if possible) to improve survival, particularly in patients with CM.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: HKL Yuen.
Acquisition of data: JYY Chan.
Analysis or interpretation of data: SC Lam, JYY Chan.
Drafting of the manuscript: JYY Chan.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: SC Lam, HKL Yuen.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
The study protocol was approved by the Research Ethics Committee (Kowloon Central/Kowloon East) of Hospital Authority, Hong Kong (Ref No.: KC/KE-21-0129/ER-1). Patients were treated in accordance with the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki, provided written informed consent for all treatments and procedures, and consented to publication of this report.
 
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Cross-sectional study to assess the psychological morbidity of women facing possible miscarriage

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Dec;29(6):498–505 | Epub 20 Nov 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Cross-sectional study to assess the psychological morbidity of women facing possible miscarriage
Patricia NP Ip, FHKCOG, FHKAM (Obstetrics & Gynaecology); Karen Ng, FHKCOG, FHKAM (Obstetrics & Gynaecology); Osanna YK Wan, FHKCOG, FHKAM (Obstetrics & Gynaecology); Janice WK Kwok, BSc; Jacqueline PW Chung, FHKCOG, FHKAM (Obstetrics & Gynaecology); Symphorosa SC Chan, MD, FHKCOG
Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr Patricia NP Ip (patricia.ip@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Threatened miscarriage is a common complication of pregnancy. This study aimed to assess psychological morbidity in women with threatened miscarriage, with the goal of identifying early interventions for women at risk of anxiety or depression.
 
Methods: Women in their first trimester attending an Early Pregnancy Assessment Clinic were recruited between July 2013 and June 2015. They were asked to complete the 12-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12), the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), Spielberger’s State Anxiety Inventory State form (STAI-S), the Fatigue Scale–14 (FS-14), and the Profile of Mood States (POMS) before consultation. They were also asked to rate anxiety levels before and after consultation using a visual analogue scale (VAS).
 
Results: In total, 1390 women completed the study. The mean ± standard deviation of GHQ-12 (bi-modal) and GHQ-12 (Likert) scores were 4.04 ± 3.17 and 15.19 ± 5.30, respectively. Among these women, 48.4% had a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 and 76.7% had a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12, indicating distress. The mean ± standard deviation of BDI, STAI-S, and FS-14 scores were 9.35 ± 7.19, 53.81 ± 10.95, and 2.40 ± 0.51, respectively. The VAS score significantly decreased after consultation (P<0.001). Compared with women without a history of miscarriage, women with a previous miscarriage had higher GHQ-12, BDI, and POMS scores (except for fatigue-inertia and vigour-activity subscales). A higher bleeding score was strongly positively correlated with GHQ-12 (Likert) score. There were weak correlations between pain score and the GHQ-12 (bi-modal) ≥4, BDI >12, and POMS scores (except for confusion-bewilderment subscale which showed a strong positive correlation).
 
Conclusion: Women with threatened miscarriage experience a considerable psychological burden, emphasising the importance of early recognition for timely management.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • A substantial proportion of women with threatened miscarriage had symptoms of anxiety or depression.
  • Women with a previous miscarriage had a higher level of distress and would benefit from additional attention and psychological support.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Women with problems in early pregnancy should receive both clinical and psychological care to alleviate their anxiety.
  • Further studies of maternal psychological outcomes and fetal outcomes are needed to determine the long-term effects of anxiety and depression among women with threatened miscarriage in the first trimester.
 
 
Introduction
Miscarriage occurs in 10% to 15% of pregnancies, mainly in the first trimester.1 Spontaneous miscarriage is associated with psychological problems such as anxiety and depression.2 3 4 Post-traumatic stress disorder may also occur after a miscarriage.3 Threatened miscarriage affects 15% to 20% of pregnant women.5 Management of threatened miscarriage involves reassurance and counselling. Women with threatened miscarriage and/or pregnancy-related uncertainty may experience frustration and anxiety. Although there are extensive data regarding the association between miscarriage and psychological morbidity, higher incidences of anxiety and depression among women with threatened miscarriage have only been detected in small studies.6 7
 
Antenatal depression and anxiety disorders are associated with increased fetal risks, such as low birth weight; antenatal symptoms of depression have been positively associated with postnatal depression.8 9 Furthermore, antenatal maternal stress and anxiety appear to predict long-term behavioural and emotional problems in children.10 11 Therefore, early detection and intervention are needed in women with antenatal psychological symptoms to minimise the impacts of those symptoms.
 
This study assessed psychological morbidity in women with threatened miscarriage, with the goal of identifying early interventions for women at risk of anxiety or depression.
 
Methods
Study design
This cross-sectional study, conducted at a university hospital in Hong Kong between July 2013 and June 2015, was part of a study that examined the ability of an early pregnancy viability scoring system to support counselling for women.12 In this hospital, an outpatient Early Pregnancy Assessment Clinic (EPAC) provides medical care for women experiencing abdominal pain, vaginal bleeding, or other problems in early pregnancy (gestational age ≤12 weeks). Referrals are usually made by medical officers from the Accident and Emergency Departments across Hong Kong, as well as general practitioners. All gynaecologists at the EPAC have ≥3 years of experience performing ultrasound scans. All Chinese women attending the EPAC were invited to participate; written informed consent was obtained from women who agreed to take part in the study.
 
Exclusion criteria were age <18 years, ectopic pregnancy, multiple pregnancies, gestational age >84 days (>12 weeks), requested termination of pregnancy, and loss to follow-up. Demographic data, obstetric history, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and body mass index were recorded. Details of early pregnancy complaints were assessed, including abdominal pain (graded by a pain score of 0 to 3, where a higher score represents greater pain) and vaginal bleeding (determined by a pictorial blood loss chart according to the number of pads used, where 0 corresponds to no bleeding and 4 corresponds to clots or flooding).
 
Psychometric instruments
Chinese validated versions of five questionnaires were used to assess psychological well-being among the participants: the 12-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12), the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), Spielberger’s State Anxiety Inventory State form (STAI-S), the Fatigue Scale–14 (FS-14), and the Profile of Mood States (POMS). All questionnaires have demonstrated reliability and validity in previous studies.13 14 15 The GHQ-12 and BDI scores were reported as both continuous and categorical variables, while the scores of other questionnaires were reported as continuous variables.
 
The GHQ-12 is a self-reporting rating scale intended to identify individuals with reduced psychological well-being or diminished quality of life. It is sensitive to short-term psychiatric disorders. A total score of ≥4 using the bi-modal scoring method (0-0-1-1) is considered ‘high distress’. When using the Likert scoring method (0-1-2-3), scores ≤12 are considered normal, while scores >12 are considered evidence of psychological distress.16 17 The questionnaire has been used as a tool to evaluate women with miscarriage.18 19 20
 
The BDI is a 21-item self-reporting rating scale intended to measure symptoms of depression in both general and psychiatric populations.21 It is used to measure depression severity, and psychological morbidity is defined as a score of >12, indicating probable depressive disorder. The STAI-S is a 20-item self-reporting inventory that measures state anxiety, including transitory and situational feelings of worry.22 Its use has been validated in pregnant women.23 A higher score indicates a higher level of anxiety. The FS-14 is a 14-item self-rating questionnaire that measures fatigue severity. A lower score indicates a higher level of fatigue.
 
The POMS is a self-reporting tool for the assessment of mood alterations in clinical and psychiatric populations.24 This 65-item questionnaire contains seven components: tension-anxiety, depression-dejection, anger-hostility, fatigue-inertia, confusion-bewilderment, vigour-activity, and total mood disturbance. Scores range from 0 (not at all) to 4 (extremely). Higher positive mood scores indicate an ideal mood, whereas higher negative mood scores indicate severe mood disturbance.
 
In addition to the above questionnaires, each woman’s level of anxiety and worry before consultation was assessed using a 0 to 10 cm visual analogue scale (VAS). A higher value represents a higher level of anxiety and worry about their pregnancies. The VAS has previously been validated with respect to its correlations with other measures of anxiety.25 26
 
During the consultation, women were counselled based on their ultrasound findings and clinical diagnosis. These women used the VAS to indicate their level of pregnancy-related anxiety after consultation. Follow-up scans (1-2 weeks later) were offered for women with a pregnancy of uncertain viability. Actual pregnancy outcomes were reassessed at 13 to 16 weeks, either by phone or by retrieval of information from the hospital’s centralised computer antenatal records system.
 
Statistical analysis
The sample size was calculated based on the number of participants required for the primary study to validate the scoring system.12 SPSS software (Windows version 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States) was used for data entry and analysis. A 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was calculated to determine the estimated errors and prevalence. Descriptive analyses were used for demographic data. The Chi squared test was used to explore associations between categorical variables. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare median values when data were not normally distributed, while the t test was used to compare means when data were normally distributed. Univariate analyses were performed to identify factors associated with psychological distress or morbidity. Factors with P values <0.1 in univariate analysis were entered into multivariate analysis, which was conducted via binary logistic regression. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
 
Results
Among the 1508 women who attended the EPAC during the study period, 64 were excluded and 54 declined to participate; thus, 1390 women completed the study (Fig). The demographic data are shown in Table 1. At the first clinic visit, most women (n=1048, 75.4%) had a viable pregnancy, 223 women (16.0%) had a pregnancy of uncertain viability, and 119 (8.6%) women had a miscarriage. At 13 to 16 weeks of gestation, 1111 women (79.9%) had a viable pregnancy, and an additional 160 (11.5%) women had a miscarriage.
 

Figure. Study recruitment and pregnancy outcomes of all participants after the first trimester
 

Table 1. Demographic characteristics, pain severity, and bleeding scores among all participants (n=1390)
 
The GHQ-12 (both bi-modal and Likert), BDI, STAI-S, FS-14, POMS, and VAS results are presented in Table 2. Overall, 48.4% and 76.7% of women had a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 and a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12, respectively, indicating distress. Among the viable pregnancy, uncertain viability, and miscarriage groups, the percentages of women with a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 (43-52%) and a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12 (73-83%) were similar. Women with miscarriage had the highest GHQ-12 score and the highest percentages of a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 and a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12. The miscarriage group also had relatively higher POMS subscale scores for tension-anxiety, depression-dejection, anger-hostility, confusion-bewilderment, and total mood disturbance compared with women who had other diagnoses.
 

Table 2. Scores of various psychometric tests among women based on their pregnancy outcome
 
The VAS scores for anxiety are also presented in Table 2. The score before consultation was the highest among women with a miscarriage (mean ± standard deviation=7.02 ± 2.50). Although the scores for the viable pregnancy and uncertain viability groups were significantly lower after consultation, the score was substantially higher in the uncertain viability group than in the viable pregnancy group.
 
Subgroup analysis showed that GHQ-12, BDI, and POMS (except fatigue-inertia and vigour-activity subscales) scores were significantly higher among women with previous miscarriage than among those without (Table 3). The bleeding score was strongly positively correlated with the GHQ-12 (Likert) score (correlation coefficient=0.56; P=0.032). Univariate analysis revealed that compared with women who had a lower bleeding score (<2), women with a higher bleeding score (≥2) had a significantly higher risk of having a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 (P=0.041), a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12 (P=0.025), and a BDI score >12 (P=0.022) [Table 4]. There were statistically significant but weak positive correlations between the pain score and a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 (P=0.001), a BDI score >12 (P<0.001), and a POMS total mood disturbance score (P<0.001), as well as various subscales. Notably, the POMS confusion-bewilderment subscale (correlation coefficient=0.93; P<0.001) demonstrated a strong positive correlation with the pain score.
 

Table 3. Scores of various psychometric tests among women based on their history of miscarriage (n=1390)
 

Table 4. Univariate and multivariate analyses of factors associated with 12-item General Health Questionnaire [GHQ-12] (bi-modal), GHQ-12 (Likert), and Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) scores
 
Statistically significant factors associated with the various psychometric instrument scores were subjected to multivariate analysis (Table 4). Previous miscarriage was an independent risk factor for a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 (odds ratio [OR]=1.570, 95% CI=1.19-2.07) and a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12 (OR=1.459, 95% CI=1.04-2.06), indicating distress; it was also a risk factor for a BDI score >12 (OR=1.717, 95% CI=1.28-2.30), suggesting probable depression. A bleeding score ≥2 was an independent risk factor for a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12 (OR=1.506, 95% CI=1.05-2.17) and a BDI score >12 (OR=1.423, 95% CI=1.04-1.95).
 
Discussion
In this cohort study, nearly 50% and approximately 77% of women had a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4 and a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12, indicating distress. Around one-fourth (24.5%) of women had a BDI score >12, suggesting probable depression.
 
Regardless of diagnosis, the VAS score decreased after consultation. However, the decrease in VAS score was smaller for the uncertain viability group, which may be attributed to the enhanced anxiety resulting from uncertainty among these women. This anxiety would be alleviated after an ultrasound examination and consultation with an accurate diagnosis. These findings emphasise the need to implement an early pregnancy assessment service that provides both clinical and psychological guidance to alleviate anxiety among women with problems in early pregnancy.
 
Emotional disturbances can have long-term effects on women with a previous miscarriage. Lok et al19 reported consistently higher scores on the GHQ-12 and BDI among women with a previous miscarriage, although these scores could decrease over time. In the present study, we observed a higher level of distress among women with a previous miscarriage, as demonstrated by the significantly greater proportion of women with GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4, GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12, and BDI score >12. Profile of Mood States scores were also significantly higher on all subscales, except for the fatigue-inertia and vigour-activity subscales. Similarly, the baseline VAS score before consultation was significantly higher among women with a previous miscarriage than among those without. In multivariate analysis, previous miscarriage was an independent risk factor for GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score >4, GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12, and BDI score >12. Baseline psychological morbidity may be greater among women with a previous miscarriage than among those without, consistent with findings in other studies.3 27 Therefore, additional attention and psychological support would be beneficial for women with greater distress and worse mood status.
 
A higher pain score was positively correlated with higher levels of distress and anxiety, as indicated by the positive relationships with various scales used in the present study. Pain is associated with anxiety and depression in pregnant women.28 Nevertheless, we observed weak relationships between pain and anxiety or distress, which might be related to the subjective nature of pain assessment.
 
Women with moderate to heavy bleeding (bleeding score ≥2) had significantly higher GHQ-12 (bi-modal), GHQ-12 (Likert), and BDI scores. Additionally, multivariate analysis showed that moderate to heavy bleeding (bleeding score ≥2) was an independent risk factor for a GHQ-12 (bi-modal) score ≥4, a GHQ-12 (Likert) score >12, and a BDI score >12. Heavy bleeding is often regarded as a common sign of threatened miscarriage. These findings highlight the importance of addressing pain and bleeding symptoms among women who attend early pregnancy services. The underlying complications of pregnancy, as well as anxiety and low mood in affected women, should be promptly managed.
 
Pregnancy loss is associated with negative mood status, including depression and anxiety.3 18 19 27 29 Whereas many studies have investigated the effects of miscarriage or pregnancy loss on depression, the effects of threatened miscarriage or early pregnancy-related complaints on women have not been extensively explored, despite the burdensome experience of a threatened miscarriage that appropriately causing anxiety in affected women. Our results are consistent with findings by Zhu et al,6 who reported that a substantial proportion of women with threatened miscarriage had symptoms of depression or anxiety.
 
The present study had a large sample size and a high rate of participation. Additionally, multiple psychometric instruments were used to assess the participants. The findings emphasise the importance of assessing and managing depression and anxiety symptoms in women with threatened miscarriage. Mental health assessments should be performed when women with threatened miscarriage attend clinics and hospitals. Early recognition of relevant mood problems will facilitate timely management. Non-pharmacological interventions, such as antenatal group therapy, constitute effective treatment for pregnant women with anxiety and depression.6 Pharmacological therapies (eg, most selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and benzodiazepines) can be administered after considering the side-effects of medications relative to the risk of untreated antenatal depression and anxiety.30
 
Limitations
Nevertheless, this study had some limitations. First, it used a cross-sectional design without longitudinal follow-up, and the subgroup analysis might have been underpowered. Second, information was unavailable regarding social factors (eg, education level or marital status) and the presence of an underlying psychiatric disorder, which might contribute to differences in baseline mood status. Third, the study did not include a comparison group of women without symptoms of threatened miscarriage.
 
Conclusion
There is a considerable psychological burden among women with early pregnancy problems and concerns about future pregnancy viability. These women experience emotional disturbances, as indicated by a significant proportion of women in this study who had high scores on psychometric tests. A gynaecologist consultation, in combination with an ultrasound assessment, is reassuring and can alleviate anxiety among women with early pregnancy problems. This study on maternal psychological outcomes provides insights concerning psychological morbidity among women with threatened miscarriage in the first trimester, while also demonstrating the usefulness and feasibility of various psychometric instruments in identifying women who require additional psychological support. Further studies exploring maternal psychological well-being later in pregnancy, as well as fetal outcomes, are needed to determine the long-term effects of anxiety and depression among women with threatened miscarriage in the first trimester.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: OYK Wan, SSC Chan.
Acquisition of data: OYK Wan, JWK Kwok.
Analysis or interpretation of data: PNP Ip, K Ng.
Drafting of the manuscript: PNP Ip, K Ng.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: PNP Ip, K Ng, OYK Wan, JPW Chung, SSC Chan.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
As an editor of the journal, JPW Chung was not involved in the peer review process. Other authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research was supported by a grant from the Health and Medical Research Fund of the former Food and Health Bureau, Hong Kong SAR Government (Ref No.: 12131091). The study sponsor was not involved in the collection, analysis, or interpretation of data, or in the writing of the manuscript.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee (Ref No.: CRE.2013.348). Written informed consent was obtained from all participants.
 
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Moral distress and psychological status among healthcare workers in a newly established paediatric intensive care unit

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Dec;29(6):489–97 | Epub 19 Dec 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Moral distress and psychological status among healthcare workers in a newly established paediatric intensive care unit
WL Cheung, MB, BS, MRCPCH1; KL Hon, MB, BS, MD1; Karen KY Leung, MB, BS, MRCPCH1; WF Hui, MB, ChB, MRCPCH1; Judith JM Wong, MBBChBAO, MRCPCH2; JH Lee, MB, BS, MRCPCH2; SC Kwok, BNur3; Patrick Ip, MB, BS, MD4
1 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Hong Kong Children’s Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Children’s Intensive Care Unit, Department of Paediatric Subspecialties, KK Women’s and Children’s Hospital, Singapore
3 Nursing Services Division, Hong Kong Children’s Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr KL Hon (ehon@hotmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Healthcare workers in intensive care units often experience moral distress, depression, and stress-related symptoms. These conditions can lower staff retention and influence the quality of patient care. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of moral distress and psychological status among healthcare workers in a newly established paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: A cross-sectional questionnaire survey was conducted in the PICU of the Hong Kong Children’s Hospital; healthcare workers (doctors, nurses and allied health professionals) were invited to participate. The Revised Moral Distress Scale (MDS-R) Paediatric Version and Depression Anxiety and Stress Scale–21 items were used to assess moral distress and psychological status, respectively. Demographic characteristics were examined in relation to moral distress, depression, anxiety, and stress scores to identify risk factors for poor psychological outcomes. Correlations of moral distress with depression, anxiety, and stress were examined.
 
Results: Forty-six healthcare workers completed the survey. The overall median MDS-R moral distress score was 71. Nurses had a significantly higher median moral distress score, compared with doctors and allied health professionals (102 vs 47 vs 20). Nurses also had the highest median anxiety and stress scores (11 and 20, respectively). Moral distress scores were correlated with depression (r=0.445; P=0.002) and anxiety scores (r=0.417; P<0.05). Healthcare workers intending to quit their jobs had significantly higher moral distress scores (P<0.05).
 
Conclusions: Among PICU healthcare workers, nurses had the highest level of moral distress. Moral distress was associated with greater depression, anxiety, and intention to quit. Healthcare workers need support and a sustainable working environment to cope with moral distress.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Among paediatric intensive care unit healthcare workers, nurses had the highest moral distress scores.
  • Moral distress was associated with greater depression, anxiety, and intention to quit.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Healthcare workers need support and a sustainable working environment to cope with moral distress.
  • Considering the high levels of moral distress experienced by nurses as well as the substantial moral distress in relation to end-of-life care, coping strategies should target nurses and focus on end-of-life education.
 
 
Introduction
Paediatric intensive care units (PICUs) are highly specialised workplaces that support children with critical illnesses and their caregivers. Advances in paediatric critical care have significantly improved survival among critically ill children, although this improvement has also led to higher rates of morbidity, more disabilities, and longer hospital stays.1 2 3 4 5 These changes have resulted in potentially conflicting views regarding expectations and treatment goals among healthcare workers and patients’ families, increasing the incidence of moral distress among healthcare workers.6
 
Moral distress is a term that refers to experiences of frustration and failure arising from healthcare workers’ attempts to fulfil their moral obligations to patients, families, and the public.7 8 In an intensive care setting, healthcare workers frequently encounter ethical issues. Moral distress arises when a healthcare worker has determined the right course of action but cannot follow it because of internal or external constraints (eg, limited resources, institutional policies, or family preferences).9 Moral distress has been identified among healthcare workers in both adult ICUs and PICUs.10 11 It is associated with greater experience and lower staff retention.12
 
Depression and stress-related symptoms are common in healthcare workers, particularly among ICU staff.13 14 Studies have shown that these symptoms can ultimately impair patient care quality.15 16 Thus far, most literature regarding moral distress has been published in Western countries; the concept of moral distress is not well-known outside of the Western world.17 To our knowledge, there have been few analyses of moral distress and psychological status among healthcare workers in non-Western PICUs. Factors that can influence the level and type of moral distress include cultural backgrounds; beliefs of the patient, their family, and the clinical team; and differences among healthcare systems. Hong Kong is a multicultural city influenced by both Eastern and Western cultures; challenges in this setting may be unique. This study assessed moral distress prevalence and psychological status among PICU healthcare workers in Hong Kong.
 
Methods
Study population and study design
This prospective single-centre cross-sectional study was conducted from June to July 2020 in the six-bed tertiary PICU of the Hong Kong Children’s Hospital (HKCH), which began operation at the end of March 2019. The HKCH is the only dedicated paediatric oncology centre in the region, and most PICU admissions (54%) during the study period involved patients with cancer.
 
Study participants were healthcare workers involved in direct clinical care within the HKCH PICU, including doctors, nurses, and allied health professionals (ie, physiotherapists, occupational therapists, speech therapists, pharmacists, and dietitians). Healthcare workers were excluded if they had <3 months of critical care experience in the PICU or were temporarily on leave from the PICU during the study period. The survey was distributed to all eligible healthcare workers in the HKCH PICU during working hours within the study period.
 
