Medication adherence among the older adults: challenges and recommendations

Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Medication adherence among the older adults: challenges and recommendations
Junjie Huang, MD, MSc1; Harry HX Wang, PhD1; Zhijie Zheng, MD, PhD2,3; Martin CS Wong, MD, MPH4,5
1 Editor, Hong Kong Medical Journal
2 International Editorial Advisory Board, Hong Kong Medical Journal
3 Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
4 Editor-in-Chief, Hong Kong Medical Journal
5 The Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Junjie Huang (junjie_huang@link.cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Growing burden of the ageing populations
There is an increasing burden of the elderly population in many countries, with an estimated total of 2.37 billion population aged >65 years globally by 2100.1 In Hong Kong, the number of people aged >65 years is expected to increase from 1.19 million to 2.51 million from 2016 to 2046, then comprising more than one third of the total population.2 The substantial increase in the elderly population will inevitably contribute to the burden of public health and healthcare service, with chronic diseases and multimorbidity being the critical challenges.
 
Chronic diseases associated with ageing populations
The leading causes of morbidity and mortality in the elderly population are chronic diseases. More than 70% of the population aged ≥60 years have one or more chronic diseases in Hong Kong, with hypertension, arthritis, and eye diseases being the most frequent morbidities.3 The major causes of mortality among the elderly population include cancer, heart diseases, cerebrovascular disease, and pneumonia. Moreover, dementia is also very common: local data indicate that almost 1 in 10 community-dwelling elderly individuals have mild cognitive impairment (8.5%) or mild dementia (8.9%) in Hong Kong.4
 
Multimorbidity associated with ageing populations
The proportion of patients presenting with multimorbidity, defined as the presence of two or more chronic conditions, has been rising in the recent decade.5 A cross-sectional community-based study in Hong Kong found that 42% of individuals aged ≥60 years had multimorbidity.6 Multimorbidity poses a heavy clinical and public health burden by increasing healthcare cost and utilisation. Considering most healthcare systems globally are developed to treat single disease, multimorbidity leads to major challenges for healthcare providers.
 
Importance of medication adherence among elderly individuals
Elderly patients with chronic diseases and multimorbidity have a higher risk of polypharmacy and suboptimal medication adherence. In general, adherence rates are lower among elderly individuals with chronic conditions than those with acute diseases, and the rates may differ among disease categories. According to a survey conducted by the World Health Organization, approximately 40% of older patients with chronic conditions do not follow their planned prescriptions.7 Polypharmacy, which is often defined as the concurrent prescription of five or more drugs, is commonly seen among elderly patients with multimorbidity. Approximately two thirds of community-dwelling older patients have polypharmacy.8 A substantial proportion of patients with polypharmacy take 10 or more different types of drugs (“hyperpolypharmacy”). Polypharmacy is more closely related to suboptimal medication adherence than other reasons, such as adverse drug reactions (ADRs), inappropriate medication, or pharmacological interactions.9 As a result, the high prevalence of polypharmacy and hyperpolypharmacy subsequently increased the risk of suboptimal medication adherence among elderly individuals. This situation could be even worse in elderly patients with decreased functionality, in particular among those with cognitive impairment and dementia.10 11 12 13
 
In this issue of the Hong Kong Medical Journal, Wong14 reviewed the medication-related problems among the older population, including medication non-adherence. The results show that the elderly patients are at higher risk of medication-related issues due to the physiological changes with ageing and multiple medications used for multimorbidity. Polypharmacy is associated with inappropriate drug use which may in turn leads to multiple geriatric syndromes and hospitalisation. Also, either intentional or unintentional suboptimal medication compliance can lead to treatment failure. The article points out that a substantial proportion of ADRs are preventable, and that effective strategies are available to tackle these issues to achieve good medication adherence and drug safety. The strategies included deprescribing with the withdrawal of drugs that are considered of minimum, using a patient-centred approach which considers patient preferences when determining the treatment goal, and adopting a multidisciplinary approach in medication management.
 
Medication adherence measures the extent to which individual’s medication taking behaviour complies with the planned prescriptions from physicians. A patient taking a proportion of 80% to 120% for prescribed drugs over a certain period is generally considered as an adherent to medications.7 Medication adherence is crucial and essential as it has a substantial impact on the effectiveness of medications and control of chronic conditions. The World Health Organization has used “adherence enhancing” as an important strategy to effectively tackle chronic conditions.15 By contrast, medications non-adherence is a phenomenon where the individual does not adhere to the prescribed medications by healthcare providers, including under-utilisation, over-utilisation, and incorrect utilisation. There are several ways to measure medication adherence, including completing self-reported questionnaires (eg, Brief Medication Questionnaire16), counting pills, or measuring drug or metabolite levels through a blood test.
 
Suboptimal medication adherence can result from intentional and unintentional factors.17 Intentional non-adherence is caused by patients who simply do not follow the prescribed instructions or intentionally stop taking a medication. Unintentional non-adherence may be caused by forgetfulness or limited knowledge of the diseases or prescribed medications, or by physical, psychological, or mental barriers. Physicians may have inadequate time to discuss with patients on the medication adherence during clinical encounters. Factors for medication non-adherence that are commonly reported include complexity of medications, presence of ADRs, frequent changes to prescriptions, and limited family or social support.
 
The major health consequences of suboptimal medication compliance among elderly patients include poor medication response, decreased treatment safety, and impaired life quality.7 Other consequences increased number of emergency visits, duration of hospitalisations, morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. A substantial proportion of preventable ADRs are attributable to suboptimal medication adherence among elderly patients. For instance, 33% to 69% of drug-related hospitalisations are caused by poor medication adherence in the United States, which induces an avoidable annual healthcare cost of US$100 to 300 billion.18 Suboptimal medication adherence among patients is also a source of frustration and job dissatisfaction for healthcare providers.
 
Recommendations
Different strategies to enhance medication adherence among the elderly patients have been investigated. Most strategies aim to modify personal health behaviours by delivering counselling, reminders, education, or a combination of these approaches. These approaches can be generally divided into political, organisational, behavioural, and educational interventions, with different focuses on policy, system and environmental, and patient and their family levels.19
 
Policy level
Policy interventions mainly focus on allocating more resources for enhancing medication adherence to different related sectors, including education, healthcare cost, and health regulations.20 It is important to raise public awareness and knowledge on suboptimal medication adherence among elderly patients. Another typical approach to enhancing medication adherence among elderly patients is to reduce their out-of-pocket expenses for medication prescriptions. Relevant regulations can also be developed to ensure that healthcare professionals have sufficient attention for the issue of medication adherence among patients.
 
System and environmental level
Organisational interventions aim to reduce barriers to medication adherence by pharmacy refills and adherence reminders comprehensively and systematically. This is often carried out by a multidisciplinary team involving physicians, pharmacists, psychologists, and community care givers.21 22 It is important for physicians to enhance communication by listening to patients more about their concerns to determine a compromised medication plan.23 Regular assessment and simplification of treatment prescription by pharmacists is needed. Elderly patients who had suspected psychological problems such as depression should be assessed by psychologists for medication management. Community caregivers are also helpful in medication management for the elderly patients with less family support.24 Behavioural interventions modify the environmental factors to facilitate medication use with instruments among the elderly patients. These interventions include instruments such as alarm clocks, reminder lists, or advanced pillboxes, as well as group social support, surveillance feedback system, and follow-up visits. Mobile health (mHealth) interventions, such as smartphone applications, can also be innovative and promising means to assist in the management of medication adherence for elderly patients with chronic diseases.
 
Patient and their family level
Educational interventions, either based on group or individual learning from healthcare professionals, are useful for promoting medication adherence among elderly patients.25 They provide elderly patients or their caregivers with better knowledge of their health conditions, prescriptions, ADRs, and the importance of compliance to facilitate informed decision-making. It is also useful to encourage elderly patients to be actively involved in the disease management process, for instance, self-monitoring of blood glucose, blood pressure, and blood lipids. Family members are encouraged to assist in medication management, especially for elderly people with decreased functionality, mood disorders, or cognitive impairment.
 
In sum, the improvement of medication adherence in older adults requires efforts from multiple stakeholders. The development of primary care teams with interdisciplinary collaboration is essential to maximise these adherence-enhancing strategies.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the editorial, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
The authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Vollset SE, Goren E, Yuan CW, et al. Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet 2020;396:1285-306. Crossref
2. Cheng CP. Elderly care as one of the important government policy agenda. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:442-3. Crossref
3. Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Health of the community. Elderly health. Available from: https://www.dh.gov.hk/english/pub_rec/pub_rec_ar/pdf/0001/ch_0116.pdf. 2002: Accessed 19 Nov 2020.
4. Lam LC, Tam CW, Lui VW, et al. Prevalence of very mild and mild dementia in community-dwelling older Chinese people in Hong Kong. Int Psychogeriatr 2008;20:135-48. Crossref
5. Zhang D, Sit RW, Wong C, et al. Cohort profile: The prospective study on Chinese elderly with multimorbidity in primary care in Hong Kong. BMJ Open 2020;10:e027279. Crossref
6. Cheung JT, Yu R, Wu Z, Wong SY, Woo J. Geriatric syndromes, multimorbidity, and disability overlap and increase healthcare use among older Chinese. BMC Geriatr 2018;18:147. Crossref
7. Brown MT, Bussell JK. Medication adherence: WHO cares? Mayo Clin Proc 2011;86:304-14. Crossref
8. Denneboom W, Dautzenberg MG, Grol R, De Smet PA. Analysis of polypharmacy in older patients in primary care using a multidisciplinary expert panel. Br J Gen Pract 2006;56:504-10.
9. Rambhade S, Chakarborty A, Shrivastava A, Patil UK, Rambhade A. A survey on polypharmacy and use of inappropriate medications. Toxicol Int 2012;19:68-73. Crossref
10. Tse MM, Kwan RY, Lau JL. Ageing in individuals with intellectual disability: issues and concerns in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:68-72. Crossref
11. Yee A, Tsui NB, Chang YN, et al. Alzheimer’s disease: insights for risk evaluation and prevention in the Chinese population and the need for a comprehensive programme in Hong Kong/China. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:492-500. Crossref
12. Xue H, Nie J, Shi Y. Crucial role of primary healthcare professionals in the assessment and diagnosis of dementia. Hong Kong Med J 2019;25:427-8. Crossref
13. Lam K, Chan WS, Luk JK, Leung AY. Assessment and diagnosis of dementia: a review for primary healthcare professionals. Hong Kong Med J 2019;25:473-82. Crossref
14. Wong CW. Medication-related problems in older people: how to optimise medication management. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:510-9. Crossref
15. World Health Organization. Adherence to long-term therapies: evidence for action. Available from: https://www.who.int/chp/knowledge/publications/adherence_full_report.pdf. Accessed 19 Nov 2020.
16. Svarstad BL, Chewning BA, Sleath BL, Claesson C. The Brief Medication Questionnaire: a tool for screening patient adherence and barriers to adherence. Patient Educ Couns 1999;37:113-24. Crossref
17. Hugtenburg JG, Timmers L, Elders PJ, Vervloet M, van Dijk L. Definitions, variants, and causes of nonadherence with medication: a challenge for tailored interventions. Patient Prefer Adherence 2013;7:675-82. Crossref
18. Iuga AO, McGuire MJ. Adherence and health care costs. Risk Manag Healthc Policy 2014;7:35-44. Crossref
19. Fischer F, Lange K, Klose K, Greiner W, Kraemer A. Barriers and strategies in guideline implementation—a scoping review. Healthcare (Basel) 2016;4:36. Crossref
20. Clyne W, White S, McLachlan S. Developing consensus-based policy solutions for medicines adherence for Europe: a Delphi study. BMC Health Serv Res 2012;12:425. Crossref
21. Lee VW, Cheng FW. Multidisciplinary care for better clinical outcomes: role of pharmacists in medication management. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:96-7. Crossref
22. Chiu PK, Lee AW, See TY, Chan FH. Outcomes of a pharmacist-led medication review programme for hospitalised elderly patients. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:98-106.
23. Ha JF, Longnecker N. Doctor-patient communication: a review. Ochsner J 2010;10:38-43.
24. Wilson E, Caswell G, Turner N, Pollock K. Managing medicines for patients dying at home: a review of family caregivers’ experiences. J Pain Symptom Manage 2018;56:962-74. Crossref
25. Costa E, Giardini A, Savin M, et al. Interventional tools to improve medication adherence: review of literature. Patient Prefer Adherence 2015;9:1303-14. Crossref

Prevention of postpartum haemorrhage

Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Prevention of postpartum haemorrhage
WC Leung, MD, FHKAM (Obstetrics and Gynaecology)
Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr WC Leung (leungwc@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Postpartum haemorrhage (PPH) is an important cause of maternal morbidity and mortality. Prevention is always better than treatment. In this issue of Hong Kong Medical Journal, Tse et al1 have compared the use of carbetocin with oxytocin infusion in reducing the need for additional uterotonics or procedures in women at increased risk for PPH undergoing Caesarean deliveries in a single Hospital Authority (HA) obstetric unit. Carbetocin was better than oxytocin infusion in reducing the requirement of additional uterotonics or procedures in pregnant women undergoing Caesarean sections with multiple pregnancies or major placenta praevia. The findings echo the first of the three recommendations from the territory-wide HA survey on massive PPH conducted in 2013.2 3
 
With the objectives of studying the characteristics of patients with massive primary PPH (defined as ≥1500 mL within the first 24 hours after delivery, which is the clinical indicator for obstetric performance in HA hospitals) and exploring areas for improvement in terms of prevention and treatment, a prospective study2 3 was conducted during the year 2013 in all the eight HA obstetric units using a pre-designed code sheet to record the details of all patients with massive primary PPH, including causes, risk factors, mode of delivery, interventions (uterotonic agents, second-line therapies and emergency hysterectomy), use of blood products, and maternal outcome.
 
