Hong Kong Med J 2018 Apr;24(2):119–27 | Epub 10 Apr 2018
© Hong Kong Academy of Medicine. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
Willingness for deceased organ donation under different legislative systems in Hong Kong: population-based cross-sectional survey
TK Cheung, BSc; TC Cheng, BSc; LY Wong, BSN, MPH, PhD
The Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong
Corresponding author: Prof LY Wong (email@example.com)
Introduction: Under the current opt-in system, the deceased organ donation rate remains low in Hong Kong. An opt-out system and an opt-in system combined with organ allocation priority (ie, priority to donors as transplant recipients) have been proposed to encourage willingness among the general population towards deceased organ donation. This study aimed to compare willingness, and its determinants, across these three legislative systems.
Methods: A random telephone survey of Hong Kong permanent residents aged ≥18 years was conducted between August and October 2016 using an anonymous questionnaire. Willingness towards deceased organ donation was compared between the legislative systems with McNemar’s test. Determinants of willingness were tested by logistic regression.
Results: The proportion of those willing to consider deceased organ donation under the current opt-in system would significantly increase after combining it with allocation priority (64.5% vs 73.4%; P=0.018). “Fairness or reciprocity” was the major reported reason underlying the increase. In contrast, willingness would decrease after introducing the opt-out system (60.1%), although not significantly (P=0.336). The reduction might be attributable to a “belief of being forced to donate”. Under the allocation priority system, reduced willingness to donate was associated with advanced age, lower educational attainment, and lower monthly household income. Under the opt-out system, reduced willingness was associated with being married, having a lower household income, and distrust of local government.
Conclusions: An opt-in system with allocation priority could induce willingness to donate, whereas an opt-out system may reduce willingness. The findings have implications for policy-making and promotion of organ donation.
New knowledge added by this study
- Introducing organ allocation priority to the current opt-in system is expected to significantly increase willingness of the Hong Kong general population for deceased organ donation.
- Replacing the opt-in system by an opt-out system may cause a reduction in willingness to donate. A portion of registered donors (15.8%) and of the general population who were willing to donate organs under the current opt-in system (28.2%) said they were reluctant to stay in the donor pool under the proposed opt-out system.
- The present study can help health care policymakers anticipate public attitude towards implementing an opt-out system and its potential effectiveness.
- The findings support alternative legislative systems of deceased organ donation other than the opt-out system, such as an opt-in allocation priority system.
- Apart from modification of the legislative system for organ donation, the government should consider policies designed to motivate registering behaviour.
Organ transplantation offers the best clinical management for patients with end-stage organ failure. Since the first successful kidney transplant in 1954,1 a number of studies have confirmed that organ transplantation provides the best outcomes for survival,2 quality of life,3 and cost-effectiveness.4 With advances in surgical techniques and immunosuppressive drugs, organ donation has also progressively improved over the decades. However, the low rate of deceased organ donation is a universal problem. Different countries have adopted different policy schemes to encourage deceased organ donation but the donation rates vary.