Data collection and outcome measurement
The survey included two validated instruments (Revised Moral Distress Scale [MDS-R] Paediatric Version and Depression Anxiety and Stress Scale–21 items [DASS-21]) to measure levels of moral stress, depression, anxiety, and stress in all participants.18 19 The participants’ demographic details were also collected. The survey explored job-quitting intentions related to moral distress or other reasons. It was piloted with two HKCH PICU staff members; questions were refined based on feedback from them. The final survey was paper-based. An email was sent to all participants before study commencement with information regarding the aim and details of the study. The survey was distributed by hand, and all copies were collected in a sealed box after completion. To ensure anonymity, the survey did not contain any identifiers.
 
Moral distress, the main outcome of the study, was measured using the validated paediatric version of the MDS-R (online supplementary Appendix 1).18 It consists of 21 items describing predetermined potentially morally distressing situations. There are five predetermined categories of situations: end-of-life care and quality of life, poor communication, staffing and material resources, hierarchies of decision making, and witnessing unethical behaviour. Each item on the MDS-R is scored according to the frequency and intensity that a healthcare worker experienced, using a Likert scale that ranges from 0 to 4. If a specific situation has never been experienced, participants are asked to indicate how disturbing the situation would be if they encountered it in their workplace. The frequency and intensity scores are then multiplied to produce an overall score for each item. The total moral distress score is the sum of the 21 overall scores for each item, ranging from 0 to 336. The English version of this instrument was used.
 
Psychological status was assessed using the DASS-21 (online supplementary Appendix 2).19 It is a set of three self-reporting subscales that measure participants’ emotional states: depression, anxiety, and stress. Each scale contains seven items for each emotional state. Each item is scored on a four-point Likert scale ranging from 0 (‘Did not apply to me at all’) to 3 (‘Applied to me very much or most of the time’). The total score for each emotional state is the sum of the subscale scores multiplied by 2. Depression, anxiety, or stress was considered present if the relevant scores exceeded the normal cut-off. The emotional state was categorised as mild, moderate, severe, or extremely severe, based on published cut-offs. The English and Chinese versions of this instrument were used; both language versions have been validated.19 20
 
Data analysis
Outcome measures were demographic data and the levels of moral distress, depression, anxiety, and stress. Data were expressed using median (interquartile range [IQR]) for continuous variables and count (percentage) for categorical variables. Results of the MDS-R and DASS-21 were compared among doctors, nurses, and allied health professionals using the Chi squared test, Kruskal-Wallis test, or Cohen’s d. Correlations between participant variables and outcome measures were evaluated using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS (Windows version 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States).
 
Results
In total, 46 of 56 healthcare workers in the PICU completed the survey; the response rate was 82%. On one survey, the moral distress section was incomplete; that survey was excluded from the analysis of moral distress.
 
Demographic characteristics
Most participants were women (n=36, 78%) and were aged ≥30 years (n=35, 76%). More than half of the participants were nurses (n=26, 57%). Approximately half of the participants (n=24, 52%) had >5 years of PICU experience. Detailed participant characteristics are presented in Table 1.
 
Moral distress
The median MDS-R score was 71 (IQR=34-115). There was a significant difference in MDS-R score among the three professions (P<0.001). Doctors and nurses had significantly higher MDS-R scores, compared with allied health professionals (P<0.05). Nurses had the highest median MDS-R score (102, IQR=71-126), whereas allied health professionals had the lowest (20, IQR=6-39). There were no significant differences in MDS-R score according to sex, age, or duration of PICU experience (Table 1).
 

Table 1. Demographic characteristics according to level of moral distress (n=46)
 
Among the 21 items on the MDS-R, the most morally distressing item was related to end-of-life care and quality of life: ‘Honour the family’s wishes to continue life support even though I believe it is not in the child’s best interest’. This item also scored highest in frequency and intensity among the 21 items. All three groups of health professionals ranked this item as the most morally distressing situation in the clinical setting. The second most morally distressing item was also related to end-of-life care and quality of life: ‘Initiate extensive life-saving actions when I think they only prolong death’. This item also consistently scored high in frequency and intensity (Table 2). Situations involving poor communication constituted the remaining three most morally distressing items in this study. The top five most morally distressing items, as well as the top five items with the highest frequency and intensity, are presented in Table 2.
 

Table 2. The five most distressing, frequent, and intense survey items as perceived by paediatric intensive care unit healthcare workers
 
A higher MDS-R moral distress score was associated with the intention to quit. Healthcare workers who intended to quit their jobs had significantly higher moral distress scores (P<0.05). A higher moral distress score was also associated with higher DASS-21 depression factor (r=0.445; P<0.05) and anxiety factor scores (r=0.417; P<0.05). Nurses who had worked for a greater number of years in the PICU also experienced higher moral distress (r=0.512; P<0.05). Twenty-eight percent of all participants and 35% of nurses reported they intended to quit their jobs because of moral distress.
 
Psychological status
The median depression, anxiety, and stress scores were 11 (IQR=0.5-18), 8 (IQR=3-145), and 30 (IQR=21-38), respectively; these scores corresponded to mild depression, mild anxiety, and severe stress. Among the three groups, nurses had the highest median anxiety (11, IQR=6-16) and stress scores (20, IQR=12-26) [Fig]; these scores corresponded to mild depression, moderate anxiety, and moderate stress. Participants with significantly higher depression and anxiety (both P<0.05) scores also intended to quit their jobs. There was no significant difference in stress score between participants who did and did not intend to quit their jobs (P=0.434).
 

Figure. Comparison of psychological statuses among paediatric intensive care unit professions
 
Discussion
Moral distress levels among various healthcare workers
In this study, various levels of moral distress were present in all three groups of PICU healthcare workers. There was a significant difference in MDS-R scores among the three professions, and nurses had the highest median MDS-R score. This finding is contrary to the results of previous PICU studies, which showed that moral distress did not differ among various healthcare workers.21 22 The literature suggests that nurses exhibit higher moral distress scores because they often have less autonomy concerning options in situations that involve moral dilemmas, and they are required to implement care plans with which they do not agree.23 24 25 26 Studies of PICU healthcare workers’ behaviours in ethical and morally distressing dilemmas have shown that 48% of PICU nurses reported needing to perform actions that violated their conscience. These results reflect the culture and hierarchies of power in the PICU.23 26 27 Moreover, nurses are the frontline workers who directly experience the impacts of clinical decisions on patients and their families.26 28 In newly established PICUs, decreased self-confidence or increased fear in a new working environment, combined with an uncertain ethical climate, unclear team dynamics, and less decision-making autonomy regarding care plans, can cause nurses to perceive less moral agency (ie, ability to act morally and change a situation).22 24 25 26 29 30 31 A reduced sense of moral agency can result in moral distress, which may be more apparent in newly established PICUs.29 31
 
Our nurses’ moral distress levels among published studies
We note that moral distress scores among nurses in the present study are among the highest in published studies of PICU healthcare workers (Table 3). In addition to the aforementioned lack of clarity in working environment and team dynamics, the diverse levels of experience among nurses might have also contributed to their high moral distress scores. In the present study, 54% of nurses had <3 years of PICU experience, whereas 39% of nurses had >10 years of PICU experience. These proportions of nurses with extensive and minimal experience were both larger than the proportions reported in previous PICU studies.32 33 The presence of such a large number of inexperienced junior nurses in the PICU may place additional stress on more experienced nurses. Indeed, survey items related to staffing (item 17 ‘Work with nurses or other care providers who are less competent than the child’s care requires’ and item 21 ‘Work with levels of care provider staffing that I consider unsafe’ in the MDS-R) were ranked by nurses as the seventh and eighth most morally distressing items; these rankings were higher than in other professions.
 

Table 3. Moral distress among paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) healthcare workers in various studies, assessed using the Revised Moral Distress Scale Paediatric Version
 
Case mix in contribution to moral distress levels
The PICU case mix might also contribute to moral distress. The majority of PICU admissions during the study period involved patients with cancer, who had considerably higher mortality rates; care for such patients frequently involved end-of-life and palliative care issues.34 35 In a study of nurses’ experiences while caring for dying children, Davies et al36 found that when nurses recognise a child’s death is inevitable, they often have to manage conflicting obligations: follow the doctor’s treatment orders and allow the child to die without unnecessary pain. These disparate treatment goals for critically ill children with terminal cancer can exacerbate moral distress.36 37 In a comparison of moral distress scores among various paediatric disciplines (eg, general care and surgical service), Trotochaud et al21 found that healthcare workers in haematology/oncology areas experienced the second highest amount of moral distress on the list, second to healthcare workers in PICUs. Moreover, the proportion of patients with cancer in our PICU is much higher than the proportions in previous PICU studies.38 39 Therefore, it is entirely understandable that moral distress in our PICU was particularly high among nurses.
 
Years of experiences in paediatric intensive care units in contribution to moral distress levels
The present study revealed a positive correlation between years of PICU experience and moral distress scores among nurses, consistent with previous results concerning healthcare workers in PICUs and adult ICUs.12 26 This correlation may be related to effective utilisation of clinical knowledge and experience, along with greater awareness concerning the impacts of potentially inappropriate treatment plans on patients.40 Conversely, a study by Larson et al26 revealed a negative correlation between moral distress scores and years of experience among doctors in the PICU. However, the present study showed no correlation between moral distress scores and years of experience among doctors. This finding might be attributed to the small number of doctors involved, which was insufficient to demonstrate an association.
 
Potential impact of moral distress
Moral distress is often associated with the intention to quit a job.41 42 43 44 The results of the study were consistent with previous findings. Studies by Sannino et al11 and Trotochaud et al21 showed that 10.3% to 25% of PICU nurses intended to quit their jobs because of moral distress. The proportion of nurses in our study who intended to quit their job because of moral distress (34.6%) was higher than the proportions in previous PICU studies,11 21 which could be explained by their high moral distress scores. However, further studies are needed to determine the impact of moral distress alone on a healthcare worker’s intention to quit their job, compared with other possible distressing factors (eg, working hours and promotional opportunities) that can have a synergistic effect on the decision to quit.
 
Strengths and limitations
To our knowledge, this is the first study of moral distress among healthcare workers in an East Asian PICU. The results of this study provide insights concerning the broader understanding of moral distress in newly established PICUs. The high response rate also suggests strong participation and indicates that the study sample is representative of healthcare workers in our PICU.
 
However, the results of this study should be interpreted with the following caveats. First, this was a single-centre study with a relatively small sample size, which limits the generalisability of the findings. The small sample size also hindered further evaluation of identifiable demographic factors, such as education level and whether participants had any children; another study indicated that such factors may be associated with moral distress.11 Moreover, the small sample size precluded subgroup analysis. Second, this study was susceptible to ‘survivorship’ bias because the sample did not include PICU staff who already quit their jobs, including some who quit because of moral distress. Third, considering the cross-sectional nature of this study, causal relationships among various factors could not be established. For example, although participants with higher depression and anxiety scores reported a stronger intention to quit their jobs, we could not determine whether these participants reported more psychological symptoms because of their intention to quit, or if their intention to quit led to more psychological symptoms. Larger multicentre studies are needed to further explore moral distress among healthcare workers in Hong Kong PICUs. As our unit expands to a 16-bed PICU and a five-bed high-dependency unit, a longitudinal study will also enhance the broader understanding of moral distress dynamics in a developing PICU, as well as the efficacies of various strategies to address moral distress.
 
Coping strategies for moral distress and stress
Considering the results of this study, moral distress should be regarded as a key area for service improvement. The high levels of moral distress experienced by nurses, as well as the substantial moral distress in relation to end-of-life care, suggest that coping strategies should target nurses and focus on end-of-life education. These coping strategies are urgently needed to improve staff retention and quality of care; they can be implemented at the individual, organisational, and administrative levels.20
 
At the individual level, ethics education is essential for improvements in coping capacity and sense of moral agency, which can reduce the levels of moral distress.22 45 Education can be provided through interactive workshops or self-guided programmes.41 Prentice et al42 suggested that education should focus on improving knowledge regarding patient outcomes, the degree of uncertainty in specific situations, and appropriate pain control. Instead of emphasising ethical dilemmas and underlying principles, education should highlight communication skills, clarify values, and enhance the overall understanding of the healthcare system to address potential environmental conflicts.31 This approach can ultimately increase staff confidence (ie, moral courage) in constructively communicating their concerns.42 Screening tools for various emotional states, such as the DASS-21, should also be included to help individuals gain better awareness of their own psychological well-being and seek professional help if necessary. Additionally, these tools can be used to monitor emotions that might cause moral distress.
 
At the organisational level, efforts should be made to promote intra- and interdisciplinary communication. Poor communication, one of the five most morally distressing items, can lead to diminished quality of care, reduced job satisfaction, and poor patient outcomes.46 Ethics rounds, formal and informal discussions, and debriefing sessions regarding morally distressing cases could improve interdisciplinary communication.22 These initiatives can help promote better mutual understanding of viewpoints across disciplines and individuals.22 Participation in these events may also allow nurses to feel more empowered and experience a greater sense of decision-making autonomy.43 Finally, the establishment of formal ethical consultation services may provide support and clarification with respect to ethical dilemmas.44
 
At the administrative level, administrators should recognise that it is acceptable for staff to perceive moral distress; this perception is a sign of humanity and an affirmation of moral values.44 Improvements in clinical environments (eg, reduction of staff shortages, promotion of intra- and interdisciplinary collaboration, and encouragement of a safe and supported ethical climate) can help decrease moral distress.47 These measures include providing respectful feedback to staff, empowering staff to voice perceptions and emotions, and making difficult decisions in a timely manner after open discussion.48
 
Conclusion
This study revealed significant differences in moral distress among doctors, nurses, and allied health professionals in a newly established PICU in Hong Kong. Nurses had the highest moral distress scores among the three groups of PICU healthcare workers in this study and among published studies involving PICU nurses. Most areas of moral distress were related to end-of-life care and poor communication. Higher moral distress was also associated with greater depression, anxiety, and intention to quit. There is an urgent need for interventions to help healthcare workers cope with moral distress and create a more sustainable working environment.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: WL Cheung, KL Hon, KKY Leung, WF Hui.
Acquisition of data: WL Cheung, KL Hon, KKY Leung, WF Hui.
Analysis or interpretation of data: All authors.
Drafting of the manuscript: All authors.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
As an editor of the journal, KL Hon was not involved in the review process. Other authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Hong Kong Children’s Hospital Research Ethics Committee (Ref No.: HKCH-REC-2020-008) and was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and International Conference on Harmonisation Good Clinical Practice Guideline. All participants provided informed consent to take part in the research.
 
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Anaemia prevalence and risk factors among children aged 6 to 23 months in rural China

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Oct;29(5):432–42 | Epub 1 Aug 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE (HEALTHCARE IN MAINLAND CHINA)
Anaemia prevalence and risk factors among children aged 6 to 23 months in rural China
L Zeng, MA, BA; W Zheng, MSc, BSc; Q Gao, PhD, MEcon; N Qiao, PhD, LLM; K Du, MEcon; A Yue, PhD, MEcon
Center for Experimental Economics in Education, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr Q Gao (gqiufeng820@163.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Anaemia is a global public health problem among children. However, few studies have examined anaemia prevalence and risk factors among Chinese children of different ages, particularly in poor rural areas. This study investigated these two aspects among children aged 6 to 23 months in poor rural areas of China.
 
Methods: This cross-sectional study included 1132 children aged 6 to 23 months in three prefectures of the Qinba Mountains area. A finger prick blood test for haemoglobin and anaemia was conducted, along with household surveys of socio-demographic characteristics, illness characteristics, and feeding practices. Multiple linear and logistic regression analyses were used to determine predictors of anaemia.
 
Results: Overall, 42.6% of children in the study displayed anaemia. Children aged 6 to 11 months had the highest anaemia prevalence (53.6%). Anaemia risk factors differed among age-groups and throughout the overall sample. Bivariate and multivariable regression results showed that continued breastfeeding, any history of formula feeding, and consumption of iron-rich or iron-fortified foods were associated with anaemia prevalence. However, continued breastfeeding and any history of formula feeding had the greatest impact across age-groups (both P<0.05).
 
Conclusion: Anaemia remains a severe public health problem among children aged 6 to 23 months in rural China. Healthy feeding practices, nutritional health knowledge, and nutrition improvement projects are needed to reduce the burden of anaemia among children in rural areas of China.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • The prevalence of anaemia among rural children was higher in the Qinba Mountains area than in the central and eastern areas of China.
  • Anaemia prevalence varied among age-groups, and the lowest prevalence was observed in children aged 18 to 23 months.
  • Continued breastfeeding, any history of formula feeding, and consumption of iron-rich or iron-fortified foods were associated with anaemia prevalence among children in rural China.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The government should more closely monitor anaemia among children in rural areas and introduce relevant policies to address this issue.
  • Healthy feeding practices, nutritional health knowledge, and nutrition improvement projects are needed to reduce the burden of anaemia among children in rural China.
 
 
Introduction
Anaemia is a global health issue that affects one-quarter of the world’s population; it is particularly prevalent among preschool-aged children in developing countries.1 Approximately 47.4% of preschool-aged children worldwide display anaemia.1 There are three categories of factors associated with anaemia: inherited disorders, infectious diseases, and micronutrient deficiencies.2 3 Among these factors, iron deficiency is the most common cause,4 especially in China.5 There is evidence that iron deficiency anaemia affects developmental potential in children.6 7
 
Anaemia prevalence among children in China, particularly in poor rural areas, is higher than that in developed countries.2 3 In the United States and the Netherlands, the rate is <10%.2 The rate in urban areas of China is <20%,8 9 whereas the prevalence in rural areas is more than double that in urban areas.10 11 12 Thus, there is a need for considerable effort from the Chinese Government to ensure that regional anaemia prevalence among children aged <5 years are below 10% by 2030.13
 
Few studies have examined factors associated with anaemia among children of different ages, particularly in poor rural areas of China. Previous studies have shown that anaemia may be associated with the demographic, social, and health characteristics of children and their families.14 15 16 17 Feeding practices have also been associated with anaemia in children.1 18 19 20 However, few studies have extensively analysed anaemia prevalence and associated factors among children of different ages in rural China.16 21 22 For example, one study explored risk factors for anaemia in children aged 0 to 5 months and those aged 6 to 36 months; however, the age ranges were excessively broad.14 In another study exploring risk factors for anaemia in children aged <36 months, stratified according to age, relatively few potential associated factors (eg, socio-demographic and illness characteristics) were considered; there was no consideration of other potential associated factors, such as complementary feeding.18
 
This study was therefore conducted to explore anaemia prevalence and risk factors among children aged 6 to 23 months in poor rural areas of China; analyses were performed focusing on the overall sample and with stratification according to age. Therefore, we established three objectives: to examine anaemia prevalence among children in the study area; to identify socio-demographic and illness characteristics associated with anaemia in children; and to explore feeding practices associated with anaemia in children.
 
Methods
Sample selection
This study was conducted in 22 nationally designated poverty-stricken counties (all of which are now out of poverty) within three prefectures in the Qinba Mountains area of northwest China. By the end of 2015 in the survey year, the total population of the sample area was 8 464 200, including a rural population of 4 716 100 (55.7%). The per capita income was 20 939 yuan, which was less than half of the national per capita income (42 359 yuan) in the same period in China.23 Sample villages and households were selected in two stages. First, from each of the 22 counties, all townships (ie, the middle level of administration between county and village) that met the criteria were selected to participate in the study, with two exceptions: the township in each county containing the county government (which represents the level of county development), as well as townships containing <800 people. In total, 115 of 400 townships were included in this study. Second, in each sample township, we selected random villages with ≥10 children. All children in our target age range (6-23 months) were enrolled in the study, including premature but not congenitally abnormal children; thus, we included 1694 children and their households. Because one prefecture did not survey feeding practices, the corresponding analysis only included 1210 participants from the other two sample prefectures. In total, 1132 participants (children and their households) fully completed the survey (response rate of 93.6%).
 
Data collection
Survey data were collected in three waves in November 2015, April 2016, and February 2017. After identification of the primary caregiver responsible for a child’s diet and care, well-trained enumerators collected information through one-on-one questionnaire interviews with the primary caregiver.
 
First, specific components of socio-demographic and illness characteristics were recorded in the survey. The socio-demographic characteristics included the child’s age, sex, gestational age, and birth order; the primary caregiver’s identity; maternal education and age; and whether the family received social security support (ie, government welfare for the lowest income families nationwide). Illness characteristics comprised any history of fever, cold, or diarrhoea in the previous 2 weeks.
 
Second, detailed information regarding the child’s feeding practices was collected via dietary recall, using a series of questions based on the ‘Indicators for assessing infant feeding practices’ compiled by the World Health Organization (WHO).24 The following definitions were used: continued breastfeeding, proportion of children aged 6 to 23 months who had received breast milk during the previous day; any history of formula feeding, proportion of children who had ever been formula-fed; minimum dietary diversity, proportion of children aged 6 to 23 months who had consumed ≥4 of the 7 food groups under WHO’s classification24 during the previous day; minimum meal frequency, proportion of children aged 6 to 23 months who consumed a meal at a standard frequency during the previous day, considering their breastfeeding status (two times for breastfed infants aged 6 to 8 months, three times for breastfed children aged 9 to 23 months, and four times for non-breastfed children aged 6 to 23 months); minimum acceptable diet, proportion of children aged 6 to 23 months who consumed a meal that met standards for minimum dietary diversity and minimum meal frequency during the previous day; and consumption of iron-rich or iron-fortified foods, proportion of children who consumed iron-rich or iron-fortified foods specifically designed for children aged 6 to 23 months during the previous day.
 
Third, each child’s haemoglobin (Hb) concentration and anaemia status were assessed by trained nurses from the Xi’an Jiaotong University, who performed tests on fingertip blood samples collected from all children. These analyses were performed using the HemoCue Hb201 haemoglobin analyser (HemoCue Inc, Ängelholm, Sweden), which is accurate, rapid, and convenient for children in remote rural areas.11 15 21 25 Its measurement accuracy is 1 g/L.18 We confirmed that the sample villages’ altitudes were below 1000 m; therefore, no adjustments to measured Hb concentrations were required. Anaemia status was determined according to Hb concentration and divided into four categories: non-anaemic, Hb concentration ≥110 g/L; mild, 100-109 g/L; moderate, 70-99 g/L; and severe, <70 g/L.26 Children with severe anaemia were referred to a local hospital for treatment.
 
Statistical analysis
Statistical analysis was performed using STATA version 15.0 (Stata Corporation, College Station [TX], United States). The children’s socio-demographic and illness characteristics, feeding practices, and anaemia statuses were summarised using descriptive statistics. In bivariate analyses, P values for differences in mean Hb concentration between subgroups were estimated using t tests. The Pearson Chi squared test was also used to compare categorical variables between anaemia and non-anaemia groups. Multiple linear regression analyses were performed to identify covariates that were significantly associated with Hb concentration. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of anaemia. The threshold for statistical significance was set at P<0.05.
 