Massive primary PPH occurred in 0.76% (n=277) of all deliveries (n=36 510) in HA obstetric units in 2013. The incidence was comparable to those reported in international literature. The majority occurred after Caesarean sections (84.1%). Uterine atony (37.5%), placenta praevia/accreta (49.9%), and uterine wound bleeding/tear during Caesarean section (24.2%) were the three most common causes. The median total blood loss was 2000 mL (range, 1500-20 000 mL). Coagulopathy occurred in 16.2% (n=45). A quarter (n=76, 27.4%) required intensive care or high dependent unit admission. There was no maternal mortality.
 
Second-line therapies (balloon tamponade, compression sutures and uterine artery/internal iliac artery embolisation or surgical ligation) were used in 40.1% (n=111). Emergency hysterectomy was required in 8.7% (n=24). A total of 1052 units of packed cells, 670 units of platelets, 568 units of fresh frozen plasma, and 200 units of cryoprecipitate were transfused.
 
The study identified three areas for improvement: (1) to increase the choice of uterotonic agents (carbetocin has been incorporated into HA Drug Formulary since January 2017, mainly for prevention of PPH in women at risk such as twin pregnancy, large fibroids, polyhydramnios, fetal macrosomia, and placenta praevia. In 2017, a total of 875 ampoules have been used in HA obstetric units, rising to 2500 ampoules in 2018, and 2865 ampoules in 2019); (2) to step up the use (and early use) of second-line therapies, and to watch out for failures from second-line therapy; (3) to reduce the incidence of placenta praevia/accreta through education and to improve its management at multiple care levels.
 
Carbetocin is a long-acting synthetic analogue of oxytocin indicated for prevention of uterine atony after Caesarean section. It is administered as a slow intravenous injection over 1 minute, with a rapid onset of uterine contraction within 2 minutes and lasting for several hours. It is also a heat-stable compound which does not require refrigeration. Latest Cochrane reviews showed that carbetocin may have some additional benefits compared with oxytocin and appears to be without an increase in adverse effects.4 The Carbetocin HAeMorrhage PreventION (CHAMPION) trial5 showed that carbetocin was non-inferior to oxytocin for the prevention of PPH after vaginal delivery as well.
 
The main disadvantage of using carbetocin in preventing PPH is its cost, making it much less cost-effective when compared with other uterotonic drugs.6 For local reference, carbetocin (single dose of 100 μg) costs HK$200, as compared with oxytocin (40 IU infusion, HK$32), syntometrine (single dose, HK$27), and misoprostol (800 μg, HK$7). As a result, when carbetocin was introduced into HA Drug Formulary in 2017, we have limited its use to those women with high-risk factors for PPH after Caesarean sections such as twin pregnancy, large fibroids, polyhydramnios, fetal macrosomia, and placenta praevia. For example, in 2018, only 2500/35 016 or 7.1% of all deliveries in HA had carbetocin for PPH prophylaxis when compared with around 90% of deliveries in private hospitals in Hong Kong. There is capacity to increase the use of carbetocin in HA by including more women with risk factors for PPH such as prolonged induction of labour (eg, oxytocin ≥12 hours), high parity (eg, ≥para 3), history of PPH, and others. These risk factors have not been included in Tse et al’s study.1 Carbetocin should not only be considered for Caesarean sections, but also for vaginal deliveries with same risk factors for PPH. Furthermore, the role of using carbetocin as treatment for PPH could be explored.
 
In addition to single-centre studies on the efficacy of a single drug or procedure on the prevention and treatment of PPH, further studies are required on the overall impact of the introduction of uterotonic drugs such as carbetocin; non-uterotonic drugs such as tranexamic acid; increasing use of second-line procedures7 such as balloon tamponade, compression sutures and uterine artery embolisation; and new patient blood management such as intravenous iron therapy, particularly in the current era of inadequate blood donation, being further aggravated by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
 
Interestingly, with all the new modalities of prevention and treatment of PPH, the overall figures of primary PPH ≥500 mL (traditional definition), ≥1000 mL or ≥1500 mL (defined as massive PPH), including emergency hysterectomies for massive PPH, have not been improved in HA from 2013 to 2018 (Table).8 This phenomenon is different from what had been observed in a single obstetric unit over a different time period from 2006 to 2011.9 Fortunately, maternal mortality is still rare. Further studies are definitely indicated to look into the territory-wide HA data (using the Obstetrics Clinical Information System) to see whether the new modalities are not as effective as they are expected to be or our pregnant population is indeed becoming more and more high risk for PPH.
 

Table. Postpartum haemorrhage (% of total deliveries) in Hospital Authority obstetric units8
 
Author contributions
The author contributed to the manuscript, approved the final version for publication, and takes responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
The author has disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Tse KY, Yu FN, Leung KY. Comparison of carbetocin and oxytocin infusions in reducing the requirement for additional uterotonics or procedures in women at increased risk for postpartum haemorrhage following Caesarean section. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:382-9. Crossref
2. Lau KW, Chan LL, Lo TK, Lau WL, Leung WC; Hospital Authority COC Obstetrics and Gynaecology Quality Assurance Subcommittee. Territory-wide massive primary postpartum haemorrhage (PPH >1,500ml) survey in Hospital Authority obstetric units with recommendations and the way forward. Hospital Authority Convention 2017. Master Class 7.1. Available from: http://www3.ha.org.hk/haconvention/hac2017/ebook/HAC2017_abstract%20day%201.pdf. Accessed 29 Sep 2020.
3. Leung WC. An overview on massive postpartum haemorrhage in Hong Kong. The Hong Kong Medical Diary 2019;24(7):2-3.
4. Gallos ID, Papadopoulou A, Man R, et al. Uterotonic agents for preventing postpartum haemorrhage: a network meta-analysis. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018;(12):CD011689. Crossref
5. Widmer M, Piaggio G, Nguyen TM, et al. Heat-stable carbetocin versus oxytocin to prevent hemorrhage after vaginal birth. N Engl J Med 2018;379:743-52. Crossref
6. Pickering K, Gallos ID, Williams H, et al. Uterotonic drugs for the prevention of postpartum haemorrhage: a cost-effectiveness analysis. Pharmacoecon Open 2019;3:163-76. Crossref
7. Kellie FJ, Wandabwa JN, Mousa HA, Weeks AD. Mechanical and surgical interventions for treating primary postpartum haemorrhage. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2020;(7):CD013663. Crossref
8. Hospital Authority Annual Obstetric Reports 2013 to 2018. Available from: https://www.ekg.org.hk/html/gateway/neweKG/newsp/h1-obs-gyn.jsp (internal access via eKG).
9. Chan LL, Lo TK, Lau WL, et al. Use of second-line therapies for management of massive primary postpartum hemorrhage. Int J Gynaecol Obstet 2013;122:238-43. Crossref

Use of clinical practice guidelines

Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Use of clinical practice guidelines
Ben YF Fong, MPH(Syd), FHKAM (Community Medicine)
Division of Science, Engineering and Health Studies, College of Professional and Continuing Education, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Ben YF Fong (byffong@gmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
In society, guidelines shape the behaviour and steer the activities of people and organisations in all aspects of daily routine. In the clinical setting, professional care and services are often dictated by clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) on topics from screening, assessment, and diagnosis to management of common and specific conditions. There are also CPGs for unusual emerging pandemics: in the case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) the World Health Organization has published extensive advice.1
 
According to the National Institute of Health and Care Excellence of the United Kingdom, CPGs contain evidence-based recommendations on the ways healthcare professionals should care for people with defined conditions. Such recommendations are derived from the best available evidence. In addition, CPGs are also of importance to health services operators and managers as such guidelines are essential for quality care.2
 
Effective CPGs are derived from evidencebased medicine, and should be built on the best available published research findings and experience gained from clinical practice. To achieve the optimal usage of CPGs, healthcare professionals should understand the principles of development and evaluation of the guideline. The AGREE II guidelines and associated reporting checklist is considered the international gold standard for developing and evaluating CPGs.3 Quality, relevance, and strength of the best available evidence are examined in detail with a multidisciplinary approach when making recommendations for clinical management. Ideally, CPGs are embedded with flexibility and adaptability to allow for a wide dissemination and adoption. In addition, potential economic implications should not be overlooked.4 Practically, CPGs should be subject to regular structured evaluation and revision to encompass the latest state-of-the-art of clinical practice, new research evidence, current medical advancement, and changed patient values.
 
Topics of CPGs are often selected on the basis of priorities in quality improvement opportunities in medical practice because physicians are expected to provide their patients a certain standard of care. In a review of CPGs, consensus statements, and position statements from various specialties, the authors found that to achieve the optimal benefits from providing the best possible and quality care to the community, topics of CPGs should cover common conditions that doctors encounter regularly.5 In this issue of the Hong Kong Medical Journal, Chan et al from the Hong Kong College of Physicians, representing sub-specialties in Cardiology, Nephrology, Geriatric Medicine, Neurology and Endocrinology, review two recent CPGs from America and Europe on hypertension, both of which have adopted a risk-based approach to treatment.6 On the basis of these guidelines, the authors have developed a Position Statement on the classification of blood pressure, measurement of blood pressure, initiation of medications, treatment targets and strategies, together with particular considerations for geriatric, renal, and diabetic patients.6 In general, the authors concur with the 2018 European Society of Cardiology/European Society of Hypertension guideline, and also note that the reviewed guidelines have helped to improve public awareness of hypertension and the importance of lifestyle changes in managing hypertension.
 
Physicians use CPGs when making clinical decisions, often with discussion with the patient in some settings, about the appropriate care and management of specific conditions or diseases. Reviewing CPGs published in the Hong Kong Medical Journal, some have provided guidance on disease screening and prevention,7 8 whereas others have offered a broad range of clinical topics from management of common clinical complaints to controversial issues based on the most updated evidence.9 10 11 12 13 Guidelines include concise recommendations and instructions for diagnosis, tests, treatment options, drug therapy, management algorithms that may direct the choice of medical, and surgical or other clinical services.14 Because CPGs are never perfect and evidence on their effectiveness is incomplete,14 when making clinical decisions, doctors also consider their experience and knowledge through years of practice and insights gained from the many cases encountered and managed previously. Therefore, most doctors have developed an individual approach to patient management without consciously thinking about CPGs. However, CPGs are useful when dealing with uncommon conditions or diseases unfamiliar to the practitioner, as well as in controversial clinical situation. Under such circumstances, there is a high level of uncertainty as to the outcomes of clinical courses being available or considered, such as the current COVID-19 pandemic.
 
Adherence to CPGs in clinical practice is not mandatory. However, the Medical Council of Hong Kong has some guidelines to doctors in the Code of Professional Conduct, “the little red book”, with the intention to promote good clinical practice.15 There are guidelines on the proper prescription and dispensing of dangerous drugs, ethics (covering communication and dissemination of information to the public and patients), adoption of new medical procedures and human reproductive technology, as well as on practice management including signboards, service information notices, and doctors directory. In addition, legal considerations are practical issues when CPGs are not fully followed or when treatment recommended in CPGs is not offered to the patient. Following the advice found in CPGs may provide a means of protection to the doctor, as CPGs prescribe reasonable conduct expected of medical practitioners who are also expected to provide sufficient information to the patient, particularly about risks involved in a clinical decision.
 