Currently, Hong Kong adopts an opt-in legislative system of organ donation, where an individual who is willing to donate their organs after death is required to carry a signed donor card or register online at the Central Organ Donation Register.5 However, the registration rate among the general population is low and was about 11% in 2015.6 The actual number of deceased donors in the same year was only 5.8 per million population, which is much lower than in other developed areas: for example, Spain has a deceased donor rate of 34 per million population, which is the world’s highest.7 As a result, organ demand consistently outweighs supply, leading to a long waiting list.8
The World Health Organization is urging every country to advance their organ procurement programme.9 Two legislative systems have been proposed to increase the donation rate: an opt-out system and an opt-in system with organ allocation priority (allocation priority system).10 An opt-out system presumes an individual is a potential deceased donor unless refusal has been expressed by ‘opting out’ of the donor pool. This system can simplify registration procedures and is convenient for those willing to donate organs. An opt-out system, however, does not specifically indicate willingness.11 On the basis of empirical evidence from several European countries, implementing an opt-out system can successfully raise awareness and willingness for deceased organ donation12 and actual donation rates.11 13 14 15
An opt-in system with allocation priority is another policy approach, in which individuals who have registered as a deceased donor will gain priority points on the transplant waiting list. A priority point is a reward for those who are willing to donate an organ and who in turn gain preferential status for receiving a donor organ if required.16 This system can motivate the public to register as donors by providing them with a higher chance of extending their own lives and address the perceived unfairness of ‘free-riders’ who are willing to receive an organ but unwilling to donate. Israel adopted this policy approach in the Organ Transplant Act of 2008 and illustrated its effectiveness by the number of signed donor cards and actual donation rates.10 16 17
In light of the low deceased organ donation rate in Hong Kong, the government is currently reviewing its donation policy and is considering replacing the current opt-in system by an opt-out system. However, introducing an opt-out system without public support may actually reduce the donation rate,18 as it did in Brazil and Singapore.6 Similarly, ethical issues of the allocation priority system may fuel public opposition. On the one hand, it promotes a fair concept of reciprocity.16 19 On the other hand, there is a perception that organ allocation should be based not on an individual’s willingness to donate, but solely on their medical needs.16 19 It is difficult to predict the effectiveness of proposed legislative systems in Hong Kong on the basis of experience elsewhere, and local analysis of these systems is limited. Only one local study has examined the willingness to donate a kidney under an opt-out system but the feasibility of allocation priority was not included.20 In addition, socio-economic and demographic determinants may influence willingness towards deceased organ donation. A Malaysian study suggested that such determinants may differ under different legislative systems.21 Interestingly, political viewpoint is also correlated with willingness when a new legislative system is imposed.12 22 It is thus important to explore these determinants when considering an opt-out system or allocation priority system.
This study aimed to explore whether a proposed opt-out system or opt-in allocation priority system would increase public willingness in Hong Kong towards deceased organ donation, and to examine the association of socio-economic, demographic, and political determinants with the willingness of deceased organ donation under different proposed policies.
A cross-sectional telephone survey with a structured questionnaire was conducted. The target population was Hong Kong permanent residents who were aged ≥18 years, able to register as a deceased organ donor, and able to speak Cantonese. On the basis of the ‘10k rule of thumb’,23 the minimum sample size required to test the association between the willingness of organ donation and the seven socio-demographic variables in this study was about 200. Assuming a 0.05 type 1 error, the sample size would be able to detect 15% and 20% significant differences in the proportions of persons shifting from ‘unwilling’ to ‘willing’ to donate after proposing the allocation priority system and opt-out system, respectively, both with at least 80% power. With the assumption that 12% of landline telephone numbers are valid and there would be a 30% response rate, a sample of about 5600 telephone numbers was needed. A computerised random list of 5800 eight-digit residential telephone numbers (starting with ‘2’ and ‘3’, the current telephone number system in Hong Kong) was generated.
Telephone interviews were held from 18:00 to 20:30 on every weekday and from 11:00 to 18:00 on every weekend to ensure coverage of different demographics. The actual proportions of calls made on weekdays and at weekends were 41.3% and 58.7%, respectively. Interviews were conducted by the first two authors and each took about 5 to 7 minutes, including an introduction explaining the interview and obtaining verbal consent. A maximum of three calls was made at different times on different days before a telephone number was considered invalid. If more than one family member in a household was eligible, the person whose next birthday was closest to the interview date was invited to participate.
The questionnaire was developed from a literature review and comprised 14 items in four sections: (1) current opt-in system; (2) proposed opt-out system; (3) proposed opt-in allocation priority system; (4) background information: socio-economic and demographic characteristics and political views. Reasons underlying the willingness under each legislative system were explored with open-ended questions. On the basis of a pilot study of the questionnaire’s feasibility and wording, involving 10 members of the general public, descriptions of the two proposed systems were refined. Double-entry of data and data cleaning were conducted by the authors. Ethics approval was granted by the Survey and Behavioural Research Ethics Committee of The Chinese University of Hong Kong.