Results
Socio-demographic characteristics, illness characteristics, and feeding practices
Table 1 presents the socio-demographic and illness characteristics of the 1132 children. Of these, 51.0% were boys, 5.2% were born prematurely, and more than half were first-born (54.9%). Additionally, more than half of the primary caregivers (68.9%) were the children’s mothers; the remaining primary caregivers were the children’s grandmothers. Less than one-quarter of the children’s mothers (22.5%) had >9 years of education, and more than half of them (59.4%) were aged ≤28 years. Social security support was received by 11.9% of the participating families. Approximately half of the children (55.6%) had been sick (with fever, cold, or diarrhoea) in the previous 2 weeks.
 

Table 1. Detailed socio-demographic characteristics, illness characteristics, and feeding practices
 
Table 1 also presents the feeding practices of the children; notably, 29.8% and 86.6% of the children had continued breastfeeding and any history of formula feeding, respectively. With respect to complementary feeding, most children (80.9%) consumed iron-rich or iron-fortified foods; however, approximately 65.0% and 44.2% of the children met the standard requirements for minimum dietary diversity and meal frequency, respectively. Moreover, only 19.9% of the children met the standard requirement for a minimum acceptable diet. All children were divided into three age-groups: 6 to 11 months (n=343), 12 to 17 months (n=472), and 18 to 23 months (n=317).
 
Prevalence of haemoglobin concentration and anaemia
Table 2 presents the children’s Hb concentrations and anaemia prevalence; the mean and standard deviation of their Hb concentration was 110.95 ± 0.42 g/L. Overall, 42.6% of the children had anaemia, including 21.6% with mild anaemia, 20.1% with moderate anaemia, and 0.8% with severe anaemia. A similar pattern was observed upon stratification according to age: few children had severe anaemia, and approximately one-quarter of children displayed mild or moderate anaemia in 6 to 11 months and 12 to 17 months age-groups.
 

Table 2. Prevalence of haemoglobin concentrations and anaemia prevalence
 
As age increased across the groups (from 6-11 months to 12-17 months, and then to 18-23 months), the mean Hb concentration increased, whereas anaemia prevalence decreased. The mean and standard deviation Hb concentrations in the three groups (from youngest to oldest) were 106.85 ± 0.72 g/L, 111.10 ± 0.64 g/L, and 115.18 ± 0.78 g/L, respectively. Furthermore, children aged 6 to 11 months had the highest anaemia prevalence (53.6%), followed by children aged 12 to 17 months (43.4%) and then children aged 18 to 23 months (29.3%).
 
Bivariate analysis of socio-demographic and illness characteristics
Table 3 shows the bivariate associations of Hb concentration/anaemia prevalence with the children’s socio-demographic and illness characteristics, stratified according to age. Among children aged 12 to 17 months, birth order and health status were significantly associated with Hb concentration/anaemia prevalence; however, the associations were not statistically significant in the other two age-groups or the overall sample. Among children aged 12 to 17 months, Hb concentrations were significantly higher in first-born children than in non-first-born children (P=0.020). Moreover, among children aged 12 to 17 months, children who had been sick in the previous 2 weeks were more likely to display anaemia, compared with children who had not been sick (P=0.029).
 

Table 3. Prevalence of haemoglobin concentrations and anaemia, stratified according to socio-demographic and illness characteristics
 
A similar trend was observed regarding the relationship of Hb concentration/anaemia prevalence with the primary caregiver; however, the only statistically significant result was observed in the overall sample. In summary, the Hb concentration was lower (P=0.003) and anaemia prevalence was higher (P=0.001) among children whose primary caregiver was their mother, compared with children who had a different primary caregiver. Furthermore, in the overall sample and all age-groups, there were no significant binary associations between the Hb concentration/anaemia prevalence and variables such as sex, premature birth, maternal education and age, or receipt of social security support.
 
Bivariate analysis of feeding practice variables
Table 4 shows the bivariate associations of Hb concentration/anaemia prevalence with feeding practices. The associations varied among age-groups and in the overall sample. Children with any history of formula feeding had higher Hb concentrations and lower rates of anaemia, compared with children who had never received formula (both P<0.001); these differences were statistically significant in all age-groups. Children who had continued breastfeeding displayed lower Hb concentrations and higher rates of anaemia, compared with children who had stopped breastfeeding (both P<0.001); these differences were statistically significant among children aged 12 to 17 months (both Hb concentration and anaemia prevalence) and 18 to 23 months (anaemia prevalence only).
 

Table 4. Prevalence of haemoglobin concentrations and anaemia, stratified according to feeding practices
 
Additionally, observable complementary food–related variables were significantly associated with Hb concentration and anaemia prevalence. In the overall sample, children with feeding practices that met the minimum requirements for dietary diversity had significantly higher Hb concentrations (P<0.001) and lower rates of anaemia (P=0.005), compared with children whose feeding practices did not meet those requirements. Children with feeding practices that met the minimum meal frequency requirements had higher Hb concentrations (P=0.018), compared with children whose feeding practices did not meet those requirements. Regarding the consumption of iron-rich or iron-fortified foods, a significant positive association with Hb concentration and a significant negative association with anaemia prevalence was observed among children aged 12 to 17 months and in the overall sample (both P<0.001).
 
Multivariable analysis of socio-demographic and illness characteristics, and feeding practice variables
The results of multivariable analysis of the relationship between Hb concentration and anaemia prevalence are presented in Table 5. The initial multivariable model included variables related to socio-demographic and illness characteristics, continued breastfeeding, and any history of formula feeding; the results showed that Hb concentrations were significantly higher in first-born children (P=0.031) and significantly lower in children of younger mothers (P=0.032), but no factors were significantly associated with anaemia prevalence. Any history of formula feeding was positively associated with Hb concentration (P=0.031) and negatively associated with anaemia prevalence (odds ratio [OR]=0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.41-0.86; P=0.006), whereas continued breastfeeding was significantly negatively associated with Hb concentration (P=0.001) and positively associated with anaemia prevalence (OR=1.50, 95% CI=1.07-2.11; P=0.019). A subsequent multivariable model included socio-demographic and illness characteristics, as well as complementary food–related variables; the results showed that Hb concentration remained positively associated with first-born-child status (P=0.025) and younger maternal age (P=0.032), whereas consumption of iron-rich or iron-fortified foods was negatively associated with anaemia prevalence (OR=0.66, 95% CI=0.46-0.94; P=0.021). The final multivariable model included all variables; the results showed that continued breastfeeding was positively associated with anaemia prevalence (OR=1.75, 95% CI=1.21-2.51; P=0.003), whereas any history of formula feeding was negatively associated with anaemia prevalence (OR=0.57, 95% CI=0.38-0.87; P=0.010).
 

Table 5. Multivariable analysis of haemoglobin concentrations and anaemia prevalence
 
Discussion
In this analysis of 1132 children aged 6 to 23 months in a poor rural area of China, we found that the anaemia prevalence was high in the overall sample, although it varied among age-groups. Bivariate analysis of socio-demographic characteristics, illness characteristics, and feeding practices revealed diverse risk factors among age-groups and in the overall sample. Additionally, multivariable analysis showed that feeding practice–related variables were risk factors for anaemia prevalence. Compared with complementary food–related variables, continued breastfeeding and any history of formula feeding had much greater impacts across age-groups.
 
Anaemia prevalence among children in rural China
Our findings revealed that 42.6% of children in the overall sample displayed anaemia, and anaemia prevalence among children in rural China varied according to age. According to WHO guidelines, anaemia prevalence exceeding 40% is a ‘severe public health problem’.26 Previous studies revealed anaemia prevalence among children in rural areas of central China (29.7%) and eastern China (24.2%)21 27; the prevalence was higher among children in our sample, indicating that urgent attention is needed regarding anaemia among children in rural areas of western China. Furthermore, our results showed that anaemia prevalence decreased with increasing age, consistent with previous reports.8 15 17 28 We found that anaemia prevalence was lower among children aged 18 to 23 months than among those aged 6 to 11 months or 12 to 17 months; this may have been related to the successful inclusion of complementary foods after 12 months of age. There is evidence that increasing iron intake from various foods contributes to a slow decrease in anaemia prevalence.26 Overall, our findings imply substantial differences in anaemia prevalence according to age; thus, analyses of anaemia in children, along with its risk factors, should consider the effect of age (in months).
 
Bivariate and multivariable analyses of risk factors of anaemia
Our bivariate analysis showed significant differences in risk factors for low Hb concentration and anaemia prevalence among children in the overall sample and in each age-group. These findings were consistent with the results of other studies regarding anaemia among children in China.21 22 In particular, a study of children aged 6 to 23 months showed that complementary feeding practices meeting the minimum dietary diversity requirement were negatively associated with anaemia prevalence among children aged 12 to 17 months; however, the association was not statistically significant among children aged 6 to 11 months or 18 to 23 months. Additionally, complementary feeding practices meeting the minimum meal frequency requirement were negatively associated with anaemia prevalence in all age-groups.22 Therefore, we conclude that the risk factors for anaemia prevalence in children differ according to age.
 
Our results also indicated that socio-demographic and illness characteristics were associated with anaemia prevalence among children in poor rural areas of China, consistent with previous findings.11 17 Specifically, birth order and a history of illness in the previous 2 weeks were statistically significant risk factors for anaemia in children aged 12 to 17 months. Regarding health status, previous studies revealed that anaemia is positively associated with a history of recurrent illness, such as diarrhoea or fever.11 19 We found that children who had been sick in the previous 2 weeks were more likely to display anaemia, presumably because they experienced a loss of appetite and had poor intestinal nutrient absorption.27 The child’s relationship with their primary caregiver was significantly associated with Hb concentration and anaemia prevalence in the overall sample. Previous studies showed greater dependence on breast milk among children whose primary caregiver was their mother; this dependence may lead to anaemia. Thus, the provision of adequate nutrition via complementary food is recommended.29
 
Bivariate and multivariable analyses showed that feeding practices (continued breastfeeding, any history of formula feeding, and consumption of iron-rich or iron-fortified foods) were associated with anaemia prevalence in poor rural areas of China. However, continued breastfeeding and any history of formula feeding had greater impacts on specific age-groups. Children who had continued breastfeeding displayed significantly lower Hb concentrations and higher rates of anaemia, both in the overall sample and among children aged 12 to 17 months or 18 to 23 months. These findings are consistent with the results of previous studies.30 31 32 Although the importance of breastfeeding for children before the age of 2 is widely recognised, empirical studies have shown that prolonged breastfeeding (ie, beyond 6 months of age) is positively associated with anaemia in children aged <2 years.31 32 Increases in total breastfeeding duration are associated with decreases in iron stores, implying late introduction or poor quality of complementary foods in children, as well as maternal anaemia.31 33 Accordingly, although there remains a need to encourage breastfeeding, careful monitoring of maternal and infant anaemia should be implemented, along with timely introduction of appropriate complementary foods to infants by 6 months of age; maternal diets and nutritional supplementation should also be improved.33 Children with any history of formula feeding had a higher Hb concentration and lower anaemia prevalence in each age-group, as well as the overall sample, consistent with previous findings.11 19 34 Formula feeding protects against anaemia in children, presumably because most commercially available formulas are fortified with micronutrients (eg, iron).27 Children with any history of formula feeding would have received additional iron, which have may helped to improve their anaemia status.11 Therefore, high-iron formulas are recommended for infants aged >6 months.35
 
In the overall sample, children with feeding practices that minimum dietary diversity standards and children who consumed iron-rich or iron-fortified foods were less likely to display anaemia. These results are consistent with the findings of studies in other rural areas of China.16 20 22 Regarding minimum dietary diversity, the WHO recommends that children aged 6 to 23 months receive a variety of foods to ensure that their nutrient requirements are met.36 A child’s needs with respect to the type and quantity of complementary foods increase with monthly age.37 Other studies have shown that the addition of complementary food in moderate amounts protects against anaemia.18 30 After 6 months of age, sources of iron for anaemia prevention are mainly derived from complementary foods.19 20 22 The consumption of iron-rich foods can reduce the risk of anaemia by improving iron storage and subsequent Hb production.19 The results of some studies have highlighted the importance of high-energy foods rich in iron, including beans, dark green leafy vegetables, meat, and viscera. These foods constitute sources of haem iron, which has better bioavailability.18 Therefore, caregivers should receive information concerning the importance of iron-rich complementary foods before they begin introducing complementary foods to their children.37
 
However, there is evidence that many children in rural China do not meet the standards for complementary feeding recommended by the WHO.18 22 24 Family income level substantially impacts nutritional intake.20 Although formula and complementary foods are widely available, they may not be prioritised in poor rural households.22 Because parents in such households often lack nutritional knowledge, they may assume that nutrient deficiency is unlikely; this belief can lead to inappropriate feeding in many children.20 Therefore, active intervention is needed; effective communication methods should be established to provide nutritional health knowledge and social support for family nutrition.
 
Limitations
This study had several important limitations. First, we could not determine whether seasonal or temporal factors were associated with anaemia. Although we had some seasonal and temporal data regarding the three survey waves, key information was unavailable; thus, we could not confirm the findings of Luo et al.11 Second, although previous studies indicated that anaemia during pregnancy is a risk factor for anaemia in children,38 39 the present study lacked data regarding maternal anaemia during pregnancy; thus, we could not explore this relationship. Third, we only assessed any history of formula feeding, rather than ongoing formula feeding, which may have led to inaccurate results. Additional studies are needed to address these limitations.
 
Conclusion
Anaemia remains a severe public health problem among children aged 6 to 23 months in rural China. Continued breastfeeding was significantly positively associated with anaemia prevalence, whereas any history of formula feeding and the consumption of iron-rich or iron-fortified foods were significantly negatively associated with anaemia prevalence. Although we could not make causal inferences on the basis of findings in this cross-sectional study, our analysis provided key information concerning factors associated with anaemia prevalence among children of various ages in rural China; these findings will help to guide clinical practice and support policy formulation.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: L Zeng, W Zheng, Q Gao.
Acquisition of data: K Du, A Yue.
Analysis or interpretation of data: L Zeng, Q Gao.
Drafting of the manuscript: W Zheng, A Yue, Q Gao.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Q Gao, N Qiao.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
We thank the enumerators for their contribution to data collection.
 
Funding/support
This research was supported by the 111 Project (Grant No.: B16031), the National Social Science Foundation of China (Grant No.: 22BGL212), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.: 72203134), and the Special Project of Philosophy and Social Science Research in Shaanxi Province (Grant No.: 2023QN0058). The funders had no role in study design, data collection/analysis/interpretation, or manuscript preparation.
 
Ethics approval
This study protocol was approved by the Sichuan University Institutional Review Board of China (Protocol ID: 2013005-01). All caregivers of the children under investigation provided oral informed consent before participating in this study.
 
References
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Cutaneous manifestations, viral load, and prognosis among hospitalised patients with COVID-19: a cohort study

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Oct;29(5):421–31 | Epub 19 Oct 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Cutaneous manifestations, viral load, and prognosis among hospitalised patients with COVID-19: a cohort study
Christina SM Wong, MRCP, FRCP1 #; Ivan FN Hung, MD, FRCP2 #; Mike YW Kwan, MSc (Applied Epidemiology), FHKAM (Paediatrics)3; Martin MH Chung, MRCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; Mandy WM Chan, MRCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; Adrian KC Cheng, MRCP, FHKAM (Medicine)1; YM Lau, MB, BS, MRCP1; CK Yeung, MD, FRCP1; Henry HL Chan, PhD, FRCP1; CS Lau, MD, FRCP4
1 Division of Dermatology, Department of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Paediatric Infectious Disease Unit, Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Division of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Department of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
# Equal contribution
 
Corresponding author: Prof Christina SM Wong (wongsm11@hku.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Various cutaneous manifestations have been reported as symptoms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which may facilitate early clinical diagnosis and management. This study explored the incidence of cutaneous manifestations among hospitalised patients with COVID-19 and investigated its relationships with viral load, co-morbidities, and outcomes.
 
Methods: This retrospective study included adult patients admitted to a tertiary hospital for COVID-19 from July to September 2020. Clinical information, co-morbidities, viral load (cycle threshold [Ct] value), and outcomes were analysed.
 
Results: In total, 219 patients with confirmed COVID-19 were included. Twenty patients presented with new onset of rash. The incidence of new rash was 9.1% (95% confidence interval=6.25%-14.4%). The most common manifestations were maculopapular exanthem (n=6, 42.9%, median Ct value: 24.8), followed by livedo reticularis (n=4, 28.6%, median Ct value: 21.3), varicella-like lesions (n=2, 14.3%, median Ct value: 19.3), urticaria (n=1, 7.1%, median Ct value: 14.4), and acral chilblain and petechiae (n=1, 7.1%, median Ct value: 33.1). The median Ct values for patients with and without rash were 22.9 and 24.1, respectively (P=0.58). There were no significant differences in mortality or hospital stay between patients with and without rash. Patients with rash were more likely to display fever on admission (P<0.01). Regardless of cutaneous manifestations, patients with older age, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease stage ≥3 had significantly higher viral load and mortality (P<0.05).
 
Conclusion: This study revealed no associations between cutaneous manifestation and viral load or clinical outcomes. Older patients with multiple co-morbidities have risks of high viral load and mortality; they should be closely monitored.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could display various cutaneous manifestations. The incidence of new rash in our cohort was 13.6%. The most common manifestation attributed to COVID-19 was maculopapular exanthem, followed by livedo reticularis.
  • Informal extrapolation of our results to the general population in Hong Kong suggested that 0.91% solely involve rash presentation; these patients would remain undiagnosed without severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 testing. This lack of diagnosis is a potential health threat and could facilitate viral spread.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Rash is self-limiting in patients with COVID-19, potentially because of a more robust immune response among patients with rash.
  • Older patients with multiple co-morbidities should undergo early screening and receive close monitoring if they develop symptoms of COVID-19; early treatment beginning at symptom onset can improve clinical outcomes.
 
 
Introduction
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was first identified in December 2019 in Wuhan, Hubei, China.1 2 According to World Health Organization Coronavirus (COVID-19) data, as of 7 May 2022, 188 countries and territories had reported more than 510.2 million cumulative confirmed cases and more than 6.23 million deaths3; in Hong Kong, there were 330 670 confirmed cases and 9308 (2.81%) deaths.4 Common symptoms of COVID-19 include fever, sore throat, cough, malaise, dyspnoea, and anosmia or aguesia.1 Although most people have mild symptoms, some develop acute respiratory distress syndrome, which may lead to cytokine storm, multiorgan failure, septic shock, and even death.5
 
There is evidence that rash is an early symptom or the only symptom in patients who are ‘asymptomatic’ or paucisymptomatic.6 7 8 9 Early detection of this ‘silent’ sign and corresponding diagnosis are important for epidemiologic management because asymptomatic or paucisymptomatic cases may function as sources of community spread. Various dermatologic manifestations of COVID-19 have been reported including maculopapular eruption, urticarial eruption, livedo reticularis, pernio/chilblain, vasculitis, vesicular eruption, and papulo-necrotic eruption.10 11 12 13 14 15 The incidences of cutaneous manifestations in patients with COVID-19 have varied among case series (from 0.2% to 20.4%10 11 12 13), possibly because of the under-recognition of asymptomatic or paucisymptomatic cases.
 
The spread of SARS-CoV-2 mainly involves droplets; it can also occur via direct contact and is speculated to occur through faecal excretion.2 The primary target of SARS-CoV-2 is the upper respiratory mucosa, where angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) serves as a functional receptor for viral spikes and eventual viral entry into host cells. Gene expression of the SARS-CoV-2 cellular receptor ACE2 has been demonstrated in multiple human tissues, including skin and adipose tissue.16 17 18 Therefore, the proposed mechanisms by which SARS-CoV-2 affect cutaneous tissues include direct attacks on epidermal basal cells and vascular endothelial cells (possibly targeting ACE2 expressed on skin keratinocytes) and indirect impacts through the antiviral inflammatory response.16 17 18
 
There is speculation that patients with rash occurrence may have a better prognosis because they display better antiviral immunity.19 Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, little was known about relationships among cutaneous manifestations, viral load, co-morbidities, and clinical outcomes. A recent systematic review showed inconclusive results about the relationship between COVID-19 severity and viral load; however, it suggested that older age and higher SARS-CoV-2 viral load were directly related.20 Likewise, some rashes such as maculopapular rash and chilblain-like lesions were found to be strongly associated with paucisymptomatic disease course and lower severity of COVID-19 while skin changes such as acro-ischaemia, livedo reticularis and purpura may be useful indicators of higher severity of COVID-19.21 22 In 2020, according to the Public Health Ordinance of Hong Kong, all patients with SARS-CoV-2–positive test results were hospitalised for quarantine, regardless of symptoms.4 Here, we explored the incidences and patterns of clinical and cutaneous manifestations among hospitalised patients with confirmed COVID-19, then investigated associations with viral load, co-morbidities, and prognosis.
 
Methods
This retrospective cohort study was conducted from 1 July to 30 September 2020 in an acute tertiary hospital, Queen Mary Hospital (ie, a major public hospital within one of seven hospital clusters) serving one-fifth of the population of 7.5 million in Hong Kong. Electronic hospital records were used to identify adult patients aged ≥18 years who were admitted during the study period for suspected COVID-19.
 
The flow of patient recruitment is illustrated in Figure 1. Patients included in this study were adults with laboratory confirmation of COVID-19 by real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) assay from a nasopharyngeal swab. Clinical information was collected from electronic clinical photographs of patients who had provided informed consent to receive treatment. A physical examination was performed by a dermatologist within 48 hours of rash onset to confirm clinical signs; follow-up was conducted monthly until 3 months after discharge. Rashes were considered COVID-19–related if they were new, could not be explained by the patient’s previous or pre-existing skin conditions or an alternative diagnosis (eg, drug eruption or other viral exanthem of varicella, parvovirus, enterovirus, influenza, parainfluenza, adenovirus, or respiratory syncytial virus detected in nasopharyngeal swab [performed as clinically indicated and excluded]), occurred along with the SARS-CoV-2–positive rRT-PCR test results, and resolved when other symptoms improved.
 

Figure 1. Patient recruitment
 
Clinical and laboratory data
Clinical and laboratory data, including patient demographics, initial COVID-19 viral load according to cycle threshold (Ct) value, treatment received, co-morbidities (diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease [CKD]), and pre-existing skin diseases, were retrieved from electronic medical records for analysis. For the detection of viral nucleic acids, rRT-PCR is considered a gold standard diagnostic assay. The Ct value refers to the number of rRT-PCR cycles needed to amplify viral RNA to a detectable level; it is inversely related to viral load.23 Thus, the Ct value can indicate the relative quantity of viral RNA in a specimen (lower Ct values reflect greater quantities of viral RNA). In this study, Ct values of <26, 26-30, and ≥31 were regarded as high, intermediate, and low viral load, respectively.24 25
 
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables were expressed as medians (interquartile ranges) or means (± standard deviations), as appropriate. The Mann-Whitney U test and Kruskal-Wallis test were used to compare median values between two groups and among ≥3 groups, respectively. Categorical variables, expressed as proportions, were compared using the Chi squared test or Fisher’s exact test, as appropriate.
 