Some CPGs contain definitive recommendations whereas others are more general, to allow for the clinical judgement of the practitioner, and therefore carry a smaller risk of liability. Generally, groups who develop CPGs, such as members of a working group, are not usually held liable for the application of CPGs. Furthermore, use of CPGs as evidence in court depends on how the guidelines are developed and whether they are up to date. Good CPGs should have a strong research evidence base, should have undergone independent review, should have built-in flexibility for adoption in different clinical situation, and should carry an expiry date.4 Practitioners should have adequate understanding of the salient points in CPGs to fully exploit the guidelines in clinical settings.
 
The purpose of CPGs is to improve the health and condition of patients, not only as individuals but also as members of the community, particularly when society is facing escalating costs of health services and medical technologies, ageing populations, increasing demands and expectations of users, inconsistent service quality of providers, and even inappropriate care. Use of CPGs by physicians in clinical practice can lead to more structured and consistent decisions and care delivery in a more objective manner, supported by the embedded evidence. The Primary Healthcare Office of the Hong Kong SAR Government has published four reference frameworks on disease management of hypertension and diabetes, and on preventive care for children and elderly patients. The frameworks aim to facilitate family doctors to provide continuing comprehensive and evidence-based care in the community.16 In the code of practice to private hospitals and clinics, the Department of Health demands that these institutions comply with guidelines and standards issued by professional and government bodies, and that CPGs must be easily accessible and available to staff for their reference.17
 
Doctors should use appropriate CPGs in their daily practice for the benefit and better quality of life of their patients. However, CPGs must not be regarded as the absolute consensus recommendations with answers to all clinical situations. Intrinsic shortcomings in the development of guidelines are not uncommon. Patients are not all the same; they vary in personal characteristics and responses to treatments. Moreover, doctors differ in their clinical judgement. Use of CPGs by physicians is still very much the core of medicine, being both an art and a science.
 
Author contributions
The author contributed to the editorial, approved the final version for publication, and takes responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
The author has disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. World Health Organization. Clinical management of COVID-19—interim guidance. Available from: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/clinical-management-of-covid-19. Accessed 5 Sep 2020.
2. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. What is a NICE clinical guideline? Available from: https://www.nice.org.uk/process/pmg6/resources/how-nice-clinical-guidelines-are-developed-an-overview-for-stakeholders-the-public-and-the-nhs-2549708893/chapter/nice-clinical-guidelines#what-is-a-nice-clinical-guideline.Accessed 5 Sep 2020.
3. Brouwers MC, Kerkvliet K, Spithoff K, AGREE Next Steps Consortium. The AGREE Reporting Checklist: a tool to improve reporting of clinical practice guidelines. BMJ 2016;352:i1152. Crossref
4. National Health and Medical Research Council. A Guide to the Development, Implementation and Evaluation of Clinical Practice Guidelines. Australia: NHMRC; 1999.
5. Chong CC. Pros and cons of clinical practice based on guidelines. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:440-1. Crossref
6. Chan KK, Szeto CC, Lum CC, et al. Hong Kong College of Physicians Position Statement and Recommendations on the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association and the 2018 European Society of Cardiology/European Society of Hypertension Guidelines for the Management of Arterial Hypertension. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:432-7.
7. Cancer Expert Working Group on Cancer Prevention and Screening. Recommendations on prevention and screening for colorectal cancer in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:521-6. Crossref
8. Cancer Expert Working Group on Cancer Prevention and Screening. Recommendations on prevention and screening for breast cancer in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:298-306. Crossref
9. Tomlinson B, Chan JC, Chan WB, et al. Guidance on the management of familial hypercholesterolaemia in Hong Kong: an expert panel consensus viewpoint. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:408-15. Crossref
10. Mak LY, Lau CW, Hui YT, et al. Joint recommendations on management of anaemia in patients with gastrointestinal bleeding in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:416- 22. Crossref
11. Lim MK, Ha SC, Luk KH, et al. Update on the Hong Kong Reference Framework for Hypertension Care for Adults in Primary Care Settings—review of evidence on the definition of high blood pressure and goal of therapy. Hong Kong Med J 2019;25:64-7. Crossref
12. The Advisory Group on Antibiotic Stewardship Programme in Primary Care. Antibiotic management of acute pharyngitis in primary care. Hong Kong Med J 2019;25:58-63.
13. Wu JC, Chan AO, Cheung TK, et al. Consensus statements on diagnosis and management of chronic idiopathic constipation in adults in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2019;25:142-8. Crossref
14. Woolf SH, Grol R, Eccles M, Grimshaw J. Clinical guidelines: potential benefits, limitations, and harms of clinical guidelines. BMJ 1999;318:527-30. Crossref
15. Medical Council of Hong Kong. Code of professional conduct. Available from: https://www.mchk.org.hk/english/code/files/Code_of_Professional_Conduct_2016.pdf. Accessed 5 Sep 2020.
16. Primary Healthcare Office, Food and Health Bureau, Hong Kong SAR Government. Reference frameworks. Available from: https://www.fhb.gov.hk/pho/english/initiatives/frameworks.html. Accessed 5 Sep 2020.
17. Office for Regulation of Private Healthcare Facilities, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Regulatory regime. Available from: https://www.orphf.gov.hk/en/regulatory_regime/index. Accessed 5 Sep 2020.

Contributions of physicians to government-subsidised disease prevention programmes: an appeal for active participation

Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Contributions of physicians to government-subsidised disease prevention programmes: an appeal for active participation
Junjie Huang, MD, MSc1; Harry HX Wang, PhD1; Edmond SK Ma, MD, MMedSc2; Martin CS Wong, MD, MPH3,4
1 Editor, Hong Kong Medical Journal
2 Epidemiology Adviser, Hong Kong Medical Journal
3 Editor-in-Chief, Hong Kong Medical Journal
4 Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Prof Martin CS Wong (wong_martin@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Pneumococcal infection, particularly invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), has placed a substantial global burden of disease.1 In Hong Kong, from 2007 to 2015, the incidence rate of IPD increased from 1.7 to 2.9 per 100 000 population.2 It is one of the leading causes of disability and mortality, affecting individuals aged ≥65 years who are at higher risk of complications and premature death.3 The total number of local residents aged ≥65 years has already exceeded one million, accounting for approximately 16% of the whole population in Hong Kong.4 Due to the ageing population, the incidence of IPD is expected to rise continuously in the coming years.5
 
Evidence has shown that pneumococcal immunisation can effectively decrease the incidence and mortality of pneumococcal infection and IPD among older adults.6 7 An earlier large-scale cohort study demonstrated that immunisation was associated with a significant decrease in the risk of pneumococcal infection (hazard ratio=0.56) among patients aged >65 years.8 The pneumococcal immunisation can also lower the risks of both myocardial infarction9 and ischaemic stroke.10 Although pneumococcal immunisation is beneficial for IPD and cardiovascular disease control, the programme participation remained suboptimal worldwide.
 
The uptake rate of pneumococcal immunisation among older adults was only around 61% in the United States during 2013 to 2014.11 In England, the pneumococcal immunisation coverage among older adults was <70% during 2014 to 2015.12 In Hong Kong, only one-third of people aged ≥65 years received pneumococcal immunisation.13
 
The Hong Kong SAR Government has launched two pneumococcal immunisation programmes to eligible residents in October 2019: the Vaccination Subsidy Scheme and the Government Vaccination Programme.14 The Vaccination Subsidy Scheme provided a subsidy of HK$210 (~US$27) and HK$250 (~US$32) for influenza and pneumococcal immunisation, respectively, to eligible older individuals at enrolled private clinics as a measure to strengthen the preventive strategy for these diseases. It offers subsidies for both the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine and the 23-valent polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccine. The Government Vaccination Programme provides eligible individuals with free pneumococcal immunisation at residential care homes for the elderly, designated centres of the Department of Health, and public clinics or hospitals managed by the Hospital Authority.14
 
In addition to pneumococcal vaccine, human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is currently available under the Hong Kong Childhood Immunisation Programme, wherein eligible female students may receive two doses of 9-valent HPV vaccine in their primary five and six school years.15 Other examples of Government-subsidised programmes for disease prevention include cervical cancer screening,16 colorectal cancer screening,17 and the Smoking Cessation Programme.18
 
In this issue of the Hong Kong Medical Journal, Man et al19 report an 8-year large-scale retrospective cohort study that included 792 adult patients in a major hospital. The authors found that the 30-day mortality rates were 11.5% overall and 24.5% in those patients with IPD. Among 170 patients admitted to the intensive care unit, the in-hospital mortality was 31.2%. The study results indicate that older age, the presence of chronic kidney disease, and disease severity are significantly associated with 30-day mortality. The study is limited by the absence of controls for potential confounders and its retrospective single-centre design; thus the generalisability to other settings may require cautious interpretation. This necessitates future evaluations to explore drug resistance patterns and capsular serotypes of pneumococcus. As claimed by the authors, this was the first and largest-scale investigation on pneumococcal disease in Hong Kong showing the significant burden posed by pneumococcal infection. The study exerts a significant impact on clinical care and resource planning for hospitals, given that up to 33% of IPD patients require intensive care unit care. In view of the public health impact, the role of pneumococcal vaccination in prevention should be enhanced.
 
Substantial evidence supports the effectiveness of preventive care and disease screening. A meta-analysis of 26 randomised controlled trials consisting of >73 000 individuals found that HPV immunisation can effectively protect adolescent girls and young females from cervical cancer.20 An international study conducted in eight countries by the World Health Organization found that the cumulative incidence of cervical cancer decreased by 94%, 93%, 91%, 84%, and 64% for a screening interval of 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, and 10 years, respectively, among women who were screened before age 35 years.21 Screening is also beneficial for women aged 61 to 65 years, and is associated with a decreased risk of cervical cancer (hazard ratio=0.42), contributing to a reduction of approximately 3.3 cancer cases per 1000 women.22 Screening by faecal occult blood test and colonoscopy can effectively reduce the risk of colorectal cancer–related death by 33%23 and 68%24, respectively. Among patients who smoke ≥15 cigarettes daily, smoking reduction by 50% can significantly reduce the risk of lung cancer.25
 
The effect of physician intervention on disease prevention and screening is well documented in the literature. Participation rates of pneumococcal vaccination are associated with physician-delivered routine vaccine and promotion programmes.26 A study among Japanese primary care physicians found that patients who had pneumococcal vaccination were more likely to have received advice from physicians than those who did not receive such advice (80% vs 21%), and a strong association was shown between physician recommendation and patient participation in vaccination with an adjusted odds ratio of 8.50.27 A study in France demonstrated that patients who received recommendations from trusted family physicians were more likely to participate in HPV vaccination programme.28 In Hungary, physicians effectively motivated approximately 27% of women who initially refused to join cervical cancer screening programmes.29 Moreover, higher non-compliance rates were related to family physicians being foreign, at a younger age, and with a longer distance to the clinic from the patient’s home.30 A population-based telephone survey in Hong Kong found that people who were recommended by physicians were 23.5-fold more likely to have colorectal cancer screening uptake than those who did not.31 A recent study conducted in Canada using large administrative databases highlighted that the uptake of colorectal cancer tests by family physicians was significantly associated with greater uptake by their patients.32 Another study found that clinicians who specialised in respiratory diseases, thoracic surgery, and cardiology were more committed to encouraging patients to cease tobacco use.33
 