All statistical analyses were performed with IBM SPSS Statistics 24 (IBM Corp, Armonk [NY], USA). A descriptive summary of characteristics of respondents compared with those of the targeted general population24 was prepared. Two-sided McNemar’s tests were used to compare willingness rates between the current opt-in system and the opt-out system, as well as between the current opt-in system and the allocation priority system. Univariate logistic regression analyses were performed to explore associations between each independent variable (demographics, socio-economic level, and political view) and the dependent variable (willingness of deceased organ donation) under the proposed opt-out and allocation priority systems, separately. Significant independent variables were further tested by multiple logistic regression analysis using the forced entry method. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. A qualitative content analysis was also conducted by the first author to identify meaningful units emerging from the open-ended questions for underlying reasons for willingness to donate. The units were coded into categories based on the findings and suggested by the literature review,6 16 17 25 and were checked independently by the second author.
Telephone interview response rate
Telephone interviews took place between 2 August and 18 October 2016 in Hong Kong. A total of 5800 households were contacted and 203 respondents completed the questionnaire (response rate, 19.7%) (Fig).
Characteristics of respondents
The majority of the respondents were female (60.9% of 202), were aged 18 to 30 years (43.2% of 199), had a post-secondary education (41.0% of 200), were employed (54.0% of 202), were never married (52.3% of 197), and had a monthly household income of more than HK$40 000 (37.6% of 189). Compared with the general population, our study sample contained smaller proportions who were male, older than 40 years, educated to secondary level, or married, or who had a household income of <HK$20 000. (Table 1).
Willingness towards deceased organ donation
Under the current opt-in system, a majority of respondents were willing to donate organs after death (64.5%), whereas some were unwilling (11.8%) and others were unsure (23.6%) [Table 2]. Among those willing to donate, only 29.0% had registered as deceased donors.
Table 2. Willingness towards deceased organ donation under current opt-in system and proposed opt-out and allocation priority systems (n=203)
After the opt-out system was proposed, 37.0% of respondents who were unsure about donation or had been unwilling to donate previously, reported a willingness to stay in the donor pool. However, 15.8% of registered donors and 28.2% of respondents who had originally expressed a willingness to donate were reluctant to stay in the donor pool. Overall, the willingness rate decreased from 64.5% under the current opt-in system to 60.1% under the proposed opt-out system, although the reduction was not statistically significant. In contrast, combining the opt-in system with allocation priority motivated 64.8% of respondents originally unwilling to donate to instead express a willingness. Only 11.4% of those originally willing to donate were demotivated. This resulted in a statistically significant increase in the overall willingness rate, from 64.5% under the current opt-in system to 73.4% under the proposed allocation priority system (P=0.018) [Table 2].
Under the allocation priority system, respondents who changed their stance from unwilling to willing to donate (n=35) did so largely because they perceived the system as a “fair or reciprocal” method of organ allocation (57.1%). They believed they “had a greater chance of receiving an organ transplant if registered” (54.3%). At the same time, some respondents who had originally expressed a willingness to donate were reluctant to do so under the priority system (n=17). They felt that the preferential status was useless, as “the waiting list would be still very long” (52.9%). Some also mentioned that it was “unethical” if criteria other than medical condition were used for organ allocation (47.1%) [Table 3].
Table 3. Reasons for changing willingness towards deceased organ donation under proposed allocation priority system
After the opt-out system was explained, those who had been unsure about donor registration or unwilling to donate under the opt-in system (n=30) were willing to stay in the donor pool because the opt-out system offered them “convenience for indicating willingness” (23.3%). Moreover, some believed that remaining in the donor pool was a “civic duty” (20.0%). Conversely, many respondents who had been willing to donate under the opt-in system chose to opt out (n=39), as they perceived that under the system they were “forced to donate” (69.2%). “Distrust of local government” was another reason (30.8%) [Table 4].