To identify factors independently associated with outcomes, variables with P values <0.1 in univariate analyses were subsequently entered into binary logistic regression multivariate analyses; odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS (Windows version 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). Two-tailed P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
 
Results
From 1 July to 30 September 2020, 414 patients with suspected COVID-19 were admitted to our hospital. This study included 219 patients who had SARS-CoV-2–positive rRT-PCR results in analyses of nasopharyngeal swab samples (from 213 recovered patients and six patients who had died). One hundred and ninety-five patients were excluded because of non–COVID-19 diagnosis, unconfirmed status, non-Asian ethnicity, or refusal to consent (Fig 1).
 
The mean patient age was 54.7 ± 17.5 years (range, 18-99), the male-to-female ratio was approximately 1:1, and 90.4% of the patients were Chinese (Table 1). The mean duration of hospitalisation was 9.87 ± 6.99 days and the overall mortality rate was 2.7%. The mean SARS-CoV-2 rRT-PCR Ct values for nasopharyngeal swab on admission was 24.2 ± 7.1. The median time to the first post-discharge visit was 38 days (range, 28-42) and the median duration of follow-up was 14 weeks (range, 13.1-15.5).
 

Table 1. Characteristics of patients with nasopharyngeal swab–confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (n=219)
 
Clinical presentation of coronavirus disease 2019
The three most frequent symptoms were upper respiratory symptoms: cough (51.5%), fever (42.5%), and sputum production (27.8%). Among the 219 patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 test results, 58 (26.5%) were asymptomatic and had undergone compulsory SARS-CoV-2 testing in accordance with the Public Health Ordinance. Of the 58 patients, 75.9% reported contact with identifiable index cases, such as household members, domestic helpers, or work colleagues.
 
Cutaneous manifestations of coronavirus disease 2019
Twenty patients presented with new rash. The incidence of new rash was 9.1% in this 3-month study period (95% CI=6.25%-14.4%). At the time of this study, there were no biomarkers or diagnostic tests for COVID-19–related cutaneous manifestations. Any new cutaneous manifestation not attributable to a previous/pre-existing skin disease or alternative diagnosis was considered COVID-19–related. Upon review by a dermatologist, six patients were diagnosed with localised urticarial eruptions after interferon injection treatment; 6.4% of patients (14/219) displayed various forms of COVID-19–related rash (Fig 2 and Table 2).
 

Figure 2. Cutaneous manifestations in patients with coronavirus disease 2019. (a) Urticarial eruptions. A 60-year-old man had tender urticarial plaques on the abdomen after interferon injection. (b) Maculopapular exanthem. A 40-year-old woman presented with maculopapular eruptions on the trunk as well as urticarial plaques on the right abdomen secondary to interferon injection. (c) Petechiae. A 37-year-old woman presented with petechial rash on the thighs. (d-f) A 59-year-old man presented with symmetrical erythematous vesicular papules on his extremities and back. (g) A 59-year-old woman presented with reticular erythema on the bilateral lower legs
 

Table 2. Characteristics of patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 and cutaneous manifestations (n=14)
 
The most common manifestations were maculopapular exanthem (n=6, 42.9%, median Ct value: 24.8), followed by livedo reticularis (n=4, 28.6%, median Ct value: 21.3), varicella-like lesions (n=2, 14.3%, median Ct value: 19.3), urticaria (n=1, 7.1%, median Ct value: 14.4), and acral chilblain and petechiae (n=1, 7.1%, median Ct value: 33.1) [Fig 2]. The median Ct values for patients with and without rash were 22.9 and 24.1, respectively (P=0.58). The timing of symptom onset ranged from day 1 to day 9 (median, 4; mean, 4.28 ± 2.26). Skin symptoms were the sole symptoms in two patients with COVID-19 (0.91%), highlighting the importance of carefully evaluating patients who only display initial cutaneous symptoms or signs.
 
Outcomes and prognostic factors
Characteristics of patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019: rash vs no rash
Compared with patients without rash, patients with rash were more likely to exhibit fever (OR=5.73; P=0.008) and display pulmonary infiltrates on chest X-ray (OR=5.06; P=0.013). Among patients with pulmonary infiltrates (n=19), four of them had rash. The episodes of desaturation requiring supplemental oxygen were less common in patients with rash (25%, 1/4) than in those without (93.3%, 14/15; OR=0.02, 95% CI=0.001-0.49; P=0.02). Furthermore, among these 19 patients with pulmonary infiltrates, systemic corticosteroids were less frequently required by patients with rash (25%, 1/4) than by those without (73.3%, 11/15; OR=0.12, 95% CI=0.01-1.53; P=0.10), but it was not statistically significant. There were no significant differences in age, sex, co-morbidities or Ct values between patients with and without rash. The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was slightly lower in older patients without rash (P=0.024); 10.2% of these patients had CKD stage ≥3. In terms of outcomes, patients with and without rash had mortalities of 0.0% and 2.9%, respectively (P=0.97). The length of hospitalisation was similar in both groups (Table 3).
 

Table 3. Characteristics of patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019: rash vs no rash
 
Characteristics of patients with coronavirus disease 2019: co-morbidities and viral load
Patients aged ≥70 years had a significantly higher viral load (as reflected by a lower Ct value), compared with those aged <70 years (mean Ct value: 21.97 vs 24.65, P=0.03). Regardless of age, patients with hypertension and CKD stage ≥3 had a significantly higher viral load and lower initial Ct value on admission (OR=2.65, 95% CI=1.08-6.45 and OR=3.65, 95% CI=1.18-11.3, respectively; both P<0.05).
 
All six patients who died were men; their mean age was 87.0 ± 7.3 years. The rates of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, a glycated haemoglobin level of ≥6.5%, CKD stage ≥3, and higher viral load (ie, lower Ct value on admission) were significantly greater among patients who died than among those who survived (Table 4). Older age, hypertension, and low eGFR were associated with a higher risk of mortality (all P<0.05) [Table 5].
 
 

Table 4. Comparison of characteristics between patients with coronavirus disease 2019 who died (mortality group) and those who recovered (recovered group)
 

Table 5. Multiple Cox regression of all-cause mortality in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (n=219)
 
Treatment received
Treatment varied in this cohort because there was no standard of care in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Symptomatic treatment was administered to 53 patients (24.2%); 166 patients (75.8%) received early treatment within the first week of symptom onset, including interferon beta-1b and ribavirin, which were administered based on the results of a triple therapy clinical study.21 Emollients and topical corticosteroids of mild to moderate potency (1% hydrocortisone cream and 0.1% mometasone furoate cream) were prescribed for symptomatic relief.
 
Follow-up and dermatological outcome
During follow-up, we observed that urticarial eruption after interferon injection resolved within 10 to 14 days upon completion of treatment. With respect to COVID-19–related skin eruptions, most lesions (maculopapular exanthem, livedo reticularis, and urticaria) were self-limiting and spontaneously resolved without specific treatment; there were no severe sequelae. Two patients with varicella-like lesions had mild post-inflammatory hyperpigmentation without scarring.
 
Discussion
Cutaneous manifestations of the COVID-19 pandemic have been gaining increasing attention because they may be useful in the early diagnosis of COVID-19, triage of patients with SARS-CoV-2–positive test results, and risk stratification. There is speculation that the mechanism involves the direct action of SARS-CoV-2 on tissues, the complement/interferon-driven immune response, and the coagulation system; alternatively, it involves nonspecific skin symptoms of systemic viral infection.16 17 22 26 27 28 Although more investigations are needed, it is possible that some symptoms are clinical signs of milder COVID-19, whereas others are indicators of more severe clinical illness.
 
Maculopapular exanthem: the most common cutaneous manifestation
Our study showed that patients with confirmed COVID-19 could display various cutaneous manifestations. The most common manifestation attributed to COVID-19 was maculopapular exanthem, followed by livedo reticularis. Because most skin lesions were transient and self-limiting, skin biopsy was only performed in one patient. In that 40-year-old female patient, skin biopsy of the left trunk revealed low to moderate numbers of perivascular lymphocytes and histiocytes, as well as sparse eosinophils, in the superficial dermis; focal parakeratosis was present in the epidermis. There was no evidence of vasculitis or interfacial changes. These findings were compatible with maculopapular exanthem.
 
In previous reports, erythema multiforme–like lesions, chilblain-like acral eruptions, and livedo erythema were identified in children and young adult patients with asymptomatic or mild disease.26 28 29 In contrast, maculopapular rash and acro-ischaemic lesions were often observed among adult patients with more severe disease. Among our patients who presented with rash, there were no instances of mortality; the duration of hospitalisation was similar regardless of rash status. The results of a previous study has suggested that the cutaneous manifestation is the only manifestation of COVID-19 in some patients30; thus, careful documentation of any cutaneous symptoms during the COVID-19 pandemic may be necessary for early recognition and diagnosis.30 Additionally, urticaria with fever has diagnostic implications because this combination may be an early symptom of subsequently confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection.19 In our cohort, patients with cutaneous manifestations were more likely to present with fever. Although most of our patients had symptoms other than rash alone, two patients (0.9%) presented with rash only (one with urticaria and one with maculopapular exanthem); the clinical significance of these symptoms should not be ignored. Informal extrapolation of these results to the general population in Hong Kong suggested that 2477 cases (2/219; ie, 0.91% × 272 235 confirmed cases)4 solely involve rash presentation; these patients would remain undiagnosed if they did not undergo SARS-CoV-2 testing. This lack of diagnosis is a potential health threat and could facilitate viral spread.
 
Incidence of cutaneous manifestations
In our cohort, the incidence of new rash was 13.6%. In the study by Guan et al31 in China, the prevalence of rash was much lower in patients with COVID-19 (0.2%; 2/1099). In that study, patients with rash may have been underdiagnosed because patients with suspected COVID-19 were managed by general practitioners or hospitalists who had less familiarity with cutaneous manifestations.31 In contrast, our patients underwent prompt assessment by in-hospital dermatologists to detect cutaneous manifestations. In an Italian study, the prevalence of rash presentation was much higher (20.4%),13 presumably because asymptomatic patients were excluded through a lack of testing. However, if we exclude the 58 asymptomatic patients in our cohort (all of whom underwent compulsory testing in accordance with the Public Health Ordinance), the incidence of new rash in our study was 16.7% (95% CI=14.5-18.8), which remains lower than the incidence in the Italian study. We speculate that this difference is related to the early initiation of combined treatment (ribavirin and interferon beta-1b) in our cohort, which may modify or halt the SARS-CoV-2–induced inflammatory process.21 Importantly, the genomic characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 spread are under investigation worldwide; this approach helps identify transmission routes in various regions. In a case series in the United States, SARS-CoV-2 genomes in one region were predominantly associated with isolates that originated in Europe (>80%), similar to the distributions of viral strains in other regions in the United States32; a smaller subgroup of SARS-CoV-2 genomes displayed similarity to strains that originated in Asia (15%), indicating multiple sources of viral spread within the community.32 Differences in the prevalences of cutaneous manifestations may represent variations in SARS-CoV-2 genomic characteristics among regions; in Hong Kong, a cosmopolitan city with many travellers from mainland China and other countries, the prevalences of cutaneous manifestations may be the result of viral strains from all provinces of China as well as Europe and other regions. Further studies are needed concerning genomic variations and clinical manifestations.
 
Prognostic factors
In terms of viral load and prognosis, higher viral load on admission was significantly associated with greater mortality in patients with older age, history of hypertension, and CKD stage ≥3. Univariate analysis showed that the risk of mortality was the greatest among patients with older age, hypertension, higher glycated haemoglobin level, and renal impairment. Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that older age, hypertension, and low eGFR were significantly associated with greater mortality risk.
 
Conversely, patients with renal impairment were less likely to present with rash, suggesting that the immune response is weaker in patients with renal impairment. However, the length of hospitalisation was similar regardless of cutaneous manifestations; the presence of cutaneous manifestations was not associated with other co-morbidities. There was no clear association between Ct values and rash occurrence. Additional studies with larger sample sizes may be necessary to explore the relationship between rash subtype and viral load.
 
Rash as immunological response
The results of a previous study suggested that cutaneous manifestations of COVID-19 were related to immunological responses rather than the direct results of viral invasion17; cutaneous manifestations may be an early sign of immunological responses elsewhere in the body, similar to pulmonary infiltrates secondary to cytokine storm. The present study showed that the incidence of pulmonary infiltrates was considerably higher among patients with rash (28.6%) than among those without (7.3%) [Table 3]; conversely, patients with rash were less likely to display further deterioration, such as oxygen desaturation and a requirement for oxygen supplementation (P=0.016). Only one patient with rash (25%) received dexamethasone, whereas multiple patients without rash required such treatment (73.3%) [P=0.11]. Another explanation is that, overall, patients with rash tended to seek medical attention earlier than those without, which would increase the likelihood of prompt treatment. A previous study has indicated that patients with cutaneous manifestations may have a better prognosis because those patients develop a more robust immune response.17
 
In patients with new pulmonary infiltrates as well as evidence of respiratory decompensation/failure (eg, desaturation and/or tachypnoea), systemic corticosteroids have been used to prevent tissue destruction from cytokine storm after other causes had been ruled out. In this context, patients receiving systemic corticosteroids had more severe disease that involved evidence or features of respiratory decompensation and carried a greater risk of mortality.
 
In the present study, after the exclusion of patients with nosocomial/secondary bacterial pneumonia, heart failure, or pulmonary changes related to prior disease, 19 patients (8.7%) had new pulmonary infiltrates on admission. All 19 patients received interferon beta-1b and ribavirin treatment; 12 patients received dexamethasone (daily dosage range, 6-8 mg; mean duration, 8.63 ± 2.53 days) [Table 4]. Among the 12 patients receiving dexamethasone, five patients (41.7%) died despite the use of systemic corticosteroids, together with empirical antibiotics, interferon beta-1b, and ribavirin; in contrast, only one death (14.3%) occurred among seven patients receiving interferon beta-1b and ribavirin without corticosteroids (OR=4.28, 95% CI=0.38-47.6; P=0.23). The mean interval from symptom onset to systemic corticosteroid initiation was shorter among patients who recovered than among those who died (5.14 ± 2.14 days vs 8.61 ± 2.30 days; P=0.0026). These results suggest that the early use of systemic corticosteroids may lead to a better survival outcome.
 
Mortality
Although no deaths occurred among patients with cutaneous manifestations, the mortality rate did not significantly differ from the rate of 2.9% among patients without rash. Most patients received treatment within the first week after diagnosis of COVID-19 (according to detection of SARS-CoV-2–specific immunoglobulin G within 14 days after symptom onset; mean, 7.71 ± 3.05 days; range, 4-13), which may have improved disease outcomes and shortened hospitalisation. These findings highlighted the importance of early treatment beginning at symptom onset (ie, in the first week) and supported the use of interferon therapy described in a previous report.21
 
Limitations
First, this study had a small number of patients. Second, there was potential selection bias because only hospitalised patients with SARS-CoV-2–positive test results were included in the analysis; patients with COVID-19 who did not undergo screening or seek medical consultation were not diagnosed, and thus they were excluded from the study. Third, Ct value analysis was not conducted according to rash subtype and severity because of the limited number of patients. Fourth, some viral laboratory tests (eg, test for human herpesvirus 6) were not routinely available in our hospital, which may have hindered the interpretation of possible causes of rash or the identification of coexisting infections. Nevertheless, most other possible viral infections were excluded from this study. Additional studies with larger sample sizes and comparisons with treatment outcomes are needed.
 
Conclusion
This study did not demonstrate direct relationships among rash, viral load, and mortality. Furthermore, cutaneous manifestations may be early signs of immunological responses (similar to pulmonary infiltrates). Patients with older age, hypertension, and renal impairment have greater mortality risk and higher viral load. These high-risk groups should be prioritised in early screening and vaccination efforts to avoid poor clinical outcomes.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: CSM Wong, IFN Hung.
Acquisition of data: CSM Wong, MMH Chung, MWM Chan, AKC Cheng, YM Lau.
Analysis or interpretation of data: CSM Wong, IFN Hung. Drafting of the manuscript: CSM Wong, IFN Hung, CK Yeung, HHL Chan.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: CSM Wong, IFN Hung, MYW Kwan, CK Yeung, HHL Chan, CS Lau.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors declare no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank all patients for their participation.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Institutional Review Board of The University of Hong Kong/Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster (Ref No.: UW20-725) and was conducted in full compliance with the ICH E6 guideline for Good Clinical Practice and the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. Appropriate patient consent was obtained for clinical information and images to be publicly reported. All participants’ clinical data and reports were deidentified to maintain anonymity.
 
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Telemedicine acceptance by older adults in Hong Kong during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional cohort survey

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Oct;29(5):412–20 | Epub 5 Oct 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Telemedicine acceptance by older adults in Hong Kong during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional cohort survey
Maxwell CY Choi1; SH Chu, MB, ChB1; LL Siu1; Anakin Gajy Tse, MB, ChB1; Justin CY Wu, MD, FRCP2,3; H Fung, MB, BS, FHKAM (Community Medicine)3,4; Billy CF Chiu, MB, BS, MPH3; Vincent CT Mok, MD, FRCP5
1 Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Prince of Wales Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 CUHK Medical Centre, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 The Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
5 Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Prince of Wales Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Prof Vincent CT Mok (vctmok@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Telemedicine services worldwide have experienced unprecedented growth since the early days of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Multiple studies have shown that telemedicine is an effective alternative to conventional in-person patient care. This study explored the public perception of telemedicine in Hong Kong, specifically among older adults who are most vulnerable to COVID-19.
 
Methods: Medical students from The Chinese University of Hong Kong conducted in-person surveys of older adults aged ≥60 years. Each survey collected socio-demographic information, medical history, and concerns regarding telemedicine use. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify statistically significant associations. The primary outcomes were acceptance of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
 
Results: There were 109 survey respondents. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that the expectation of government subsidies for telemedicine services was the strongest common driver and the only positive independent predictor of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak (P=0.016) and after the COVID-19 pandemic (P=0.003). No negative independent predictors of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak were identified. Negative independent predictors of telemedicine use after the COVID-19 pandemic included older age and residence in the New Territories (both P=0.001).
 
Conclusions: Government support, such as telemedicine-specific subsidies, will be important for efforts to promote telemedicine use in Hong Kong during future severe outbreaks and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Robust dissemination of information regarding the advantages and disadvantages of telemedicine for the public, especially older adults, is needed.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Older age and residence in the New Territories were negative predictors of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.
  • The expectation of government support (eg, subsidies) is a positive predictor of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Telemedicine carries minimal risk of disease transmission and may serve as a powerful addition to conventional in-person consultation, but it will not completely replace conventional consultation methods.
  • Government support, such as telemedicine-specific subsidies and public education, will help encourage telemedicine use in Hong Kong.
 
 
Introduction
In 2020, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused many healthcare services worldwide to experience a decline in patient numbers because of cancellations related to a fear of disease transmission.1 This decline led to increasing interest in the expansion of telemedicine services (ie, the practice of medicine over a distance through telecommunication systems2) as a potential solution to address gaps in healthcare delivery and minimise the risk of COVID-19 transmission.3
 
Despite the availability of numerous virtual technological solutions, Hong Kong has not experienced significant progress towards the widespread implementation and promotion of telemedicine.4 Therefore, exploration of the factors contributing to the relative underutilisation of telemedicine by older adults in Hong Kong will help to identify current limitations of the healthcare system, while facilitating future implementation of telemedicine.
 
The primary objectives of this study were to examine the main concerns that older adults have towards telemedicine and then evaluate telemedicine use in two hypothetical scenarios: during a severe outbreak while under lockdown, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, ‘severe outbreak’ was defined as a sudden increase in disease frequency within a limited geographic area, which requires public health interventions (eg, a government-imposed lockdown involving temporary restrictions on travel and social interactions, along with quarantine measures)5; ‘after the COVID-19 pandemic’ was defined as the expected new norm (ie, endemic COVID-19 requiring regular vaccines, with societal adaptation to seasonal deaths and complications in the absence of lockdowns, masks, or social distancing).6
 
This study specifically explored perception of telemedicine among older adults because they have the highest risk of severe COVID-197 8 and may experience the greatest benefit from telemedicine use.
 
Methods
Study design and participants
This study consisted of an online survey completed by a cohort of older adults in Hong Kong. The survey was conducted from 8 October to 15 November 2020, between the third and fourth waves of COVID-19 in the city.9 10 Medical student volunteers from The Chinese University of Hong Kong were recruited to facilitate data collection from older adults in their families. Considering the overall need for social distancing, we assumed that random in-person visits to older adults carried a high risk of disease transmission.11 Therefore, we chose to survey close relatives of medical students living in the same household; this approach was expected to reduce the risk of disease transmission among medical students and participants.11
 
In total, 59 medical student volunteers were recruited in September 2020. To ensure standardisation of the survey protocol, a mandatory virtual training course was conducted via Zoom on 28 September 2020, which included a detailed written survey guide to help the volunteers to facilitate the survey.
 
This study adhered to the STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines.
 
Procedures
The survey targeted older adults (aged ≥60 years) in Hong Kong. The closest caretakers were allowed to complete the survey on behalf of older adults who had health-related difficulty expressing themselves.12 This completion-by-proxy approach was used because such caretakers regularly accompany older adults to medical appointments and are likely to have a good overall understanding of those older adults’ healthcare needs. The survey was completed and submitted online; consent was obtained from each participant before the start of the survey, and all surveys were facilitated by trained medical student volunteers.
 
The survey consisted of multiple-choice questions that addressed five factors with important effects on the perception of telemedicine among older adults: (1) socio-demographic characteristics, including age, gender, education level, number of cohabitants in the same household, employment status, and residential area; (2) medical history, including types of chronic illnesses, frequency and difficulty of visiting regular doctors in public and private sectors, numbers and types of prescribed medications, and private health insurance enrolment status; (3) domestic support for telemedicine use, including digital device availability and internet access; (4) acceptance of telemedicine use in two scenarios (ie, during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic); and (5) telemedicine-associated values, concerns, and expectations (eg, concerns about effectiveness and satisfaction). With respect to the acceptance of telemedicine use in two scenarios, respondents were informed that telemedicine is mainly used during follow-up for chronic medical conditions or when visiting a doctor who is familiar with the patient and their medical history; it is rarely used to visit an unfamiliar doctor for a new or acute medical condition.
 