We believe that the study by Man et al19 acts as a call for more active participation by physicians in disease prevention and screening programmes, and appeal for your support. Physicians play an important role in both primary and secondary disease prevention for asymptomatic individuals, including promotion of lifestyle modifications, vaccination for infectious diseases, and screening for early-stage cancer lesions such as cervical cancer and colorectal cancer.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the editorial, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
The authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Oishi K, Suga S. Pneumococcal infection: update [in Japanese]. Nihon Naika Gakkai Zasshi 2015;104:2301- 6. Crossref
2. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Updated recommendations on the use of pneumococcal vaccines for high-risk individuals. 2019. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/updated_recommendations_on_the_use_of_pneumococcal_vaccines_amended_120116_clean_2.pdf. Accessed 3 Sep 2020.
3. Shapiro ED. Prevention of pneumococcal infection with vaccines: an evolving story. JAMA 2012;307:847-9. Crossref
4. Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong SAR Government. Population by age group and sex. 2019. Available from: https://www.censtatd.gov.hk/hkstat/sub/sp150.jsp?tableID=002&ID=0&productType=8. Accessed 3 Sep 2020.
5. Hung IF, Tantawichien T, Tsai YH, Patil S, Zotomayor R. Regional epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal disease in Asian adults: epidemiology, disease burden, serotype distribution, and antimicrobial resistance patterns and prevention. Int J Infect Dis 2013;17:e364-73. Crossref
6. Koivula I, Stén M, Leinonen M, Mäkelä PH. Clinical efficacy of pneumococcal vaccine in the elderly: a randomized, single-blind population-based trial. Am J Med 1997;103:281-90. Crossref
7. Domínguez À, Salleras L, Fedson DS, et al. Effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination for elderly people in Catalonia, Spain: a case-control study. Clin Infect Dis 2005;40:1250-7. Crossref
8. Jackson LA, Neuzil KM, Yu O, et al. Effectiveness of pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine in older adults. N Engl J Med 2003;348:1747-55. Crossref
9. Lamontagne F, Garant MP, Carvalho JC, Lanthier L, Smieja M, Pilon D. Pneumococcal vaccination and risk of myocardial infarction. CMAJ 2008;179:773-7. Crossref
10. Vila-Corcoles A, Ochoa-Gondar O, Rodriguez-Blanco T, et al. Clinical effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination against acute myocardial infarction and stroke in people over 60 years: the CAPAMIS study, one-year follow-up. BMC Public Health 2012;12:222. Crossref
11. Williams WW, Lu PJ, O’Halloran A, et al. Surveillance of vaccination coverage among adult populations—United States, 2015. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep Surveill Summ 2017;66:1-28. Crossref
12. Public Health England. Pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV) coverage report, England, April 2014 to March 2015. 2015. Available from: https://assetspublishingservicegovuk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/448406/hpr2615_ppv.pdf. Accessed 5 Jul 2018.
13. Information Services Department, Hong Kong SAR Government. Pneumococcal vaccination for elderly persons. 18 Nov 2015. Available from: http://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/201511/18/P201511180642.htm. Accessed 3 Jan 2018.
14. Centre for Health Protection, Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Government Vaccination Programme (GVP) 2019/20. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/en/features/18630.html. Accessed 6 Jan 2020.
15. Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Child health—immunisation. Available from: https://www.fhs.gov.hk/english/main_ser/child_health/child_health_recommend.html. Accessed 27 Aug 2020.
16. Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Cervical Screening Programme. Available from: https://www.cervicalscreening.gov.hk/eindex.php. Accessed 27 Aug 2020.
17. Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Colorectal Cancer Screening Programme background. Available from: ttps://www.colonscreen.gov.hk/en/service/primary_care_doctor/programme_background.html. Accessed 27 Aug 2020.
18. Centre for Health Protection. Department of Health, Hong Kong SAR Government. Smoking. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/en/healthtopics/content/25/8806.html. Accessed 27 Aug 2020.
19. Man MY, Shum HP, Yu JS, Wu A, Yan WW. Burden of pneumococcal disease: 8-year retrospective analysis from a single centre in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:372-81. Crossref
20. Arbyn M, Xu L, Simoens C, Martin-Hirsch PP: Prophylactic vaccination against human papillomaviruses to prevent cervical cancer and its precursors. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018;(5):CD009069. Crossref
21. Screening for squamous cervical cancer: duration of low risk after negative results of cervical cytology and its implication for screening policies. IARC Working Group on evaluation of cervical cancer screening programmes. Br Med J (Clin Res Ed) 1986;293:659-64. Crossref
22. Wang J, Andrae B, Sundström K, et al. Effectiveness of cervical screening after age 60 years according to screening history: Nationwide cohort study in Sweden. PLoS Med 2017;14:e1002414. Crossref
23. Hewitson P, Glasziou P, Watson E, Towler B, Irwig L. Cochrane systematic review of colorectal cancer screening using the fecal occult blood test (Hemoccult): An update. Am J Gastroenterol 2008;103:1541-9. Crossref
24. Nishihara R, Wu KN, Lochhead P, et al. Long-term colorectal-cancer incidence and mortality after lower endoscopy. New Engl J Med 2013;369:1095-105. Crossref
25. Godtfredsen NS, Prescott E, Osler M. Effect of smoking reduction on lung cancer risk. JAMA 2005;294:1505-10. Crossref
26. Santibanez TA, Zimmerman RK, Nowalk MP, Jewell IK, Bardella IJ. Physician attitudes and beliefs associated with patient pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccination status. Ann Fam Med 2004;2:41-8. Crossref
27. Higuchi M, Narumoto K, Goto T, Inoue M. Correlation between family physician’s direct advice and pneumococcal vaccination intention and behavior among the elderly in Japan: a cross-sectional study. BMC Fam Pract 2018;19:153. Crossref
28. Bish A, Yardley L, Nicoll A, Michie S. Factors associated with uptake of vaccination against pandemic influenza: a systematic review. Vaccine 2011;29:6472-84. Crossref
29. Gyulai A, Nagy A, Pataki V, Tonté D, Ádány R, Vokó Z. General practitioners can increase participation in cervical cancer screening—a model program in Hungary. BMC Fam Pract 2018;19:67. Crossref
30. Leinonen MK, Campbell S, Klungsøyr O, Lönnberg S, Hansen BT, Nygård M. Personal and provider level factors influence participation to cervical cancer screening: a retrospective register-based study of 1.3 million women in Norway. Prev Med 2017;94:31-9. Crossref
31. Sung JJ, Choi SY, Chan FK, Ching JY, Lau JT, Griffiths S. Obstacles to colorectal cancer screening in Chinese: a study based on the health belief model. Am J Gastroenterol 2008;103:974-81. Crossref
32. Litwin O, Sontrop JM, McArthur E, et al. Uptake of colorectal cancer screening by physicians is associated with greater uptake by their patients. Gastroenterology 2020;158:905-14. Crossref
33. Dülger S, Doğan C, Dikiş ÖŞ, et al. Analysis of the role of physicians in the cessation of cigarette smoking based on medical specialization. Clinics (Sao Paulo) 2018;73:e347. Crossref

Radiology and COVID-19

© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Radiology and COVID-19
Jason CX Chan, FHKCR, FHKAM (Radiology)1; KY Kwok, FHKCR, FHKAM (Radiology)1; Johnny KF Ma, FHKCR, FHKAM (Radiology)2; YC Wong, FHKCR, FHKAM (Radiology)1
1 Department of Radiology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong
2 Department of Radiology, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Jason CX Chan (jasonchancx@gmail.com)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Within a few short months, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has rapidly spread across the globe, affecting at least 10.5 million people in more than 210 countries and territories, with over 500 000 deaths reported.1 As a result of the collective effort of the medical community and the general public, the number of confirmed cases in Hong Kong and the local mortality rate were kept at a low level relative to many other parts of the world.
 
Owing to the rapid response from the research community during the pandemic, we have increasing evidence and our understanding of the disease is improving. Accurate diagnosis relies on epidemiology, real-time reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assays, and imaging findings. For confirming severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection, which is the cause of COVID-19, RT-PCR is regarded as the gold standard. However, its limited availability, long turnaround time, and variable diagnostic performance have hindered the swift detection and containment of COVID-19 patients necessary to mitigate the exponential spread of the pandemic. Therefore, radiology has a crucial role in diagnosing patients suspected to have COVID-19.
 
Chest radiograph is inexpensive, highly accessible, easy to operate, and portable. An initial chest radiograph helps not only to detect features of pneumonia but also to provide an alternative diagnosis. Medical triage is recommended for patients who present with moderate to severe clinical features in places with a high prevalence of COVID-19.2 Mobile radiography systems in isolation wards or intensive care unit facilitate monitoring of the disease severity and progression without the need for patient transportation, which increases the risk of virus transmission within the hospital.3 Common chest radiograph findings of COVID-19 pneumonia include ground-glass opacities and consolidations, more often in bilateral, peripheral, and lower zone distributions.4 5 Lymphadenopathy or pleural effusion is rare. Nevertheless, a plain chest radiograph cannot exclude the diagnosis of COVID-19 because its sensitivity depends on the time of imaging and severity of pulmonary involvement.
 
Chest computed tomography (CT) provides superior delineation of disease involvement with high sensitivity of up to 98%.6 During the early outbreak of COVID-19 in Hubei Province, China, when RT-PCR assays and isolation beds were scarce, CT was used together with epidemiological criteria to provide screening for or diagnosis of COVID-19. The early experience in Hong Kong also indicated that CT was useful in achieving early diagnosis, especially in patients with initial negative RT-PCR results.7 8 However, the imaging features of COVID-19 overlap with other viral pneumonia such as influenza and even those of non-infectious states such as drug reactions. The framing of such a pivotal role of imaging in disease diagnosis is likely due to the high pre-test probability.9 Support for CT as a screening or diagnostic test for COVID-19 has now been challenged, as CT provides no additional clinical benefit but might lead to a false sense of security, because up to 20% of symptomatic patients have negative CT scan results.10 Patients with a high index of suspicion should be isolated pending confirmation with RT-PCR tests, or until quarantine has lapsed. The result of a chest CT does not alter patient management. Safe usage of CT scanners to image COVID-19 patients is also logistically challenging and can overwhelm the available resources. Even with proper cleaning protocols, CT scanners are still at risk of becoming vectors of infection to vulnerable patients and staff. Therefore, multiple societies recommend against the use of chest CT for screening and diagnosis of the disease.11
 
The pulmonary abnormalities of COVID-19 pneumonia in chest CT scans echo but predate those in chest radiographs. Typical findings include bilateral distribution of ground-glass opacities in the peripheral and posterior lungs.12 As the disease progresses, the ground-glass opacities can increase in size as well as extent of involvement, with additional crazy-paving patterns or consolidations observed. It is atypical to see pleural effusion, multiple tiny pulmonary nodules, or mediastinal lymphadenopathy.9 However, the presence of consolidations with air bronchogram, central lung involvement, and pleural effusion on initial chest CT are more commonly seen in severe patients who need intensive care.13 The abnormalities generally peak around 14 days after the disease onset, with some patients developing bilateral and diffuse infiltration of all segments of the lungs and thus manifesting as “white lung”.14 After that, healing of pulmonary inflammation is observed, with gradual replacement of cellular components by scar tissues shown as fibrous stripes.15 Currently, the long-term pulmonary sequalae of the disease remain unclear and further research is needed to explore the relationship between fibrosis and patients’ prognosis.
 
Artificial intelligence algorithms have been employed to aid radiologists to interpret images more rapidly and accurately in this pandemic. An early study showed that artificial intelligence could augment radiologists’ performance in distinguishing COVID-19 from pneumonia of other aetiologies on chest CT, yielding higher accuracy (90%), sensitivity (88%), and specificity (96%).16 By analysing CT radiomics and clinical and demographic factors, researchers have developed machine learning models which can predict the likelihood of COVID-19 patients requiring mechanical ventilation with a promising accuracy up to 75%.17 However, the only way to combat and contain this disease is to establish a fast, sensitive, and cost-effective triaging tool. A recently developed nowcast deep learning model might provide a solution that can identify COVID-19 on chest radiographs more accurately than radiologists, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.81, sensitivity of 84.7%, and specificity of 71.6%.18
 
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on radiology practices across the world. Many radiology units have reported a decline in patient numbers of 50% to 70%19 due to governmental limits on patient movement and curtailment of non-urgent imaging, as well as patient cancellations and no-shows due to fear of viral exposure. In the aftermath of the outbreak, radiology departments must take steps to restore public confidence in their ability to conduct radiological investigations safely. Logistic arrangements should be made to decrease the waiting room exposure and maximise social distancing in waiting areas. Each department also needs to create strategic plans to redistribute deferred cases by increasing the capacity of imaging services and re-evaluating all cases to allow efficient prioritisation across all specialties and referrers. This system should be based on assessing urgent and emergent imaging, time-critical imaging, imaging of known versus potential disease, and screening programmes.20 As the crisis recedes, proactive and careful management should allow radiology departments to actively manage the recovery process that will ultimately ensure the safety of patients and staff and enable radiologists to respond accordingly as the uncertainty of the coming months unfolds.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the editorial, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
The authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This editorial received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
 