Table 4. Reasons for changing willingness towards deceased organ donation under proposed opt-out system
Determinants of willingness for deceased organ donation
Associations between variables and willingness were first tested by univariate logistic regression for each legislative system (Table 5). Under the opt-out system, age, educational attainment, monthly household income, marital status, and political view were significantly associated with willingness. Under the allocation priority system, age, educational attainment, monthly household income, and marital status were the significant predictors. Sex and occupation were not significantly associated with a willingness to donate under either system.
Table 5. Associations of respondent characteristics and political view with willingness towards deceased organ donation, by proposed system
These significant predictors were further analysed by multiple logistic regression. Under an opt-out system, respondents who were married (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]=0.423, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.205-0.871) or earned a monthly household income of <HK$20 000 (AOR=0.366, 95% CI=0.162-0.827) or HK$20 000-39 999 (AOR=0.447, 95% CI=0.207-0.962) had a lower willingness to donate, whereas those who trusted local government had a higher willingness (AOR=2.590, 95% CI=1.023-6.554). Under an allocation priority system, lower willingness to donate was associated with age over 60 years (AOR=0.168, 95% CI=0.029-0.960), primary education level or no schooling (AOR=0.253, 95% CI=0.077-0.829), and monthly household income of <HK$20 000 (AOR=0.230, 95% CI=0.080-0.622).
This study provides the first analysis of attitudes towards different policies for deceased organ donation and related determinants. We found that an allocation priority system would significantly motivate respondents to donate their organs, similar to the findings of an Israeli public telephone survey.17 The major underlying reason of “fairness or reciprocity” is aligned with the concept of justice,19 as organs are a scarce societal resource with a demand that heavily outweighs the supply. The positive effect of a proposed priority incentive on respondents’ willingness to donate may be related to possible organ scarcity in the market with the extremely low donation rates in both Israel and Hong Kong.7 In addition, the concept of reciprocity might be derived from a moral duty of mutual aid.26 Similar to many countries that adopt the priority system, especially Singapore, Hong Kong treats moral duty as a legislative foundation. Respondents might have agreed that those who refuse to donate their organs (free-riders) should not receive organs ahead of those who are willing to donate.17 Furthermore, respondents ,may also have been motivated by priority incentives, providing them with a potential chance to extend their life. This outcome is unsurprising, as it is the key feature of this allocation priority system.16
With the increasing demand for organ transplantation, the Hong Kong government has explored the feasibility of an opt-out system. It is worth noting that a proposed opt-out system caused a reduction in the willingness for deceased organ donation, although not to a significant degree. This finding contradicts that suggested by a recent Hong Kong study on kidney donation,20 which claimed that the willingness to donate would rise significantly under an opt-out system. This inconsistency may be attributable to an assumption made by that study, that those willing to donate organs under the current opt-in system would remain willing under an opt-out system. Yet, our study found that a large number of respondents who were originally willing to donate changed to being unwilling to stay in the donor pool. The switch was because many initially willing respondents perceived that under an opt-out system, they were “being forced” to donate. Nonetheless, the opt-out system has successfully induced a willingness to donate in many European countries12 that also advocate personal liberties. According to a European study, a societal environment was a prerequisite for the government to justify an opt-out system that would limit citizens’ liberties.27 First, the opt-out system can be imposed only when there are no less restrictive alternatives. Yet, alternatives do exist, such as the allocation priority system. Second, as in the present study, government popularity seems to be another prerequisite condition that was lacking. Distrust of the local government led some respondents to opt out.