Statistical analysis
Data analysis was performed using SPSS (Windows version 26.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], United States). The cohort survey responses were first thematically classified into four main categories, namely demographics, home characteristics, medical history, and telemedicine-related factors. The two main primary outcome variables in our study were dichotomous variables concerning acceptance of telemedicine use: during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
 
Univariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify predictors of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed using variables that were statistically significant in univariate analysis. To avoid variable overfitting, for acceptance of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak, only variables with P values <0.05 in univariate analysis were included in multivariate analysis; for acceptance of telemedicine use after the pandemic, only variables with P values <0.01 in univariate analysis were included in multivariate analysis. Continuous data were reported as mean ± standard deviation.
 
Results
Cohort characteristics
Of the 109 respondents surveyed by 59 medical student volunteers, 93.6% were older adults, whereas 6.4% were caretakers who completed the survey on behalf of an older adult they cared for. The detailed characteristics of the cohort are shown in Table 1. The mean respondent age was 72.7 ± 10 years; most respondents were women (57.8%) and had at least completed secondary education (68.8%). In terms of household characteristics, 44.0% of the respondents lived in the New Territories and the mean size of each household was 2.9 ± 1.5 members. Although most respondents had access to both the internet (93.6%) and digital devices (91.7%), none had previously used telemedicine; thus, they were unable to indicate which type of telemedicine they would prefer.
 

Table 1. Cohort characteristics (n=109)
 
The survey also collected detailed information about the respondents’ medical histories. In terms of disease epidemiology, the most common chronic disease types were cardiovascular (52.3%), metabolic/endocrine (29.4%), and musculoskeletal (20.2%); the mean number of medications taken was 2 ± 2. Most respondents regularly consulted one to three doctors in both the public (54.1%) and private sectors (57.8%), but fewer than half of the respondents had private medical insurance coverage (41.3%). In terms of telemedicine, most respondents valued avoiding hospital or clinic environments because of the potential for disease transmission (67.0%); they also expected that government subsidies13 would increase their likelihood of using telemedicine (64.2%).
 
Furthermore, nearly half of the respondents worried that telemedicine use would lead to reduced effectiveness and lower satisfaction (45.9%); however, fewer than half of the respondents valued maintaining the doctor-patient relationship (17.4%) or reducing waiting time (30.3%).
 
Stratification of survey data according to acceptance of telemedicine use revealed that 89 respondents (81.7%) would accept telemedicine during a hypothetical severe outbreak; after the COVID-19 pandemic, 43 respondents (39.4%) would accept telemedicine. The characteristics of respondents who would and would not accept telemedicine during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the pandemic are presented in the online supplementary Appendix.
 
Factors affecting telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak
Multivariate logistic regression analysis (Table 2) showed that the expectation of government subsidies for telemedicine services was the only positive independent predictor of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=5.043, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.353-18.795; P=0.016). No negative independent predictors of telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak were identified.
 

Table 2. Factors affecting telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak
 
Factors affecting telemedicine use after the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic
Multivariate logistic regression analysis (Table 3) showed that the expectation of government subsidies for telemedicine services was the strongest common driver and the only positive independent predictor of telemedicine use after the pandemic (aOR=6.068, 95% CI=1.882-19.563; P=0.003). However, there were two negative independent predictors of telemedicine use after the pandemic: older age (aOR=0.897, 95% CI=0.842-0.956; P=0.001) and residence in the New Territories rather than on Hong Kong Island (aOR=0.109, 95% CI=0.029-0.405; P=0.001).
 

Table 3. Factors affecting telemedicine use after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic
 
Discussion
Interpretation of results
In this study, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed no negative independent predictors of reduced telemedicine use during a hypothetical severe outbreak. This result may be explained by the fear of COVID-19 within the Hong Kong population, which has prompted citizens to avoid public transport and practise social distancing.14 Because many Hong Kong citizens experienced the severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic in March 2003, they remain fearful of unknown infectious diseases.15 Considering that telemedicine carries minimal risk of disease transmission compared with conventional in-person consultation,16 it is clearly valuable in epidemic and pandemic scenarios; however, studies thus far have shown that telemedicine is less effective than hands-on procedures (eg, physical examination or postoperative care).17 Nonetheless, rapid technological advancements may soon overcome these limitations. Therefore, it is reasonable to infer that the characteristics and benefits of telemedicine outweigh its limitations during severe outbreaks, including epidemic and pandemic scenarios.
 
In both ‘severe outbreak’ and ‘after COVID-19 pandemic’ scenarios, the expectation of government subsidies for telemedicine services was the strongest common driver of telemedicine use; it was also the only statistically significant positive independent predictor of telemedicine use after the COVID-19 pandemic. For example, the Elderly Health Care Voucher Scheme launched in Hong Kong in 2009 was intended to provide financial incentives for older adults to seek healthcare services in the private sector, thereby alleviating strain within the public healthcare system. Thus far, this scheme has contributed to positive uptake of telemedicine in the private sector.13 Therefore, to encourage use of telemedicine services during the pandemic, we propose extending telemedicine-specific subsidies to older adults.
 
Furthermore, the role of government support in promoting telemedicine use should be emphasised and expanded. For example, Hong Kong’s older adults could receive subsidies to purchase essential digital devices for telemedicine consultations, such as webcams and remote monitoring devices. Indeed, a study in Australia showed that government support for healthcare, such as the reduction of insurance reimbursement restrictions, has been a key factor in the country’s increased use of telemedicine.18 Moreover, public education regarding telemedicine and digital health overall should be conducted to address patient misconceptions and clarify expectations regarding telemedicine. It is important to emphasise that the use of telemedicine does not imply that patients should discontinue follow-up. Further education concerning the format (eg, video calls and use of digital health applications), effectiveness (ie, limited physical examination), and other aspects of telemedicine is strongly recommended because these were the most important concerns among the respondents in the current study.
 
There were two statistically significant negative independent predictors of telemedicine use after the COVID-19 pandemic: older age and residence in the New Territories. For older adults, a lack of technological competency is an important challenge when adapting to a new mode of consultation. Older adults often struggle with unfamiliar technology, which may ultimately prevent many of them from using telemedicine. To help older adults adopt new technologies, telemedicine systems should be designed with the goal of maximum user-friendliness.19 For example, easy-to-navigate interfaces and simple instructions with larger display fonts may help increase older adults’ willingness to use telemedicine for chronic illness follow-up after the COVID-19 pandemic.
 
With respect to older adults who live in the New Territories, a relatively more rural part of Hong Kong, the digital infrastructure necessary to provide telemedicine services may be less robust than the infrastructure on Hong Kong Island and in Kowloon. Indeed, the New Territories has the largest number of high-poverty areas in Hong Kong, which may be associated with low socio-economic status and limited education leading to lower healthcare utilisation.20 Poverty also has an effect on hospital access, such that the New Territories generally displays the least hospital access among all regions of Hong Kong; however, considering the long travel distances to hospitals and clinics, telemedicine may be very beneficial for residents in this region.20 Overall, telemedicine accessibility in Hong Kong remains a major concern that requires further investigation.
 
Strengths
To our knowledge, this is the first study in Hong Kong to comprehensively examine concerns about telemedicine implementation among older adults, both during a hypothetical severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The use of telemedicine as a novel approach to patient consultations may serve as an important component of an effective geriatric healthcare system during the pandemic and could even be implemented as a powerful addition to in-person consultation during clinical practice after the pandemic.21
 
Additionally, the mandatory training course for medical student volunteers and detailed explanation of each question ensured adequate quality control, as well as a full understanding of telemedicine, during the completion of each survey. The training course also ensured uniformity during survey delivery, thereby minimising the potential for confirmation or observer bias that could arise from unstandardised survey delivery styles among different volunteers. A survey guide was explicitly introduced in the training course; it included a detailed rationale of the study as well as key points to consider with each survey question.
 
Limitations
Because the survey only included the responses of family members of medical students, selection and inter-observer biases were possible. However, these biases were counterbalanced by the comprehensive training course to achieve uniformity during survey delivery. Retrospective analysis of the study results did not suggest that the respondents favoured telemedicine; thus, we concluded that the potential for selection bias was negligible.
 
This study also had a relatively small sample size because of pandemic-associated social distancing restrictions. For example, the cohort did not involve citizens residing on the outlying islands of Hong Kong. These areas, with their remote locations and limited hospital access,20 may have a greater need for telemedicine. Therefore, caution is needed when generalising our findings to populations outside of Hong Kong. Furthermore, this study was performed before the formal introduction of a COVID-19 vaccination programme, which has been shown to greatly influence the attitude of the general public towards health-seeking behaviours.22 Therefore, this study may not be fully representative of the current pandemic situation in Hong Kong.
 
Future studies
This study primarily focused on older adults. Future studies should investigate the acceptance of telemedicine among younger adults (aged <60 years), adolescents, and children. Future studies could also compare the perspectives of caretakers and older adults themselves on a larger scale to determine whether concerns differ among stakeholders.
 
Conclusion
This study examined concerns among older adults regarding the use of telemedicine, both during a hypothetical severe outbreak while under lockdown, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings indicated that government support was a key driver of telemedicine use in Hong Kong under both scenarios. After the pandemic, telemedicine-specific subsidies and public education will be essential for efforts to overcome telemedicine hesitancy that arises from technological inconveniences related to age and geographic location.
 
In the future, government support via telemedicine-specific subsidies will be a key driver of telemedicine use in Hong Kong, both during a severe outbreak and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The continued use of telemedicine after the pandemic requires telemedicine systems that are designed to ensure maximal age-friendliness. However, telemedicine should be used in combination with conventional in-person consultation rather than as a replacement for such consultation.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: JCY Wu, H Fung, BCF Chiu, VCT Mok.
Acquisition of data: MCY Choi, SH Chu, LL Siu, AG Tse.
Analysis or interpretation of data: MCY Choi, SH Chu, LL Siu, AG Tse.
Drafting of the manuscript: MCY Choi, SH Chu, LL Siu, AG Tse, VCT Mok.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: MCY Choi.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank Mr Brian Yiu from the Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong for aid with statistical analysis. The authors also thank all medical student volunteers from The Chinese University of Hong Kong for assisting with in-person surveys.
 
Declaration
This work was posted on medRxiv as a registered online preprint (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.15.21260346v1).
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
Ethics approval for the study protocol was obtained from the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee (Ref No.: 2020.536). This research was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and consent was obtained from each participant before the start of the survey.
 
References
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3. Lau C. Telemedicine in the time of COVID-19 and beyond. MIMS Respirology. 2020. Available from: https://specialty.mims.com/topic/telemedicine-in-the-time-of-covid-19-and-beyond. Accessed 16 Jun 2021.
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6. Phillips N. The coronavirus is here to stay—here’s what that means. Nature 2021;590:382-4. Crossref
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8. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States Government. COVID-19 risks and information for older adults. 2023. Available from: https://www.cdc.gov/aging/covid19/index.html#:~:text=Older%20adults%20are%20more%20likely,very%20sick%20from%20COVID%2D19 . Accessed 25 Sep 2023.
9. Wong MC, Wong EL, Huang J, et al. Acceptance of the COVID-19 vaccine based on the health belief model: a population-based survey in Hong Kong. Vaccine 2021;39:1148-56. Crossref
10. Chan WM, Ip JD, Chu AW, et al. Phylogenomic analysis of COVID-19 summer and winter outbreaks in Hong Kong: an observational study. Lancet Reg Health West Pac 2021;10:100130. Crossref
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12. Reinhard SC, Given B, Petlick NH, Bemis A. Supporting family caregivers in providing care. In: Hughes RG, editor. Patient Safety and Quality: An Evidence-Based Handbook for Nurses. Rockville (MD): Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (US); 2008: 341-404.
13. Yam CH, Wong EL, Fung VL, Griffiths SM, Yeoh EK. What is the long term impact of voucher scheme on primary care? Findings from a repeated cross sectional study using propensity score matching. BMC Health Serv Res 2019;19:875. Crossref
14. Sit SM, Lam TH, Lai AY, Wong BY, Wang MP, Ho SY. Fear of COVID-19 and its associations with perceived personal and family benefits and harms in Hong Kong. Transl Behav Med 2021;11:793-801. Crossref
15. Choi EP, Hui BP, Wan EY. Depression and anxiety in Hong Kong during COVID-19. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2020;17:3740. Crossref
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User perceptions of COVID-19 telemedicine testing services, disease risk, and pandemic preparedness: findings from a private clinic in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Oct;29(5):404–11 | Epub 12 Oct 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
User perceptions of COVID-19 telemedicine testing services, disease risk, and pandemic preparedness: findings from a private clinic in Hong Kong
Kevin KC Hung, FHKCEM, FHKAM (Emergency Medicine)1,2,3; Emily YY Chan, MD1,2,3,4; Eugene SK Lo, MPH2,3; Zhe Huang, MPH2,3; Justin CY Wu, MD3,5; Colin Alexander Graham, MD1,2,3
1 Accident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Collaborating Centre for Oxford University and CUHK for Disaster and Medical Humanitarian Response, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
5 CUHK Medical Centre, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Prof Emily YY Chan (emily.chan@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, telemedicine has been regarded as a method for providing safe access to healthcare. Here, we explored the experiences of individuals using telemedicine in Hong Kong during the COVID-19 pandemic to understand their risk perceptions and preparedness measures.
 
Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional online survey of telemedicine users of private clinic–based COVID-19 testing services from 6 April to 11 May 2020. All users were invited to complete an anonymous online survey regarding COVID-19 risk perception and preparedness measures. The results of the survey were compared with the findings of a previous territory-wide survey.
 
Results: In total, 141 of 187 telemedicine users agreed to participate; the response rate was 75.4%. Of the participants, 95.1% (116/122) believed that telemedicine consultations were useful. Nearly half of the participants (49.0%) agreed or strongly agreed that telemedicine consultations were appropriate during the COVID-19 pandemic. Most participants believed that telemedicine consultations could perform the functions of ‘health protection, promotion and disease prevention’ (73.6%) and ‘diagnosis’ (64.0%). Concerning the choice of telemedicine provider, almost all participants (99.2%) were willing to consult medical doctors; more than half of the participants (54.1%) were willing to consult registered nurses, but only 13.1% were willing to consult non-clinical staff who had been trained to provide telemedicine services.
 
Conclusions: The use of telemedicine for screening and patient education can be encouraged during the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • Telemedicine use in Hong Kong was limited before the pandemic, but telemedicine users had high satisfaction with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) testing services.
  • Most participants believed that the telemedicine consultations could perform the functions of ‘health protection, promotion and disease prevention’ and ‘diagnosis’.
  • Among telemedicine users, the preferred channels of infectious disease information were the internet or mobile applications as well as personal sources (eg, family, friends, or healthcare professionals).
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Telemedicine users in this study were relatively young; previous reports suggest that these users are less likely to use healthcare in the absence of telemedicine and less likely to have a follow-up visit in any setting, compared with patients who visit a clinic for a similar condition. The use of telemedicine services might provide opportunities for healthcare access that are not otherwise available.
  • Additional training for telemedicine providers might be needed to improve the quality and scope of telemedicine services.
  • The use of telemedicine for screening and patient education can be encouraged during the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong and elsewhere.
 
 
Introduction
In the early days of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, telemedicine was recommended as a solution to provide safe access to healthcare.1 In 2020, the World Health Organization reported that most global health authorities regarded telemedicine as a potential method to provide services for patients with non-communicable diseases.2 For example, in a national survey of healthcare providers in Germany, approximately 60% of participants reported routine or partial use of telemedicine during the COVID-19 pandemic.3 In the US in 2020, telemedicine was used for COVID-19 screening, monitoring of patients with positive COVID-19 test results, management of chronic diseases, and virtual monitoring and follow-up.4 Telemedicine reduces patient travel costs and improves access, while reducing the use of personal protective equipment and the risk of COVID-19 transmission. In China, ‘internet hospitals’ offered essential medical support to the public during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.5
 
However, from a patient perspective, there are limitations and barriers to the use of telemedicine. A qualitative study conducted in Hong Kong in 20166 revealed that patient concerns included technical and logistical issues (eg, difficulty in accessing and using computers), limited personal interactions (eg, lack of in-person physical examinations and risk of incorrect diagnosis related to poor communication), concerns regarding cybersecurity and safety, and problems with prescriptions (eg, distrust of local community pharmacies). In 2020, clinical guidelines were published concerning the performance of remote primary care assessments and treatments for patients with suspected COVID-19 in the United Kingdom.7 During the COVID-19 pandemic, a digital health ecosystem may benefit the healthcare system, as well as the broader population (eg, through tracking and communication strategies) and research and health technology sectors (eg, online activity monitoring and digital support for isolation and quarantine situations).8
 
Telemedicine consists of remote healthcare service delivery by healthcare professionals for diagnosis, treatment, and prevention efforts, as well as research and continuing education.9 The fundamental goal of telemedicine is to increase access to care, thereby serving populations that otherwise would not receive timely medical evaluation and treatment. Research concerning telemedicine effectiveness has been controversial.10 11 12 13 14 A previous systematic review found that many studies showed no difference between telemedicine and usual care, and there remains limited evidence concerning the cost-effectiveness of telemedicine.10 With respect to chronic disease management via telemedicine, another review found publication bias and a tendency to report only short-term outcomes.11 Moreover, a Cochrane review revealed improved control of blood glucose among patients with diabetes using telemedicine, compared with patients receiving in-person care; conversely, the care modality did not affect health outcomes among patients with heart failure.12 Regarding the impacts and costs of telemedicine services, economic analyses have been problematic because of complex and unpredictable collaborative achievement processes13; generalisability has been limited by poor quality and low reporting standards.14 There is a need to focus on patient perspectives and telemedicine innovations.
 
In 2020, the health system in Hong Kong was considerably impacted by COVID-19 transmission risk and public health responses.15 During the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of in-person medical consultations decreased worldwide.16 17 In the Netherlands, the use of telemedicine offset this decrease.17 Before the COVID-19 pandemic, telemedicine was not widely used in Hong Kong6 18; user perspectives concerning the role of telemedicine during the COVID-19 pandemic and future pandemics require investigation. This study of telemedicine users in Hong Kong explored their perceptions of telemedicine use during the COVID-19 pandemic, their perceptions of disease risk, and their COVID-19 preparedness measures. We hypothesised that telemedicine users have distinct perceptions of risk, compared with the general public; we sought to determine the effects of such differences on the delivery of health services.
 
Methods
We conducted a cross-sectional online survey from 6 April to 11 May 2020. Participants in this study were users of COVID-19 testing services provided by The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) Medical Clinic,19 a multispecialty clinic offering specialist consultations, health screenings, vaccinations, and COVID-19 testing services.
 
Testing services and recruitment procedure
All service users completed a telemedicine consultation, followed by COVID-19 testing. The consultation, delivered using a standard telephone, focused on assessment of the user’s COVID-19 risk prior to the time of testing. Users were offered a deep throat saliva test for COVID-19 detection. After the telemedicine consultation and COVID-19 test, all users were invited to complete an anonymous online survey within 1 month for service evaluation and data collection.
 
Survey design
The online survey consisted of 24 questions regarding telemedicine services, COVID-19 risk perception, and preparedness measures in Hong Kong. The survey specifically focused on reasons for using CUHK telemedicine and testing services, user perceptions and attitudes regarding telemedicine consultations, user perceptions and attitudes regarding the COVID-19 pandemic and prevention, and user characteristics (eg, age and sex). Questions about user perceptions and attitudes regarding the current COVID-19 pandemic and prevention were phrased in a manner identical to a previous study,20 allowing direct comparison with survey results from a study focused on the Hong Kong general public. The survey was pilot tested and subsequently modified to ensure content validity. Most questions included ‘yes’ or ‘no’ answers and a 5-point Likert scale. Written consent to take part in the study was obtained from all participants before they began the survey.
 
Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics were reported for participant characteristics, perceptions, and attitudes regarding telemedicine consultations. Perceptions and attitudes regarding the COVID-19 pandemic and prevention were recorded in a manner that allowed comparison with the results of a prior COVID-19–focused telephone survey of the Hong Kong general public.20 The prior telephone survey—a cross-sectional, population-based landline telephone survey using a computerised random-digit dialling method—included 765 adult Hong Kong residents during the period from 22 March to 1 April 2020. The participants in that study were representative of Hong Kong Census population data with respect to age, sex, marital status, and residential district, although they had higher levels of education and household income.20 Chi squared tests were used for comparisons between the prior survey and the present survey. The threshold of statistical significance was set at 0.05. All statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS (Windows version 21.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US).
 
Results
Among 187 telemedicine users of COVID-19 testing services at the CUHK Medical Clinic, we identified 150 responses to the online survey during the period from 6 April to 11 May 2020. In total, 141 telemedicine users (response rate of 75.4%) were willing to participate in this study. Table 1 shows the participants’ characteristics. Notably, 56.1% were men, over half (50.7%) were aged 18 to 24 years (all participants were aged <65 years), most (59.4%) lived in private housing, and most (65.4%) resided in the New Territories. The most common reason for COVID-19 testing was a work-related requirement (56.7%, 80/141), followed by recent international travel (39.7%, 56/141); 14.9% (21/141) of the participants sought testing because of concerns about the spread of COVID-19. Overall, 14.2% (20/141) of the participants had either been in close contact with a confirmed case or suspected that they had symptoms of COVID-19.
 

Table 1. Characteristics of telemedicine users in this study
 
Perceptions of telemedicine consultations
In total, 95.1% (116/122) participants believed that COVID-19 telemedicine consultations were useful. Most participants believed that telemedicine consultations could perform the functions of ‘health protection, promotion and disease prevention’ (73.6%) and ‘diagnosis’ (64.0%) [Fig 1]. Concerning the choice of telemedicine provider, almost all participants (99.2%) would accept medical doctors; more than half of the participants (54.1%) would accept trained nurses, but only 13.1% would accept non-clinical staff who had been trained to provide telemedicine services.
 

Figure 1. Functions that survey participants believed telemedicine consultations could perform (n=125)
 
Nearly half of the participants (49.0%) agreed or strongly agreed that telemedicine consultations were appropriate during the COVID-19 pandemic (Fig 2). More than half (61.0%) of the participants reported satisfaction with telemedicine consultations (‘agree’ or ‘strongly agree’) and services provided by clinic staff (73.8% responded ‘agree’ or ‘strongly agree’). However, only 36.2% agreed or strongly agreed that service quality was identical between telemedicine consultations and in-person consultations.
 

Figure 2. Participant responses concerning whether telemedicine consultations were appropriate during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic (n=141)
 
Household capacity for potential coronavirus disease 2019–related quarantine
Household capacities for potential COVID-19—related quarantine were compared between telemedicine users in this study and respondents in the prior Hong Kong general public telephone survey20 (Table 2). Telemedicine users reported having less space at home, fewer masks, fewer gloves, and less detergent for potential quarantine situations, compared with respondents in the Hong Kong general public telephone survey (all P<0.05).
 