References
1. World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) situation report–164. Available from: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200702-covid-19-sitrep-164.pdf?sfvrsn=ac074f58_2. Accessed 6 Jul 2020.
2. Rubin GD, Ryerson CJ, Haramati LB, et al. The role of chest imaging in patient management during the covid-19 pandemic: A multinational consensus statement from the Fleischner Society. Chest 2020;158:106-16. Crossref
3. Kooraki S, Hosseiny M, Myers L, Gholamrezanezhad A. Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak: what the department of radiology should know. J Am Coll Radiol 2020;17:447- 51. Crossref
4. Yoon SH, Lee KH, Kim JY, et al. Chest radiographic and CT findings of the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID- 19): analysis of nine patients treated in Korea. Korean J Radiol 2020;21:494-500. Crossref
5. Ng MY, Lee EY, Yang J, et al. Imaging profile of the COVID-19 infection: radiologic findings and literature review. Radiol Cardiothorac Imaging 2020;2:ryct.2020200034. Crossref
6. Fang Y, Zhang H, Xie J, et al. Sensitivity of chest CT for COVID-19: comparison to RT-PCR. Radiology 2020 Feb 19. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
7. Wong SY, Kwok KO. Role of computed tomography imaging in identifying COVID-19 cases. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:167-8. Crossref
8. Kwok HM, Wong SC, Ng TF, et al. High-resolution computed tomography in a patient with COVID-19 with non-diagnostic serial radiographs. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:248-9.e1-3. Crossref
9. Hope MD, Raptis CA, Shah A, Hammer MM, Henry TS; six signatories. A role for CT in COVID-19? What data really tell us so far. Lancet 2020;395:1189-90. Crossref
10. Inui S, Fujikawa A, Jitsu M, et al. Chest CT findings in cases from the cruise ship “Diamond Princess” with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Radiol Cardiothorac Imaging 2020;2:ryct.2020200110. Crossref
11. Simpson S, Kay FU, Abbara S, et al. Radiological Society of North America Expert Consensus Statement on Reporting Chest CT Findings Related to COVID-19. Endorsed by the Society of Thoracic Radiology, the American College of Radiology, and RSNA. Radiol Cardiothorac Imaging 2020;2:ryct.2020200152. Crossref
12. Li SK, Ng FH, Ma KF, Luk WH, Lee YC, Yung KS. Patterns of COVID-19 on computed tomography imaging. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:289-93. Crossref
13. Tabatabaei SM, Talari H, Moghaddas F, Rajebi H. Computed tomographic features and short-term prognosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia: a single-center study from Kashan, Iran. Radiol Cardiothorac Imaging 2020;2:ryct.2020200130. Crossref
14. Woo SC, Yung KS, Wong T, et al. Imaging findings of critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia: a case series. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:236-9. Crossref
15. Ng FH, Li SK, Lee YC, Ma JK. Temporal changes in computed tomography of COVID-19 pneumonia with perilobular fibrosis. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:250-1.e1-2. Crossref
16. Li L, Qin L, Xu Z, et al. Artificial intelligence distinguishes COVID-19 from community acquired pneumonia on chest CT. Radiology 2020 Mar 19. Epub ahead of print.
17. Scott M. Researchers using artificial intelligence to find out which COVID-19 patients are most likely to need ventilators. Available from: https://thedaily.case.edu/researchers-using-artificial-intelligence-to-find-out-which-covid-19-patients-are-most-likely-to-need-ventilators/. Accessed 6 Jul 2020.
18. Chiu KW, Vardhanabhuti V, Poplavskiy D, et al. Nowcast deep learning models for constraining zero-day pathogen attacks-application on chest radiographs to Covid-19. Research Square [Preprint] 2020. Available from: https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-22078/v1. Accessed 6 Jul 2020.
19. Cavallo JJ, Forman HP. The economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on radiology practices. Radiology 2020 Apr 15. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
20. Kwee TC, Pennings JP, Dierckx RA, Yakar D. The crisis after the crisis: the time is now to prepare your radiology department. J Am Coll Radiol 2020;17:749-51. Crossref

Diabetes screening revisited: issues related to implementation

© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Diabetes screening revisited: issues related to implementation
Martin CS Wong, MD, MPH1,2; Junjie Huang, MD, MSc2; Alice PS Kong, MD, FRCP3
1 Editor-in-Chief, Hong Kong Medical Journal
2 Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
3 Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Prof Martin CS Wong (wong_martin@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Diabetes induces a substantial global burden of disease. The World Health Organization reported that the number of people with diabetes increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014, and the global prevalence of diabetes escalated from 4.7% in 1980 to 8.5% in 2014.1 The mortality rate due to complications of diabetes has been predicted to double between 2005 and 2030.1 It has been estimated that almost half of all patients with diabetes (49.7%) remain undiagnosed and unaware of their conditions.2 The American Diabetes Association recommends that people aged ≥45 years should be screened for diabetes or prediabetes, especially individuals who are overweight or obese.3 Patients with risk factors of diabetes should receive screening at an earlier age or at more frequent intervals. Laboratory-based criteria for diagnosing diabetes and prediabetes include fasting plasma glucose (FPG) level, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) level, and 75-g Oral Glucose Tolerance Test.3 In asymptomatic individuals, two abnormal glycaemic results are required to establish a diagnosis of diabetes.3 The United States Preventive Services Task Force recently updated recommendations and proposed screening from age 40 to 70 years at 3-year intervals, with all three tests being suitable as screening modalities.4 The Hong Kong Reference Framework for Diabetes Care for Adults in Primary Care Settings5 of the Primary Healthcare Office, the Hong Kong Government recommends that screening should begin at age 45 years, and should be conducted every 1 to 3 years, based on the presence of diabetes risk factors.5 Other authorities such as the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care6 recommend screening based on HbA1c levels in high-risk individuals only, and those at low to moderate risk should complete a validated risk calculator such as FINDRISC7 or CANRISK8 to determine subsequent screening arrangements. Early diagnosis and proper treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus reduces cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.9 Early detection also enables quality care to slow disease progression, prevent complications, and reduce the hospital care burden and healthcare costs.
 
In this issue of the Hong Kong Medical Journal, Chan and colleagues10 retrospectively studied 1566 patients who underwent total knee arthroplasties (TKAs) at an institution where universal diabetes screening was implemented. Among them, 46.6% received HbA1c screening during preoperative assessment of TKAs 2 to 3 months before the scheduled operation, and all patients with HbA1c level ≥7.5% were referred to an endocrinologist for optimisation of glycaemic control before the scheduled TKA. The other 53.4% who did not receive HbA1c screening acted as historical controls. The authors found that up to 38% of patients had undiagnosed prediabetes or diabetes as identified by the universal HbA1c screening programme. In addition, the incidence of prosthetic joint infections after surgery was significantly lower in patients who received HbA1c screening than in those who did not (0.2% vs 1.0%, P=0.027). These findings suggest that universal HbA1c screening seems justifiable for all patients before they undergo TKA. Although only 17 patients were referred to an endocrinologist, the lower rate of prosthetic joint infections among patients who had HbA1c screening may be attributed to the more meticulous perioperative care for those identified as having dysglycaemia. Whether HbA1c screening of dysglycaemia directly led to the lower rate of prosthetic joint infections remains uncertain, since the infection rate in the cohort before universal screening was introduced in March 2017 was similar for patients with diabetes or prediabetes and those without diabetes. The yield of screen-detected diabetes mellitus since 2017 was also low in this study, with most having prediabetes, most of whom were not referred to an endocrinologist for treatment. The major limitations of the study include its retrospective nature, single-centre design, lack of randomisation between groups, and the possibility of missing variables which could be confounders. Nevertheless, the findings contribute to a solid foundation where future prospective studies may offer more definitive practice-changing recommendations for clinical guidelines. Because diabetes is a silent condition and many people with diabetes remain undiagnosed, increased clinical awareness of the condition with screening using HbA1c level, particularly before major operations such as TKA, appears to be a justifiable approach.
 
Universal diabetes screening in the general population may also be worthwhile. However, several issues must be considered before formal implementation of population-based screening programmes. First, a systematic review and meta-analysis including 49 studies of screening tests and 50 intervention trials showed that HbA1c level has only average sensitivity of 0.49 (95% confidence interval [95% CI]=0.40-0.58) and specificity of 0.79 (95% CI=0.73-0.84),11 whereas FPG level is specific (0.94, 95% CI=0.92-0.96) but not sensitive (0.25, 95% CI=0.19-0.32). The diagnostic accuracy of HbA1c level for diabetes has also been challenged—in a cohort of 5764 adult patients without diagnosed diabetes, the sensitivity of HbA1c ≥6.5% was only 43.3% and 28.1% when FPG and 2-hour plasma glucose, respectively, were used as criteria.12 Although HbA1c level has advantages of greater convenience (not requiring fasting) and fewer day-to-day variations, HbA1c level may be affected by assay interference due to haemoglobinopathies and conditions altering red blood cell turnover such as recent blood loss. Second, diabetes screening fulfils the Wilson and Jungner criteria,13 but one of the most important determinants of programme success includes screening uptake and persistent adherence over time. Although a variety of cancer screening programmes, such as for colorectal and cervical cancer, have been implemented to the local population to address the rapidly rising burden on Hong Kong’s healthcare system, the uptake rate remains suboptimal. Conversely, few programmes have specifically targeted metabolic diseases such as diabetes. The Hong Kong Government’s effort to enhance the provision of primary care and encourage the uptake of preventive care among the elderly people through the Elderly Health Care Voucher Scheme was launched on 1 January 2009, and was regularised into a recurrent programme in 2014. Eligible residents aged ≥65 years are entitled to an annual voucher of HK$2000 to utilise private sector primary care preventive services. However, it has been shown that a majority of elderly people in Hong Kong thought the Scheme would encourage them to utilise acute services rather than preventive care or chronic disease management in the private sector.14
 
Before a universal diabetes screening programme for the general public can be successful, the perceptions of, attitudes to, enablers of, and barriers to diabetes screening should be explored among various stakeholders, including prospective programme participants, physicians practising in various sectors, and policy makers. These will identify pertinent variables that could enhance screening participation and programme design. Furthermore, the cost-effectiveness of screening using different test modalities starting at different age-groups should be evaluated. More work is needed, as effective community-based interventions are required to enhance screening uptake and improve the impact of diabetes screening through further evaluations to inform policy formulation and implementation.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the editorial, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. World Health Organization. Diabetes fact sheet. 2020. Available from: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs312/en/. Accessed 12 Jul 2020.
2. Cho NH, Shaw JE, Karuranga S, et al. IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2017 and projections for 2045. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2018;138:271- 81. Crossref
3. American Diabetes Association. 2. Classification and diagnosis of diabetes: standards of medical care in diabetes—2020. Diabetes Care 2020;43(Suppl 1):S14-31. Crossref
4. Siu AL, US Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for abnormal blood glucose and type 2 diabetes mellitus: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med 2015;163:861-8. Crossref
5. Primary Healthcare Office. Food and Health Bureau, Hong Kong SAR Government. Hong Kong Reference Framework for Diabetes Care for Adults in Primary Care Settings. Available from: https://www.fhb.gov.hk/pho/english/health_professionals/professionals_diabetes_pdf.html. Accessed 12 Jul 2020.
6. Pottie K, Jaramillo A, Lewin G, et al. Recommendations on screening for type 2 diabetes in adults. CMAJ 2012;184:1687-96. Correction in: CMAJ 2012;184:1815. Crossref
7. Makrilakis K, Liatis S, Grammatikou S, et al. Validation of the Finnish diabetes risk score (FINDRISC) questionnaire for screening for undiagnosed type 2 diabetes, dysglycaemia and the metabolic syndrome in Greece. Diabetes Metab 2011;37:144-51. Crossref
8. Robinson CA, Agarwal G, Nerenberg K. Validating the CANRISK prognostic model for assessing diabetes risk in Canada’s multi-ethnic population. Chronic Dis Inj Can 2011;32:19-31.
9. Herman WH, Ye W, Griffin SJ, et al. Early detection and treatment of type 2 diabetes reduce cardiovascular morbidity and mortality: a simulation of the results of the Anglo-Danish-Dutch Study of Intensive Treatment in People with Screen-Detected Diabetes in Primary Care (ADDITION-Europe). Diabetes Care 2015;38:1449-55. Crossref
10. Chan VW, Chan PK, Woo YC, et al. Universal haemoglobin A1c screening reveals high prevalence of dysglycaemia in patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:304-10. Crossref
11. Barry E, Roberts S, Oke J, Vijayaraghavan S, Normansell R, Greenhalgh T. Efficacy and effectiveness of screen and treat policies in prevention of type 2 diabetes: systematic review and meta-analysis of screening tests and interventions. BMJ 2017;356:i6538. Crossref
12. Karnchanasorn R, Huang J, Ou HY, et al. Comparison of the current diagnostic criterion of HbA1c with fasting and 2-hour plasma glucose concentration. J Diabetes Res 2016;2016:6195494. Crossref
13. Wilson JM, Jungner YG, Organization WH. Principles and practice of mass screening for disease [in Spanish]. Bol Oficina Sanit Panam 1968;65:281-393.
14. Yam CH, Wong EL, Fung VL, Griffiths SM, Yeoh EK. What is the long term impact of voucher scheme on primary care? Findings from a repeated cross sectional study using propensity score matching. BMC Health Serv Res 2019;19:875. Crossref

Patient blood management: the solution to a double-edged sword?

© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Patient blood management: the solution to a double-edged sword?
YE Chee, MB, BS, FHKAM (Anaesthesiology)1,2,3,4; CS Lau, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Medicine)5,6
1 Chief of Service, Department of Anaesthesia, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong
2 Vice President, Society of Anaesthetists in Hong Kong, Hong Kong
3 Honorary Clinical Associate Professor, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
4 Honorary Clinical Associate Professor, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
5 Chair and Daniel CK Yu Professor in Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Department of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
6 President, Hong Kong Academy of Medicine, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr YE Chee (cye254@ha.org.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
In 1818, British obstetrician James Blundell successfully treated a patient diagnosed with postpartum haemorrhage with allogeneic blood transfusion. Transfusion medicine has since come a long way. The discovery of ABO blood groups in 1900 and Rh factor in 1939 by the Austrian immunologist Karl Landsteiner,1 the use of anticoagulants to preserve donor blood, and the implementation of donor blood screening tests for HBV (1970), HIV (1984), and HCV (1990), were all important milestones that helped to mitigate risks and enhance safety in blood transfusion practice. Today, allogeneic blood transfusion has become a mainstay in the treatment of anaemia2 and is among the most frequently prescribed life-saving therapies.3 4 Paradoxically, growing evidence shows that blood transfusion is associated with adverse patient outcomes.5 Blood transfusion is linked to increased infections and sepsis, length of hospital stay, and all-cause mortality.5 6
 
The sustainability of the donor blood supply is also at stake. Globally, the population aged ≥65 years is growing faster than all other age-groups, and the ratio is expected to increase from the current 1 in 11 (9%) to 1 in 6 (16%) by 2050.7 8 Because patients aged ≥65 years receive at least 50% of all blood transfusions,9 10 this ‘inverted pyramid’ in population growth means an imminent threat to the long-term blood supply. Critical shortages of allogeneic blood supply will soon ensue should the donation pattern and transfusion practices remain unchanged.9 The outcome impact and scarcity of supply call for a comprehensive approach in blood transfusion practice.
 
The term ‘patient blood management’ (PBM) was first coined by an Australian haematologist, Professor James Isbister, in 2005 to advocate a shift in transfusion practice from a blood product focus to a patient-centred one.11 An observational study conducted by the Austrian group on perioperative blood use showed high predictability of preoperative anaemia, volume of perioperative blood loss, and transfusion threshold for allogeneic blood transfusion,12 which laid the groundwork for PBM to be built on. Goodnough et al took the initiative further by rationalising PBM interventions into three main pillars13 14:
1. detect and manage anaemia sufficiently early before major elective surgery;
2. exhaust all means to minimise iatrogenic blood loss; and
3. optimise anaemia tolerance to accommodate restrictive transfusion trigger.
 
Thus, PBM emerged as a multimodal, multi-disciplinary approach using evidence-based interventions to preserve or optimise patients’ red cell mass and to avoid allogeneic blood transfusion. It aims to ensure patient safety and improve clinical outcomes. The originally intended use of PBM was to target perioperative blood use in surgical patients. Over the past few years, PBM has been extended to include nonsurgical indications.15 The initiative was formally endorsed at the World Health Assembly in 2010.16
 
In the past decade, support for PBM has grown in the practice of transfusion medicine, and much effort has been invested clinically to implement PBM. While PBM is most effective as an integrated part of a multidisciplinary clinical pathway,17 often only a single intervention or a pillar of PBM is implemented by an individual department in a piecemeal manner. Few institutions run PBM as a comprehensive hospital-wide programme that encompasses all measures guided by a transfusion algorithm.18 Barriers to wider implementation of PBM include clinicians’ resistance to change, lack of engagement of health authorities and policy makers, lack of resources, difficulties in translating evidence-based guidelines into feasible clinical practice, and an effective outcome audit.17 18 19 In 2008, the Western Australia Department of Health initiated a 5-year project to implement a health system–wide PBM programme that involved re-engineering of clinical processes and change management at all levels of the healthcare organisation. The successful initiative led to significant reductions in blood transfusion, hospital acquired infections, in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay, and readmission rate. The reduction in transfusion alone was translated into a saving of over AU$18 million from product procurement and AU$80 million from activity-based savings.17 18 The initiative showcased the successful implementation of a PBM programme that required engagement and participation of regulatory bodies and health authorities in addition to clinical leadership, fund allocation, and technology support.18 20 21 Of course, the economic burden of blood transfusion and hence the cost savings resulted give added value to a well-run PBM programme.18 20 21 22
 
The 2018 Frankfurt Consensus Conference made 10 clinical and 12 research recommendations on preoperative anaemia management, transfusion thresholds in adults, and implementation of PBM programmes.23 The panel found a paucity of strong evidence to answer many questions related to the three pillars in PBM and these deficiencies in the literature support the need for further research. The panel also highlighted the lack of agreement on the haemoglobin level for the diagnosis of preoperative anaemia, challenged the long-standing definition by the World Health Organization that was derived in the 1960s from small and low-quality trials, and emphasised the importance of an evidence-based, internationally accepted haemoglobin value for preoperative anaemia diagnosis in order to make future studies comparable.
 
The Hong Kong Red Cross Blood Transfusion Service is the only public institution providing blood to all public and private hospitals in Hong Kong, with >90% used within HA hospitals. Local non-remunerated voluntary donors are the sole suppliers of blood in Hong Kong. Procurement of blood from overseas is not a standard practice except for patients of non-Chinese ethnic background with unusual red cell antibodies receiving treatment in Hong Kong. The cost of collecting a unit of whole blood was previously estimated to be approximately HK$1000, but this has increased to around HK$1200 in the past 2 years owing to increased overhead costs. An ageing population together with the threats from emerging infectious diseases have prompted clinicians and hospital administrators in Hong Kong to adopt a full range of PBM interventions.
 
This themed issue of Hong Kong Medical Journal features the Recommendations on Implementation of Patient Blood Management by a group of local experts from the Hong Kong Society of Clinical Blood Management,24 highlighting the challenges in the broader implementation of PBM in Hong Kong and ways to overcome these. We offer this special edition to our readers as evidence of our commitment to PBM and its value to the patients served.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the editorial, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Acknowledgement
We thank Dr Cheuk-kwong Lee and Dr Rock Leung for their valuable inputs to this editorial.
 
Conflict of interest
The authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
References
1. Farhud DD, Yeganeh MZ. A brief history of human blood groups. Iran J Public Health 2013;42:1-6.
2. Partridge J, Harari D, Gossage J, Dhesi J. Anaemia in the older surgical patient: a review of prevalence, causes, implications and management. J R Soc Med 2013;106:269-77. Crossref
3. Trentino KM, Farmer SL, Swain SG, et al. Increased hospital costs associated with red blood cell transfusion. Transfusion 2015;55:1082-9. Crossref
4. Villanueva C, Colomo A, Bosch A, et al. Transfusion strategies for acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. N Engl J Med 2013;368:11-21. Crossref
5. Isbister JP, Shander A, Spahn DR, et al. Adverse blood transfusion outcomes: establishing causation. Transfus Med Rev 2011;25:89-101. Crossref
6. Bernard AC, Davenport DL, Chang PK, et al. Intraoperative transfusion of 1 U to 2 U packed red blood cells is associated with increased 30-day mortality, surgical-site infection, pneumonia, and sepsis in general surgery patients. J Am Coll Surg 2009;208:931-7.e1-2. Crossref
7. Ali A, Auvinen M, Rautonen J. The aging population poses a global challenge for blood services. Transfusion 2010;50:584-8. Crossref
8. United Nations. World Population Ageing 2019. Available from: https://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/pdf/ageing/WorldPopulationAgeing2019-Report.pdf. Accessed 5 Aug 2020.
9. Greinacher A, Fendrich K, Brze3nska R, Kiefel V, Hoffmann W. Implications of demographics on future blood supply: a population-based cross-sectional study. Transfusion 2011;51:702-9. Crossref
10. Cobain TJ, Vamvakas EC, Wells A, Titlestad K. A survey of the demographics of blood use. Transfus Med 2007;17:1- 15. Crossref
11. Isbister J. Why should health professionals be concerned about blood management and blood conservation? Updates Blood Conserv Transfus Alternat 2005;2:3-7.
12. Gombotz H, Rehak PH, Shander A, Hofmann A. Blood use in elective surgery: the Austrian benchmark study. Transfusion 2007;47:1468-80. Crossref
13. Goodnough LT, Shander A, Brecher ME. Transfusion medicine: looking to the future. Lancet 2003;361:161-9. Crossref
14. Shander A, Isbister J, Gombotz H. Patient blood management: the global view Transfusion 2016;56 Suppl 1:S94-102. Crossref
15. Franchini M, Marano G, Veropalumbo E, et al. Patient blood management: a revolutionary approach to transfusion medicine. Blood Transfus 2019;17:191-5.
16. The Sixty-third World Health Assembly. Availability, safety and quality of blood products. 2010. Available from: http://apps.who.int/gb/ebwha/pdf_files/WHA63/A63_R12-en.pdf. Accessed 27 Oct 2017.
17. Farmer SL, Towler SC, Leahy MF, Hofmann A. Drivers for change: Western Australia Patient Blood Management Program (WA PBMP), World Health Assembly (WHA) and Advisory Committee on Blood Safety and Availability (ACBSA). Best Pract Res Clin Anaesthesiol 2013;27:43-58. Crossref
18. Leahy MF, Hofmann A, Towler S, et al. Improved outcomes and reduced costs associated with a health-system-wide patient blood management program: a retrospective observational study in four major adult tertiary-care hospitals. Transfusion 2017;57:1347-58. Crossref
19. Goodnough LT. Blood management: transfusion medicine comes of age. Lancet 2013;381:1791-2. Crossref
20. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Costing statement: blood transfusion. Implementing the NICE guideline on blood transfusion (NG24). November 2015. Available from: https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng24. Accessed 5 Aug 2020.
21. American Society of Hematology. Choosing wisely. An initiative of the ABIM Foundation. 2018. Available from: https://www.choosingwisely.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Blood-Transfusions-For-Anemia-In-The-Hospital-ASH.pdf. Accessed 5 Aug 2020.
22. Abraham I, Sun D. The cost of blood transfusion in Western Europe as estimated from six studies. Transfusion 2012;52:1983-8. Crossref
23. Mueller MM, Remoortel HV, Meybohm P, et al. Patient blood management: recommendations from the 2018 Frankfurt Consensus Conference. JAMA 2019;321:983-97. Crossref
24. Chow YF, Cheng BC, Cheng HK, et al. Hong Kong Society of Clinical Blood Management recommendations for implementation of patient blood management. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:331-8.