Moreover, our study identifies determinants associated with a willingness towards deceased organ donation. Respondents with a lower education level and older age were less likely than others to donate organs under an allocation priority system. These significant factors might arise from a stronger traditional belief among the elderly population of keeping a body intact after death,21 as well as a lower awareness of organ donation among those with less education.28 The present study also reveals that those who were married were more reluctant than never-married people to donate under the opt-out system, because a married person might need a partner’s consent before making a decision about donating organs. Echoed by Malaysian and European studies, a trust in government was associated with a higher willingness towards deceased organ donation under the opt-out system.12 22
Lower monthly household income was associated with lower willingness to donate organs under both systems. This association may be because those with a higher income are more likely to promote a supportive attitude towards organ donation.29 Although the significance of each determinant varied between the opt-out system and the allocation priority system, strengths and directions of the associations were similar across both. More importantly, these significant determinants were also significant under the current opt-in system.30 Thus, regardless of the legislative system imposed, determinants associated with willingness to donate appear the same.
Implications of findings
This study provides preliminary evidence of the potential effectiveness of different legislative systems. In particular, the study responds to the recent public controversy over the possible introduction of an opt-out system in Hong Kong,31 and may help policymakers anticipate public opposition to such a system. The government should first create a supportive societal environment and gain public trust before its implementation.
At the same time, this study provides evidence to support adding allocation priority to the current opt-in system in Hong Kong. The findings offer policymakers new insight into alternative legislative systems other than the opt-out system. Further evaluation of the priority incentive or other policy instruments is suggested so that policymakers can identify the best alternative.
The design of an administrative procedure to motivate and facilitate registering behaviour should also be considered. Similar to other local studies,6 30 this study found that the rate of registration to donate was quite low among those currently willing. The main reasons may be laziness and lack of knowledge about the registration procedure.6 Thus, an individual’s attitude towards donation is not necessarily aligned with registering behaviour.12 32 In other words, combining the opt-in system with allocation priority may not necessarily result in a higher registration and donation rate in practice. Policymakers should consider measures that will simplify the registration procedure. For example, in the United States and the United Kingdom, driving license applicants are invited to register as deceased organ donors.33
Another recommendation stemming from this study is the development of targeted promotion strategies when a new legislative system is introduced. With an understanding of determinants of willingness to donate, the Organ Donation Promotion Charter can target those who are less willing to donate. By increasing knowledge and alleviating concerns about procedures involved under the new legislative system, public willingness is expected to increase.12 Promotional campaigns should also help build public trust in the government for a smooth implementation of the new system.
Strengths and weaknesses
The strength of this study is the use of random sampling for respondent recruitment. A random-digit dialling method was used such that unlisted numbers were also contacted. Each residential telephone number, therefore, had an equal selection probability. With a 95% residential fixed-line penetration rate,34 the sampling frame included most of the Hong Kong general population.
This study has several limitations. There may have been selection bias (selective timing of telephone calls) and self-selection bias (non-response after receiving phone calls). Our study is not representative of the general population, as it has fewer respondents who were male, of older age, educated to secondary level, of lower socio-economic status, and married. In addition, without standardised protocols, information bias may have arisen from recording and classifying responses from the open-ended questions that asked for underlying reasons for change in willingness. Examination of determinants of the willingness to donate was also limited by the small sample size. Subsequent surveys with a larger sample are recommended to investigate socio-demographic variables as well as other possible factors, such as chronic illness requiring an organ transplant in respondents and their relatives or friends.
This study examined the impact of a proposed opt-in system with organ allocation priority and an opt-out system on willingness towards deceased organ donation among the Hong Kong general population. An allocation priority system could induce willingness to donate. At the same time, the study provides discouraging evidence for the effectiveness of an opt-out system. These findings have implications for policy-making and targeted education. More research is needed to study alternative legislative systems to solve the crisis of organ shortage in Hong Kong.
We thank Ms Yuen-Fan Tong for her support and experience in the development of the questionnaire.
The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.
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