Table 2. Household preventative measures for coronavirus disease 2019
 
In response to the question ‘How many designated caregivers are appropriate for each isolated/quarantined person?’, telemedicine users were less likely to answer correctly (limit to one main carer, 8.1%), compared with respondents in the Hong Kong general public telephone survey (51.3%)20 [P<0.001, Chi squared with continuity correction].
 
Perceptions of coronavirus disease 2019 preparedness
Most telemedicine users (76.4%) believed that household prevention could prevent COVID-19; approximately 67% of them believed that they had sufficient knowledge to manage COVID-19—related health risks. These percentages were higher than the percentages in the Hong Kong general public telephone survey20 (Table 3). Additionally, >80% of telemedicine users believed that Hong Kong had achieved better control of COVID-19, compared with other major cities.
 

Table 3. Comparison of telemedicine users and the Hong Kong general public in terms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)–related perceptions and communication channels
 
Regarding their main channel for infectious disease information, approximately 64% of participants were using the internet or mobile applications, whereas 24% were using television; these percentages differed from the Hong Kong general public telephone survey, in which 56.5% of respondents used the internet or mobile applications and 36.2% used television20 (P<0.001). Overall, telemedicine users preferred their main channel for infectious disease information to be the internet or mobile applications and personal sources (eg, family, friends, or healthcare professionals).
 
Discussion
This study demonstrated high satisfaction with telemedicine consultations among users and revealed that users considered telemedicine to be appropriate during the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the perception that telemedicine users have sufficient knowledge to manage health risks from COVID-19, when responses were compared between telemedicine users and the Hong Kong general public, we found that household preventative measures were inadequate among telemedicine users.
 
Acceptance of telemedicine
Most of our telemedicine users did not agree that quality was identical between telemedicine consultations and in-person consultations. This perspective possibly resulted from the provision of telemedicine consultations via telephone without a video component; moreover, the users might not have been familiar with the concept of telemedicine consultation. Indeed, a 2014 nationwide survey in the US revealed that only 15% of family physicians reported using telemedicine in the previous year; barriers included a lack of training, a lack of reimbursement, the cost of equipment, and potential liability issues.21 Furthermore, Schwamm22 has described telemedicine as a disruptive technology that may threaten traditional healthcare delivery. Obstacles to the expansion of telemedicine in the US include state-level statutes that require the clinician to be located in the same state as the patient and to have previously completed an in-person consultation with that patient.23 Similar regulatory requirements exist in Hong Kong.24
 
Various studies in the US have detected increasing uptake of telemedicine, particularly in primary care.25 26 27 28 29 A study of telemedicine users in a large commercially insured population in the US from 2005 to 2017 showed that the mean age was 38.3 years; on average, users of primary care telemedicine were younger than users of telemental healthcare and more likely to reside in urban areas.25 A study regarding Teladoc, one of the largest telemedicine providers in the US, revealed that Teladoc users were younger and less likely to have used healthcare before the introduction of Teladoc; they were also less likely to have a follow-up visit in any setting, compared with patients who visited a clinic for a similar condition.26 These findings are consistent with our observations that most telemedicine users were young; they also suggest that the use of telemedicine services can provide opportunities for healthcare access that are not otherwise available.
 
Household preparations for coronavirus disease 2019
Intriguingly, although more telemedicine users agreed that household preparation could prevent COVID-19, they were less likely to believe that their household preventative measures were adequate, compared with respondents in the Hong Kong general public telephone survey.20 This disparity may be attributed to differences in participant characteristics: telemedicine users in this study were younger (51% aged 18-24 years, vs 9% in the Hong Kong general public20), were male (56% vs 47%20), and were living in the New Territories (65% vs 51%20). Telemedicine users were also more likely to use the internet (64% vs 57%20) as the main channel for infectious disease information and to prefer using the internet for such information (62% vs 54%20). These findings have important implications for the use of telemedicine to fill gaps in health promotion and disease prevention. Wu et al30 found that secondary cases from household transmission of COVID-19 were common in Zhuhai, China, and one-third of these secondary cases were asymptomatic. Sufficient household preparation measures are needed to limit the spread of COVID-19.31
 
Future use of telemedicine in Hong Kong
Telemedicine in Hong Kong had a ‘late start’ (in 1994); in 1998, Hjelm32 predicted that the telemedicine would be rapidly implemented in Hong Kong. However, in the December 2019 version of the Ethical Guidelines on Practice of Telemedicine by the Medical Council of Hong Kong, it was noted that telemedicine in Hong Kong has not fully developed.24 Despite the obvious convenience benefit and reduced risk of COVID-19 transmission, the guidelines remind practitioners that they remain fully responsible for legal and ethical obligations during telemedicine consultations.24 Furthermore, the guidelines mention that standards of care to protect patients are applicable during in-person and telemedicine consultations; practitioners should familiarise themselves with the World Medical Association Statement on the Ethics of Telemedicine.33
 
Training and patient assessment guidelines for healthcare practitioners are urgently needed, considering the unique circumstances surrounding the use of telemedicine, such as technology (eg, technical limitations of virtual consultations, including assessments), patient education and informed consent, cybersecurity, and other concerns.6 These guidelines would ensure that the same standards of telemedicine consultations can be implemented, as described by the Medical Council of Hong Kong.
 
Limitations
The present study focused on 141 telemedicine users of a single private clinic providing deep throat saliva polymerase chain reaction tests for detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; thus, the study participants may not be representative of all telemedicine users in Hong Kong. Responder bias may have affected the results (the response rate was 75.4%), but it was not possible to compare participants with individuals who refused to participate. Furthermore, the recent experience of a telemedicine consultation may have biased participants’ responses in favour of telemedicine.
 
Concerning the comparison of COVID-19 risk perception and preparedness measures, methodological discrepancies between the online survey of telemedicine users and the telephone survey of the Hong Kong general public may have led to differences in responses, particularly with respect to including younger and more computer-literate individuals in the online survey. Although the present study was conducted from 6 April to 11 May 2020 (after a surge of COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong), the Hong Kong general public telephone survey used for comparison was conducted from 22 March to 1 April 2020 (during a surge in COVID-19 cases).20 The difference in data collection periods may have contributed to different perceptions of COVID-19 preparedness. Various physical distancing measures were implemented during the COVID-19 surge (from late March to early April), which may also have contributed to differences between the telephone survey and online survey cohorts.
 
Finally, because of sample size limitations and problems with representativeness, the findings of the study may be restricted to understanding views regarding telemedicine consultations among participants in the present study. However, factors such as young age, residence in private housing, and residence in the New Territories may have contributed to response bias; because no information was collected concerning occupation, education level, income, or ethnicity, we could not control for bias related to these factors.
 
Conclusion
In this study, telemedicine users in Hong Kong agreed that telemedicine consultations were appropriate during the COVID-19 pandemic. Participants agreed that telemedicine consultations could perform the functions of health protection, promotion, disease prevention, and diagnosis. The use of telemedicine for screening and patient education can be encouraged during the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: KKC Hung, EYY Chan, JCY Wu.
Acquisition of data: KKC Hung, JCY Wu, CA Graham.
Analysis or interpretation of data: KKC Hung, EYY Chan, ESK Lo, Z Huang.
Drafting of the manuscript: All authors.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: KKC Hung.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Survey and Behavioural Research Ethics Committee of The Chinese University of Hong Kong (Ref No.: SBRE-19-730). Patients were treated in accordance with the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki and provided written informed consent for all treatments and procedures, as well as publication of their anonymised data.
 
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Risks and impacts of thromboembolism in patients with pancreatic cancer

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Oct;29(5):396–403 | Epub 4 Oct 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE  CME
Risks and impacts of thromboembolism in patients with pancreatic cancer
Landon L Chan, MB, ChB1 #; KY Lam, LMCHK, FHKAM (Medicine)2 #; Daisy CM Lam, MB, BS, FHKAM (Radiology)1; YM Lau, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)1; L Li, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)1; Kelvin KC Ng, MB, BS, PhD3; Raymond SY Tang, MD4; Stephen L Chan, MD, FHKAM (Medicine)1,5
1 Sir Yue-kong Pao Centre for Cancer, Department of Clinical Oncology, Prince of Wales Hospital, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Medicine, United Christian Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Department of Surgery, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Institute of Digestive Disease, Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
5 State Key Laboratory of Translational Oncology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
# Equal contribution
 
Corresponding author: Prof Stephen L Chan (chanlam_stephen@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: Patients with pancreatic cancer have a high risk of thromboembolism (TE), which may increase mortality. Most relevant studies have been conducted in Western populations. We investigated risk factors for TE in a predominantly Chinese population of patients with pancreatic cancer, along with effects of TE on overall survival.
 
Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients diagnosed with exocrine pancreatic cancer in Prince of Wales Hospital in Hong Kong between 2010 and 2015. Data regarding patient demographics, World Health Organization performance status, stage, treatment, TE-related information, and time of death (if applicable) were retrieved from electronic medical records. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for TE. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression.
 
Results: In total, 365 patients were included in the study. The overall incidence of TE (14.8%) was lower than in Western populations. In univariate logistic regression analysis, stage IV disease and non-head pancreatic cancer were significantly associated with TE (both P=0.01). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that stage IV disease was a significant risk factor (odds ratio=1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.00-1.17; P=0.046). Median overall survival did not significantly differ between patients with and without TE (4.88 months vs 7.80 months, hazard ratio=1.08, 95% CI=0.80-1.49; P=0.58) and between patients with TE who received anticoagulation treatment or not (5.63 months vs 4.77 months, hazard ratio=0.72, 95% CI=0.40-1.29; P=0.27).
 
Conclusion: The incidence of TE was low in our Chinese cohort. Stage IV disease increased the risk of TE. Overall survival was not affected by TE or its treatment.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • The incidence of thromboembolic events in patients with pancreatic cancer was lower in our Chinese cohort than in previous studies involving Western populations.
  • Stage IV disease was associated with a greater risk of thromboembolism.
  • In patients with pancreatic cancer, overall survival was not affected by thromboembolism or its treatment.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • Differences in the incidence and treatment outcomes of thromboembolism between Western and Chinese populations of patients with pancreatic cancer are highlighted.
  • Low-molecular-weight heparin and direct oral anticoagulants are valid options for the treatment of thromboembolism in patients with pancreatic cancer. Treatment decisions should include patient preference, bleeding risk, patient renal function, and life expectancy.
  • Patients with poor general condition (eg, World Health Organization performance status score of 3 to 4) or life expectancy <3 months should not receive anticoagulation treatment for thromboembolism.
 
 
Introduction
The association between malignancy and thromboembolism (TE) was first described more than 100 years ago as ‘migratory thrombophlebitis’, commonly found in patients with visceral cancer.1 Indeed, TE is a common complication in patients with cancer and the second most common cause of death among such patients.2
 
Although the association between TE and pancreatic cancer is well established, its effects on overall survival remain unclear. The results of studies conducted in Western countries generally support the notion that TE is associated with worse overall survival.3 4 For example, a recent large retrospective study in France demonstrated a statistically significant decrease in overall survival of 2.9 months among patients with TE, compared with patients who did not exhibit TE.3 In contrast, studies involving Asian populations tend to show similar overall survival in patients with and without TE.5 6 7 Furthermore, among the published retrospective studies concerning the incidence of TE in Asian patients with pancreatic cancer, very few data have focused on the impact of TE in Chinese patients with pancreatic cancer.
 
In this study, we aimed to investigate the incidence of TE among patients with pancreatic cancer in our centre, where >99% of patients are Chinese; explore risk factors associated with the development of TE; and assess the prognostic impact of TE.
 
Methods
Design
This retrospective study included patients with a histological diagnosis of exocrine pancreatic cancer who were treated at the Department of Clinical Oncology of Prince of Wales Hospital in Hong Kong between 2010 and 2015; eligible patients were identified by a review of electronic medical records. If histological findings were unavailable because of the clinician’s decision to omit biopsy evaluation, patients were identified using clinical diagnoses based on radiological findings and substantial elevation of the level of serum marker carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) (ie, >500 IU/mL). Patients were excluded if they had an atypical clinical presentation (eg, normal CA 19-9 level) or histological findings of non-exocrine pancreatic malignancies, such as neuroendocrine tumour or metastatic disease.
 
Study procedures
The following data were extracted from each patient’s electronic and physical medical records: (1) demographics (sex and age); (2) World Health Organization (WHO) performance status score (0: able to perform normal activities without restriction; 1: ambulatory and able to perform light work with limitations on strenuous activities; 2: ambulatory [>50% of waking hours] and capable of self-care but unable to perform any work activities; 3: symptomatic and in a chair or bed for >50% of the day but not bedridden; 4: completely disabled [bedridden] and unable to perform any self-care); (3) disease stage (according to the seventh edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer tumour-node-metastasis staging system); (4) site of disease (head, neck, body, or tail); (5) CA 19-9 level at diagnosis; and (6) initial treatment (surgery, chemoradiotherapy, chemotherapy, or supportive care). Any occurrences of TE (venous, arterial, or both) were recorded from the time of diagnosis until death or last follow-up; the site of thrombosis (lung, lower limb, multiple, or other) and type of anticoagulation treatment were also recorded. After data entry, all patient data were verified by two authors (LL Chan and KY Lam) under the supervision of the corresponding author (SL Chan). Each patient’s survival status was last updated on 31 October 2019.
 
Statistical analyses
Patient factors (eg, age, sex, WHO performance status, and initial treatment), tumour-related factors (eg, histological diagnosis status, CA 19-9 level at diagnosis, stage, and site) and TE-related factors (eg, type and site) were summarised as numbers and percentages for categorical variables, and as medians and interquartile ranges for continuous variables. The Wilcoxon rank-sum test and Chi squared test were used to identify variables associated with the development of TE. Variables that displayed statistical significance in univariate analysis were included in multivariable analysis. Age and sex were included in multivariable analysis as adjustment variables because they are known risk factors for the development of TE in patients with cancer, as well as standard clinical variables commonly included in such analyses.8 9 10 Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were performed to evaluate the relationship between overall survival and TE. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. All analyses were performed with R version 3.5.1.11
 
Results
Study population
In total, 365 patients (217 [59.5%] men and 148 [40.5%] women; median age, 65 years [interquartile range=57-72]) were included in the study; baseline characteristics are summarised in Table 1. Of these patients, 268 (73.4%) had WHO performance status score of 0 to 1, whereas 97 (26.6%) scored 2 to 4. Furthermore, 219 patients (60.0%) had a histologically confirmed diagnosis; the remaining 146 patients (40.0%) were diagnosed by radiological and serological modalities. In terms of tumour staging, 171 patients (46.8%) had stage I to III disease; 194 patients (53.2%) had stage IV disease. The tumour location was at the pancreatic head in 203 patients (55.6%) and other sites (neck, body, or tail) in 162 patients (44.4%). Initial treatment was surgery in 78 patients (21.4%), chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy in 153 patients (41.9%), and supportive care in 134 patients (36.7%). Additional details are provided in Table 1.
 

Table 1. Patient demographic data
 
Risk of thromboembolism
Among the 54 patients (14.8%) who developed TE, 32 (59.3%) had venous TE, 18 (33.3%) had arterial TE, and four (7.4%) had both. Lower limbs were the most common sites of thrombosis, with 55.6% of all thromboembolic events. Furthermore, three patients (5.6%) had pulmonary embolism. These findings are summarised in Table 2.
 

Table 2. Distribution of thromboembolic events (n=54)
 
Predictors and prognosis of thromboembolism
In univariate analysis, non-head pancreatic cancer (P=0.01) and stage IV disease (P=0.01) were significantly associated with TE. Other factors such as age at diagnosis, sex, WHO performance status, elevated CA 19-9 level at diagnosis, and initial treatment were not significantly associated with TE (Table 1). Multivariable analysis showed that stage IV disease was a significant risk factor (odds ratio=1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.00-1.17; P=0.046) [Table 3]. Median overall survival times in patients with and without TE were 4.88 months and 7.80 months, respectively (Fig 1); the difference between groups was not statistically significant (hazard ratio =1.08, 95% CI=0.80-1.49; P=0.58). Among patients with TE, median overall survival was not affected by anticoagulation treatment (no anticoagulation=4.77 months vs anticoagulation=5.63 months, hazard ratio=0.72, 95% CI=0.40-1.29; P=0.27) [Fig 2].
 

Table 3. Multivariable analysis of risk factors for thromboembolism
 

Fig 1. Kaplan-Meier survival curves for patients with and without events of thromboembolism (TE) [P=0.58]
 

Fig 2. Kaplan-Meier survival curves for patients with thromboembolic events who did and did not receive anticoagulation treatment (P=0.27)
 
Discussion
In the present study, approximately 15% of patients with pancreatic cancer developed TE. Lower limbs were the most frequent sites of TE, and venous TE was the most common type. In univariate analysis, both the site (non-head) and stage (IV) of disease were significantly associated with TE; multivariable analysis revealed that stage IV disease was a significant risk factor for TE.
 
There is considerable evidence of an association between pancreatic cancer and TE. In the first case series describing the relationship between TE and cancer, the incidence of TE was 60% in patients with pancreatic cancer, whereas it was 15% to 30% among patients with other malignancies.12 Several pathological processes have been implicated in this association.13 First, pancreatic cancer is characterised by high expression levels of tissue factor, which triggers the extrinsic coagulation pathway leading to thrombin formation. Second, the release of tumour-associated microvesicles promotes hypercoagulability and activates platelet aggregation. Third, the establishment of neutrophil extracellular traps secondary to neutrophil activation generates a matrix for platelet and tumour-associated microvesicle adhesion, resulting in blood clot formation.
 
Thromboembolism incidence of around 15% in our cohort is similar to that reported in other studies of Asian populations5 6 7 but lower than that in most Western populations (Table 4).3 4 14 The figures ranged from 20% to 40% in Western populations and 8% to 18% in Asian populations. Consistent with the findings in other studies of Asian populations, we observed no difference in overall survival between patients with and without TE. However, the literature suggests that, in Western populations, overall survival is affected by TE (Table 4).
 

Table 4. Recent studies of thromboembolism incidence in patients with pancreatic cancer
 
Taken together, these findings support the hypothesis that TE incidences and outcomes are influenced by genetic and environmental differences between Western and Asian populations. For example, genetic variants in the clotting cascade (eg, factor V Leiden and thrombin gene G20210A) reportedly increase the risk of TE.15 These variants are much more prevalent in Western populations than in Asian populations.16 The resulting relative hypercoagulability may be one of the main reasons for the higher background incidence of TE in Western populations than in Asian populations.17 Another factor that may contribute to the difference in TE incidence between the two populations is obesity, an established risk factor for TE that is more common in Western populations.18
 
With respect to TE and pancreatic cancer prognosis, survival appears to be inherently longer in Western populations than in Asian populations (Table 4). Considering the aggressive nature of pancreatic cancer, it is possible that patients with shorter survival (eg, patients in Asian populations) do not live long enough to benefit from treatment of TE, whereas patients with longer survival (eg, patients in Western populations) experience a survival benefit from treatment of TE. Indeed, in a recent systematic review regarding the treatment outcomes of FOLFIRINOX and gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel in patients with pancreatic cancer, Lee et al19 showed that, compared with Asian populations, Western populations experienced a greater survival benefit from FOLFIRINOX (ie, standard treatment for metastatic pancreatic cancer) but a smaller survival benefit from gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (which was not available to our patients during the present study). Therefore, a reasonable assumption is that anticoagulation can prolong survival in Western populations among patients treated with FOLFIRINOX. Further studies are needed to determine whether any subgroup of Asian patients with pancreatic cancer can benefit from the treatment of TE.
 
In univariate analysis, both non-head pancreatic cancer and metastatic disease were associated with the development of TE. However, in multivariable analysis, the association with non-head pancreatic cancer disappeared; metastatic disease was the sole risk factor for TE. This is not surprising—non-head pancreatic cancer is often detected at a late stage because clinical symptoms (eg, biliary obstruction) do not occur until the tumour becomes quite large. Therefore, the association of TE with non-head pancreatic cancer is mainly related to the advanced stage of disease. This finding is also consistent with the results of previous studies in which non-head pancreatic cancer was frequently detected at a later stage of disease.3 20
 
In the present study, we found that metastatic disease was a risk factor for TE, which is consistent with the results of previous studies.20 21 22 23 The underlying pathophysiological mechanisms involve multiple factors. For example, an advanced stage of disease is often associated with a higher tumour burden and bulky metastases, which can compress blood vessels and inhibit blood flow. Higher tumour burden can also affect WHO performance status, resulting in decreased mobility and bedridden status.
 
During the present study, most of our patients received low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) as treatment for cancer-associated TE, based on the results of the 2003 CLOT (Comparison of Low-molecular-weight heparin versus Oral anticoagulant Therapy for the Prevention of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism in Patients with Cancer) trial in which LMWH demonstrated superior efficacy in preventing recurrent TE compared with coumarins (eg, warfarin) while maintaining a similar risk of bleeding.24 Recent studies have shown that direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) such as edoxaban25 and apixaban26 are non-inferior to LMWH as secondary prophylaxis for TE with similar safety profiles. Accordingly, both LMWH and DOACs are valid options for the treatment of TE in patients with pancreatic cancer. This approach is consistent with the latest National Comprehensive Cancer Network 2021 guidelines.27 Although LMWH and DOACs demonstrate similar efficacy in preventing recurrent TE, other factors to consider in drug selection include baseline renal function, patient preference, ease of administration, risk of bleeding (eg, by tumour infiltration into the upper gastrointestinal tract), and availability of antidotes that can reverse anticoagulation.
 
Considering the overall poor prognosis of pancreatic cancer and the lack of an overall survival benefit associated with anticoagulation treatment of TE, factors such as quality of life should be considered when deciding whether to initiate or discontinue anticoagulation treatment. It is important to have clear discussions with patients regarding the risks and benefits of anticoagulation, particularly during the management of aggressive malignancies such as pancreatic cancer, where the life expectancy is often only months or weeks. Anticoagulation treatment, such as LMWH, may cause subcutaneous injection–related discomfort and carries an increased risk of bleeding, but the therapeutic effects of anticoagulation may relieve symptoms of TE (eg, calf swelling and dyspnoea). In a retrospective study of 128 patients with cancer-associated venous TE, Napolitano et al28 analysed the effects of anticoagulation on quality of life using the EORTC-C30 questionnaire; they found that long-term LMWH was not associated with worse quality of life. However, patients approaching the end of life often prefer to minimise their medication intake.29 In our clinic, we tend not to administer anticoagulation treatment if a patient’s life expectancy is <3 months or whose WHO status score is 3 to 4. This approach is consistent with the patient populations in recent clinical trials comparing the efficacies of DOACs and LMWH in the treatment of cancer-associated TE; patients with poor WHO performance status and short life expectancy were excluded from those trials.25 26
 
Limitations
This study had a few limitations. First, its retrospective nature may have permitted bias related to missing data and the possibility of asymptomatic TE. However, TE tends to be symptomatic in patients with cancer; thus, it is unlikely that events were missed. Additionally, analyses of symptomatic TE are more relevant to real-world clinical practice. Second, the overall survival time of patients in the present study was worse than the survival times reported in randomised clinical trials of patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer.30 31 This discrepancy may have occurred because our study cohort was representative of real-world patients who more frequently have reduced liver function and worse WHO performance status. It may also be related to the absence of more effective chemotherapy (eg, nab-paclitaxel) during the study period.
 