Launch of the HKMJ Expert Advisory Panel on Social Media: enhancing reach, timeliness, and efficient sharing of medical literature

Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Launch of the HKMJ Expert Advisory Panel on Social Media: enhancing reach, timeliness, and efficient sharing of medical literature
Martin CS Wong, MD MPH1,2; Jeremy YC Teoh, MB, ChB, FHKAM (Surgery)3,4
1 Editor-in-Chief, Hong Kong Medical Journal
2 School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
3 Chair, Expert Advisory Panel on Social Media, Hong Kong Medical Journal
4 Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Dr Jeremy YC Teoh (jeremyteoh@surgery.cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
Social media refers to internet-based tools that enable individuals and organisations to communicate and share ideas, personal messages, and images. Social media also provides a platform for collaboration among researchers and other like-minded individuals.1 These social networking activities have offered our community access to a very rich body of medical knowledge, in order to build both interpersonal and professional relationships. The global utilisation of social media has increased from 7% in 2005 to 65% in 2015,2 and has increasingly played a crucial role for the academic community to promote research, establish academic networks, and interact with the general public online. Many journals have now started to harness the influential capabilities of social media to share their articles to potential readers.3 Altmetrics, another metric of evaluating research impact, considers engagement of social media in computing impact.4 5
 
Is there evidence that social media works? In this digital era, the advancement in technology has allowed rapid communications without geographical restrictions. The use of social media and hashtags have been a norm for academics to have rapid exchange of information during medical conferences. It is not uncommon to have a ‘viral effect’ in the dissemination of medical information, where the degree of interaction and engagement among participants can be very overwhelming.6 Hawkins et al7 have analysed the impact of Twitter “tweet chat” sessions by evaluating the Twitter activity metadata tagged with the #JACR hashtag from tweet chat sessions promoted by the Journal of American College of Radiology. They found that the average monthly journal website visits and page views directly from Twitter increased 321% and 318%, respectively. In addition, the authors found that organising Twitter microblogging activities around disciplines of general interest to their target audience could potentially increase the reach and number of readers for medical journals. There is also evidence that citations to an article may be heavily reliant on visible exposure of the academic output.8 It has been argued that composing a high-quality article in journals could only confer 50% of the chance of being cited, whilst the other half rested on broad promotion and dissemination of the published articles.9 10 11 The objectives of employing social media for medical journals include enhancing their reach, timeliness, and efficiency of sharing medical literature. These objectives are shared by the Hong Kong Medical Journal (HKMJ), as pledged at the Journal’s inception in 1995 to provide “a useful source of medical information on advances in medical research and clinical practice”12 in a timely and efficient manner, and reiterated in February 2017.13
 
It is important that articles published in HKMJ reached and benefit as many readers as possible. Among the 10 most frequently cited HKMJ articles in the past years, seven were published in the Review Article or Medical Practice sections14 15 16 17 18 19 20; these papers likely represent more practice-changing content, and deserve to be disseminated to as wide an audience as possible. In order to expand the audience of HKMJ, from 1 June 2020 onwards, the Journal will formally launch a social media presence, overseen by the “HKMJ Expert Advisory Panel on Social Media”. Professor Jeremy Yuen-chun Teoh, an Editor of the HKMJ, has agreed to act as Panel Chair. We are also pleased and grateful that Dr Regina Sit, our Editor, and the three newest members of our Editorial Board, Dr Jason Yam, Dr Sherry Chan, and Dr Jason Cheung have also agreed to join the panel. These three individuals were awardees of the 2019 Best Original Research by Young Fellows, organised by the Hong Kong Academy of Medicine Foundation.
 
There are at least three social media platforms that we will leverage, including Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn, with each bringing different benefits: Facebook is currently the most widely used social media platform in Hong Kong21; Twitter allows fast and efficient communication with academics globally22 23; and LinkedIn is more widely used internationally for building professional networks of colleagues and collaborators. We believe these platforms will allow us to reach our targeted audience in an effective manner. In order to enhance readership, we will also start presenting key results of newly published studies in the form of visual abstracts; this has been shown to be very useful in enhancing engagement with healthcare professionals.24 This panel is also charged to ensure maintenance of patient confidentiality, provision of accurate interpretation of research findings, and ethical use of social media based on the guidelines published by professional organisations such as the American Medical Association.25 It is also an obligation to safeguard the quality of information being disseminated and to ensure professional and appropriate use of the social media platforms. We hope our readers will appreciate and utilise these initiatives, and share their thoughts and experience with us, by joining us on social media, or emailing the Editorial Office at hkmj@hkmj.org.hk.
 
References
1. Ventola CL. Social media and health care professionals: benefits, risks, and best practices. P T 2014;39:491-520.
2. Enago Academy. How social media promotion increase research citation? Available from: https://www.enago.com/academy/how-social-media-promotion-increase-research-citation/. Accessed 10 May 2020.
3. Lopez M, Chan TM, Thoma B, Arora VM, Trueger NS. The social media editor at medical journals: responsibilities, goals, barriers, and facilitators. Acad Med 2019;94:701-7. Crossref
4. Cann A, Dimitriou K, Hooley T. Social media: a guide for researchers. February 2011. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/261990960_Social_Media_A_Guide_for_Researchers. Accessed 10 May 2020.
5. Harris S. Making research connections with social media: advice for researchers. 25 March 2015. Available from: https://www.authoraid.info/en/resources/details/1240/. Accessed 10 May 2020.
6. Teoh JY, Mackenzie G, Smith M, et al. Understanding the composition of a successful tweet in urology. Eur Urol Focus 2020;6:450-7. Crossref
7. Hawkins CM, Hillman BJ, Carlos RC, Rawson JV, Haines R, Duszak R Jr. The impact of social media on readership of a peer-reviewed medical journal. J Am Coll Radiol 2014;11:1038-43. Crossref
8. Marashi SA, Hosseini-Nami SM, Alishah K, et al. Impact of Wikipedia on citation trends. EXCLI J 2013;12:15-9.
9. Ebrahim NA. Publication marketing tools “Enhancing Research Visibility and Improving Citations”. October 2012. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/232045669_Publication_Marketing_Tools_-_Enhancing_Research_Visibility_and_Improving_Citations. Accessed 10 May 2020.
10. Bong Y, Ebrahim NA. Increasing visibility and enhancing impact of research. Asia Research News 30 Apr 2017. Available from: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2959952. Accessed 10 May 2020.
11. Fagbule OF. Use of social media to enhance the impact of published papers. Ann Ib Postgrad Med 2018;16:1-2.
12. Lee JC, Yu YL. Inaugural editorial. Hong Kong Med J 1995;1:4.
13. Wong MC. Exerting an impact on clinical practice—upholding quality, visibility, and timeliness of publications. Hong Kong Med J 2017;23:4-5. Crossref
14. Leung AK, Hon KL, Leong KF, Sergi CM. Measles: a disease often forgotten but not gone. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:512-20. Crossref
15. Kan HS, Chan PK, Chiu KY, et al. Non-surgical treatment of knee osteoarthritis. Hong Kong Med J 2019;25:127-33. Crossref
16. Hong YL, Yee CH, Tam YH, Wong JH, Lai PT, Ng CF. Management of complications of ketamine abuse: 10 years’ experience in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:175-81. Crossref
17. Tsang AC, Yeung RW, Tse MM, Lee R, Lui WM. Emergency thrombectomy for acute ischaemic stroke: current evidence, international guidelines, and local clinical practice. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:73-80. Crossref
18. Wong PC, Chan YC, Law Y, Cheng SW. Percutaneous mechanical thrombectomy in the treatment of acute iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis: a systematic review. Hong Kong Med J 2019;25:48-57. Crossref
19. Yee A, Tsui NB, Chang YN, et al. Alzheimer’s disease: insights for risk evaluation and prevention in the Chinese population and the need for a comprehensive programme in Hong Kong/China. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:492-500. Crossref
20. Chiu PK, Lee AW, See TY, Chan FH. Outcomes of a pharmacist-led medication review programme for hospitalised elderly patients. Hong Kong Med J 2018;24:98-106. Crossref
21. Penetration rate of leading social networks in Hong Kong as of 3rd quarter of 2019. Available from: https:// www.statista.com/statistics/412500/hk-social-network-penetration/. Accessed 10 May 2020.
22. Mohammadi E, Thelwall M, Kwasny M, Holmes KL. Academic information on Twitter: A user survey. PLoS One 2018;13:e0197265. Crossref
23. Gudaru K, Blanco LT, Castellani D, et al. Connecting the urological community: The #UroSoMe experience. J Endoluminal Endourol 2019;2:e20-9. Crossref
24. Chapman SJ, Grossman RC, FitzPatrick ME, Brady RR. Randomized controlled trial of plain English and visual abstracts for disseminating surgical research via social media. Br J Surg 2019:1611-6. Crossref
25. Shore R, Halsey J, Shah K, et al. Report of the AMA Council on Ethical and Judicial Affairs: Professionalism in the use of social media. J Clin Ethics 2011;22:165-72.

Role of computed tomography imaging in identifying COVID-19 cases

Hong Kong Med J 2020 Jun;26(3):167–8  |  Epub 11 Jun 2020
Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Role of computed tomography imaging in identifying COVID-19 cases
Samuel YS Wong, MPH, MD1,2; KO Kwok, PhD1,2,3
1 Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
2 Shenzhen Research Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
3 Stanley Ho Centre for Emerging Infectious Diseases, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Prof Samuel YS Wong (yeungshanwong@cuhk.edu.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
At the time of writing, more than 4.1 million cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been reported worldwide with more than 280 000 deaths.1 The first case in Hong Kong was confirmed on 23 January 2020, and a total of 1046 cases with four deaths have been reported to date.2 Generally, individuals with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection develop COVID-19-associated symptoms. However, similar to influenza, asymptomatic carriers of SARS-CoV-2 have been documented in affected populations such as Hong Kong,2 Italy,3 and China.4
 
Understanding the clinical, laboratory, and imaging characteristics of COVID-19 helps identify suspected infection.5 6 However, in places where significant local spread of COVID-19 infection has occurred, it can be difficult to differentiate cases from other respiratory diseases with similar clinical presentation. Reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is the most commonly used diagnostic tool for screening for SARS-CoV-2.7 Nevertheless, various initial (not serial) test sensitivity rates have been reported, for example 70.6% (36/51),8 83.3% (30/36),9 97.0% (162/167),10 and 97.5% (586/601).11 False negative results may be caused by various factors including differences in sampling of specimens in terms of temperature and time of specimen preservation.12 False negative results produce false reassurance in patient treatment and may increase the difficulty in controlling the spread of the disease in the community. Therefore, other complementary diagnostic tools or methods may be needed to reduce false negative results. Computed tomography (CT) imaging of the chest has been suggested as the first-line imaging modality among patients who are highly suspected of SARS-CoV-2 infection with lung abnormalities.7 10 13
 
Computed tomography imaging can be used to monitor disease progress and assess the severity of disease.10 13 Several studies had shown that specific features and differences in imaging features can help provide information on the severity of the disease. In the study by Woo et al,14 the authors described the un-enhanced CT imaging findings of three critically ill patients with COVID-19 and all presented with consolidations in addition to the characteristic ground glass opacities with crazy paving opacities. They suggested that CT findings of consolidation may be used as prognostic factors indicating more severe disease although future larger studies are needed to confirm this postulation. A study conducted in mainland China reported groundg-lass opacities in early disease, followed by crazy paving and increasing consolidations in the later course of the disease,15 whereas others have reported a predominance of ground-glass opacification with occasional consolidation on CT.16
 
Chest CT examinations may also be useful for early screening of patients with suspected COVID-19,7 especially among those with negative results on RT-PCR screening.10 In this issue of Hong Kong Medical Journal, Kwok et al17 describe a 63-year-old Chinese male from Wuhan, China, who presented to the emergency department and was later confirmed with COVID-19 using RT-PCR from nasopharyngeal aspirate and throat swab specimens. Although serial chest plain radiographs were negative, high-resolution CT showed characteristics of COVID-19 infection. Therefore, the authors suggested that high-resolution CT can be useful for early radiological assessment for patients with negative chest radiographs. A study conducted in Wuhan population on around 1000 patients with COVID-19 suggested that chest CT may have higher sensitivity for diagnosis when compared with RT-PCR on throat swab samples.11 Another smaller study also reported similar findings on a consecutive 51 patients,8 and a case series in this issue of Hong Kong Medical Journal found that chest CT had a low rate of misdiagnosis of COVID-19.14
 
Most published studies include a small number of patients. Nevertheless, the radiological characteristics of patients with COVID-19 described above suggest that chest CT may be useful as a complement to RT-PCR tests, especially when the diagnosis is in doubt. However, before one can recommend chest CT as the main screening modality for diagnosing COVID-19, several factors would need to be considered. First as a screening modality, the test should be simple and with good accessibility. The cost and availability of CT examinations for diagnosis would likely be a significant limiting factor for its use and access in different health systems. Second, we still need more information on the radiological features associated with the natural disease course of COVID-19, such that we can be certain that patients can be diagnosed early and timely with CT in the disease course. Finally, we need to further characterise the radiological features of chest CT among asymptomatic carriers who are suspected to have history of disease exposure. Upon data availability, chest CT will be more useful as an aid to RT-PCR testing in clinical situation where the diagnosis is uncertain.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the concept or design of the study, drafting of the manuscript, and critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
This work was partially supported by Research Fund for the Control of Infectious Diseases, Hong Kong (Ref: INF-CUHK-1); General Research Fund (Ref: 14112818); Health and Medical Research Fund (Ref: 17160302, 18170312); and Wellcome Trust (UK, 200861/Z/16/Z).
 