Conclusion
In conclusion, this study demonstrated that the incidence of TE was around 15% in Chinese patients with pancreatic cancer. Notably, the presence of TE was not associated with worse overall survival, and metastatic disease increased the risk of TE.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: LL Chan, KY Lam, SL Chan.
Acquisition of data: All authors.
Analysis or interpretation of data: LL Chan, DCM Lam, KY Lam, SL Chan.
Drafting of the manuscript: LL Chan, SL Chan.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors.
 
Conflicts of interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This study protocol was approved by the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee (Ref No.: 2016.730). Informed patient consent was waived by the Committee due to the retrospective nature of the research.
 
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19. Lee YS, Lee JC, Kim JH, Kim J, Hwang JH. Pharmacoethnicity of FOLFIRINOX versus gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel in metastatic pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sci Rep 2021;11:20152. Crossref
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Twenty-eight–day mortality among patients with severe or critical COVID-19 in Hong Kong during the early stages of the pandemic

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Oct;29(5):383–95 | Epub 28 Sep 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE  CME
Twenty-eight–day mortality among patients with severe or critical COVID-19 in Hong Kong during the early stages of the pandemic
Abram JY Chan, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)1; KC Lung, MB, BS, FRCP1; Judianna SY Yu, MB, BS, FHKAM (Medicine)2; HP Shum, MB, BS, MD3; TY Tsang, MB, ChB, FRCP4
1 Department of Medicine, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Medicine and Geriatrics, Ruttonjee and Tang Shiu Kin Hospitals, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Intensive Care, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
4 Department of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr Abram JY Chan (cjy548@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: In 2020, patients with critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) had a 28-day mortality rate of 30% to 50% worldwide; outcomes among such patients in Hong Kong were unknown. This study investigated 28-day mortality and corresponding risk factors among patients with severe or critical COVID-19 in Hong Kong.
 
Methods: This retrospective cohort study included adult patients with severe or critical COVID-19 who were admitted to three public hospitals in Hong Kong from 22 January to 30 September 2020. Demographics, comorbidities, symptoms, treatment, and outcomes were examined.
 
Results: Among 125 patients with severe or critical COVID-19, 15 (12.0%) died within 28 days. Overall, the median patient age was 64 years; 48.0% and 54.4% of patients had hypertension and obesity, respectively. Respiratory samples were confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 RNA–positive after a median of 3 days. The most common presenting symptom was fever (80.0% of patients); 45.6% and 32.8% of patients received care in intensive care unit and required mechanical ventilation, respectively. In logistic regression analysis comparing 28-day survivors and non-survivors, factors associated with greater 28-day mortality were older age (odds ratio [OR] per 1-year increase in age=1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.04-1.21; P=0.002), history of stroke (OR=15.96, 95% CI=1.65-154.66; P=0.017), use of renal replacement therapy (OR=15.32, 95% CI=2.67- 87.83; P=0.002), and shorter duration of lopinavirritonavir treatment (OR per 1-day increase=0.82, 95% CI=0.68-0.98; P=0.034).
 
Conclusion: The 28-day mortality rate among patients with severe or critical COVID-19 in Hong Kong was 12.0%. Older age, history of stroke, use of renal replacement therapy, and shorter duration of lopinavir-ritonavir treatment were independent predictors of 28-day mortality.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • The 28-day mortality rate among patients with severe or critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was lower in this study than in other studies.
  • Older age, history of stroke, use of acute renal replacement therapy, and shorter duration of lopinavir-ritonavir were independent predictors of 28-day mortality among patients with severe or critical COVID-19.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • The risk of COVID-19-related mortality is greater among patients who are older, have a history of stroke, require acute renal replacement therapy, and have a shorter course of lopinavir-ritonavir.
  • Future studies with larger sample sizes, focused on viral and host factors such as spike gene mutations and interferon-1 immunity status, may help optimise prognosis prediction.
 
 
Introduction
Because of its close geographical proximity to mainland China, Hong Kong was one of the first regions outside of the Mainland to be affected by the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemics.1 Since 2020, Hong Kong experienced an initial epidemic wave of imported COVID-19 cases and spillover effects, as well as subsequent epidemic waves of imported COVID-19 cases and associated local transmission.
 
The COVID-19 epidemic has resulted in millions of deaths worldwide. By late 2020, there had been multiple country-level analyses in other regions; however, there were limited data concerning outcomes among patients with severe or critical COVID-19 in Hong Kong.2 This study analysed 28-day mortality in these patients and explored risk factors for mortality among them during the first several months of the COVID-19 pandemic.
 
Methods
Study design and data collection
This retrospective multi-centre cohort study included all adult patients aged ≥18 years with severe or critical COVID-19 who were admitted to the medical wards or intensive care units (ICUs) of three public acute hospitals in Hong Kong from 22 January to 30 September 2020. The three hospitals were Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Princess Margaret Hospital, and Ruttonjee and Tang Shiu Kin Hospitals.
 
Patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 if their respiratory samples contained severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA, according to reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) analysis. Respiratory samples included nasopharyngeal aspirate, nasopharyngeal swab, nasopharyngeal aspirate or swab paired with throat swab, or deep throat saliva. Coronavirus disease 2019 grade was considered mild, severe, or critical, in accordance with the guidelines of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.3 Severe COVID-19 was characterised by dyspnoea, respiratory rate of ≥30 breaths/minute, blood oxygen saturation <94%, ratio of arterial oxygen partial pressure to fractional inspired oxygen (P/F ratio) <300, and/or a 50% increase in lung infiltrates within 2 days.3 Critical COVID-19 was characterised by respiratory failure, septic shock, and/or multiple organ dysfunction or failure.3
 
Hong Kong experienced three epidemic waves during the study period.4 The first epidemic wave, from mid-January to early March 2020, occurred after travellers from mainland China arrived in Hong Kong during the Chinese New Year. The second epidemic wave occurred when Hong Kong residents returned from overseas during the Easter Holiday, from mid-March to May 2020. The third epidemic wave extended from early July until late September 2020; disease transmission may have originated among commercial airline crews.4 Cases were classified as imported or local by the Centre for Health Protection within the Department of Health. Medical comorbidities were defined according to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision. Comorbidities were selected based on the STOP-COVID (Study of the Treatment and Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19) in the US, which analysed critical COVID-19 cases at 65 ICUs.5
 
All medical records and data from the Clinical Management System of Hospital Authority and Clinical Information System (IntelliVue Clinical Information Portfolio; Philips Medical, Amsterdam, Netherlands) used by the ICUs were retrospectively reviewed. Upper respiratory tract infection (URI)–related symptoms included cough, rhinorrhoea, and sore throat. For patients admitted to the ICU, disease grade on admission was determined using the APACHE IV (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV) score and the SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) score. For patients requiring mechanical ventilatory support, disease grade was determined by the P/F ratio on the day of intubation. Blood test parameters included minimum lymphocyte count, maximum C-reactive protein level, maximum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, and maximum alanine aminotransferase level. Clinical outcome data included the use of oxygen supplementation, mechanical ventilation, vasopressor or inotrope, renal replacement therapy (RRT), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation, as well as mortality and length of stay in the ICU and hospital. Patients were followed up until death or 31 March 2021, whichever occurred earlier.
 
The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included length of stay and mortality in the ICU and hospital, duration of oxygen supplementation and mechanical ventilatory support, and time to viral clearance or time to development of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. Viral clearance was defined as the collection of two consecutive respiratory samples at least 24 hours apart that were both SARS-CoV-2–negative, according to RT-PCR analysis. Cycle threshold (Ct) value indicated the number of RT-PCR cycles required to amplify the viral RNA to a detectable level; this value was inversely related to viral load.6 Minimum Ct values were recorded to determine maximum viral load. Each patient’s blood was collected and qualitatively tested for antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 (ie, antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 nucleoprotein) using the Abbott SARS-CoV-2 Immunoglobulin G assay. Patients were generally released from isolation when they met the requirement for viral clearance or when they displayed serum antibodies, in accordance with recommendations from the Scientific Committee on Emerging and Zoonotic Diseases under the Centre for Health Protection within the Department of Health.7
 
Statistical analysis
The clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with severe or critical COVID-19 were compared between 28-day survivors and non-survivors. Subgroup analysis was performed among patients who received ICU care between 28-day survivors and non-survivors; it was also performed among patients whose laboratory reports provided information regarding viral load (ie, Ct values) in respiratory samples. The frequencies of these characteristics and outcomes were expressed as medians ± interquartile ranges (IQRs) or as numbers of patients and corresponding percentages.
 
Based on the population of patients with COVID-19 (n=5080) in Hong Kong on 29 September 2020, where 351 patients had ever displayed serious or critical disease, the prevalence of outcome factors in this patient population was 6.9%. Using a confidence limit of 5% and a design effect of 2, the sample sizes required to achieve statistical powers of 80% and 90% were 84 patients and 138 patients, respectively.
 
For univariate analyses, the Pearson Chi squared test or Fisher’s exact test was used to compare categorical variables; the Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare continuous variables. Variables with a P value of <0.1 in univariate analyses were included in subsequent multivariable analyses. Independent predictors of 28-day mortality were assessed by logistic regression analysis using a forward stepwise approach. Considering the potential for unstable or extreme estimates because of the small sample sizes in subgroup analyses, logistic regression was not performed. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS (Windows version 23.0; IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], US).
 
Results
Study population
From 22 January to 30 September 2020, 1312 adult patients with COVID-19 were admitted to Princess Margaret Hospital, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, and Ruttonjee and Tang Shiu Kin Hospitals. In total, 125 patients had severe or critical COVID-19.
 
Baseline characteristics
The median age was 64 years (IQR=57-75); 69.6% of the patients were men and 93.6% were Chinese (Table 1). In total, 68.8% of the patients were admitted in the third epidemic wave and 86.4% acquired COVID-19 in Hong Kong. Almost half of the patients had hypertension or obesity (48.0% and 54.4%, respectively); 27.2% of patients had diabetes mellitus, and 21.6% had ever smoked. The median duration of symptoms before respiratory samples were confirmed SARS-CoV-2–positive was 3 days. The most common presenting symptom was fever (80.0%), followed by URI-related symptoms (64.8%). Overall, 5.6% of the patients were asymptomatic before their positive test result.
 

Table 1. Characteristics and outcomes of patients with severe or critical coronavirus disease 2019 in Hong Kong
 
Interventions
As shown in Table 1, 60% to 80% of patients received lopinavir-ritonavir, ribavirin, interferon beta-1b, or corticosteroids. Nearly half of the patients (48.8%) received anticoagulation treatment; <20% received remdesivir, tocilizumab, or convalescent plasma. More than 80% of the patients received antibiotics during hospitalisation. In total, 45.6% of the patients received ICU care. One patient received non-invasive ventilation, 41 patients (32.8%) received mechanical ventilation, and 11 patients (8.8%) received prone ventilation. Only one patient required extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Approximately one-fourth of the patients required vasopressor support; 14 patients (11.2%) received acute RRT.
 
Outcomes
Fifteen patients (12%) died within 28 days (Table 1). Four additional patients died during hospitalisation; thus, the overall hospital mortality rate among patients with severe or critical COVID-19 was 15.2%. The median hospital length of stay was 21.8 days (IQR=15-31.8) and the median duration of oxygen supplementation was 7 days (IQR=4-12.5).
 
Comparison between 28-day survivors and non-survivors
Twenty-eight–day non-survivors were older than 28-day survivors (84 years [IQR=71-86] vs 62 years [IQR=56-71.3]; P<0.001) and more frequently had a history of ischaemic heart disease (26.7% vs 5.5%; P=0.019) or stroke (26.7% vs 4.5%; P=0.012). Moreover, non-survivors had a shorter duration of symptoms before RT-PCR confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 positivity in respiratory samples (1 day [IQR=1-2] vs 3 days [IQR=1-6]; P=0.014); fewer non-survivors displayed URI-related symptoms (33.3% vs 69.1%; P=0.010). Non-survivors had a higher maximum C-reactive protein level (209 mg/L [IQR=82-248] vs 103 mg/L [IQR=63.6-153.5]; P=0.031); they more frequently received mechanical ventilation (66.7% vs 28.2%; P=0.006), acute RRT (40.0% vs 7.3%; P=0.002), and vasopressor support (66.7% vs 19.1%; P<0.001). Finally, non-survivors received a shorter duration of lopinavir-ritonavir treatment (1 day [IQR=0-2] vs 6 days [IQR=0.75-11]; P=0.007) [Table 1].
 
Independent predictors of 28-day mortality
Logistic regression analysis revealed that age (odds ratio [OR] per 1-year increase in age=1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.04-1.21; P=0.002), history of stroke (OR=15.96, 95% CI=1.65-154.66; P=0.017), use of acute RRT (OR=15.32, 95% CI=2.67-87.83; P=0.002), and lopinavir-ritonavir duration (OR per 1-day increase=0.82, 95% CI=0.68-0.98; P=0.034) were independent predictors of 28-day mortality (Table 2).
 

Table 2. Independent predictors of 28-day mortality according to logistic regression analysis
 
Subgroup analysis of intensive care unit patients
Comparison between 28-day survivors and nonsurvivors
Among the 57 patients admitted to the ICU, nine died; the ICU mortality rate was 15.8% (Table 3). The median ICU length of stay was 9.6 days (IQR=4.6-14.9). Univariate analysis demonstrated that 28-day non-survivors were older; more frequently had a history of ischaemic heart disease or stroke; had a shorter duration of symptoms; less frequently presented with URI-related symptoms; more frequently received mechanical ventilation, acute RRT, and vasopressor support; and received a shorter course of lopinavir-ritonavir treatment. Other significant differences between non-survivors and survivors were the minimum lymphocyte count (0.32 × 109/L [IQR=0.17-0.4] vs 0.4 × 109/L [IQR=0.3-0.6]; P=0.042), maximum LDH level (706 U/L [IQR=492.2-5255.5] vs 474.5 U/L [IQR=406.3-616]; P=0.043), anticoagulation duration (8 days [IQR=3- 10] vs 12.5 days [IQR=7.5-26.8]; P=0.045), APACHE IV score upon ICU admission (83 [IQR=64.5-98] vs 54.5 [IQR=46-61.8]; P<0.001), and SOFA score upon ICU admission (10 [IQR=5.5-13] vs 4 [IQR=3-5.8]; P=0.001).
 

Table 3. Clinical characteristics and outcomes among patients who received care in intensive care unit compared between 28-day survivors and non-survivors
 
P/F ratio and duration of ventilation
The median P/F ratio on the day of intubation was 94.1 (IQR=81.9-117.7) for patients with COVID-19 requiring mechanical ventilation, and the median duration of ventilation for all ICU patients with COVID-19 was 8.5 days (IQR=5-18); these values were similar between survivors and non-survivors (Table 3).
 
Subgroup analysis of cycle threshold values
As shown in Table 4, 28-day non-survivors were older and more frequently had a history of ischaemic heart disease or stroke; fewer of them had URI-related symptoms (36.4% vs 68.8%; P=0.010). Non-survivors more frequently received mechanical ventilation (81.8% vs 29.9%; P=0.001), acute RRT (45.5% vs 7.8%; P=0.004), and vasopressor support (81.8% vs 23.4%; P<0.001); they received a shorter course of lopinavir-ritonavir treatment (1 day [IQR=0-2] vs 6 days [IQR=0.75-11]; P=0.010). Additionally, non-survivors had a lower minimum lymphocyte count (0.37 × 109/L [IQR=0.16-0.4] vs 0.49 × 109/L [IQR=0.3-0.7], P=0.041) and lower minimum Ct value (15.1 [IQR=12.6-18.5] vs 19 [IQR=16.4-22.9]; P=0.004).
 

Table 4. Clinical characteristics and outcomes among patients with available cycle threshold values compared between 28-day survivors and non-survivors
 
Other viral parameters
Among the 125 patients with severe or critical COVID-19, 38 underwent regular monitoring of viral load via RT-PCR analysis of respiratory samples for SARS-CoV-2 RNA; viral clearance was achieved within a median of 26 days (IQR=19-35). Among the 79 patients with access to antibody testing, a median of 14 days (IQR=10-18) was elapsed between the first positive RT-PCR result and the emergence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2.
 
Discussion
Outcomes compared with international data
In this cohort of Hong Kong patients with severe or critical COVID-19, the 28-day mortality rate was 12.0%; it was 15.8% among such patients who were admitted to the ICU. In 2020, higher mortality rates were observed among cohorts in the US (35.4% in the STOP-COVID cohort5), Italy (ICU and hospital mortality rates of 48.8% and 53.4%, respectively8), and China (28-day mortality of 38.7% among severely and critically ill patients9). Patient baseline characteristics were similar across the cohorts—the median age was 60 to 70 years and the most common comorbidity was hypertension (40%-50%).5 8 9 The proportion of patients requiring mechanical ventilation varied across cohorts, ranging from 67% to 87% in the US5 and Italian8 cohorts, whereas it was 30% in the Chinese cohort.9 Overall, 70.2% of patients in our ICU subgroup received mechanical ventilation, which is comparable with the percentages in the US5 and Italy.8 The P/F ratio in our cohort was similar to the ratio in the STOP-COVID (median, 94.1 vs 124),5 reflecting moderate to severe hypoxaemia. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation was required by <3% of patients in our cohort and the three comparison cohorts. In addition to patient factors, non-patient factors (eg, ICU bed availability and patient-to–hospital staff ratio) may affect quality of care and patient outcomes. Among hospitals of the Department of Veterans Affairs in the US, COVID-19 mortality was significantly greater when ICU demand exceeded 75%.10 Hospitals in the US with fewer ICU beds and nurses per COVID-19 case also had greater mortality.11 The relatively low prevalence, limited local transmission, and better ICU availability in Hong Kong may have contributed to the lower mortality rate observed in this study.
 
Independent predictors of 28-day mortality
In our cohort, older age, history of stroke, use of acute RRT, and shorter duration of lopinavir-ritonavir treatment were independent predictors of 28-day mortality. Across studies in 2020, older age was commonly identified as a risk factor for COVID-19 mortality.5 8 9 A history of stroke was also identified as a significant risk factor for COVID-19 mortality in a large cohort study in China; higher neutrophil and interleukin-6 levels were observed in patients with a history of stroke, possibly because of a stronger inflammatory response to COVID-19.12 In an American cohort, the hospital mortality rate was 50% among patients who developed acute kidney injury, and the highest mortality risk was present in patients requiring dialysis.13 In 2020, the mechanism of acute kidney injury was speculated to involve direct viral invasion of renal tissue, considering post-mortem findings in China.14 Such injury was closely related to respiratory failure; in another American cohort, the median time from mechanical ventilation to the initiation of acute RRT was 0.3 hour.15
 
A shorter duration of lopinavir-ritonavir was identified as a risk factor in our cohort. Lopinavir-ritonavir was originally a protease inhibitor for the treatment of human immunodeficiency virus infection.16 In 2020, this repurposed drug was included in treatment recommendations in Hong Kong, where it effectively reduced viral load when used in combination with ribavirin and/or interferon beta-1b16; however, there was no difference in mortality between treatment and control groups as no patient died during the study.16 Two Chinese cohorts did not show significant outcome differences when using lopinavir-ritonavir,17 consistent with interim results from the World Health Organization Solidarity trial.18 Lopinavir-ritonavir treatment has been associated with gastrointestinal upset and liver dysfunction. Our findings may differ from the results of other cohort studies because, in the present study, lopinavir-ritonavir treatment was not administered to patients with severe liver dysfunction or to those who were presumably unable to tolerate side-effects because of their illness. In contrast, up to 80% of the ICU patients in an American cohort received hydroxychloroquine and/or azithromycin,5 despite doubtful efficacy and significant arrhythmia risk with QT prolongation.19 The selection of antiviral treatment may partly explain the differences in mortality among cohorts.
 
Other risk factors based on univariate analysis
Regarding viral load, univariate analysis in our cohort showed that lower minimum Ct values were associated with greater 28-day mortality. In a study at Cornell in the US,6 the SARS-CoV-2 viral load on admission independently predicted the risks of intubation and mortality. In a Brazilian cohort, Ct values of <25 were associated with greater mortality.21 The implications of Ct values may become clearer if patients with mild disease are analysed together.
 
Lymphopenia on admission has been associated with worse outcomes in terms of ICU care requirement and mortality,22 presumably because of the cytokine storm phenomenon and the infection of T cells by SARS-CoV-2,19 which infection of T cells by SARS-CoV-2 was confirmed both in vitro and by flow cytometry and immunofluorescence studies.20 In the present study, the minimum lymphocyte count was significantly lower among 28-day non-survivors in both subgroups. Multi-centre COVID-19 studies have shown that an elevated LDH level is associated with a six-fold increase in the likelihood of severe disease and a 16-fold increase in the likelihood of mortality.24 In the present study, although univariate analysis showed that the maximum LDH level was associated with greater 28-day mortality in the overall cohort, it was not an independent predictor in logistic regression; this finding may have been influenced by the sample size.
 
Strengths
To our knowledge, this large study was the first investigation in Hong Kong concerning the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with severe or critical COVID-19; it included three public acute hospitals and covered three waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong. This study also explored the impacts of viral parameters and treatment modalities on 28-day mortality.
 
Limitations
First, this retrospective study in Hong Kong may have been subject to confounding factors and selection bias. The results may not be generalisable to patients with COVID-19 worldwide. Second, this study lacked information concerning viral parameters (eg, specific SARS-CoV-2 strains or mutations). Third, although some studies showed that inborn errors in type 1 interferon immunity and autoantibodies to type 1 interferons were associated with critical COVID-19,25 26 this study did not explore such factors because patient immunity data were unavailable. Fourth, the use of remdesivir was limited; most treatment courses were solely available to patients enrolled in studies by the pharmaceutical company concerned. Finally, other novel treatment options, including antivirals such as nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and molnupiravir, anti-inflammatory agents such as baricitinib and tocilizumab, and neutralising monoclonal antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, were not available or introduced during the study period. Fifth, the sample size of this study did not reach the statistical powers of 90% and may then not be of high enough power.
 