References
1. Centre for Health Protection, Hong Kong SAR Government. Countries/areas with reported cases of Coronavirus Disease- 2019 (COVID-19). Available from: https://www.chp.gov. hk/files/pdf/statistics_of_the_cases_novel_coronavirus_ infection_en.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2020.
2. Centre for Health Protection, Hong Kong SAR Government. Latest situation of cases of COVID-19. Available from: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/local_ situation_covid19_en.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2020.
3. Day M. Covid-19: identifying and isolating asymptomatic people helped eliminate virus in Italian village. BMJ 2020;368:m1165. Crossref
4. Shi H, Han X, Jiang N, et al. Radiological findings from 81 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. Lancet Infect Dis 2020;20:425-34. Crossref
5. Wang C, Horby PW, Hayden FG, Gao GF. A novel coronavirus outbreak of global health concern. Lancet 2020;395:470-3. Crossref
6. Huang C, Wang Y, Li X, et al. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. Lancet 2020;395:497-506. Crossref
7. Zhao W, Zhong Z, Xie X, Yu Q, Liu J. Relation between chest CT findings and clinical conditions of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pneumonia: A multicenter study. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2020;214:1072-7. Crossref
8. Fang Y, Zhang H, Xie J, et al. Sensitivity of chest CT for COVID-19: Comparison to RT-PCR. Radiology 2020 Feb 19. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
9. Long C, Xu H, Shen Q, et al. Diagnosis of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19): rRT-PCR or CT? Eur J Radiol 2020;126:108961. Crossref
10. Xie X, Zhong Z, Zhao W, Zheng C, Wang F, Liu J. Chest CT for typical 2019-nCoV pneumonia: relationship to negative RT-PCR testing. Radiology 2020 Feb 12. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
11. Ai T, Yang Z, Hou H, et al. Correlation of chest CT and RT-PCR testing in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China: a report of 1014 cases. Radiology 2020 Feb 26. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
12. Pan Y, Long L, Zhang D, et al. Potential false-negative nucleic acid testing results for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 from thermal inactivation of samples with low viral loads. Clin Chem 2020 Apr 4. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
13. Huang P, Liu T, Huang L, et al. Use of chest CT in combination with negative RT-PCR assay for the 2019 novel coronavirus but high clinical suspicion. Radiology 2020;295:22-3. Crossref
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15. Pan F, Ye T, Sun P, et al. Time course of lung changes on chest CT during recovery from 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pneumonia. Radiology 2020 Feb 13. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
16. Ng MY, Lee EY, Yang J, et al. Imaging profile of the COVID-19 infection: radiologic findings and literature review. Radiol Cardiothoracic Imaging 2020 Feb 13. Epub ahead of print. Crossref
17. Kwok HM, Wong SC, Ng TF. High-resolution computed tomography in a patient with COVID-19 with non-diagnostic serial radiographs. Hong Kong Med J 2020;26:248-9.e1-3. Crossref

Responding to COVID-19 in Hong Kong

Hong Kong Med J 2020 Jun;26(3):164–6  |  Epub 11 Jun 2020
Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
EDITORIAL
Responding to COVID-19 in Hong Kong
Kelvin KW To, MD1,2; KY Yuen, MD1,2
1 Department of Microbiology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
2 Department of Microbiology, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong
 
Corresponding author: Prof KY Yuen (kyyuen@hku.hk)
 
 Full paper in PDF
 
The 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).1 The COVID-19 is primarily an acute viral respiratory disease which can manifest as acute upper or lower respiratory tract syndrome of varying severity, from asymptomatic virus shedding, rhinorrhoea, sore throat, conjunctivitis to cough, asymptomatic or silent hypoxia, chest discomfort, respiratory failure, or even multiorgan failure.1 2 Extrapulmonary manifestations include diarrhoea, lymphopenia, thrombocytopenia, deranged liver and renal function, rhabdomyolysis, anosmia, dysgeusia, meningoencephalitis, Guillain-Barre syndrome, Kawasaki disease like multisystem vasculitis, and thromboembolism.3 4 5 6 7 8 9 The outcome of COVID-19 is largely affected by older age and the presence of obesity and other underlying co-morbidities.10 11 The crude fatality varies widely for different geographical regions from 0.4% to 10%.12 13
 
Despite over 6 million COVID-19 cases and 360 000 deaths globally, Hong Kong has a total of about 1094 cases at the time of writing, which is one of the lowest per million population among developed regions. The painful experience of the SARS outbreak in 2003 sparked a large body of local animal surveillance, which showed that 39% of Chinese horseshoe bats could be harbouring bat SARS-related coronaviruses.14 Knowing that coronaviruses are prone to genetic mutations and recombination which produce new virus species, and the presence of a large reservoir of SARS-related coronaviruses in these horseshoe bats, together with the culture of eating exotic mammals in southern China, Hong Kong has anticipated and prepared for the re-emergence of SARS and other novel viruses from animals since 2007.15
 
Based on soft intelligence that an epidemic due to a suspected SARS-related coronavirus was looming in Wuhan on 31 December 2019, border thermal scanning and consensus reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assays for unexplained pneumonia were started. The serious response level was activated by Centre for Health Protection on 4 January 2020. The University of Hong Kong–Shenzhen hospital has served as the sentinel for Hong Kong by identifying the first family cluster of COVID-19 who presented with symptoms after returning from Wuhan on 10 January 2020.1 This family cluster allowed us to preliminarily validate our in-house test for SARS-CoV-2 before commercial test kits were available. This family cluster showed that COVID-19 can be acquired from hospital, spreads very efficiently in the family setting with six out of seven members affected, and can have mild or asymptomatic manifestations.
 
Hong Kong is at high risk for COVID-19 dissemination. It is among the most densely populated regions globally with at least 200 000 people living in subdivided flats of 60 square feet or less. Furthermore, Hong Kong has a large elderly population with 1.27 million people over the age of 65 years who are susceptible to severe COVID-19. Hong Kong is also at high risk of travel-related case importation, as there are about 150 000 people crossing the Shenzhen–Hong Kong border and about 200 000 travelling via Hong Kong International Airport daily. Finally, Hong Kong has a cool dry winter which may favour virus transmission and its environmental stability. In view of the high number of mild or asymptomatic cases, the Hong Kong public was advised by medical colleagues from different medical specialties to practice universal masking in addition to good hand hygiene on 24 January 2020, despite some local dissenting views and opposite recommendation by the World Health Organization and overseas health authorities. The compliance of our community with face mask went up to 97% during the morning rush hour.16 It turned out that only 40% of our COVID-19 patients were locally acquired cases, and most local clusters of transmissions were related to mask-off activities. Thus, universal or community-wide masking, in addition to the standard border controls, case finding by extensive testing, mandatory admission for cases, rapid contact tracing and quarantine, and social distancing measures, may have given Hong Kong an edge in controlling the local spread of COVID-19. The high professional standard of Hong Kong healthcare workers, the excellent training in infection control, and the adequate supply of personal protective equipment have resulted in zero COVID-19–related mortality and morbidity among our hospital personnel 5 months after the pandemic began.
 
Epidemiological decisions must be made early enough to be effective, as transmission may have occurred 14 days before the case is detected. Thus, the first case from mainland China should immediately lead to land border control and quarantine of returnees. The first overseas case should lead to testing at the airport and quarantine of all overseas returnees. Increasing numbers of local clusters of untraceable sources should mandate more social distancing. But early case detection depends on extensive testing by RT-PCR especially for patients with mild symptoms. Extensive RT-PCR screening will continue to be one of the most important indicators guiding epidemiological decisions.
 
However, taking clinical specimens for RT-PCR by nasopharyngeal and throat swabbing of asymptomatic individuals induces discomfort and occasionally nasal bleeding. It may also induce coughing and sneezing, which endangers the healthcare workers. Mass screening would lead to a shortage of swabs. Hong Kong has circumvented these difficulties by patient self-collection of early morning posterior oropharyngeal (deep throat) saliva before breakfast and mouth rinsing.3 17 During sleep, the nasopharyngeal secretions of the upper respiratory tract will go posteriorly and pool around the oropharynx together with the bronchopulmonary secretions of the lower respiratory tract moved up by ciliary activity to almost the same level. Both upper and lower respiratory tract secretions are important for laboratory diagnosis because many patients have peripheral multifocal ground glass opacities on their lung computed tomography scan despite paucity of respiratory symptoms. If the patient can clear the throat by a coughing and gurgling manoeuvre at least 5 to 10 times into a sputum container with 2 mL of viral transport medium, the sensitivity would be similar if not better than the nasopharyngeal and throat swab. This is especially useful for daily viral load monitoring in antiviral treatment trial during which many patients resent the discomfort of taking daily nasopharyngeal swabs.18 With reliable collection of early morning posterior oropharyngeal saliva, the viral load of COVID-19 patients was found to peak early at the time of symptom onset or at presentation, or even before symptom onset during the period of quarantine.
 
Although mandatory admission of all RT-PCR positive patients, including those subclinical or mildly symptomatic, has led to a shortage of negative pressure single isolation rooms, this arrangement which is mandated by public health ordinance allows early recruitment of patients for antiviral therapy. Ex vivo lung tissue explant challenged by SARS-CoV-2 showed that the innate immune response of lung tissue by interferons and inflammatory cytokines/chemokines were markedly suppressed.19 Studies of the SARS outbreak in 2003 showed that interferonbeta can be synergistic with ribavirin, and a combination of lopinavir-ritonavir and ribavirin can markedly improve the outcome of SARS patients in terms of mortality and respiratory failure.20 21 A recently published multicentre, prospective, open-label, randomised, phase 2 trial showed that triple antiviral therapy (interferon beta-1b, lopinavir-ritonavir, and ribavirin) was safe and superior to lopinavir-ritonavir alone in alleviating symptoms and shortening the duration of viral shedding and hospital stay in adult patients with mild to moderate COVID-19.18 The early admission of patients for assessment, antiviral therapy, and respiratory support may explain our very low crude fatality rate of less than 0.4% in Hong Kong. Although remdesivir was also shown to reduce time to recovery in a large randomised control, this drug is unlikely to be readily available in Hong Kong as the production cannot meet the huge demand.22 Therefore we are collecting convalescent plasma from recovered patients with high serum neutralising antibody titre and use it as a salvage therapy for those who do not respond to antiviral treatment including interferon beta-1b or remdesivir.
 
Hong Kong cannot be complacent, because just one super-spreading event in Amoy Garden during the 2003 SARS outbreak led to an overloading and paralysis of our hospital service. Fortunately, such events have not happened yet for COVID-19. The emergency evacuations of residents from buildings with faulty sewage vent pipes were wakeup calls for our urgent attention to the maintenance of such sewage systems. The cluster of seven COVID-19 cases in Luk Chuen House at Lek Yuen Estate, living in six units on different floors, could herald a major super-spreading event and should not be treated simply as just one more community cluster. Extensive RT-PCR testing for at least one person per thousand population per day for any mild respiratory symptoms should be conducted in all 18 districts to minimise the evolvement of super-spreading events. The SARS-CoV-2 will continue to circulate during the summer and may cause an explosive outbreak in winter because our herd immunity is very low. Even the seroprevalence among Hong Kong returnees from Hubei is only 3.8%.23 A safe and effective vaccine is unlikely to become widely available for another 12 months or more. Thus, SARS-CoV-2 will likely become another seasonal respiratory coronavirus circulating in humans for many years to come. More research on the animal source of SARS-CoV-2, pathogenesis and immunology, and effective control measures are urgently needed.
 
Author contributions
All authors contributed to the concept or design of the study, acquisition and analysis of the data, drafting of the manuscript, and critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content. All authors had full access to the data, contributed to the study, approved the final version for publication, and take responsibility for its accuracy and integrity.
 
Conflicts of interest
All authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.
 
Funding/support
The authors’ studies were partly supported by donations from Richard Yu and Carol Yu, May Tam Mak Mei Yin, the Shaw Foundation Hong Kong, Michael Seak-Kan Tong, Respiratory Viral Research Foundation, Hui Ming, Hui Hoy and Chow Sin Lan Charity Fund, Chan Yin Chuen Memorial Charitable Foundation, Marina Man-Wai Lee, the Hong Kong Hainan Commercial Association South China Microbiology Research Fund, the Jessie & George Ho Charitable Foundation, Perfect Shape Medical, and Kai Chong Tong; and by funding from the Consultancy Service for Enhancing Laboratory Surveillance of Emerging Infectious Diseases and Research Capability on Antimicrobial Resistance for the Department of Health of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government; the Theme-Based Research Scheme (T11/707/15) of the Research Grants Council; Hong Kong Special Administrative Region; Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen, China (no SZSM201911014); and the High Level-Hospital Program, Health Commission of Guangdong Province, China.
 
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