Conclusion
In this Hong Kong cohort, the 28-day mortality among patients with severe or critical COVID-19 was 12.0%. Age, history of stroke, use of RRT, and shorter course of lopinavir-ritonavir treatment were associated with greater 28-day mortality. In the future, larger studies with a focus on viral and host factors (eg, mutations in SARS-CoV-2 spike genes and interferon-1 immunity status) could improve prognosis prediction.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the concept or design of the study, acquisition of data, analysis or interpretation of data, drafting of the manuscript, and critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Acknowledgement
The authors thank the guidance and support of the following seniors and colleagues: Dr KK Chan from the Department of Medicine of Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Dr Jenny YY Leung and Dr Alwin WT Yeung from the Department of Medicine and Geriatrics of Ruttonjee and Tang Shiu Kin Hospitals, and Dr Dominic HK So from Intensive Care of Princess Margaret Hospital.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
The study protocol was approved by the Hong Kong East Cluster Research Ethics Committee (Ref No.: HKECREC—2020-115) and the Kowloon West Cluster Research Ethics Committee (Ref No.: KW/EX-21-005 [155-05]). The requirement for written informed patient consent was waived by both Committees due to the retrospective nature of the research.
 
References
1. Wong SY, Kwok KO, Chan FK. What can countries learn from Hong Kong’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic? CMAJ 2020;192:E511-5. Crossref
2. Ling L, So C, Shum HP, et al. Critically ill patients with COVID-19 in Hong Kong: a multicentre retrospective observational cohort study. Crit Care Resusc 2020;22:119-25. Crossref
3. Wu Z, McGoogan JM. Characteristics of and important lessons from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in China: summary of a report of 72 314 cases from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. JAMA 2020;323:1239-42. Crossref
4. To KK, Chan WM, Ip JD, et al. Unique clusters of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 causing a large coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak in Hong Kong. Clin Infect Dis 2021;73:137-42. Crossref
5. Gupta S, Hayek SS, Wang W, et al. Factors associated with death in critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 in the US. JAMA Intern Med 2020;180:1436-47. Crossref
6. Magleby R, Westblade LF, Trzebucki A, et al. Impact of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 viral load on risk of intubation and mortality among hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019. Clin Infect Dis 2021;73:e4197-205. Crossref
7. Scientific Committee on Emerging and Zoonotic Diseases, Centre for Health Protection, Hong Kong SAR Government. Updated consensus recommendations on criteria for releasing confirmed COVID-19 patients from isolation (July 29, 2020). Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/updated_consensus_recommendations_on_criteria_for_releasing_confirmed_covid19_patients_from_isolation29july2020.pdf. Accessed 1 Oct 2020.
8. Grasselli G, Greco M, Zanella A, et al. Risk factors associated with mortality among patients with COVID-19 in intensive care units in Lombardy, Italy. JAMA Intern Med 2020;180:1345-55. Crossref
9. Yang X, Yu Y, Xu J, et al. Clinical course and outcomes of critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a single-centered, retrospective, observational study. Lancet Respir Med 2020;8:475-81. Crossref
10. Bravata DM, Perkins AJ, Myers LJ, et al. Association of intensive care unit patient load and demand with mortality rates in US Department of Veterans Affairs hospitals during the COVID-19 pandemic. JAMA Netw Open 2021;4:e2034266. Crossref
11. Janke AT, Mei H, Rothenberg C, Becher RD, Lin Z, Venkatesh AK. Analysis of hospital resource availability and COVID-19 mortality across the United States. J Hosp Med 2021;16:211-4. Crossref
12. Qin C, Zhou L, Hu Z, et al. Clinical characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 patients with a history of stroke in Wuhan, China. Stroke 2020;51:2219-23. Crossref
13. Chan L, Chaudhary K, Saha A, et al. AKI in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. J Am Soc Nephrol 2021;32:151-60. Crossref
14. Su H, Yang M, Wan C, et al. Renal histopathological analysis of 26 postmortem findings of patients with COVID-19 in China. Kidney Int 2020;98:219-27. Crossref
15. Hirsch JS, Ng JH, Ross DW, et al. Acute kidney injury in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Kidney Int 2020;98:209-18. Crossref
16. Hung IF, Lung KC, Tso EY, et al. Triple combination of interferon beta-1b, lopinavir-ritonavir, and ribavirin in the treatment of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19: an open-label, randomised, phase 2 trial. Lancet 2020;395:1695-704. Crossref
17. Wong CK, Wan EY, Luo S, et al. Clinical outcomes of different therapeutic options for COVID-19 in two Chinese case cohorts: a propensity-score analysis. EClinicalMedicine 2021;32:100743. Crossref
18. WHO Solidarity Trial Consortium; Pan H, Peto R, et al. Repurposed antiviral drugs for COVID-19—interim WHO solidarity trial results. N Engl J Med 2021;384:497-511. Crossref
19. Sanders JM, Monogue ML, Jodlowski TZ, Cutrell JB. Pharmacologic treatments for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a review. JAMA 2020;323:1824-36. Crossref
20. Pontelli MC, Castro ÍA, Martins RB, et al. SARS-CoV-2 productively infects primary human immune system cells in vitro and in COVID-19 patients. J Mol Cell Biol 2022;14:mjac021. Crossref
21. Faíco-Filho KS, Passarelli VC, Bellei N. Is higher viral load in SARS-CoV-2 associated with death? Am J Trop Med Hyg 2020;103:2019-21. Crossref
22. Huang I, Pranata R. Lymphopenia in severe coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19): systematic review and meta-analysis. J Intensive Care 2020;8:36. Crossref
23. Tavakolpour S, Rakhshandehroo T, Wei EX, Rashidian M. Lymphopenia during the COVID-19 infection: what it shows and what can be learned. Immunol Lett 2020;225:31-2. Crossref
24. Henry BM, Aggarwal G, Wong J, et al. Lactate dehydrogenase levels predict coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and mortality: a pooled analysis. Am J Emerg Med 2020;38:1722-6. Crossref
25. Zhang Q, Bastard P, Liu Z, et al. Inborn errors of type I IFN immunity in patients with life-threatening COVID-19. Science 2020;370:eabd4570. Crossref
26. Bastard P, Rosen LB, Zhang Q, et al. Autoantibodies against type I IFNs in patients with life-threatening COVID-19. Science 2020;370:eabd4585. Crossref

Comparison of United Kingdom and United States screening criteria for detecting retinopathy of prematurity in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2023 Aug;29(4):330–6 | Epub 21 Jul 2023
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Comparison of United Kingdom and United States screening criteria for detecting retinopathy of prematurity in Hong Kong
Lawrence PL Iu, FHKAM (Ophthalmology), MPH (HK)1; Wilson WK Yip, FHKAM (Ophthalmology)1; Julie YC Lok, FHKAM (Ophthalmology)1; Mary Ho, FHKAM (Ophthalmology)1; Leanne TY Cheung, MB, BS2; Tania HM Wu, MB, BS3; Alvin L Young, FHKAM (Ophthalmology), FRCOphth1
1 Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
2 Department of Ophthalmology, Tung Wah Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
3 Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
 
Corresponding author: Dr Lawrence PL Iu (dr.lawrenceiu@gmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Abstract
Introduction: We examined whether the United Kingdom (UK) or the United States (US) screening criteria are more appropriate for retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) screening in Hong Kong, in terms of sensitivity for detecting type 1 ROP and the number of infants requiring screening.
 
Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we reviewed the medical records of all infants who underwent ROP screening from 2009 to 2018 at a tertiary hospital in Hong Kong. During this period, all infants born at gestational age (GA) ≤31 weeks and 6 days or birth weight (BW) <1501 g (ie, the UK screening criteria) underwent ROP screening. We determined the number of infants requiring screening and the number of type 1 ROP cases that would have been missed if the US screening criteria (GA ≤30 weeks & 0 days or BW ≤1500 g) had been used.
 
Results: Overall, 796 infants were screened using the UK screening criteria. If the US screening criteria had been used, the number of infants requiring screening would have decreased by 21.1%; all type 1 ROP cases would have been detected (38/38, 100% sensitivity). Of the 168 infants who would not have been screened using the US screening criteria, only four of them (2.4%) had developed ROP (all maximum stage 1 only).
 
Conclusion: In our population, the use of the US screening criteria could reduce the number of infants screened without compromising sensitivity for the detection of type 1 ROP requiring treatment. We suggest narrowing the GA criterion for consistency with the US screening criteria during ROP screening in Hong Kong.
 
 
New knowledge added by this study
  • In our population, the use of the United States (US) screening criteria, instead of the United Kingdom (UK) criteria, could reduce the number of infants requiring retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) screening by 21.1%.
  • The use of the US screening criteria would have detected 100% of type 1 ROP cases over a 10-year period, compared with the UK screening criteria, indicating that the US screening criteria would not compromise sensitivity for the detection of type 1 ROP requiring treatment in Hong Kong.
Implications for clinical practice or policy
  • There is a need to consider narrowing the gestational age criterion for consistency with the US screening criteria during ROP screening in Hong Kong.
  • A review of published literature indicates that our screening outcomes considerably differ from findings in other Asian countries, suggesting that our results are not generalisable to regions outside of Hong Kong.
 
 
Introduction
Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a proliferative retinal vascular disease that affects premature infants.1 Infants born at low gestational age (GA) and/or low birth weight (BW) have a risk of ROP.2 Without timely intervention, severe ROP can progress to retinal detachment and blindness. Currently, ROP is one of the leading preventable causes of childhood blindness worldwide.3
 
Successful management of ROP relies on appropriate screening for early detection of high-risk disease, along with prompt treatment to prevent disease progression and visual loss. The United Kingdom (UK) Guidelines (published in 2008 by the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health, the Royal College of Ophthalmologists, and the British Association of Perinatal Medicine) recommend that all infants born at GA ≤31 weeks and 6 days or BW <1501 g undergo ROP screening.4 On the other hand, the United States (US) Guidelines (published in 2013 and 2018 by the American Academy of Pediatrics, American Academy of Ophthalmology, and American Association for Pediatric Ophthalmology and Strabismus) use narrower criteria; they recommend that all infants born at GA ≤30 weeks and 0 days or BW ≤1500 g undergo ROP screening.5 6
 
In Hong Kong, many hospitals use the UK screening criteria to guide ROP detection.7 8 9 Although the UK screening criteria are appropriate for ROP detection in many countries,10 11 12 they are not universally appropriate.13 14 15 16 17 18 In India14 15 19 and China,17 18 some infants with GA and BW above the UK screening thresholds also developed severe ROP requiring treatment. Thus, there is a need to understand the epidemiology of ROP in Hong Kong and evaluate the utility of current international guidelines for ROP detection in Hong Kong infants.
 
In the Early Treatment for Retinopathy of Prematurity study,20 type 1 ROP was defined as: (1) zone I, any stage of ROP, with plus disease; (2) zone I, stage 3 ROP, without plus disease; or (3) zone II, stage 2 or 3 ROP, with plus disease. Type 1 ROP requires treatment.4 6 Although it is important not to miss any infants who develop type 1 ROP requiring treatment, it is also important to avoid unnecessarily screening a large number of infants because the ROP screening procedure is painful and distressful for premature infants; it can lead to oxygen desaturation, tachycardia, and apnea.2 21 22 There is also a need to limit the systemic absorption of dilating eye drops that may cause adverse events.23 24 An effective strategy would reduce the number of infants unnecessarily screened without missing any cases of severe ROP requiring treatment. This study was conducted to determine whether the UK or the US screening criteria are more appropriate for Hong Kong, in terms of sensitivity for detecting type 1 ROP and the number of infants requiring screening.
 
Methods
Patients
In this retrospective cohort study, we reviewed the medical records of all premature infants who underwent ROP screening between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2018 in Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong. During the study period, all infants born at GA ≤31 weeks and 6 days or BW <1501 g (ie, UK screening criteria) underwent ROP screening. Infants with GA and BW above the UK screening threshold who had a high risk of ROP because of an unstable clinical course also underwent ROP screening at the request of the attending neonatologist. Analyses were performed to determine the numbers of ROP and type 1 ROP cases that would have been detected and missed if the US screening criteria (GA ≤30 weeks & 0 days or BW ≤1500 g) had been used.
 
All infants who underwent ROP screening in Prince of Wales Hospital were included. Infants were excluded if they died or were transferred to other institutions before completion of ROP screening without a known ROP outcome. Data were recorded concerning GA, BW, most severe ROP stage, any treatment, and treatment outcome. ROP findings were classified in accordance with the International Classification of ROP25 (Table 1). Treatment was indicated for infants with type 1 ROP. If the ROP stage differed between eyes in an individual infant, the more severe ROP stage was used for analysis.
 

Table 1. International Classification of Retinopathy of Prematurity (ROP)25
 
Outcome measures and statistical analysis
The primary outcome measure was the sensitivity of the US screening criteria, compared with the UK screening criteria, for detection of type 1 ROP. The secondary outcome measure was the number of infants requiring screening.
 
R software (R version 3.6.1) was used for statistical analysis. All demographic data were expressed as medians and interquartile ranges (IQRs).
 
Results
Demographic data
Of the 857 infants who underwent ROP screening in the study period, 61 were excluded because they died or were transferred to other hospitals before the completion of ROP screening. Thus, the remaining 796 infants (404 boys [50.8%] and 392 girls [49.2%]) were included in the study. The median GA was 30 weeks and 2 days (IQR=7 weeks & 3 days; range, 23 weeks & 4 days to 37 weeks & 4 days), and the median BW was 1320 g (IQR=471; range, 470-2550).
 
Incidences of retinopathy of prematurity and type 1 retinopathy of prematurity
In total, 238 infants (29.9%) developed ROP, including 38 infants (4.8%) who developed type 1 ROP requiring treatment. The median GA and BW of infants who developed ROP were 27 weeks and 4 days (IQR=3 weeks & 0 days; range, 23 weeks & 4 days to 35 weeks & 5 days) and 943 g (IQR=366; range, 470-2550), respectively. The median GA and BW of infants who developed type 1 ROP were 26 weeks and 0.5 days (IQR=2 weeks & 2.5 days; range, 23 weeks & 4 days to 32 weeks & 0 days) and 781 g (IQR=315; range, 510-1240), respectively. Among the infants who developed type 1 ROP requiring treatment, 81.6% were extremely preterm (GA <28 weeks) infants and 100% were extremely low BW (<1000 g) infants. Of the treated infants, 13 had stage 2 ROP and 25 had stage 3 ROP. No infants had stage 4 or 5 ROP.
 
Retinopathy of prematurity cases detected using the United Kingdom screening criteria
In total, 795 infants underwent ROP screening in accordance with the UK screening criteria. One infant had a GA above the UK screening threshold; however, the infant continued to undergo screening because he was only 1 day older than the screening threshold, and the attending neonatologist concluded that he had a risk of ROP. The UK screening criteria detected all cases of ROP (n=238) and type 1 ROP requiring treatment (n=38) [Table 2].
 

Table 2. Numbers of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) and type 1 ROP cases detected using the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US) screening criteria
 
Retinopathy of prematurity cases detected using the United States screening criteria
If the US screening criteria had been used, the number of infants receiving ROP screening would have decreased to 627 (21.1% reduction compared with the UK screening criteria) [Table 2]. The use of the US screening criteria would have detected 234 cases of ROP (98.3% of cases detected using the UK criteria, 234/238) and 38 cases of type 1 ROP (100% of cases detected using the UK criteria, 38/38) [Table 2]. Of the 168 infants who would not have been screened using the US screening criteria, only 4 of them (2.4%) had developed ROP (Table 3) and all cases were mild (maximum stage 1 only); all affected infants displayed spontaneous resolution of ROP without the need for treatment. No cases of type 1 ROP were missed by the US screening criteria (ie, 100% sensitivity) [Table 4].
 

Table 3. Numbers of infants with and without retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) of any severity that met the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US) screening criteria
 

Table 4. Numbers of infants with and without type 1 retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) that met the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US) screening criteria
 
Discussion
This study showed that if the US screening criteria had been used, instead of the UK screening criteria, the number of infants screened in our population would have decreased by 21.1% without missing any case of type 1 ROP requiring treatment. The number of ROP cases that would have been missed was very small (n=4), and all cases were mild (maximum stage 1).
 
Previous studies showed that many hospitals in Hong Kong follow the UK screening criteria for ROP screening7 8 9,26,27; consistent with our findings, the reported incidences of ROP and type 1 ROP in Hong Kong were 16% to 28%7 8 9 and 3.4% to 3.8%,7 8 9 respectively. In the present study, type 1 ROP mainly developed in extremely preterm infants with a median GA of 26 weeks and 0.5 days (IQR=2 weeks & 2.5 days), suggesting that low GA was an important predictor of type 1 ROP in our population. Because the GA criterion is lower in the US screening criteria (≤30 weeks & 0 days) than in the UK screening criteria (≤31 weeks & 6 days), the US screening criteria may be more appropriate for Hong Kong.
 
Our findings were also consistent with the results of a study conducted in another hospital in Hong Kong7; in that study, 12.4% of infants would not have required ROP screening if the US screening criteria had been used, rather than the UK criteria, none of those infants would have developed ROP. Our results suggest similar outcomes in different hospitals across Hong Kong.
 
In a study conducted in Shanghai in mainland China, the screening thresholds were GA of 34 weeks and BW of 2000 g. The mean GA and BW of infants requiring ROP treatment were 29.3 weeks (range, 24-35) and 1331 g (range, 750-2550), respectively17; these infants were more mature and heavier than the infants in our study. The Shanghai study showed that 9% of severe ROP cases requiring treatment would have been missed if the UK screening criteria were used; 26% would have been missed if the US screening criteria were used.17 Another study conducted in Beijing in mainland China showed that 17% of treatment-requiring ROP cases would have been missed if the UK screening criteria were used; 21% would have been missed if the US screening criteria were used.18 Therefore, despite sharing the same Chinese ethnicity, infants with severe ROP differed in maturity between Hong Kong and mainland China. This discrepancy could be the result of variations in comorbidities, perinatal risk factors, standard of neonatal healthcare, and level of supplemental oxygen therapy used. Long oxygen duration, mechanical ventilation, and high level of supplemental oxygen are known risk factors for ROP.2 Therefore, the results of our study are not generalisable to regions outside of Hong Kong.
 
There is evidence that the UK and the US screening criteria are not appropriate for many low- and middle-income countries.15 19 28 29 In North India, 17% of severe ROP cases would have been missed if the US screening criteria were used; 22% would have been missed if the UK screening criteria were used.15 In South India, 8% of treatment-requiring ROP cases would have been missed if the US screening criteria were used; all of these cases were aggressive posterior ROP.19 In Saudi Arabia, 35% of infants older than the UK screening threshold developed ROP; one infant developed severe ROP (stage 3).28 In Turkey, severe ROP developed in 3.8% of infants born at ≥32 weeks and 6.5% of infants born at ≥1500 g.29
 
Although it is important not to miss any severe ROP cases, it is also preferable to avoid missing mild ROP cases because the detection of early ROP (even mild cases) can influence decisions regarding systemic management (eg, level of supplemental oxygen), thereby reducing the rate of ROP progression. In the present study, only four cases of mild ROP would have been missed by the US screening criteria; this number was very small, compared with the 168 infants (21.1%) who could have been excluded from screening. The number of screened infants required to detect one additional case of ROP was 42 (ie, 168/4). Considering that few mild ROP cases were missed in exchange for the exclusion of a large number of infants from screening, we conclude that it is acceptable and appropriate to use the US screening criteria for ROP screening in Hong Kong.
 
Benefits from reduction in number of retinopathy of prematurity screening
There are several benefits to reducing the number of infants screened without compromising the detection of severe ROP. First, this modified approach minimises unnecessary stress and the potential for ROP screening-related adverse events among infants. Previous studies revealed significant elevation of blood pressure, increase in pulse rate, and decrease in oxygen saturation, which persisted after ROP screening.30 A significant increase in the number of apnoea events was also observed after screening.31 Approximately half of infants develop bradycardia from the oculocardiac reflex caused by scleral depression during screening.32 Second, this modified approach can reduce hospital expenses. The estimated cost of ROP screening is approximately US$230 per infant in the US33 and US$198.9 per infant in India.34 Third, the approach can reduce the length of hospitalisation related to delays in the completion of ROP screening.35 Finally, it may minimise unnecessary parental stress and anxiety. For example, one study showed that parents of infants undergoing ROP screening had significantly higher anxiety and depression scores compared with the general population.36
 
In recent decades, several ROP prediction models have been developed to improve screening sensitivity and specificity, including WINROP,37,38 ROPScore,39 CHOP ROP,40 41 CO-ROP,42 STEP-ROP, 43 and G-ROP.44 45 However, these prediction models have many limitations. First, they require the collection of postnatal data such as postnatal weight gain and insulin-like growth factor 1 level, which may not be available to ophthalmologists. Second, the mechanisms by which these predictive factors would interact to affect ROP outcome are not fully understood. Third, these models were all derived from Western countries and may not be appropriate for Asian populations.46 Finally, none of these models have been validated in Hong Kong. Considering our findings in the present study, we suggest narrowing the GA screening criterion to ≤30 weeks and 0 days, consistent with the US screening criteria; this simple and straightforward approach avoids the need for calculations required by prediction models.
 
Limitations
This study had several limitations. First, its retrospective design hindered the assessment of other risk factors (eg, supplemental oxygen level and comorbidities) that may affect ROP outcomes. Second, because of the retrospective design, we could not determine whether the use of a narrower GA screening criterion would reduce the number of screenings in real-world clinical practice. A prospective cohort study is needed to confirm our findings. Third, although the G-ROP screening criteria are more sensitive and specific than the current US screening criteria for populations in the US,44 45 we could not evaluate the suitability of G-ROP criteria in our population because we lacked data concerning postnatal weight gain. Finally, data were missing regarding infants who died or were transferred to other hospitals without a known ROP outcome. Despite these limitations, our findings are robust because the present study revealed consistent results when the same screening practices were applied to a large number of infants over a study period of 10 years.
 
Conclusion
Compared with the UK screening criteria, the US screening criteria appeared to be more appropriate for our population because they could greatly reduce the number of infants screened without compromising sensitivity for the detection of type 1 ROP. Thus, we suggest narrowing the GA criterion for consistency with the US screening criteria during ROP screening in Hong Kong. A prospective cohort study is needed to further explore the impact of changes to the screening criteria.
 
Author contributions
Concept or design: LPL Iu, WWK Yip.
Acquisition of data: LPL Iu, LTY Cheung, THM Wu.
Analysis or interpretation of data: LPL Iu, WWK Yip, JYC Lok.
Drafting of the manuscript: LPL Iu.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: WWK Yip, JYC Lok, M Ho, AL Young.
 
All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
Ethics approval
This research was approved by the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee (Ref No.: 2020.176) and was performed in accordance with the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki. A waiver of obtaining patient consent has been approved by the Research Ethics Committee for this retrospective study.
 
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